BBBA Roulette.

Well, I guess this is what you get when moderates break their word to progressives...remember how both bills were supposed to pass together? Not. Then they ran into the Senate train wreck otherwise known as Manchin. I can't possibly get a better laugh when I hear endless media referring to Manchin as a moderate. Right. The guy is a conservative Democrat and quite frankly, is anyone actually surprised that Manchin killed BBBA?

Now, let's fast forward to the blame game. Put another way, who gets to be toast in 22? Here are a few scenarios:

a) start with conventional wisdom that ALREADY has Democrats losing the Senate and probably the House. Could happen if Democrats are seen as inept;

b) the next possibility is that both McCarthy and McConnell being seen as the latest Republican incarnations of Doctor No -- if it lives, breathes, moves or is a positive, reflexively block it and refuse to cast a vote in favour of anything;

c) voters focus on the dead benefits in BBBA and punish Republicans for having been against it in the first place when it had solid support in polls across party lines;

d) and then this long-shot: independents vote for Democrats because they want a voting margin to assure passage post-2022.

Normally, I would give Democrats the edge in 2022 because people are really hurting in the COVID-19 economy and need further aid and relief. Logical enough.

But part of the reason Biden is so personally unpopular is because of inflation and its effects on the average American family. Biden is seen as having done nothing to reduce inflation or even keep it in check. He quite literally slapped every American in the face when he re-nominated Powell.

So...in terms of the voting booth, it's all about family economy and personal well being and that translates in this inflationary environment into Dems taking a bath if inflation stays in the picture.

Put another way, Repubs don't need Trump to win big. All they need is for Biden to continue losing big on so many fronts.

If this continues, the inflation machine will destroy the Biden re-election machine even before that effort gets out of the blocks.

(This assumes that the 22 mid-terms aren't primarily based on abortion and women's view of same and its state-level restrictions across party lines.)