What's Good For Starmer Is Good for Poilièvre.

At least Starmer knows how to win an election...

UK: Mighty Glad My Name Isn't Starmer!

Looks like this is the end for Starmer: what a soap opera. 81 MPs are needed to trigger a leadership contest, and at this hour, they appear to have one more vote than they need. Over 90 MPs and 4 cabinet ministers have called for Starmer's resignation. 112 are backing Starmer, while another 100 want a leadership race delayed. Most significant of all is that 403 MPs have not taken a position, and that does not bode well for Starmer over the medium run.

No word yet on the meeting between Starmer and Streeting. Another interesting issue is whether Burnham will be allowed to contest a byelection, and whether he can win. Some argue that at this stage, no Labour seat is safe. Will he join Starmer's cabinet as a first step to that end?

It's a matter of timing now: will the race take place on Starmer's timetable or not? And will Streeting, Rayner, Miliband, Carns or Jones run? So far, only West is in.  

Why Is Pierre Still In His Job?

Liaison Strategies: 

Liberals: 44%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 10%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%

Research Co.:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 31%

New Democrats: 11%

Bloc Québécois: 7%

Greens: 3%

Daniel B. O'Dowd, R.I.P. (1961-2026)

Dan passed away peacefully at Saint-Sacrement Hospital today, thanks to MAID. We are so proud of him for his excellence and dedication to his profession. He was always ready to lend a helping hand to the downtrodden and those in need. He was a member of Kiwanis for many years and served as Lieutenant Governor at one point. He was also very active in the English-speaking community and, in 2015, was Grand Marshall of Quebec City's Saint Patrick's Parade.

Farewell, dear Twin, Brother and Friend. May you find happiness and peace in Heaven. 

Conservatives Supposedly "Prefer" Abacus Data and Angus Reid Institute.

I laugh heartily when fellow Conservatives go on and on all the way to boredom about the supposed skewed methodology at most polling firms. Right. Partisans and politicos are always the same: looking for a fig leaf justification that dismisses why most people can't stand them or their party. Yeah, it sure is the way methodology is done, that is, until the firms using that methodology come out with numbers showing that same party either newly or serially in the ditch. Give me a break. Mind you, I agree that methodology affects the numbers, but only at the margins. That factor alone, IMHO, is not enough to produce seriously inaccurate results. Others even argue that those two companies overpoll for the CPC. But that's a debate for another day.

And speaking of Abacus:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 36%

New Democrats: 8%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 3%

Well, surprise, surprise, there goes the fall election for the CPC. The PP Effect strikes again in its usual and predictable direction...

Canadian Federalists Are Crazy!

I mean, what the fuck are they smoking when it comes to the Alberta referendum? Most commentators are taking precisely the wrong tack when it comes to the provincial plebiscite: they're arguing that a way should be found to kill it.

First off, that's a deliberate and serious violation of the conditions of democracy and representative government. Secondly, as long as Smith's conditions are met, it's got to be a go. People must be able to have their say, and the result must be respected by all sides.

And then there's the huge elephant in the room that seems to escape most so-called sophisticated political commentators. If you don't hold it as promised, support for separation will immediately tick up, likely in waves. So, collectively, give your heads a serious shake. Conservation and the continuity of Canadian federalism more than likely depend on it.

Pierre Only Cares About Himself, His Salary And Eventual Pension.

Pierre doesn't give a shit about the party or your riding. All he cares about is his job, perks and privileges. That should be obvious by now, even to the most Kool-AidTM drinking Conservative MP or member. 

He's just like his idol, Justin Trudeau: he's planning to stay on even if that means losing the next election, which is exactly what it means. Pierre is another Trudeau who thinks that by divine right of kings, he can remain leader for as long as he sees fit. Well, sorry, no. We're sick of you, just like we were of Trudeau. You're nothing more than an undertaker-looking milestone around our party's neck, and you need to go yesterday.

Let's make things clear: you know perfectly well that you don't have what it takes to win an election against Carney. You really don't. Think of the party and caucus and leave before the soon-to-be ex-MPs finally have the guts to move against you using the Reform Act. As I continually remind our MPs, just like a broken record: it's either Poilièvre's hide or it's theirs, at least as far as fifty of our elected members are concerned. Move against Pierre now or wait for the inevitable reckoning this fall when Carney pulls the plug and gets a Mulroney-sized majority. Wake up now, suckers!