Sunday, 2 August 2026

Kentucky: Will Beshear Call A Special Election?

In short, what's the point given that Democrats are unlikely, to put it charitably, to win that seat. This may be all about McConnell this and McConnell that, but whether alive or dead, the Democrat in a special election is likely to come out of it as just another stiff. 

Abacus Data.

Carney Retains a Clear Personal Advantage


Mark Carney continues to be viewed more positively than

either of the other major federal party leaders.


Forty-nine percent of Canadians have a positive impression 

of Carney, while 32% have a negative impression. His net

impression is positive 17.


Pierre Poilievre is viewed positively by 37% and negatively by

43%, producing a net impression of negative 6.

Abacus Data.

LPC: 44%

CPC: 38%

NDP: 9%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 3%

Angus Reid: Is A Deal Even Possible?

For the record, I expect no deal. Free trade with the United States is over. CUSMA is dead within a year, or even less if Trump cancels it with six months' notice and a bilateral with Canada is not in the cards. Trump doesn't do win-win.

Angus Reid:



43%
are confident Carney can deliver a good deal, down from 51% in April
75%
don’t trust Trump to stick to the terms of any deal reached


Angus Reid: CUSMA - USMCA.

As most Canadians rebuke Trump tariff threat and call for retaliation, confidence in PM to get a good deal declines



Sorry, Jasmin.




I'm even harder-line than Ford. I not only want tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar, but also more counter-tariffs than American tariffs. This is economic war, and that's all Trump understands. It's not a war we can win, but it's a war we must fight. Our sovereignty demands nothing less.