Thursday, 14 May 2026

UK: Starmer Looks Done To Me.

It's not one man who can save Labour, so...Burnham isn't a saviour in the making. He will likely be the party's candidate in the Makerfield byelection. But Reform UK could take the riding nonetheless. 

Meanwhile, Streeting has quit cabinet. Now, will he declare and take on Starmer? I think he will.

Nanos: TheUndertakerTM Does It Again!

He can't wait to lose that fall election, and HE will in Mulroney spades!

Nanos:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 9%

Bloc Québécois: 5%

Greens: 4%




Tuesday, 12 May 2026

What's Good For Starmer Is Good for Poilièvre.

At least Starmer knows how to win an election...

UK: Mighty Glad My Name Isn't Starmer!

Looks like this is the end for Starmer: what a soap opera. 81 MPs are needed to trigger a leadership contest, and at this hour, they appear to have one more vote than they need. Over 90 MPs and 4 cabinet ministers have called for Starmer's resignation. 112 are backing Starmer, while another 100 want a leadership race delayed. Most significant of all is that 403 MPs have not taken a position, and that does not bode well for Starmer over the medium run.

No word yet on the meeting between Starmer and Streeting. Another interesting issue is whether Burnham will be allowed to contest a byelection, and whether he can win. Some argue that at this stage, no Labour seat is safe. Will he join Starmer's cabinet as a first step to that end?

It's a matter of timing now: will the race take place on Starmer's timetable or not? And will Streeting, Rayner, Miliband, Carns or Jones run? So far, only West is in.  


Why Is Pierre Still In His Job?

Liaison Strategies: 


Liberals: 44%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 10%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%


Research Co.:


Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 31%

New Democrats: 11%

Bloc Québécois: 7%

Greens: 3%



Monday, 11 May 2026

Daniel B. O'Dowd, R.I.P. (1961-2026)

Dan passed away peacefully at Saint-Sacrement Hospital today, thanks to MAID. We are so proud of him for his excellence and dedication to his profession. He was always ready to lend a helping hand to the downtrodden and those in need. He was a member of Kiwanis for many years and served as Lieutenant Governor at one point. He was also very active in the English-speaking community and, in 2015, was Grand Marshall of Quebec City's Saint Patrick's Parade.

Farewell, dear Twin, Brother and Friend. May you find happiness and peace in Heaven. 

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Conservatives Supposedly "Prefer" Abacus Data and Angus Reid Institute.

I laugh heartily when fellow Conservatives go on and on all the way to boredom about the supposed skewed methodology at most polling firms. Right. Partisans and politicos are always the same: looking for a fig leaf justification that dismisses why most people can't stand them or their party. Yeah, it sure is the way methodology is done, that is, until the firms using that methodology come out with numbers showing that same party either newly or serially in the ditch. Give me a break. Mind you, I agree that methodology affects the numbers, but only at the margins. That factor alone, IMHO, is not enough to produce seriously inaccurate results. Others even argue that those two companies overpoll for the CPC. But that's a debate for another day.

And speaking of Abacus:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 36%

New Democrats: 8%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 3%


Well, surprise, surprise, there goes the fall election for the CPC. The PP Effect strikes again in its usual and predictable direction...