13 avril 2026 : la dernière chance pour Pierre de prouver qu’il est un véritable chef et d’assumer la responsabilité de ces défections.

Il est temps d’arrêter de tourner autour du pot : nous avons perdu trois députés parce qu’ils n’appréciaient pas le style autoritaire du chef, ni la manière dont lui et l’OLO géraient les relations avec le caucus. Point final. Quiconque pense que d’Entremont, Ma et Jeneroux ont rejoint les libéraux par amour pour Carney et son gouvernement se fait des illusions. C’est absurde. Ils sont passés chez les libéraux parce que c’était leur seule option pour rester députés à long terme. 

Mettons les choses au clair dès le départ : le PCC n’a absolument aucune chance de l’emporter dans les circonscriptions d’University-Rosedale, Scarborough Southwest et Terrebonne. Les récents sondages suggèrent que les libéraux rafleront les trois circonscriptions. Naturellement, comme je m’y attendais, Outhouse a prouvé qu’il ne connaissait rien à la politique québécoise et n’a pas réussi à bloquer un candidat du PCC à Terrebonne. Cette décision – ou plutôt, cette absence de décision – garantit une victoire libérale dans la circonscription. Bravo, les gars ! En politique, on ne vaut que par sa dernière décision, et Outhouse a échoué à ce test, tout comme Pierre. 

En conséquence, les libéraux de Carney obtiendront enfin la majorité à la Chambre des communes et, en théorie, contrôleront le Parlement pendant les quatre prochaines années. Cela signifie que l’heure de vérité a sonné pour Pierre : seuls neuf des derniers sondages donnent aux libéraux une avance à deux chiffres. Pendant ce temps, Angus Reid leur donne une marge de huit points. Le meilleur sondage, datant d’il y a quelque temps, plaçait Pierre en tête du classement des « meilleurs premiers ministres », avec 44 % d’opinions favorables. Aujourd’hui, sa cote de popularité s’établit à -59 %. Prenez un moment pour bien en prendre la mesure. Et voici le coup de grâce : 49 % des Canadiens veulent qu’il démissionne, ce qu’il ne fera pas.

Je félicite Pierre d’avoir modéré son style de leadership, d’être plus ouvert à la flexibilité et aux nouvelles idées, ainsi que pour son approche inclusive récente en matière d’accès aux médias. Cependant, ces changements admirables ne feront pas évoluer ses résultats dans les sondages. C’est comme passer des lunettes aux lentilles de contact. Cela ne fait pas pencher la balance en sa faveur.

Donc… S’il veut avoir une chance de passer le cap des prochaines élections — qui auront probablement lieu l’automne prochain, étant donné que Carney et les libéraux sont tellement avides de pouvoir qu’ils viseront un mandat majoritaire des électeurs —, Pierre devra aborder publiquement ses nombreuses lacunes et s’engager à faire mieux à l’avenir. Outhouse ne lui dira pas ça, mais moi, je le ferai. Sinon, son caucus deviendra encore plus imprudent et frustré, et cela ne peut que se terminer par une remise au goût du jour de la Loi sur la réforme et, au final, par son renvoi sur la même voie qu’O’Toole. Étant donné que ses subordonnés ont joué un rôle actif dans l’éviction d’O’Toole, tout comme votre serviteur, ce serait ironique si cela finissait par revenir comme un boomerang pour mordre Pierre aux fesses.

Bref, Pierre, les mois entre aujourd'hui et l’automne prochain sont ta dernière chance de redresser la barre du Parti conservateur. Profites-en au maximum, sinon tu disparaîtras inévitablement de la scène politique en tant que chef.

Et pour aider tous mes collègues conservateurs à digérer ce qui précède, voici le dernier sondage Léger. Lisez-le, de préférence un verre à la main.

Politique canada : le PLC atteint 49% des intentions de vote - Léger

13 April 2026: Pierre’s last chance to prove he's a true leader and to take responsibility for the defections.

It’s time to stop beating around the bush: we lost three MPs because they didn’t like the leader’s command-and-control style, nor the way he and the OLO managed relations with caucus. Full stop. Anyone who thinks that d’Entremont, Ma and Jeneroux joined the Liberals out of love for Carney and his government is deluding themselves. That’s bullshit. They switched to the Liberals because it was their only option to remain MPs over the long term. 

Let’s make one thing clear from the outset: the CPC has absolutely no chance of winning in the ridings of University-Rosedale, Scarborough Southwest and Terrebonne. Recent polls suggest the Liberals will sweep all three ridings. Naturally, as I expected, Outhouse proved he knows nothing about Quebec politics and failed to block a CPC candidate in Terrebonne. That decision—or rather, the lack of one—guarantees a Liberal victory in the riding. Great going, guys! In politics, you’re only as good as your last call, and Outhouse has failed that test, along with Pierre. 

As a result, Carney’s Liberals will finally secure a majority in the House of Commons and, in theory, control Parliament for the next four years. This means the moment of reckoning has arrived for Pierre: only nine of the latest polls show the Liberals with a double-digit lead. Meanwhile, Angus Reid gives them an eight-point edge. The best poll, from some time ago, placed Pierre at the top of the ‘best prime minister’ rankings, with 44% in favour. Today, Pierre’s rating stands at -59 per cent. Take a moment to let that sink in. And here’s the coup de grâce: 49 per cent of Canadians want him to resign, which of course he won’t do.

I commend Pierre for toning down his leadership style, being more open to flexibility and new ideas, and for his recent inclusive approach to media access. However, these admirable changes will not shift his poll numbers. It’s like switching from glasses to contact lenses. It doesn’t tip the scales in his favour.

So… If he wants any chance of making it through the next election—which will likely take place next fall, given that Carney and the Liberals are so power-hungry they’ll be aiming for an elected five-year majority mandate—he’ll need to publicly address his many shortcomings and commit to doing better in future. Outhouse won’t tell him that, but I will. Otherwise, his caucus will become even more reckless and frustrated, and that can only end with them dusting off the Reform Act and, ultimately, sending him down the same path as O’Toole. Given that his subordinates played an active role in ousting O’Toole, just like yours truly, it would be rather ironic if that ended up coming back like a boomerang to bite Pierre in the ass.

In short, Pierre, the months between now and next fall are your last chance to right the Conservative ship. Make the most of it as party leader, or you will inevitably disappear from that position on the political scene.

And to help all my fellow Conservatives digest the above, here is the latest Léger poll. Read it, preferably with a drink in hand.

Carney's Liberals climb to 49% and lead by 14 points - Leger

More Proof That Trump Is A POS.

As if we need any more. No wonder God has him pissing and shitting himself every day. Payback time, baby. But this fucker never learns:

"Robert Mueller just died. Good, I'm glad he's dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people!"

Trump had told us a while back he didn't expect to make it to heaven. He got that one right, for a change.

Débat de la CAQ à Québec : match nul.

En bref, avec trois cents personnes dans la salle, ce débat s’adressait à ceux qui étaient déjà convaincus, aux partisans les plus fervents de la CAQ. Je ne pense pas que Drainville, ni même Fréchette, soient à la hauteur pour sauver ce gouvernement. Ce gouvernement a fait son temps. 

Cela dit, ce fut un débat sincère et de grande qualité : je trouve Fréchette trop hésitante, trop évasive sur les grands enjeux auxquels le Québec fait face. Elle semble être en perpétuelle réflexion. Cela ne suffit pas pour diriger le Québec. Drainville, quant à lui, est catégoriquement attaché au projet du troisième lien. Il nous rappelle qu’un projet plus à l’est risque d’entraîner des coûts inacceptables. Il accorde la priorité à la conservation et à la protection de l’eau, notre ressource la plus précieuse, mais il est complètement à côté de la coche en ce qui concerne l’extraction du gaz naturel au Québec, notamment sur l’île d’Anticosti et ailleurs. À mon avis, il est temps de se tourner vers le gaz naturel comme mécanisme de transition vers une énergie propre et renouvelable. Cela dit, cette transition s’étalera sur plusieurs décennies et ne se fera certainement pas au cours des dix prochaines années. Drainville ignore complètement cette alternative.

En effet, la CAQ est là pour maintenir une course à trois dans tout le Québec et une lutte à quatre dans la région de la Capitale-Nationale. Telle est la triste réalité de la situation. Nous verrons si les électeurs seront prêts à permettre à la CAQ, même avec un nouveau chef, de sauver sa réputation et son honneur lors des prochaines élections générales cet automne.

The 2027 Taiwan Invasion Pipe Dream.

Xi Jinping is a troubled figure, a man who's ruthless in his quest for total power, who will do whatever it takes to keep it. For Xi, the end definitely justifies the means, as we saw with the take down of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli. An extremely dangerous foe indeed. It's rumoured that Xi is isolated in Beijing, having become increasingly paranoid and concerned for his personal safety. As a result, he purportedly sleeps in a fortified bunker.

That brings us to the erratic thinking behind Xi's apparent desire to invade Taiwan, which American national intelligence agencies have publicly predicted could occur as early as next year. Xi's motives are apparently two-fold: an argument suggests that he could easily consolidate power during wartime, with the country rallying to his cause if military victory appeared possible over the medium term. The second reason is more personal and dubious: it's my understanding that Xi believes in the search to extend lifespans and that that also comes into the mix. Taken together, it remains likely that an invasion is only a question of when in Xi's mind. 

However, Xi's removal of Zhang and Liu did not play out as expected. One needs to understand why Zhang was adamantly opposed to invading Taiwan. He recognized that it was insane, given the American commitment to the island. Zhang knew that the Americans could never opt out, even if already engaged in other war operations at the same time. For Trump, or any other president, Taiwan remains a national-security red line in the Indo-Pacific theatre. The other critical motive behind Zhang's opposition to an invasion is the elephant in the room: the open secret in army circles about endemic corruption in the military leading to inoperable and faulty defence equipment and systems. That sad reality, taken from a Chinese perspective, was demonstrated for all the world to see in Iran. Put another way, Xi can't count on military hardware and systems to operate as designed, or even function at all in a wartime environment. That's the brutal reality that Xi faces. It's somewhat ironic that the incorruptible Zhang was the messenger about all of the rampant corruption that has plagued the military for decades. 

Then there are other PLA considerations: it's no coincidence that the likely deaths of Zhang and Liu have not been publicly announced. The longer we wait for news about their fate, the more likely they were summarily executed by national security or police forces. That can only mean trouble for Xi. Eventually, the news will come out, and it won't be to Xi's advantage. When it does, that will seal the deal on the impossibility of invading Taiwan. From that point on, Xi will be at his most vulnerable and could be taken down by the military. In the interim, Xi will undoubtedly do all he can to take back power, but will it be enough? 

Finally, keep in mind the role that the CIA is playing in China, not only egging on and likely in some cases fomenting dissent and unrest in the main cities, but also conceivably playing a hand in the explosions heard across China. Those explosions can't be pinned on the PLA, because if the military were the source, they would have moved against Xi by now. No wonder Xi wants Trump in Beijing on March 31st. The end result, from his perspective, is likely to be disappointing to say the very least. It's a red horse year, and it is rapidly galloping further into the distance. That likely portends ill for the future. Wen Jiabao recently asked the trillion-dollar question. All of China and the rest of the world are waiting for the final answer.

2027年入侵台湾的想法纯属幻想。

习近平是一个心理失常的人物，为了追求绝对权力不择手段，为了死守权力不惜一切代价。对他而言，目的绝对能证明手段的正当性，正如我们在他处理张有夏和刘振利一事中所见。他确实是一个极其危险的对手。有传言称，习近平在北京处于孤立无援的境地；他变得越来越多疑，并对自身安全深感担忧。因此，据说他睡在加固的地下掩体中。

这迫使我们思考习近平表面上想要入侵台湾背后的特殊心态；美国情报机构已公开预测，此事最早可能于明年发生。习近平的动机似乎有两方面：一种观点认为，一旦开战，他便能轻易巩固权力；若中期内有望取得军事胜利，全国人民将团结在他周围。第二个原因则更为个人化且颇具争议：据我所知，习近平相信延长寿命的研究，这也已成为他考量因素之一。综合来看，在习近平的思维中，入侵台湾恐怕只是时间问题。

然而，习近平撤换张和刘的举措并未如预期般展开。必须理解张为何如此坚决反对入侵台湾。他深知，鉴于美国对台湾的承诺，此举纯属疯狂之举。张某深知，即便当时美国正忙于其他军事行动，也绝不会袖手旁观。对特朗普或任何其他总统而言，台湾始终是印太地区内的一条国家安全红线。张某反对入侵的另一个关键动机，是军方内部众所周知的“房间里的大象”——即军队内部根深蒂固的腐败，已导致国防装备和系统无法正常运作且存在缺陷。从中国的角度来看，这一严峻现实已在伊朗展现在世人面前。换言之，习近平无法指望军事装备和系统在战时环境中按设计运行——甚至根本无法运行。这就是习近平面临的残酷现实。讽刺的是，正是张某——一位正直清廉之人——揭露了困扰军队数十年的猖獗腐败。

关于解放军还有进一步的考量：张和刘可能已经死亡，但尚未被官方宣布，这绝非巧合。我们等待他们下落的消息越久，他们被国家安全部门或警方处决的可能性就越大。这无疑是习近平的一大麻烦。消息终将传出，而相关背景肯定对他不利。届时，入侵台湾的可能性将彻底破灭。从那一刻起，习近平将处于极其脆弱的境地，甚至可能被军队罢黜。在此期间，习近平无疑会竭尽全力夺回控制权，但这够吗？

最后，请注意中情局在中国扮演的角色——它不仅在火上浇油，某些情况下甚至可能在主要城市煽动异议和动乱，而且很可能与全国各地听到的爆炸声有关。这些爆炸并非解放军所为，因为如果军方是幕后黑手，他们早就对习近平采取行动了。难怪习近平正寄希望于特朗普3月31日抵达北京。从他的角度来看，结果恐怕至少会令人失望。今年是马年，而这匹红马正疾驰远去。这很可能预示着未来将发生不祥之事。温家宝最近提出了一个价值万亿的问题。整个中国，乃至全世界，都在等待最终的答案。

Why Floor-Crossers Could Destroy The Liberals After Pierre Is Gone.

Carney is likely too clever by half. The Liberals are rolling on the floor from serial orgasms as they decimate CPC ranks one MP at a time and make a first breach in the NDP dyke. Rumours are swirling around Ottawa that most of the NDP caucus will be next: a mass defection sometime after Lewis becomes leader. I'll believe that one when I see it, but back to Carney: the PM better be praying already for a majority because if the GIC drops the writ next fall with the Liberals in search of an increased majority, they may not get it. That strategy barely worked for Ford. In my book, Kory blew it, but I digress.

Voter attitudes have a way of turning on a dime, especially during bad economic times: an Angus Reid Institute poll had the CPC leading by a historic twenty-nine points in late December 2024. So, even Carney is not immune to sudden and dramatic political disruption. Imagine a scenario in which the Liberals are returned in a fall election, but with a minority. Unlikely now, but not improbable. Were the CPC to change leader in the wake of that vote, that could prove to be a huge opening for the Conservatives. Add to that evolving perceptions on floor-crossers: most voters are OK with that right now, but if the economy goes into recession or turns drastically south, Canadians could quickly get religion and sour on Liberal shenanigans as being anti-democratic and opportunistic. That won't happen if Pierre is still the leader, just in the same way that Justin was unable to dig up a comeback issue. But add a fresh CPC leader to the mix, and it becomes a new ballgame, one that likely would highly favour the Conservatives. Depending on who becomes leader, it could even be a return to the Mulroney good times. Laugh if you want to, but remember that Trudeau's departure proved that nothing is ever impossible in politics. With Carney, the Liberals came back from near-certain decimation.