Biden's Polls.

As Carville said, these polls are nothing different from most of the others over the last six months. Carville is becoming more and more skeptical that Biden can beat Trump. Meanwhile, Axelrod is not calling for Biden to step aside, but he is willing to speak theoretically on a ticket without Biden. Axe said a third-party challenge from another Democrat will go nowhere.

Distill all of the above, and you get this: few will go on the record hoping that Biden changes his mind and in the end does not run in '24. But it's pretty much crystal clear that most Democratic strategists would breathe one hell of a lot easier if Biden decided to take a powder. 

In short, few believe now that Biden can beat Trump. That remains to be seen if Biden sticks around. Reagan was way behind and came back. Ditto for Clinton. But neither of them had high inflation and an interest rate spike. So, this is sort of new ground, and Biden stays in this race at his peril.

My prediction hasn't changed: I've thought for a while that Biden won't be the Democratic nominee in the end. We'll find out soon enough if I'm a political genius or a total idiot. Stay tuned!