Shapiro: Looking Like A Done Deal.

Harris will announce her VEEP choice on Monday or Tuesday. Ideally, the pick will be the best candidate to unite almost all progressives and centrists behind the ticket. The choice will also play with independents and lead to the highest possible turnout of independent voters. In short, do no harm to the ticket, unlike Vance with the Republicans.

Team Harris thinks Shapiro can deliver Pennsylvania, which is crucial as part of Harris' narrow pathway to the White House. Shapiro likely will draw in centrists and independents, while at the same time alienating some progressives. In short, it's one hell of a gamble.

People like Michael Moore think this choice could lose Michigan, given that state's substantial Muslim population. Others believe, even in that community, overriding concern about a Trump return to office will override doubts about Shapiro. 

My view has been that you don't pick a VEEP running mate for what he can do in one state. You pick someone who will help you carry more than one state. Shapiro can do that if the stars align correctly. Or, he can cost Harris the election if too many progressives abandon ship. 

What was once seen as a safe choice is now viewed as a somewhat risky one. Harris' choice will be for all the marbles. In truth, no one really knows how the VEEP pick will ultimately play out.