Putin Is Losing.

The world is watching and seeing how the Ukrainians are defending their country with far more success than anyone thought. This invasion is transforming before our eyes into a guerilla war and that is never to the advantage of the aggressor.

That's when the invading army gets bogged down, worn away and ultimately cut from their supply lines. In short, without supplies -- especially fuel -- an advancing army can no longer advance.

Add to that the fact that Putin is a lousy military strategist. He's more in the mould of Hitler and that isn't good for troop morale, especially given the fact that perhaps only 30% of the invading force are not conscripts doing their one-year mandatory military service. That puts the writing on the wall.

Putin is stuck with lousy options in this war: he can go full force and nuke countries but that's a suicidal strategy and he knows that. Sure, Russia like the United States, the UK and France have a sub-based part of a nuclear triad but no one's subs are less detectable than those of America. So, that means in a nuclear exchange, American forces would launch such a wide ranging retaliatory strike that Russia would quite literally be at risk of incineration. So, that's an empty threat at best.

Then comes his declaration that any country that enforces a no-fly zone will be considered an active wartime participant. No kidding. For now, a no-fly zone remains off the table but ultimately will come into being after Russia takes action to quell the steady incoming flow of Stingers, Javelins and other defensive weapons. In short, Poland now has a big X on her back and sooner rather than later, Putin will directly take on NATO and that will inevitably mean one thing: at least the political end of Vladimir Putin. That will be followed by what most offensive forces never think about: war crimes trials and the meting out of punishment.

Like I said on the top, Putin is losing and will one day pay the consequences.