Sunday 24 September 2023

As Of Now Biden Needs To Do An LBJ.

Look, as sad as it is to say, Biden and his people are at best D-E-L-U-S-I-O-N-A-L. Biden is just like the Maginot Line. Their re-election strategy is akin to the French using WWI tactics to defend France when she was invaded by Nazi Germany. They think momentum on the right to choose (abortion) will re-elect them. They're wrong. 

Biden's economic agenda is doing nothing to narrow the gap: one poll has Trump, as presumptive nominee, ten points ahead in a face to face matchup next year. Why? Because it's all about perception, baby and using that metric, Biden is already perceived as worse than a lame-duck. That won't change: the Misery Index is killing Biden politically, not to mention the huge influx of asylum seekers at the border.

So, normally, one would conclude that the next election is already lost as far as Biden is concerned. But there is one chance that just might turn things around. Remember that Republicans, and particularly Trump Republicans, almost never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity. Think Government Shutdown. McCarthy is doing all he can not to go there. He well remembers what happened to Gingrich. But the MAGA Crowd, or at least some of them in the House, aren't in a compromise mood. That means if the government shuts down, Trump Republicans in the House will very likely pay the political price. As a result, Biden's only lifeline depends on Republicans once again shooting themselves in the foot. No wonder, Senate Republicans are mad as hell at their House colleagues.

Watch McCarthy. If he goes down, or if the shutdown takes place, Biden will have made a Hail Mary pass thanks to House Republicans. But otherwise, Biden is already, politically, a dead president walking.  

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