Tuesday, 31 December 2024

Got To Love It: Now Quebec Caucus Wants Trudeau To Go.

Drip, drip, drip! Trudeau must really enjoy being humiliated. Go already -- preferably in the second week of January.

Monday, 30 December 2024

Trump Supports Johnson.

Not happening! The Democrats won't save Johnson's ass in January. That's too bad. Supremo defeat number two coming for Trump. Got to Luv it.

Angus Will Put The Country First?

Yeah, he and Singh. Apparently, the agenda of the country won't come first until March after Jagmeet qualifies -- and even then, they collectively hate Pierre so fucking much that they'll never vote with us on a non-confidence motion. That's the sad pathetic reality.  

Elections: For Dink.

Two things: a sitting government and prime minister are not bound by the fixed election law since it's a statute. So, a PM can go early anytime he or she feels like it. Or, a PM can go a full five years as the Old Man Trudeau did in 1979. And as you mentioned, if the NWC is invoked, a PM could even go beyond a five-year term. 

Sunday, 29 December 2024

Christy Who?

In short, how many premiers have become prime minister? Exactly. The only one with a realistic chance is Ford but he necessarily has to wait either a long or short while. LOL. Nothing is ever carved in stone. Never, ever, take a perceived victory for granted. That's how you really win. 

Trump Sides With Elon.

Big mistake! Ha, ha, ha. This is like a gift from heaven. MAGA will rip itself apart. Musk won't have to bother purging them. 

Trudeau: Now The Atlantic Caucus Wants Him Out.

So much for 2025 being a Happy New Year for Trudeau...they said he wouldn't resign during the holidays. They end on January 3, 2025.

Saturday, 28 December 2024

Warren: When Your Time Comes...

Warren,

It warmed my heart to see the level of love and respect you have for your parents. It shows that they were the best of parents. Now comes the ask -- one of my uncles on the MacKenzie side left the West Island (Kirkland) because he couldn't stomach the PQ and ended up living in Brockville, Ingleside and finally Cornwall. But when the end approached, he asked me if he could be buried in the MacKenzie plot at Saint Patrick's Cemetery here in Quebec City. And so he and his wife were. So, when your time comes, will you be buried in the family plot in Montreal? First roots are often far more important than we think they are.

Bannon and Loomer v. Musk and Ramaswamy.

This is great fun. Watching them go at each other. Trump, who barely remembers his own name is stuck in the middle and does not know which way to turn. Which agenda is the true Trump agenda? No one knows. As for Trump, we'll find out as soon as someone tells Trump what his agenda is! Read TikTok and so much else. Political orgasm time.

Trump: The First De Jure President.

The de facto reality is that the tail gets to wag the dog. Prepositioning is staked out and the de jure president must dutifully follow. That's how the agenda is bulldozed and how it ultimately rolls out. In theory, it's quite brilliant but Senate and House Republicans seem to have other ideas, or at least a plurality do. So, the strategy has a major flaw. Anyone who thinks this is a one-off is kidding themselves. 

And the other thing is about the possible separation of daylight between the two main components. Right now, there's none of it but can that last? Actions have consequences that can become political liabilities. No one wants in reality to be a lame duck from the get-go but the road less travelled is the only way to go to mitigate or reduce potential political damages. How do you contain this or reduce its influence? Like I said, in essence, Trump ends up as a de jure president. But for how long and at what cost? Privately, he must be fuming. 

The Prime Objective: Repeal Of Article Two, Section 1, Clause 5.

THAT'S the big picture. That's what this is really all about. The Prime Objective is there for all to see.

Trudeau's BC Ski Trip Definitely Goes Down Hill.

It looks like quite a few in Rossland don't care for Trudeau. No kidding. Anyway, I wouldn't be inclined to tell off Trudeau even though I basically can't stand the guy anymore. But people will do their thing. Again, I wouldn't want to give him his jollies knowing that he has that kind of a negative effect on some people. If someone did that to me, at least in my case, I would dig in my heels just to give that person the finger, so to speak. So again, it's not my cup of tea. 

Friday, 27 December 2024

Trump = Moron. The Matterhorn Is Not In Canada.

With Trump, well, par for the (golf) course...last time I checked, it was in Switzerland and Italy. Maybe Trump thinks someone moved it to Canada. What a dunce, dimwit, doofus, dummkopf.

CPC Non-Confidence Motion End Of January: Oh, Well...

It won't pass because Jagmeet prefers to wait until he gets his full pension. That means mid to end of February. So, that's that. And then will the Liberals prorogue before February? You bet they will. 

Joly And LeBlanc Head To Mar-a-Lago.

Now that was a waste of time. Whatever the Trump bozos said has to be taken with the largest grain of salt ever seen on Planet Earth. Their assurances, or lack thereof, mean nothing now and will mean less than nothing in the end. JackassTrumpTM  can't be controlled or corrected. He's psychotically fixated on 25% tariffs on Canada and 25% tariffs it will be. 

This time, they didn't leave Joly at the kiddy table back in Ottawa. Not that it helped any. 

Lesson Learned For 2025: Don't Trust The Polls Ever Again.

From now on, take it for granted that no matter what a poll says or how reputable the pollster is, don't take that poll to the bank -- not ever. 

American polls by and large had Harris as the winner. She lost. Canadian polls for eons have the CPC as the next winner. With a trend that is sustained for such an extended period of time, the direction is likely correct but not necessarily the magnitude. So, expect a CPC government but don't count on how big or how small. Only God knows.

Thursday, 26 December 2024

Trudeau: It Feels Like 2020 All Over Again.

Trudeau prorogued last time in 2020. I expect him to shortly join Harper in proroguing Parliament a second time. That will give him some breathing room but little else. Meanwhile, the Quebec caucus needs to get on the record just like BC and Ontario caucus members did. Trudeau, try as he may, is basically already done. Everyone knows it. Even him. But he just can't help himself. He will screw around until the very last minute. Liberals dissidents thought all they had to do was push when in fact they'll have to shove with all their might to get him out. Trudeau is determined to make it as difficult as possible for his former team before he goes. So far, he's been doing a great job of it. 

The Liberal Party and Trudeau Are Desperately Fundraising On Social Media.

I've seen the Trudeau-voiced ads on YouTube several times. It's interesting to say the very least that Trudeau is still fronting for the party. When he gets back from skiing in BC, Trudeau's situation will continue to rock and roll until prorogation, which is more than likely next.

Wednesday, 25 December 2024

Trump Can't Help Himself Even On Christmas.

One thing never changes with Trump: even on Christmas, he remains that absolute POS asshole that we know so well. Just go read the moron's posts on TruthSocial. Can't believe they elected such a loser again as president...

Sunday, 22 December 2024

Caucus Wants Freeland.

That can mean only one thing: it will be Carney because the movers and shakers along will the big donors want Carney. The establishment won't stomach Freeland.

Charest: The only person who can tackle the three-tiered mission.

For the past few weeks, I've been wondering who is the right person to meet and succeed in the three challenges facing Quebec: to lead the fight and stand up to Trump, to act as an experienced defender of Quebec on the national and international stage and, finally, to act as the person who can rebuild the QLP and put the party on the road to recovery and renaissance as an alternative that Quebecers can take seriously to defend their economic, cultural, linguistic and other interests?

After careful consideration, I have come to a conclusion: only Jean Charest can protect Quebec's interests in the face of the threat posed by Trump. What's more, Charest is also the only one who can defend and promote Quebec's interests as opposed to federal government intervention. Finally, only Charest can raise the QLP from the ashes and give hope of a possible return to government. No one other than Charest can turn the tide within the party and provide confidence to those who want Quebec to remain within the Canadian federation.

You're going to tell me that Charest's time is up, that he's a man of the past, but I'm telling you that Charest is also the person of the future who can lead Quebec towards prosperity and an economy that will be the envy of the other Canadian provinces. Charest has already done that. Can we really deny the fact that Quebec was the strongest and most economically stable province when Charest was at the head of our government?

Charest has now retired from political life, but that doesn't change the fact that no one else is in a position to tackle the three major challenges facing Quebec. There is only one person in Quebec who is in a position to overcome the winds and tides facing Quebec and his name is Charest.  I can dream of his return. The question is whether Quebec society is also ready to return to a more prosperous and economically stronger Quebec than it is today. In my opinion, only Charest can accomplish that mission.  

Charest : La seule personne qui peux affronter la mission tripartite.

Depuis quelques semaines, je me demande qui est la bonne personne pour relever et réussir les trois défis auxquels le Québec est confronté : mener le combat et tenir tête à Trump, agir comme un défenseur expérimenté du Québec sur la scène nationale et internationale et, enfin, agir comme la personne qui peut rebâtir le PLQ et mettre le parti sur la voie du redressement et de la renaissance en tant qu'alternative que les Québécois peuvent prendre au sérieux pour défendre leurs intérêts économiques, culturels, linguistiques et autres ?

Après mûre réflexion, j'en suis arrivé à une conclusion : seul Jean Charest peut protéger les intérêts du Québec face à la menace que représente Trump. De plus, Charest est aussi le seul à pouvoir défendre et promouvoir les intérêts du Québec face à l'intervention du gouvernement fédéral. Enfin, seul Charest peut faire renaître le PLQ de ses cendres et donner l'espoir d'un possible retour au gouvernement. Personne d'autre que Charest ne peut renverser la vapeur au sein du parti et donner confiance à ceux qui veulent que le Québec demeure au sein de la fédération canadienne.

Vous allez me dire que le temps de Charest est révolu, que c'est un homme du passé, mais je vous dis que Charest est aussi la personne de l'avenir qui peut mener le Québec vers la prospérité et une économie qui fera l'envie des autres provinces canadiennes. Charest l'a déjà fait. Peut-on vraiment nier le fait que le Québec était la province la plus forte et la plus stable économiquement lorsque Charest était à la tête de notre gouvernement ?

Charest s'est maintenant retiré de la vie politique, mais cela ne change rien au fait que personne d'autre n'est en mesure de relever les trois grands défis auxquels le Québec est confronté. Il n'y a qu'une seule personne au Québec qui est en mesure de surmonter les vents et les marées auxquels le Québec est confronté et son nom est Charest.  Je peux rêver de son retour. La question est de savoir si la société québécoise est également prête à revenir à un Québec plus prospère et plus fort économiquement qu'il ne l'est aujourd'hui. À mon avis, seul Charest peut accomplir cette mission.  

From CBC News: Most Liberals in caucus want Trudeau to go: MP.

So says Arya.

KinsellaCast 341.

Warren,

-Yup, I've come around to your point of view. After the BC and Ontario caucuses turned against him, Trudeau is now done as dinner. What is the Quebec caucus waiting for...? But will he go with a little dignity or kicking and screaming?

-Everyone and his dog says the Liberals are dead for at least a decade. Maybe, maybe not. Look what happened with Harris -- so a comeback with a new leader is part of the balance of probabilities.

-Carney would never go over to the CPC.

-The fix is in for Carney. He's the only one who's sufficiently detached. Clark is also sufficiently detached but how many Liberal leaders have been a woman? Exactly. Sorry, Warren. The others, forget it. LeBlanc would be good as an interim.

-He cancelled the Year End interviews. That says it all.

-The NDP got religion only after Jagmeet got closer to his pension: which he gets in late February. Singh might lose his seat next time. Singh has shown himself to be a tool.

-Normally, a shuffle was necessary, especially if prorogation is still in the cards. 

-Agree with Warren: Pierre will have more to do with a possible Liberal revival than Liberals will. That's why Poilièvre has to play his cards just right when he forms government. He can't allow himself to become Harper in 2015. Otherwise, oh well.

-Nope, Jean allowed Harper to prorogue twice and so Simon would allow Trudeau to prorogue. 

  



The Globe and Mail: Trudeau Won't Resign Over The Holidays.

Drip, drip, drip. 

.משטרת ישראל מקבלת תלונות נגד שרה נתניהו בגין חבלה בעדים.

מהג'רוזלם פוסט: "עשרות אנשים הגישו תלונות משטרתיות ביום ראשון בבוקר נגד שרה נתניהו, אשתו של ראש הממשלה בנימין נתניהו, בטענה לשיבוש עדים במשפט הפלילי של בעלה, שנחשף בתוכנית הטלוויזיה עובדה ביום חמישי.
הראיות כוללות שיחות טקסט בין שרה נתניהו לבין 
חני בליבאיס, עוזרת קרובה ותיקה לראש הממשלה ורעייתו שהסתכסכו איתם זמן קצר לפני מותה מסרטן במרץ 2023"  





Israeli Police receive complaints against Sara Netanyahu for witness tampering.

From The Jerusalem Post:

"Dozens of people filed police complaints on Sunday morning against Sara Netanyahu, wife of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, over alleged witness tampering in her husband’s criminal trial, which were revealed on the Uvda television show on Thursday.


The show revealed text conversations between Sara Netanyahu and Hani Bliveis, a longtime close aide to the prime minister and his wife who fell out with them shortly before her death from cancer in March 2023."



PLC : C'est aussi simple que cela. Trudeau doit démissionner.

La majorité du caucus du PLC veut que Trudeau démissionne. Si Trudeau reste à la tête du parti, les libéraux pourraient bien devenir le troisième, voire le quatrième parti à la Chambre des communes. Le PLC sous Trudeau est en train de devenir la version canadienne des démocrates libéraux britanniques. Incroyable mais vrai. Certains pensent même que le leadership de Trudeau pourrait devenir une crise existentielle pour le parti.

En effet, la crise tourne autour d'une question : les intérêts des libéraux doivent-ils primer sur ceux d'un chef ? Il est clair que la réponse est un oui sans équivoque. Il appartient à Trudeau de partir le plus rapidement que possible.  

LPC: It's as simple as this. Trudeau must resign.

The majority of the LPC caucus wants Trudeau to resign. If Trudeau stays on as leader, the Liberals could well become the third or even fourth party in the House of Commons. The LPC under Trudeau is becoming Canada's version of the UK's Liberal Democrats. Incredible but true. Some even believe that Trudeau's leadership could become an existential crisis for the party.

Indeed, the crisis revolves around one question: should the Liberals' interests take precedence over those of a leader? Clearly, the answer is an unequivocal yes. It's up to Trudeau to leave as quickly as possible.  

Canada's Trudeau reshuffles his Cabinet as resignation calls mount and discontent rises.

From ABC News:

“[Trudeau] told us he had a difficult choice to make and that is the choice that he is facing at this time,” said Rachel Bendayan, the official languages minister.

Lawmaker Rob Oliphant became the latest member of Parliament from Trudeau's Liberal party to call for him to step aside. Oliphant said there should be a “robust, open leadership contest.”

“Our leader has become a key obstacle preventing many progressive voters who have supported our work from doing so again in the next election,” he said in a letter released Friday.

 


‘Vast majority’ of Liberal caucus wants Trudeau to resign, MP says.

From Global News:

"For the vast majority of people I'm talking to you, they recognize that," [Housefather] said. "They know that we're at a precipice. This is the last time that our leader can change, and I think that they would like that to happen."

He added the "significant majority of MPs I'm speaking to" believe Trudeau "has no path to remain" as Liberal leader.


Saturday, 21 December 2024

They Turned On Trump And He's Not Even Inaugerated Yet.

Can you say, President Lame Duck? If past is prologue...

Pierre Wants Simon To Recall House For Non-Confidence Vote.

Will it happen? Not a chance. Of course, Trudeau could still visit Simon and prorogue.

Two Cabinet Ministers On The LPC Ontario Caucus Call And They Didn't Defend Him!

Names, please and will they be forced out?

Bet Trudeau Will Resign On Sunday.

Wonder what the Quebec caucus is thinking. Probably a lot like the Ontario one.

Ontario Liberal MPs want Justin Trudeau to step down: sources.

From CBC:

51+  of 75 Ontario MPs want Trudeau to leave.

It's over.

Heartfelt Advice For Telford.

When the Liberal government inevitably goes down in the next election, think seriously about founding a company that'll manage lemonade stands!

Trudeau: WARREN Was Right, I Was Wrong!

Trudeau was going to resign and Miller talked him out of it. So, Warren's instincts are dead on and as the pressure to go mounts, it's almost inevitable that Trudeau will finally cave and go.

Friday, 20 December 2024

Trump Had To Win So MAGA Can Be Quickly Destroyed.

That's it in a nutshell. Most House Republicans defied Trump and did not raise (or abolish) the debt ceiling as he expected them to do. Add to the mix the ElonChaosTM which is not about to end anytime soon. It's a united front between Musk and Trump with the former leading and the latter following. Guess who gets all the publicity under such an arrangement? And all those president Musk jokes will soon have Trump livid. In short, Trump's patience is probably already wearing thin: sooner rather than later he'll give Musk the heave-ho and then watch Elon turn spectacularly on him too. 

All of this is almost too good to be true, but fortunately it is. Just wait until Trump takes office in January. Today's chaos is but a preview of coming attractions. It's going to be epic, especially for House Democrats. You know, those Trump Tax Cuts for millionaires, billionaires and TheTrillionaireTM won't likely come to pass if the debt ceiling isn't at least raised by Congress. Couldn't happen to a nicer bunch. Go out and get tons of popcorn.

Singh Says The NDP Will Bring Forward A Non-Confidence Motion In January.

Jagmeet apparently has had enough. Or so he says. The NDP says it will bring forward a non-confidence motion in January: "The Liberals don’t deserve another chance," Singh wrote. "No matter who is leading the Liberal party, this government’s time is up. We will put forward a clear motion of non-confidence in the next sitting of the House of Commons."

Meanwhile, Pierre says it's BS and that Singh and the New Democrats will chicken out in the end as they have done previously three times before. Poilièvre could be right but my gut tells me that Jagmeet is going for the gusto this time -- he sees the Liberals imploding before our eyes and as a result, he hopes to turn tons of Liberal seats his way in the next election. Put another way, he sees the NDP with official opposition status after the next election so why not?

Stay tuned! The NDP are getting out of the Liberals way and hoping to watch the Liberals burn down back to third place. Maybe they will even if Trudeau leaves, which IMHO, he won't. Trudeau will go down fighting whenever the next election comes. But put the odds of prorogation at ninety-nine percent, because it's coming fast. 

Thursday, 19 December 2024

Canadian PM Trudeau has full support of cabinet, new finance minister says.

From Reuters.

Can you say two-faced? Well, I have news for Trudeau: that's certainly not what a handful of ministers already told the dissident MPs. But by all means, Liberals, go with that! LOL.

Wednesday, 18 December 2024

Will Warren Write About It?

My, oh my. You know who is now fronting for Freeland and wants Trudeau to leave quickly. LOL.

Will Warren be able to resist the temptation to pounce?

Trudeau: Told You!

From: The Canadian Press and CP24

[...]"Another Liberal source with ties to Trudeau's inner circle but not in government said the prime minister's team is trying to sort out a path forward for him, and characterized that as 'definitely operating in a manner to assert' having him continue on as leader."

No kidding...cabinet shuffle and then immediate prorogation.

Tuesday, 17 December 2024

Ford Just Did A Great Job On CNN.

I don't know about you but I look forward to Ford switching to the national stage.

Trudeau Will Reflect As He Has Before And Then Go Nowhere.

Trudeau is so full of shit. If he seriously considered resigning as prime minister, he sure as hell wouldn't be shuffling cabinet tomorrow. Unless many more ministers turn on him and resign, nothing and I mean nothing is going to happen. And I don't see that in the cards. Do you? The big phoney is sticking around.

Monday, 16 December 2024

Bannon Says Trump Can Have A Third Term As Long As The Three Terms Are Not Consecutive.

Bannon doesn't believe in the 22nd Amendment. Just par for the course and shows you exactly what's coming under the second Trump Administration. Start worrying now. 

Trump Wants Trudeau To Spend 2% On Defence.

Won't help much when WWIII comes. After all, everyone knows that one of the first things China will do is invade Canada. They will take Canada in a New York minute. And then we'll see what the United States does about it with China right on top of them. Won't be fun, won't be pretty.

Freeland Has Screwed Herself.

Ha, ha, ha. They told Freeland to fight back. Resigning isn't fighting back, at least not in my book. Resigning is a capitulation to Trudeau. Period.

Too many people have no idea who this Prime Minister really is: there's no way in hell that he's about to resign. Trusty Telford is gaming it with him. They will do a cabinet shuffle and old reliable LeBlanc has agreed to take Finance. (Carney is a lot smarter politically than I thought. But I digress.) And then Trudeau will prorogue.

As for the Liberal idiots who advised Freeland, did none of them think about whether she could run in the next election as a Liberal candidate? Apparently not. Guess who will have to sign her nomination papers so she can once again be the Liberal candidate in University Rosedale. And he won't.

Sunday, 15 December 2024

The National Post: SCOOP: Freeland to reverse promised $250 ‘working Canadians’ cheques in mini-budget Monday

Freeland seemingly gets her way but makes the boss and Telford look stupid, which is certainly not a new look for those two. It's a small win for Rodriguez as well. 

Either way, if there is a cabinet shuffle, Freeland is more than likely out at Finance. It could be Carney or if he has the good sense to stay away from RadioactiveJustinTM, it will be some other foolish and disposable Liberal minister.

KinsellaCast 340.

Warren,

-Ford says he could stop electricity exports, but those are long-term contracts. One imagines that courts would not look too kindly on such action if electricity was cut off from American states. So, sure, he can do it in a New York minute, but how would that hold up in the courts?

-Freeland knows where some of the bodies are buried. Trudeau is too stupid to realize that. He may come to regret the way Freeland has been treated. 

-No one believes the numbers coming from the Hamas Health Ministry. But they quite deliberately went with them anyway. Right, CBC?

-For Turkey, it's all about the Kurds and filling the void now that Iran has been practically emasculated. Turkey sees itself as the new leading power of influence in the Middle East.

-As for NATO, Trump's instincts are isolationist. But realpolitik will keep the United States in NATO because if Putin crosses those borders, America is in, even if it formally leaves NATO. Only the Americans can stop the Russians. No one else. 

-Reagan (and Thatcher) were not with Mulroney on South Africa. Thatcher's son had considerable business interests there. Bush on Iraq was an absolute fabrication and a bald-faced lie. 

-Expect wildcat strikes in some cities at Canada Post. It will be messy and could turn ugly.

-Who knew that the American election was necessarily all about Trudeau and his government...

-Agree with Warren. Carney must be insane to want to have anything to do with the HMCS Justin Trudeau Titanic.






Saturday, 14 December 2024

Warren Says Ford Is Captain Canada.

Well, not really. Ford is quite obviously by leaps and bounds the most authentic politician in Canada. With Ford, what you see is definitely what you get. Ford has the guts to take Trump on which very few if any other premiers are prepared to do. So, Ford gets a gold star for that. He stands up to Trump while others cower or pretend to be Trump's friend and ally.

But, photo-ops and mano-mano rhetoric are what they are. It isn't substantive or even productive. Let's get real here. Ford and everyone else can do zip if Trump brings in any form of tariff against Canada. Ford isn't prime minister and his playground isn't called Ottawa. So again, great showboating but entirely meaningless in the overall scheme of things. 

However, in a progressive conservative turned conservative universe, Ford didn't hurt himself generally by blasting Trump. He certainly isn't Captain Canada now but he may have plans to become Captain Canada later. If he's a man with a federal plan, he did himself more good than bad with what he said about Trump. But sorry Warren, Captain Canada he ain't.

Trump Is Going To Lower The Cost Of Groceries...Yeah, Right.

Every special interest in DC is by far at least Republican and likely MAGA. They, along with everyone else are sucking up to Trump to either protect or expand their unique special interest. It's that total perversion of democracy known as crony capitalism and it will see new heights under the second Trump Administration.

There is but one certainty in American politics: to gauge the sheer gullibility level of the American people knows no bounds. Trump is a captive of special interests not to mention the millionaire, billionaire and trillionaire class. Hi Elon!

So, it's beyond laughable to think that Trump will actually spend one minute on measures that supposedly will reduce the cost of groceries. Not happening, ever. This one is a real chestnut. The only one better is that old classic from Trump: MEXICO is going to pay for the wall! How did that one turn out for you? A monumental joke, pretty much like Trump himself.


QLP: Pablo's incredibly great challenge.

Pablo is caught in a dilemma: he has the momentum in the QLP leadership race, but the tide is clearly not always incoming. According to several Léger polls, a plurality of QLP supporters are looking for another leader with the race officially beginning next month.

Rodriguez has the support of just 28% of Liberal voters, compared with 49% who are searching for another candidate.  Looking at all voters, Pablo has the support of twenty-five percent while fifty-six percent of voters want an undetermined candidate to lead the party.

That's why Rodriguez talks about future endorsements; he knows full well that L'Équipe Pablo's momentum is certainly not growing. It's more like a plateau with the solid backing of only a third of the party. Not exactly impressive, and definitely not spectacular.

And there's more. If there were a general election in Quebec today, the PQ would get thirty-three percent of the vote, while the QLP with Pablo as leader would pick up only twenty-six percent. That's still much better than the CAQ, which is far behind with fifteen percent.

It definitely was a major error in political strategy to enter this race without first having the solid support of at least fifty percent of Liberal voters. In short, Rodriguez must resign himself to this disappointing political reality, which no doubt will be very difficult to swallow.

PLQ : L'incroyable grand défi de Pablo.

Pablo est pris dans un dilemme : il a le momentum dans la course à la chefferie du PLQ, mais la marée est clairement partagée. Selon plusieurs sondages Léger, une pluralité de sympathisants du PLQ cherchent un autre chef, alors que la course débutera officiellement le mois prochain.

Rodriguez n'a l'appui que de 28 % des électeurs libéraux, comparativement à 49 % qui cherchent un autre candidat.  Si l'on considère l'ensemble des électeurs, Pablo obtient un chiffre de vingt-cinq pour cent et cinquante-six pour cent des électeurs souhaitent qu'un candidat non spécifié prenne la tête du parti.

C'est pourquoi Rodriguez parle de soutien futur, car il sait très bien que la dynamique de Team Pablo n'est certainement pas en train de croître. Il s'agit plutôt d'un plateau avec le soutien solide d'un tiers du parti. Pas vraiment impressionnant, et encore moins spectaculaire.

Et ce n'est pas tout. S'il y avait une élection générale au Québec aujourd'hui, le PQ obtiendrait trente-trois pour cent des voix, alors que le PLQ avec Pablo comme chef aurait vingt-six pour cent. C'est toujours beaucoup mieux que la CAQ, qui est loin derrière avec quinze pour cent.

C'était certainement une erreur majeure de stratégie politique que de se lancer dans cette course sans avoir au préalable l'appui solide d'au moins cinquante pour cent des électeurs libéraux. Bref, Rodriguez devra se résigner à cette réalité politique décevante, qui sera sans doute très difficile à avaler. 

Thursday, 12 December 2024

Trump Tariffs: Let the POS Cut His Own Throat.

I don't want to call Trump a moron. That would overestimate his intelligence. So, just let the old bastard bring in tariffs across the board against Canada and other countries. This idiot will prompt a massive inflationary spiral which will hurt MAGA and pretty much everyone else. And you know what that means: an incredible swing toward the Democrats in the midterms but don't try to explain that to president-elect DumbDumbTM. 

However, the loss of USMCA (CUSMA) wouldn't be a disaster, just like when NAFTA went extinct. Remember that domestic congressional legislation on trade, tariffs, countervailing, anti-dumping, and assorted other items is supreme. It has a primacy in American law and allows Congress to bypass or overrule USMCA or WTO dispute settlement panel decisions. In short, it is what it is, and it's already gaming the system against America's trade partners. 


Monday, 9 December 2024

Pablo: Two New Endorsements.

Pablo has just received the support of two MNAs, Caron and Setlakwe. These new endorsements are coming slowly but surely. Rodriguez reminds us that there will be more. Obviously.

 

Pablo: Deux nouveaux appuis.

Pablo vient de recevoir le soutien de deux députées, Caron et Setlakwe. Ce sont des nouveaux appuis qui viennent tranquillement mais sûrement. Rodriguez nous rappelle qu'il en aura d'autres. Évidemment.








Sunday, 8 December 2024

KinsellaCast 339.

Warren,

-One would suppose it's in the strategic interest of the incoming Syrian coalition not to have an enemy mentality vis-à-vis Israel. Normalisation of relations with Israel is not only in the Saudi interest but also in Syria's.

-Neither Warren nor John are right or wrong. The lesson of "President" Harris was instructive. Poilièvre likely will win big but never say never. Again, Kamala taught us that. Trudeau can still win again, at least theoretically, but it would take both a miracle and an unprecedented earthquake in politics. 

-Netanyahu has started bombing chemical weapon facilities, ammunition dumps and other installations. Incredibly, that guy can do no wrong in advancing his own political career as prime minister. He even moved into the buffer zone. Masterful political strategy. Watch his polls start to improve dramatically.

-I wish we could police the internet adequately for minors rather than taking away their rights but practically speaking, I wonder if that can be done effectively and consistently.

-Trump WANTS universal global tariffs and that's what we'll get, with Trudeau, Poilièvre or anyone else as our leader. Like always, Trudeau has no plan. Probably the only thing he has in common with Trump...

Saturday, 7 December 2024

House: Can You Say 217-215?

Thanks to Trump, three newly elected members are about to be gone, two to fill Trump Administration posts. So dipshit Johnson is in for a lot of fun -- technically, the Republicans won't be in the majority but neither will the Democrats unless they pick up some votes or someone drops dead or resigns. 

Revenge is sweet and often comes in small doses. Trump is about to find that out in the House. What an idiot...sooner or later, expect Jeffries to outmanoeuver Johnson. It's coming, probably when Johnson and MAGA least expect it. 

Notre-Dame: No Smiles From Trump.

Trump gave away the game at Notre-Dame. The president-elect looked like he'd rather be anywhere than with Macron and more particularly, Zelenskyy. Trump can feel the boom coming down, one that will not allow him as president to abandon Ukraine. Macron basically shoved Zelenskyy down Trump's throat. It was a masterful piece of statecraft from a guy already on the ropes.

So, ending the Ukraine war on Day One is now toast. Ukraine is the only thing between Putin's Russia and attacks on NATO territory. Everyone knows that, even Trump. If Ukraine or Georgia falls, the Baltics and Poland will be next. Thanks to Medvedev and Lavrov, the game plan is crystal clear. It's either hold the line in Ukraine or directly deal with Russian forces on NATO front lines. Trump isn't happy about it but the Ukraine decision is no longer his to make. Realpolitik has dawned on Trump, whether he's prepared to admit it. Ukraine cannot and will not fall.   

Wednesday, 4 December 2024

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

Pablo Rodriguez entrusts former minister Martin Coiteux with a task force on the economy.

Finally, Pablo is on the right track. To my knowledge, the other candidates don't have a task force.

Pablo Rodriguez confie à l'ancien ministre Martin Coiteux un groupe de travail sur l'économie.

Enfin, Pablo est sur la bonne voie. À ma connaissance, les autres candidats n'ont pas de groupe de travail.

Jagmeet Is Such A Twerp.

Singh won't support the next Conservative non-confidence motion when it comes up for a vote next Monday. A shock to...no one...

It seems that Pierre wants nevertheless to have serial non-confidence motions on every future opposition day. My response: why bother?

Shouldn't we instead be attacking the Trudeau Liberals at every possible opportunity rather than resorting to this waste of time? Get Jagmeet and the NDP on the record on Monday and then move on.

Monday, 2 December 2024

Thanks, Joe. NOW, Trump Will Get All His Nominees Confirmed...

Well, I oppose at least four of Trump's nominees. But now, after Biden pardoned Hunter, no Republican senators will lift a finger to block any of his nominees.

Thanks, Joe.

Sunday, 1 December 2024

Biden Pardons Hunter.

Shameful. Once again, Biden breaks his word. I didn't agree when Kuschner was pardoned by Trump nor did I agree with some of Clinton's pardons so at least I'm being consistent. 

I always expected this. It was my view that Hunter was manipulating everyone and this proves me right.

KinsellaCast 338.

Warren,

-Poilièvre has surrendered to his better angels, with the help of his wife. He is now a mainstream Conservative and that's why the party is consistently ahead in the polls. Pierre is now the logical alternative and likely future prime minister. He did the necessary work to evolve as a person and soon will reap those political rewards. 

-I would love to see Mraz as a future Global Affairs minister. I can dream, can't I?

-Demon seeds are never a goner. Were Putin to drop dead, the ever-hawkish Medvedev is the likely choice as successor. He's no longer the man he was when dealing with Obama. In other words, he ain't faking it. 

-Trudeau without a plan? It's not like he ever has done that before...

-Trump is like every other president -- bent on fucking us. They've been unjustifiably screwing us for decades. We won in every NAFTA and other panel on softwood and they still screwed us continually with protectionist congressional legislation. 

-My RSV paid vaccine is in two weeks. A week later it will be my free COVID-19 booster and flu shot.