CPC: Pierre Needs To Stay On.

More likely seats than last time and good gains in Ontario. Caucus needs to line up behind the leader.

Yes!

The luckiest people on Earth are those who love Politics. Nothing else even comes close. What a rush, even when we fight and lose.

Election 2025.

Conservatives: 157

Liberals: 150

Bloc: 25

New Democrats: 10

Greens: 1

Calibre Mining Shareholders Should Vote Against The Merger With Equinox Gold.

The revised offer of 0.35 of an Equinox share is only a ten percent premium. I don't know if it's more skimpy or insulting. Glad I sold my Calibre shares a while back. Still hold Equinox.

Élections 2025 : Blanchet se moque des Québécois qui ont voté non.

Le problème avec Blanchet, c'est qu'il est incapable de se regarder dans le miroir pour voir la triste réalité du Bloc. C'est grâce à son leadership que les appuis du BQ sont fragiles et s'évaporent. On peut le voir dans ses conclusions que le Bloc est susceptible de remporter trente-cinq sièges.

Au lieu de reconnaître cette réalité politique, le chef s'en prend au Canada, et au Canada anglais en particulier. Selon lui, en supposant que Carney formera vraisemblablement le prochain gouvernement, il croit que cette réalité créera un vent de changement en faveur du Bloc. Il est optimiste. C'est le moins que l'on puisse dire de ce qu'il dit.

Si le Canada est un pays artificiel, comme il l'a dit, pourquoi de nombreux électeurs québécois préfèrent-ils les libéraux aux bloquistes ? Il semble y avoir un certain attachement à ce pays. C'est pourquoi les souverainistes ont perdu deux référendums. Le Canada est loin d'être parfait, mais il semble convenir à au moins une majorité de Québécois qui se rendent aux urnes. Blanchet pourrait bien en avoir la preuve lundi prochain.

Blanchet Is Panicking.

Not good. The Liberals must be thrilled. Bloc support must not be rebounding as much as Blanchet was counting on. Oh, well.

Election 2025: This Post Is Thanks To Douglas W.

Douglas pointed out that the Liberals have become nasty and surly. Now, that rang one of my bells. Can you say internal Liberal polls?

Just imagine if the Thursday through Friday internal polls, coupled with the weekend ones, are showing either considerable softening in Liberal support or, more likely, the bottom falling out in Liberal support as the Carney train starts to go off the rails. That would be something unexpected as it is. Most pundits and prognosticators are singing from the Liberal majority hymnbook, with a few predicting only a Liberal minority.

Almost no one is expecting a Conservative government of any kind. Imagine if conventional wisdom is wrong. I'm with Douglas, the ground is shifting in the final days. My best guess is an out-of-right-field CPC minority. 

So This Is A CHANGE Election!

They say everyone loves change. But as always, change is in the eye of the beholder. Ask yourself what Canadians want: do they approve of the Trudeau government, now headed by a political rookie, or do they want drastic change- a breath of fresh air?

Let's start with the polls: they're either mostly consistently accurate or totally off the mark. One side will say that they're telegraphing at least a Liberal government, while the other will claim they're a reflection of the Harris polls, almost all wrong. Some argue that long lines during advanced polling favoured the Liberals, while a counter-claim points out that the crowds were really there in droves in search of fundamental change.

What I'm pondering is how the Conservatives apparently lost almost a thirty-point lead. At first, I was inclined to think that tons of Liberals had parked their vote with the CPC while Trudeau remained LPC leader. But we're talking thirty points here. Upon reflection, it seems unlikely that most of those people were Liberals. As a result, that would suggest that Conservative numbers are being underpolled. If I'm right, we could see a result on election night that will be surprising. Could it be a shocker? I hope so.

Advanced Polls: From Ford To A Federal Election.

Advanced polls: I have no idea what is really going on. When Ford got re-elected, only six percent of Ontarians voted before election day, and Ford was returned with one less seat than he had before. Same thing happened in Nova Scotia last year, where advanced poll voting dropped while Houston increased his majority.

So, what's happening now? There's a lot of grey hair, but solid voter turnout among other groups. Is this a vote for incumbency or one for radical change? Your guess is as good as mine.

Le Bloc: Roll Those Carney Liberals!

If the Bloc kicks the Carney Liberals' ass, no one in Quebec will be happier than me. That's exactly what those hypocritical POS deserve. This was the most incompetent and corrupt government in modern Canadian history, with relatives and friends of ministers on the take ad infinitum. So, they deserve to get their butt kicked and royally rolled in the election.

Blanchet is on Tout le monde en parle tonight. He's smart to be following all of the other leaders. In short, he should be able to tie a bow around the Quebec vote tonight. I expect him to perform masterfully. How does that go again? The enemy of my enemy is my friend! Works for me.

Election 2024: Ours Is The Job To Earn The Win And We Will.

It's as simple as that, going into the last week of the campaign. Focus like a laser beam and destroy Carney politically with his words and actions. That's how we'll win.

Elections: It's What You See Not What You Say That Wins Elections.

Visuals win elections. A leader can spout reams of information about an opponent and his party, but nothing rams it home better and concentrates minds more effectively than cutting visuals. You need to catch the other guy in unflattering or arrogant situations, and if it's done right, you'll have plenty of film or tape to back you up. That's how elections are won. 

Liaison, Mainstreet And Nanos.

Two of these polls are dead wrong. Let's get that out there right away. 

Liaison reflects conventional wisdom: Liberals comfortably ahead with New Democrats in single digits. In short, it reflects the majority of other recent polls.

For its part, Mainstreet has two back-to-back polls that show the Conservatives in front. It shows a large Liberal drop but no corresponding New Democrat gain. They remain below ten percent. 

And then there's Nanos, which has the LPC leading but with the NDP in double digits. What?

All I can say is that the coming week's polls should be interesting, or perhaps transformative? Who knows.

Carney Proves He's An Arrogant POS.

Remember, I told you this before.

Ha, ha, ha, plastic straws. Hilarious.

What a disingenuous asshole. Carney is another average Liberal who feels automatically entitled to be in office. He expects Canadians to vote Liberal because it's their due. Voters are supposed to keep these incompetents in power no matter what. The Liberals are owed power.

Carney is playing voters for fools, but hey, that's OK, given that Trudeau did exactly that since 2015. Why ditch a winning formula?

Harper Ad.

Now, that's more like it. Having Harper there, contrasting the abilities of the two men who worked for him. Now that's strategic heft. Hopefully, it will be enough to turn the tide.

Advanced Polls: It's Mostly Wall-To-Wall Geezers And Dames.

We all KNOW what that means...

The Great Economic Magician Has Released His Platform.

In short, more spending and no plan on when to balance the budget. Oh yeah, this guy is really a strong economic manager. Carney is at least as incompetent as Trudeau was. Spend, spend, spend, as if there were no tomorrow. Totally irresponsible. 

Course à la direction du PLQ.

J'ai fait mon choix. Par conséquent, à partir de maintenant, je ne serai plus une source fiable sur cette campagne en ce qui concerne mon niveau d'impartialité. Par conséquent, je ne commenterai plus la course sur ce blog.

The Advanced Polls.

When people truly want a change election, they cause a déluge during the advanced polls. That means that Elections Canada has trouble coping and that starts from the moment the polls open until the last moment when they close on each voting day.

What we're seeing so far are lineups that are large but come in spurts. That vote is almost all people who have a vested interest in an incumbent outcome. Translation: the Liberals gave them something, and Carney is their vote, so they can keep it. It's not complicated: if the latter pattern holds, the Liberals will be in like Flynn...

I'm Washing My Hands Of This Campaign.

It was bad enough watching the Ontario PCs undermining our campaign, but to see the leader at this late stage of the campaign still doing things to sink us further... no, thank you. I'm out.

Why The CPC Is Now Guaranteed To Lose.

FORD.

Poilièvre.

April 28, 2025: When A Picture Is Worth A Thousand Words.

From: BlogTO

As Expected: NDP And Bloc Support Firming Up. Ten Days To Go.

It's not a given that Carney can win a majority. Heading in the direction of a horse race. Maybe just maybe, Pierre can eke out a minority with Bloc support. Wouldn't that be ironic?

French Debate: A Draw.

Silver lining for Carney: he didn't blow himself out of the water in his second language.

I'm Consistent: Against The Emergencies Act And Using The NC In Criminal Law.

This is a matter for judges and lawyers, not politicians.

Why Don't You Ask Carney When Gould Will Be Joining Cabinet?

In short, not in this lifetime. Gould committed the cardinal sin of wiping the debates' floor with Carney and showed him up to be for all to see exactly who he is: in way over his head and clueless when it comes to retail politics and relations with the press. This guy is lazy as hell and it shows in spades. Watch this bozo take election day off.

I guess strong and competent team rivals just isn't his thing.

Buttongate: Now You Know How Low The Carney Liberals Will Go To Win.

Typical fucking scumbags whose tactics are as always: whatever it takes to win...

Carney Takes A Third Day Off During An Election Campaign.

This guy is playing Canadians and especially voters for S-U-C-K-E-R-S...

The other leaders are out daily trying to earn your vote, but not MisterEstablishmentTM.

Do you really want this guy spending your tax dollars but doing as little as possible to earn his keep? What would happen to you in your job if you took it as unseriously as Carney does? Exactly.

What a disgrace.

Carney Goofs Off And Takes It For Granted That The Liberals Will Win.

That's why Carney is making minimal campaign efforts in this campaign. Name me one more politician who leads a party that takes two days off in a row right smack in the middle of an election. Like Carney said, his main priority is to spend most of his time in service to his family, not Canadians...so why exactly is this guy our prime minister?

MAID: Advanced Directives Are Crucial. The CPC Is Wrong.

My late mother suffered from both Alzheimer's and Vascular Dementia. Despite constant visits from family and friends, her last two years were a miserable existence: her life consisted of a bed and a chair. When COVID hit, we could no longer visit her. The Senior's Residence only relented days before her death. And by then, thanks to the loss of mental stimulation by family, caregivers and friends, the two dementias had shut down her brain, and she could no longer speak. 

Wouldn't wish that on my worst enemy. Poilièvre needs to understand that. His position is wrong.

Carney: An Arrogant Bastard. Nail Him To The Wall In CPC Commercials.

Why does this have to come from me? In short, clueless Byrne couldn't come up with this in a month of Sundays.

Carney's Kryptonite: His Net Worth And How He Made His Money.

It doesn't take a genius, or even a mediocre political strategist, to know the obvious: Carney's Achilles' Heel is his carefully concealed net worth and how that wealth was generated. Carney has gone out of his way to keep that private until he has to. If or when he becomes an elected MP. That speaks volumes: it tells you that he intends to divulge only what is legally strictly necessary.

My hunch is that there's gold in them dar hills: the CPC needs to get the Forbes report on Carney's net worth and how he made his money. And then Pierre has to hammer the results home until election night. It also goes without saying that for this strategy to have its maximum effect, Pierre has to be as financially transparent as one would expect Carney to be once his hand is forced in that direction.

This is about the biggest no-brainer in politics. But so far, the CPC has done nothing material to shed light on Carney's finances and why evasion is his preferred modus operandi. As previously stated, it confirms that CPC political strategists are not worth two-shits. And sigh, Byrne is still there. No wonder, so far we've mastered the art of losing.  

Blackburn voit un vide et se lance dans la course à la direction du PLQ.

On vous rappellera que la quasi-totalité des députés du PLQ avaient déjà choisi d'autres candidats, mais en réalité leur soutien pourrait être fongible. On l'a déjà vu une fois dans cette course. Cependant, les anciens ministres, députés et organisateurs, ceux qui étaient présents lorsque le Parti libéral du Québec était au pouvoir, ont encore quelque chose à dire. Beaucoup d'entre eux ont estimé que les autres candidats manquaient d'expérience ou de qualité. C'est sans doute cette réalité qui se cache derrière la récente réflexion de Blackburn. C'est tard dans la course, mais il est enfin dans le coup. 

Auparavant, on avait parlé d'un effet Rodriguez. Reste à savoir si Blackburn a encore le sens politique pour faire des vagues transformatrices en si peu de temps. À suivre.

CUSMA: Pierre Needs To Find Several International Trade Specialists Fast.

It's all about the art of the deal. A CPC government would have to draft proposals that Trump is unlikely to refuse. I don't see international trade or trade law experts on the Conservative benches. 

Pierre wants to save CUSMA (USMCA) and renegotiate it early. Trump wants to kill it by taking unrealistic and unacceptable positions that no self-respecting sovereign country can possibly agree to. As a result, the CPC should already be preparing position papers on all aspects of the trade agreement with specific proposals on possible modifications. We must get ahead of the curve and make Trump an offer that the United States Chamber of Commerce can't and won't refuse. Get the business lobby on board preemptively, and that should box Trump in. Otherwise, it's only a matter of time before CUSMA expires.

Mulroney Endorses Pierre.

Let's call it strategic pre-positioning. How ironic it will be when Mulroney gets to run against her boss. Eventually. Most of the party won't support either one of them, but at least she has the guts to try. The day the leadership becomes vacant, I'll be supporting MacKay. No surprise there. Eventually. 

As Trump Fades As The Number One Issue, The Real Deal Comes To The Fore: Leader Likability.

Here it is in a nutshell: CPC support is huge and growing. That's why the crowds are mostly record crowds in English Canada. LPC support has increased among Liberals, but their crowds vary in size. The NDP is almost on its deathbed with support rapidly dropping. My bet is that they will lose party status and Jagmeet will suddenly find himself unemployed.

But here's the get real moment: Progressive women are abandoning the New Democrats in droves and moving to the Liberals to block the Conservatives, and if that trend holds, which I expect it will, the CPC will not be able to form government. Much of the Canadian left wants nothing to do with us, and that's why we're still losing in this campaign. 

If Canada Has To Die So Be It.

Look, let's cut through all the bullshit. Western Canada is pissed off and unhappy in this federation and they largely want things their way. They want to choose the next government but likely won't get their wish because Canada exists to serve the interests of Ontario. People think that Quebec is happy and well served by federalism but we ain't. Canada is a status quo vehicle and that's the Ontario vision and dream for Canada -- no reform or rocking the boat. In short, perpetuating a situation where Ontario remains the dominant player in this country.

So...if the Carney Liberals win, which they will, then The West needs to go, period. What's the point of them staying? It would be best under such a scenario if they formed their own country because being the 51st state would amount to being a nothing-burger under Trump. Just another number like say Rhode Island. 

Democracy reigns in this country and for at least a decade or more Ontario will continue to call the national tune. As a result, if Western alienation is now at its peak, then shut the fuck up and stop whining about it à la Trump. Put your money where your clout is and finally do something about it. Just go and be done with it.

The CPC Fifth Column.

I'm up at 5:00 A.M. and not because I want to be. I woke from a semi-sound sleep with treachery on the brain. I simply can't believe that any purported supporter of the CPC could quite deliberately do an end run around our leader for the express purpose of guaranteeing that he loses the election. These wolves in sheep's clothing pretend that their mostly anonymous comments in the press are nothing more than constructive criticism aimed at shoring up the CPC campaign before it's too late. My ass. 

We all know what this is about and it's too cute by half -- it's a deliberately orchestrated campaign to sink the party and its leader. 

These people want us to lose and no doubt hoped we would lose from the get-go. They have a party takeover in mind right after the election with an ultimate aim of positioning and installing their guy as the overall favourite for CPC leader.

The leader's political corpse isn't even cold yet but that's of no importance to them. They prefer to strike while the going is good and strike they have.

And to my astonishment, the leader is refusing to do the one thing which ironically could save his political hide in this election. It's time for us to recognize that by his deliberate conduct, the leader has consigned the party to an almost inevitable defeat. In short, he's played right into their hands!

For Conservatives that means forgetting about winning and concentrate the mind going forward on blocking the cabal's future leadership candidate. Every party member must say No to this duplicitous conduct and deliberate undermining of our campaign and leader. Truly constructive criticism in an election is one thing, aimed at improving the party's chances in a campaign. But gas lighting party members and the public solely for the purpose of advancing the objectives of a future leadership candidate is something else altogether. Most people would call it political treason and abject betrayal.