Kory.

Has Kory really gone to the barricades, or is that out there just because PP loyalists want it to be? Let's face facts: if Kory really wanted to go full throttle, he would, and the results would be spectacular. It would be nothing less than done and dusted. So, I have my doubts.

But if I'm wrong, then comes the elephant in the room question: is Kory on his own or is he fronting for someone else, maybe Ford, or perhaps another hidden hand?

So, I guess it's for each of you to call it. You all know how I feel about Pierre, so I definitely won't be hanging myself in the attic, to quote a late, still somewhat lamented PM.

Warsh.

If you ever doubted that there was no innate intelligence on Wall Street, Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair only confirms that the market is a know-nothing when it comes to Fed policy and pretty much anything else. The market consensus is that the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting to combat ticking up inflation. Wrong! The gremlins at the Fed have already monkeyed with how core inflation is calculated. Magically, inflation is suddenly no longer above three percent. Now, it's at two percent and even the dumbest imbecile on Wall Street should know what that means: a rate cut and a return to QE. Of course, they won't call it that but QE it will be. Watch gold and silver take off and quickly head to the moon as soon as that happens. Blithering idiots!

Trump actually told Warsh to be "independent." Yeah, right. We all know that if the Fed dared to raise rates that Trump would publicly be on Warsh like white on rice. So, fasten your seat belts. It's going to be at least a bumpy ride straight to economic distress. Nice going, guys.

UPDATE: Natural Resources Portfolio.

These are great times, what with the first of likely three 50% drawdowns in our sector over a ten-to thirteen-year bull trend. (Check out the last two bull markets.) While so many are selling, or shitting their pants, I'm buying.

Lavras Gold: 584%

Greenheart Gold: 465%

Thor Explorations: 377%

Maple Gold Mines: 315%

Cavvy Energy: 274%

Troilus Mining: 257%

Discovery Silver: 248%

Edge Copper: 199%

Integra Resources: 192%

Cordoba Minerals: 187%

Stardust Metal: 183%

Shamaran Petroleum: 178%

White Gold: 151%

1911 Gold: 147%

Metals Creek Resources: 137%

Vox Royalty: 133%

Reconnaissance Energy Africa: 132%

Metalla Royalty: 124%

Atomic Eagle: 123%

Elemental Royalty: 122%

Coppernico Metals: 121%

Sprott Physical Uranium: 120%

SPC Nickel: 120%

Triple Flag Precious Metals: 115%

Orogen Royalties: 98%

Homeland Nickel: 91%

Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas: 91%

Paladin Energy: 84%

Equinox Gold: 80%

Excellon Resources: 77%

Stillwater Critical Minerals: 77%

Guanajuato Silver: 76%

Churchill Resources: 76%

ICG Silver & Gold: 74%

Mundoro Capital: 70%

Talon Metals: 66%

Empress Royalty: 65%

Generation Mining: 62%

Bannerman Energy: 55%

+*SSC Security Services: 55%

Cartier Resources: 53%

Buffalo Potash: 49%

Silver Tiger Metals: 48%

Silver One Resources: 47%

Minera Alamos: 46%

B2 Gold: 42%

Orecap Invest: 39%

*Arc Resources: 38%

Source Rock Royalties: 37%

Sable Resources: 35%

Galleon Gold: 35%

Strathcona Resources: 33%

RTG Mining: 33%

Scottie Resources: 31%

Meren Energy: 26%

Sanu Gold: 25%

BTU Metals: 23%

Gran Tierra Energy: 22%

Nexgold Mining: 22%

Suncor Energy: 18%

Versamat Royalties: 17%

Alphamin Resources: 14%

Cascadia Minerals: 13%

Euro Sun Mining: 12%

Hot Chili: 12%

Elysee Development: 11%

Wallbridge Mining: 11%

*Frontera Energy: 9%

And as usual, plenty and I mean plenty of stinkers too. Do your own homework before buying!

Trump: I Guess Interviews Really Aren't His Thing.

I mean, Trump did so well on 60 Minutes with Norah O'Donnell and again on Meet the Press with Kristen Welker. Those revealing interviews pretty much speak for themselves, I thought. I can't wait for his next interview on ABC, CNN or MS Now.

Go get 'em, tiger! LOL.

UK: Get Behind Burnham If You Want To Stop Farage.

It's that simple: Reform UK has thirty percent of the vote tied up. Labour and the Conservatives each have twenty percent, but momentum in centre-right circles still swings in Reform's direction. Translation: only Burnham can give Farage a decent run for his money next time. Sure, the election is three years away, but keeping Reform out is supposed to be the name of the game.

Meanwhile, a recent Survation Makerfield poll has Burnham ahead of Kenyon by ten points:  49-39%. So it ain't rocket science. Burham gives Labour a fighting chance in the next election. Starmer, not at all. Starmer has an unfavourability rating ranging from -48 to -57 percent. In addition, 70 to 75 percent of Britons view him unfavourably. 

To put it in a Canadian context we already know so well, Starmer and Poilièvre are dicks. They're only hanging on for personal gain, and each of them puts the party last instead of first. At least Starmer is in office while our Canadian jerk can do no better than Official Opposition leader. Speaks volumes.

But in the end, both contests will be about sitting MPs in Parliament. Labour will almost undoubtedly give Starmer the heave-ho, no matter his insistence on remaining as PM. As for the Canadian Conservatives, the governing Liberals are at 50 percent in one recent poll. You all know what that means in the next snap Canadian federal election. Our Conservative clown is already toast. He should be gone as party leader in late fall. The voters will do for Conservative MPs what they so far refused to do themselves. Either way, next fall will be a great time for me: PP will be gone.

Alberta: Why I Backed Smith On The Referendum.

From: Ipsos.

Only two-in-ten Albertans plan to vote in favour of holding a future separation vote in the October 19^th referendum

Limited and Declining Support for Separation in Alberta | Ipsos

You couldn't exactly call me a UCP supporter or sympathizer. However, I recognized that Smith probably knew the pulse of Albertans one hell of a lot better than most other people, including some Albertans. It was a gamble, but for now, it seems to be paying off.

For this to continue, Carney and his ministers have to keep their traps shut about the Clarity Act and 50% + 1. If they foolishly go there, I expect support for separatism to rise substantially in waves. So, shut the fuck up at least until the vote is counted. 

Maine: Platner.

I don't know about you, but I'm scared shitless. Is this enough to turn it around for Collins? I hope not. She was not the moral compass I expected, especially in the Trump years. Think the court. I'll leave it at that.

PLQ : La loi 96 et la clause dérogatoire…

À la suite de la réunion du Conseil général, tenue à Sherbrooke, il est apparu encore plus clairement que la question qui préoccupe le plus les Québécois est celle de la protection et de la promotion de la langue française. En effet, c’est, pour le moins, la caractéristique déterminante non seulement de notre communauté, mais aussi de la société québécoise dans son ensemble.

En anglais, on parle de « test décisif » – c'est-à-dire la question clé qui permettra à un parti d'arriver au pouvoir lors des prochaines élections et sans doute, le défi crucial pour les libéraux en ce qui concerne leur crédibilité électorale auprès de la majorité francophone. Tout tournera autour de la loi 96 et de l’application de la clause dérogatoire. C’est une question sur laquelle le chef est personnellement d’accord, mais au sein du caucus parlementaire, il manque de soutien. Quelle surprise. Milliard a récemment dû faire marche arrière publiquement en modifiant ses propos aux médias. Un futur gouvernement libéral présentera des amendements à cette loi, et quant à la clause dérogatoire, on verra bien. En bref, sans un engagement solennel de conserver la clause dérogatoire, le parti risque de perdre la faveur des Québécois « purs et durs » lors des élections d’octobre. Telle est la triste réalité.

Le PLQ prévoit de dévoiler sa politique linguistique et culturelle dans les deux prochaines semaines, et son chef semble déjà satisfait du résultat. Tant mieux pour lui. Cependant, Milliard est pleinement conscient qu’il ne doit laisser aucune marge de manœuvre aux autres partis d’opposition pour discréditer le chef libéral et son parti. 

Milliard nous rappelle que le PLQ est le parti de l’économie et que ce sera le thème central des prochaines élections. Il sait qu’une fois la campagne électorale lancée, il est très rare qu’un parti la termine sur les mêmes enjeux qu’au début. Et les prochaines élections ne feront pas exception. Le nationalisme, ainsi que la protection de la langue et de la culture, devrait dominer le paysage politique dès l’automne prochain.

Il se peut que la majorité des Québécois accepte un retour au libre choix dans l’enseignement supérieur et la formation des adultes, compte tenu du contexte économique nord-américain, mais le PLQ risque de trébucher s’il va plus loin que cela dans le domaine de l’éducation. 

Enfin, le parti commet une erreur stratégique en mettant particulièrement l’accent sur la question fédéraliste-souverainiste. Tout le monde connaît déjà les couleurs du PLQ. Très, très peu d’électeurs francophones voteront pour notre parti qui considère que cette question est la principale raison pour laquelle ils votent pour les libéraux.

Il est plutôt ironique que le chef du parti soit issu d’un milieu nationaliste et qu’il ait un instinct naturel pour protéger et promouvoir le français, quelles que soient les mesures que cela implique, alors que certains de son groupe parlementaire ne partagent pas tout à fait cette perception. C’est là le principal défi auquel sont confrontés Millard et la politique de son parti en matière de protection du français. Si Millard prend les rênes de son caucus parlementaire, il renforcera sa crédibilité personnelle et celle du parti. Si la division reste à l’ordre du jour, notre parti ne sortira pas vainqueur des prochaines élections. Sur la question du français, le chef et la grande majorité du caucus doivent adopter une position ferme sur les principales préoccupations des Québécois en matière de langue et de culture. Millard ne doit surtout pas laisser passer cette occasion avec la communauté « pure laine », mais en fin de compte, c’est à lui seul qu’il reviendra de déterminer si le PLQ est suffisamment en position de force pour remporter les élections en octobre prochain.

Léger : No Surprise There. - Aucunement surpris.

LPC/PLC: 50%

CPC/PCC: 34%

NDP/NPD: 6%

BQ: 6%

GPC/PVC: 3%

Today Is Happy Leave Pierre Poilièvre Alone Day!

Done.

Nanos Research.

Liberals: 40

Conservatives: 33

New Democrats: 13

Bloc Québécois: 7

Greens: 5

Liaison Strategies.

LPC: 41

CPC: 32

NDP:16

BQ: 6

GPC: 2

Trump Realizes That Netanyahu Turned Him Into A Chump.

From: Axios.

• 
  
  

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photos: Joe Raedle, Kenny Holston/Pool, and the U.S. Navy via Getty Images

President Trump lashed out at Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over Israel's escalation in Lebanon in an expletive-laden call on Monday, two U.S. officials and a third source briefed on the call told Axios.

Why it matters: Earlier on Monday, Iran threatened to abandon the negotiations with the U.S. over Israel's actions in Lebanon. On the call, Trump called Netanyahu "crazy" and accused him of ingratitude, according to two of the sources. He also put the brakes on Israel's plan to strike Beirut.

Behind the scenes: One U.S. official said Trump told Netanyahu that following through on his threats to bomb the Lebanese capital would further isolate Israel around the world.

• Two of the sources said Trump claimed he'd helped keep Netanyahu out of jail — a reference to his support during Netanyahu's corruption trial.
• Summarizing Trump's remarks to Netanyahu, the U.S. official said: "You're fucking crazy. You'd be in prison if it weren't for me. I'm saving your ass. Everybody hates you now. Everybody hates Israel because of this."
• A second source briefed on the call said Trump was "pissed" and at one point yelled at Netanyahu: "What the fuck are you doing?"

Fréchette : Les libéraux ne font que jouer la comédie.

L'examen des crédits budgétaires en commission parlementaire a démontré que la première ministre, tout comme son prédécesseur, ne maîtrisait pas particulièrement le sujet. Fréchette a pu nous donner le ratio dette/PIB en pourcentage, qui s'élève à 39 %. Elle a rétorqué que la dette avait diminué ces derniers temps. Quant au chiffre actuel, il s’élève à 259 milliards de dollars selon les libéraux. De plus, elle ignorait l’augmentation de la taxe sur les primes d’assurance automobile et d'habitation, qui entrera en vigueur le 1er janvier prochain. Le taux de la taxe sera de 9,975 %.

Ce n’est pas ce genre de spectacle qui redonnera aux libéraux leur gloire d’antan. Pour ma part, je constate que le PLQ n’apparaît pas régulièrement sur les ondes pour promouvoir son programme économique, encore moins pour discuter de son plan visant à renforcer l’État laïque ainsi que la protection, la promotion et l’épanouissement de la langue française.

Les libéraux ont beaucoup de terrain à regagner auprès des Québécois francophones. À mon avis, il est déjà tout à fait clair qu’ils devraient concentrer leurs efforts sur cet objectif plutôt que de marquer des points politiques insignifiants en commission parlementaire. Tout cela manque de sérieux, et c’est là le véritable problème pour Milliard. Et le temps presse.

Comme on dit en anglais, «it’s time to get with the program».

Mulroney: Take Her At Her Word.

Grief and sudden life changes come in many forms. I know a little bit about that myself. So, when Caroline Mulroney recently announced that she'll be leaving Ontario politics and the Ford government, I wasn't a bit surprised. Losing a close relative, coupled with children growing up and leaving the nest, is reason enough for taking a personal pause that will allow her to find herself again and strengthen family bonds, albeit in a different context. Having the time to get to know oneself again is always a worthwhile endeavour. She has earned this time to focus on herself and her loved ones as she makes this life transition.

However, no question that further down the road she could return to active politics, and should she do so, she will be a force to be reckoned with. No one really knows if she wants to serve as prime minister, but if that is her ultimate ambition, she is bound to be more than qualified should she win the leadership of her party. One day, the CPC leadership will be vacant, and our party could do a lot worse than choosing Mulroney as leader. The next leadership race is bound to be a crowded affair. I expect Mulroney to finish in the top two, either as leader or runner-up. But all of that is for another day. Sometimes you choose politics, and other times it chooses you. May her future be filled with happy surprises. 

Why Alberta Is Likely The Next Quebec.

This federation is, in essence, a de facto unitary state where the federal center truly cares only about what affects Ontario's economy. That's 2026 Canada. The federal constituency and provincial center have no genuine interest in what other regions want.  Proof of that came from English Canada, which happily derailed both Meech Lake and Charlottetown -- and then everyone went back to sleep, having given Quebec the finger. And to my great surprise, separatism did not tick up in the intervening years in this province.

So, the watchword for Alberta is the following: your requests for at least more say regarding national resources decisions, increased representation in Parliament, both in the House and Senate and other things on the AB shopping list are likely dead on arrival. The rest of Canada will treat Alberta with the same indifference and disdain that we in Quebec got during the Mulroney years, as constitutional reform went down the drain. 

Unlike a plurality of Canadians, I'm firmly in the worried camp. Quebecers folded when it came to pursuing sovereignty because they silently chose Canadian federalism, seemingly as the lesser of two evils. Not so sure that Albertans will reach the same conclusion if push comes to shove regarding provincial aspirations both at home and in Ottawa. 

If projections are accurate, thirty to thirty-five percent of Albertans are already in favour of independence; it would perhaps be advisable for negotiators not to follow the model imposed on Quebec. People largely take this country for granted. They shouldn't. 

Canadian indifference and an unjust distribution of powers are the main reasons why Canadian unity remains threatened to this very day. Never say never. Quebec choked in the wake of its constitutional humiliation. Doubt that Albertans will do the same if the Carney Liberals don't honour their commitments. Canada and its constituent parts broke their word last time. Don't be surprised if it happens again, but with dramatically different results. An eventual invitation from Trump to join the United States is in the offing. It will arrive once the end result of an actual referendum is known. Albertans finally have all the cards when it comes to their constitutional, political, and collective destiny. Address Alberta's grievances with alacrity, unlike what happened with Quebec, and preferably do it yesterday. Will Canada rise to the occasion? If the past is prologue, I seriously doubt it.

TheUndertakerTM Chickens Out On 50% +1.

And this guy is supposed to be a great leader who puts, above all else, the democratic expression of Canadians first. He's nothing more than a phoney, saying one day that he will campaign for Canada in Alberta while refusing to respect the theoretical democratic will of the people called to render a verdict on their continued participation in this country. 

I call him TheUndertakerTM because that is exactly who he is: a guy put on the Conservative Party's path to ruin our chances of forming government and burying us in the next election. And bury us he will do in the upcoming fall federal election. 

Pallas Data.

LPC: 45%

CPC: 32%

NDP: 11%

BQ: 7%

GPC: 3%

Nanos.

Liberals: 41%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 13%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 5%

Québec : Sondage Mainstreet Research.

PLQ : 30,5 %

CAQ : 24,6 %

PQ : 22,6 %

Fréchette : +24,1 %

Milliard : +2,8 %

SPP : -6,3 %

Liaison Strategies: Different Numbers But Plus ça change...

LPC: 43%

CPC: 31%

NDP:11%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 2%

Thanks, TheUndertakerTM. More Of The Same.

I'll bet TheUnderTakerTM really luvs Abacus Data now! LOL.

Liberals: 47%

Conservatives: 35%

New Democrats: 8%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%

Highest proportion of people since 2017 say Canada is on the right track: poll

Great going, Pierre! Can you finally take a hint? Maybe not, so caucus will have to help you.

From The Canadian Press:

Highest proportion of people since 2017 say Canada is on the right track: poll – Brandon Sun

TheUndertakerTM: Doing All He Can To Sink The Conservative Party of Canada...

Pierre is such an imbecile: his latest is to come out against the recent CRTC decision to triple the revenue stream that American technology, media and entertainment giants must pay to fund Canadian content. He is demanding that Carney overrule the CRTC. He says this is a consumer tax and will lead to American retaliation and further job losses in this country. 

Let's enlighten this dummkopf point by point, given that he's incapable of seeing the big picture on his own: Canadians may not be breaking down doors to stream Canadian cultural content, but they want that content to be available and appropriately funded. Talk about obvious to all except for You-Know-Who...

Secondly, our trade negotiations haven't been true negotiations for months. Trump's position is out-and-out blackmail and bullying, his way or the highway. He wants this decision gone, along with supply management, Chinese EVs and provincial liquor bans. In short, he expects Canada to cave across-the-board just to get a one-sided deal that will favour the Americans. Well, fuck him! So, in the end, it will be NO DEAL, which is one hell of a lot better than a deal that's lopsided in favour of the Americans.

In addition, our moron of a leader hasn't got a clue how perception works: the moment the CPC sides, even indirectly, with the biggest American tech giants, the more the party is perceived as being enthusiastically in the bag for the Trump Administration. PP, Trump's hand maiden. And that'll be great for the Liberals when the election rolls around in the fall. Talk about clueless. Sink this idiot now before it's too late. 

So I remind caucus again that their job is to tan his hide before the voters get the asses of fifty of our MPs. Either he goes, or almost all of you do in the next election. 

Québec : Je peux vous dire avec une certitude absolue qui remportera les prochaines élections.

Les passionnés de politique et les partisans inconditionnels sont enthousiastes et pleins d’énergie à l’approche de la prochaine campagne électorale, prévue pour le 5 octobre. Quelles que soient nos allégeances politiques, nous attendons ce moment avec beaucoup d’impatience et de ferveur.

Pour ceux qui ont pris le temps de sonder leur famille et leurs amis, trois noms reviennent sans cesse : le PQ, la CAQ et le PLQ. Mais le choix entre ces partis ne sera pas le véritable enjeu. En effet, la campagne de la peur sera la seule gagnante des prochaines élections. Ceux qui seront le parti le plus apte à maîtriser et à manipuler cet outil sortiront vainqueurs sur toute la ligne.

Une première campagne de peur portera sur deux thèmes : la langue française et la préservation d’une société laïque. Cet enjeu sera le principal cri de ralliement du PQ, mais il sera également débattu par les autres partis. Si cette question demeure la principale préoccupation des Québécois, la voie sera alors ouverte au PQ.

Il va sans dire qu’une autre campagne de peur sera centrée sur la souveraineté. Cet effort psychologique sera la suite logique des campagnes du « non » de 1980 et de 1995. Elle portera principalement sur la situation économique et le niveau de vie de la population. 

En somme, pour chaque Québécois, ce sera un combat personnel entre le cœur et la raison. Pour ma part, je prévois avec tristesse et un certain regret que les considérations économiques l'emporteront, et si cela se produit, ce sera uniquement à l'avantage du PLQ. En substance, les fantômes de 1775 prendront le dessus sur les réalités de la vie moderne.

Le destin d’une nation devrait toujours reposer sur les idéaux, les rêves et les aspirations d’un peuple. Mais au Québec, à deux reprises déjà, la population a choisi de ne pas s’engager sur la voie de l’histoire. La peur suivra son cours habituel. Il est désormais évident que cette option particulière n’est pas, de nos jours, et ne peut pas dans le futur servir de bonne voie pour déterminer le destin d’un pays et d’une collectivité.

Helping Out The National Post.

[Fred] "DeLorey said Poilièvre must work out precisely why the party lost another election [our third in a row if we don't count Harper's loss in 2015] and what needs to be done differently before voters go to the polls again."

We lost because no one likes Pierre. What needs to be done differently? Get a new leader to at least have a fighting chance in next fall's election. 

Why Canada Has Trouble Coming Out White In The Wash.

Few use the term confederation to describe our political structure these days, especially given that economic might rests principally in two jurisdictions: Ontario and Alberta. In point of fact, this economic and political arrangement is indeed a federation, one in which economic jealousy is far more powerful than political resentment. Much noise is made about so-called Laurentian elites, read Quebec, dominating our federation, but in economic terms, nothing could be further from the truth. 

At its most raw, separatism is a pocketbook issue where an argument is made that economic reality can be vastly improved by going it alone. Those who choose to be the most candid and realistic are forced to acknowledge that, for most of our history, Canada's interests have equated with Ontario's interests. The green-eyed monster lives and thrives with each announcement adding to the economic importance of that citadel on a hill otherwise known as Toronto. The urge to go solo stems from there. 

A concrete and pointed example can be found in the recent decision taken where Canada will host the multilateral Defence, Security and Resilience Bank (DSRB) and guess what, the traditional divides and cleavages are alive and well as Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia battle it out for the nod. Lucky Carney. No matter how you slice and dice this one, it won't end well for the federal government.

Ain't federalism just grand! More resentment and unending bickering ahead. 

The Master Plan: The Fix Is Already In.

Can you say Brookfield Infrastructure Partners? I'm shocked.

TheUndertakerTM Is Going To Go Out There And Fight For Canada.

Now we know that the country is really doomed. He'll do as good a job with this file as he did in the last election. God help us.

Trump Really Loves And Respects Women!

Kristi Noem

Pam Bondi

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Tulsi Gabbard

Trump's really showing us who he is, as if we didn't already know it. 

Both Starmer and Poilièvre Will Be Brutally Removed.

These two are bona fide idiots: in Starmer's case, it's particularly galling given the fact that over sixty percent of Labour members want him out! And so he will inevitably be removed with gusto by the party. In Poilièvre's case, he's already gone crazy: he actually tells people with a straight face that he's the future prime minister. Ha, ha, ha, what a fucking joke. This guy is completely delusional. He will use any excuse, real or imagined, to hang on. So far, our caucus is nothing but a bunch of cowards. I don't call him TheUndertakerTM for nothing, given that politically he's precisely that. If he leads us into the fall election, our party will get royally creamed. So, for me, it will be a delayed nirvana rather than an immediate gratification. In either case, Pierre will be gone for good, and I, for one, will celebrate with a bottle of champagne. That's what I like about being me: I either win now and he leaves, or I win this fall when he loses his second election and then finally goes. He won't be truly missed by anyone. Well, maybe by Byrne! LOL.

Québec : Hésitation.

Sondage Léger :

PQ : 30%

PLQ : 28%

CAQ : 22%

PCQ : 11%

QS : 8%

Rien n'est acquis.

UK: Pressure Is Building For Starmer To Go.

He can't hold out much longer. After all, at least sixty percent of Labour members want him to go now. He is weighing his options and likely will announce his decision this weekend. Translation: he will resign once he finds a face-saving fig leaf. He has no choice if Labour wants to be competitive against Reform UK because right now, Reform will win the next election hands down, and Farage will become the next PM.

Nanos: More Of The Same.

LPC: 42%

CPC: 33%

NDP: 12%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 4%

Léger : Meilleur premier ministre.

Ne sait pas/Refus : 29 %

SPP : 22 %

Fréchette : 20 %

Milliard : 15 %

Duhaime : 8 %

Ghazal : 5 %

UK: Labour Members' YouGov Poll.

Burnham: 59%

Starmer: 37%

Liaison: No Surprise To Anyone.

TheUndertakerTM needs to start praying fervently. 

Liberals: 43%

Conservatives: 34%

New Democrats: 11%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%

Politique québécoise : le triple dilemme qui confronte les politiciens.

Commençons par la plainte déposée par le PQ auprès du Directeur général des élections concernant l’élection partielle d'Arthabasca : il est allégué que le PCQ aurait dépassé le plafond de dépenses autorisé lors de cette campagne. De plus, il semble que les factures payées par le PCQ n’auraient pas été réglées à la juste valeur des services fournis. Il en va de même pour la location d’un local de campagne dans la circonscription pour la campagne d’Éric Duhaime. Le prix du marché pour l’achat du livre du chef du PCQ est également contesté. Il apparaît que les exemplaires du livre distribués gratuitement lors du porte-à-porte ont été achetés à prix réduit. Enfin, on allègue que des heures supplémentaires ont été payées lors de cette élection complémentaire sans preuve écrite suffisante permettant de justifier le paiement de telles sommes. Pour sa part,  Duhaime rétorque qu’il a sollicité au préalable l’avis du DGE concernant l’achat des livres et que tout le reste, en ce qui concerne les diverses allégations du PQ, a été effectué conformément aux règles et obligations de la Loi électorale. 

Quant au PQ et au PLQ, leurs dilemmes respectifs sont liés à l'appui des partis selon les sondages. Prenons, par exemple, le dernier sondage Synopsis : il place les deux partis au coude à coude avec 30 % de soutien chacun. La CAQ suit avec 18 %, et le PCQ tire derrière à 13 %, cinq points devant QS.

Les libéraux sont confrontés à deux problèmes : d’une part, le faible niveau de soutien parmi les francophones, d’autre part, la concentration extrême de leur vote dans la région du Grand Montréal. C’est pourquoi des changements dans la stratégie électorale s’imposent, car l’approche actuelle de Milliard est loin d’être acceptable pour renverser la tendance, étant donné que les résidents des régions pure laine considèrent le PLQ avec un mélange de méfiance et d’indifférence en tant qu’institution, en ce qui concerne les politiques linguistiques, éducatives et culturelles du parti. En bref, Milliard ne fait pas suffisamment d’efforts dans ces trois domaines qui demeurent cruciaux pour l’électorat québécois. Quant au PQ, son problème à deux tranchants est lié au référendum sur la souveraineté, une initiative impopulaire auprès du public. L’autre faiblesse concerne le style personnel du chef, à la fois trop dogmatique, franc et inflexible sur les questions politiques. En effet, ce dernier facteur est perçu comme un signal d’alarme par la plupart des électeurs. 

Dans un monde politique idéal, le choix serait « aucun des candidats ci-dessus ». Mais la triste réalité de la situation obligera les gens à choisir le parti le moins mauvais de tous, pour former le prochain gouvernement. Pour l’instant, le vent qui souffle en diminuant, tel qu’il se présente, reste favorable au PQ. Nous verrons si cette tendance se maintient le soir des élections.

UK: Starmer Looks Done To Me.

It's not one man who can save Labour, so...Burnham isn't a saviour in the making. He will likely be the party's candidate in the Makerfield byelection. But Reform UK could take the riding nonetheless. 

Meanwhile, Streeting has quit cabinet. Now, will he declare and take on Starmer? I think he will.

Nanos: TheUndertakerTM Does It Again!

He can't wait to lose that fall election, and HE will in Mulroney spades!

Nanos:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 9%

Bloc Québécois: 5%

Greens: 4%

What's Good For Starmer Is Good for Poilièvre.

At least Starmer knows how to win an election...

UK: Mighty Glad My Name Isn't Starmer!

Looks like this is the end for Starmer: what a soap opera. 81 MPs are needed to trigger a leadership contest, and at this hour, they appear to have one more vote than they need. Over 90 MPs and 4 cabinet ministers have called for Starmer's resignation. 112 are backing Starmer, while another 100 want a leadership race delayed. Most significant of all is that 403 MPs have not taken a position, and that does not bode well for Starmer over the medium run.

No word yet on the meeting between Starmer and Streeting. Another interesting issue is whether Burnham will be allowed to contest a byelection, and whether he can win. Some argue that at this stage, no Labour seat is safe. Will he join Starmer's cabinet as a first step to that end?

It's a matter of timing now: will the race take place on Starmer's timetable or not? And will Streeting, Rayner, Miliband, Carns or Jones run? So far, only West is in.  

Why Is Pierre Still In His Job?

Liaison Strategies: 

Liberals: 44%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 10%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%

Research Co.:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 31%

New Democrats: 11%

Bloc Québécois: 7%

Greens: 3%

Daniel B. O'Dowd, R.I.P. (1961-2026)

Dan passed away peacefully at Saint-Sacrement Hospital today, thanks to MAID. We are so proud of him for his excellence and dedication to his profession. He was always ready to lend a helping hand to the downtrodden and those in need. He was a member of Kiwanis for many years and served as Lieutenant Governor at one point. He was also very active in the English-speaking community and, in 2015, was Grand Marshall of Quebec City's Saint Patrick's Parade.

Farewell, dear Twin, Brother and Friend. May you find happiness and peace in Heaven. 

Conservatives Supposedly "Prefer" Abacus Data and Angus Reid Institute.

I laugh heartily when fellow Conservatives go on and on all the way to boredom about the supposed skewed methodology at most polling firms. Right. Partisans and politicos are always the same: looking for a fig leaf justification that dismisses why most people can't stand them or their party. Yeah, it sure is the way methodology is done, that is, until the firms using that methodology come out with numbers showing that same party either newly or serially in the ditch. Give me a break. Mind you, I agree that methodology affects the numbers, but only at the margins. That factor alone, IMHO, is not enough to produce seriously inaccurate results. Others even argue that those two companies overpoll for the CPC. But that's a debate for another day.

And speaking of Abacus:

Liberals: 46%

Conservatives: 36%

New Democrats: 8%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 3%

Well, surprise, surprise, there goes the fall election for the CPC. The PP Effect strikes again in its usual and predictable direction...

Canadian Federalists Are Crazy!

I mean, what the fuck are they smoking when it comes to the Alberta referendum? Most commentators are taking precisely the wrong tack when it comes to the provincial plebiscite: they're arguing that a way should be found to kill it.

First off, that's a deliberate and serious violation of the conditions of democracy and representative government. Secondly, as long as Smith's conditions are met, it's got to be a go. People must be able to have their say, and the result must be respected by all sides.

And then there's the huge elephant in the room that seems to escape most so-called sophisticated political commentators. If you don't hold it as promised, support for separation will immediately tick up, likely in waves. So, collectively, give your heads a serious shake. Conservation and the continuity of Canadian federalism more than likely depend on it.

Pierre Only Cares About Himself, His Salary And Eventual Pension.

Pierre doesn't give a shit about the party or your riding. All he cares about is his job, perks and privileges. That should be obvious by now, even to the most Kool-AidTM drinking Conservative MP or member. 

He's just like his idol, Justin Trudeau: he's planning to stay on even if that means losing the next election, which is exactly what it means. Pierre is another Trudeau who thinks that by divine right of kings, he can remain leader for as long as he sees fit. Well, sorry, no. We're sick of you, just like we were of Trudeau. You're nothing more than an undertaker-looking milestone around our party's neck, and you need to go yesterday.

Let's make things clear: you know perfectly well that you don't have what it takes to win an election against Carney. You really don't. Think of the party and caucus and leave before the soon-to-be ex-MPs finally have the guts to move against you using the Reform Act. As I continually remind our MPs, just like a broken record: it's either Poilièvre's hide or it's theirs, at least as far as fifty of our elected members are concerned. Move against Pierre now or wait for the inevitable reckoning this fall when Carney pulls the plug and gets a Mulroney-sized majority. Wake up now, suckers!

Fréchette : Il ne faut pas la sous-estimer.

Les choses commencent bien ! La CAQ renaît de ses cendres sous la direction de Fréchette. Elle s’impose d’emblée dans ses nouvelles fonctions, et je dois avouer que je la trouve sympathique et qu’elle maîtrise parfaitement ses dossiers. Waouh, c’est au moins le début de ce qui s’annonce comme un retour possible en force. Les sondages nous diront ce qu’il en est au final. 

Pour les partis d’opposition, le message est très clair : méfiez-vous de son talent. Fréchette est loin d’être un symbole du déclin politique de la CAQ. Elle sera, à tout le moins, une force redoutable lors des prochaines élections. 

Milliard : Il est en train de gâcher ses chances de devenir premier ministre.

Charles,

Tu dois, à tout prix, éviter de devenir le prochain Rodriguez – un homme qui s’est révélé incapable de faire preuve d’un minimum de bon sens dans cette affaire. À l’époque, je m’étais farouchement opposé à l’expulsion de Marwah du caucus et au maintien de cette suspension sous ta gouverne. Ce fut une erreur monumentale de ta part, une qui ne doit pas se répéter lorsqu’il s’agit des grands enjeux qui préoccupent les Québécois, en particulier les « pur-laine ».

Tu conviendras avec moi que si tu n’es pas capable de convaincre la majorité des Québécois francophones que tu es prêt à te battre bec et ongles dans l’intérêt du Québec – en particulier pour défendre et promouvoir la langue, la culture et la laïcité –, alors le PLQ n’aura aucune chance de former le prochain gouvernement cet automne.

Parlons maintenant de ton caucus : ses membres n’ont qu’un rôle consultatif. Ils n’ont pas de droit de veto sur les politiques du parti ni sur le prochain programme électoral. En d’autres termes, ce n’est pas aux Anglo-Québécois ni aux communautés culturelles de déterminer les politiques du PLQ. Et pire encore, en tant que chef, ce n’est pas à toi de te plier aux décisions collectives des députés, même si ces positions sont soutenues par une majorité au sein du caucus parlementaire.

C’est toi le chef, et ce que tu dis devient la ligne du parti. Point final. Tu dois donner aux opposants les plus acharnés une raison irréfutable de retrouver confiance dans le Parti libéral du Québec. Ni ton caucus ni tes membres ne sont en mesure de relever ce défi haut la main. Tout repose sur tes épaules. En bref, si nous perdons, ce sera à cause de toi. Si nous gagnons, ce sera grâce à toi.

Deuxièmement, tu dois comprendre que si tu ne réintègres pas immédiatement Marwah au sein du caucus, c’est fini pour le PLQ dès lundi prochain. Je me fiche complètement de ce que pensent tes députés : ce n’est pas une bataille d’ego au sein d’une aile parlementaire. Il s’agit d’une décision fondée uniquement sur le rapport du commissaire à l’éthique, rien de moins. Le rapport parle de lui-même et confirme la crédibilité de Marwah.

Ton talon d’Achille demeure un manque flagrant d’expérience politique. C’est à toi de prendre les grandes décisions et à ta députation d’en débattre, sans avoir le dernier mot sur ces politiques et enjeux auxquels est confrontée la nation québécoise. Si tu comprends cela, tu seras le prochain premier ministre, mais si tu te tiens à un processus décisionnel collectif beaucoup trop influencé par les communautés anglophones et culturelles, eh bien, tu ne le seras jamais.

C’est aussi simple que cela. Réveille-toi et assume tes responsabilités individuelles avec panache. Ton destin politique en dépend. Et surtout, ne deviens pas un autre Rodriguez.

Why Pierre Should Be Crying Every Night.

In short, I'm right, and caucus is wrong. What a bunch of fools:

Abacus:

54% approve of the Carney government while 29% disapprove.

51% approve of Mark Carney, while 29% disapprove. Only a 22-point lead.

44% DISAPPROVE of Pierre Poilièvre, while 37% approve. A seven-point lead.

CBC News Alberta:

65% favourable view of Mark Carney.

54% favourable view of Pierre Poilièvre.

Even in rural AB, Carney is ahead by 1 point.

Nanos:

Liberals: 45%

Conservatives: 32%

New Democrats: 11%

Bloc québécois: 6%

Greens: 3%

Liaison:

Liberals: 45%

Conservatives: 33%

New Democrats: 9%

Bloc québécois: 6%

Greens: 2%

Carney: The Gift That Keeps On Giving for LIBERALS...

Canada’s Carney is proving to be one of the most popular politicians ever.

Canada’s Carney is proving to be one of the most popular politicians ever

With each passing day and week, Pierre's grip on our party is loosening. The cold, stark reality is finally setting in and even dawning on CPC MPs. 

He will be gone soon enough. It's now only a formality, and a matter of when.

Jivani in DC: Pick Your Scenario.

Let's start with the least controversial scenario: Jivani and several other CPC MPs went to DC to create further dialogue in hopes of reviving CUSMA negotiations, which of late appear to have stalled. So far, the lead Canadian negotiator, LeBlanc, has been largely unsuccessful in making substantive progress in trade negotiations with the Trump Administration. But this interpretation falls apart for two reasons: the obvious one is the fact that the delegation was not headed by the leader. Secondly, Pierre was caught flat-footed. He and his OLO apparently were not informed about the DC visit. 

The next possibility is the Heseltine scenario: Jivani made the trip to raise his profile and broaden his American contacts because he is biding his time but is intent on challenging Poilièvre's leadership further down the road.  I view this as unlikely given how the last Liberal leadership race went for Freeland. Put another way, he or she who strikes the first blow inevitably doesn't become the leader. Lessons learned in the Canadian context.

The last scenario means setting the stage for the arrival of a black knight who will directly take on Pierre. Under those circumstances, a potential leader like Jivani would support the current one and only join the race if Pierre failed to win on a first ballot. In short, the Major-Hurd example. 

IMHO, this isn't the last act in TheJivaniExperienceTM. It's not a second beachhead, but it ain't nothing either. Likely more to come. Stay tuned.

Léger: Oh, It's Just Eleven Points.

No party has a membership more prone to outright delusional behaviour than mine: the CPC. It's such a hoot listening to your average Conservative supporter or member game the process surrounding a snapshot in time where polls reveal almost universally that the CPC is done as dinner when it comes to winning the next election. I concede that they have a point when the argument is made that methodology is an important factor that may skew poll findings to some degree. Well, yes, but even the pollsters who saw a tighter race did not see a CPC win in April of last year. To put it in elementary terms so that the average Conservative can get it: support wasn't there to win on election night, wasn't there a second time between then and now and won't be there on the next election night. 

Back in the old days of Hollywood, they called Bette Davis box-office poison, and that moniker applies in spades now to the CPC leader. Most potential voters did not like Pierre back when, cared for him even less on election night and don't want to have anything to do with him going forward. So, there you go. 

Caucus knows what they have to do and should just get on with it. Ditch him ASAP so we can have at least a fighting chance in the fall election, which seemingly no one sees coming other than yours truly. But it is coming. 

And for the record: LPC: 48%, CPC: 37%, NDP: 6%, BQ: 6% and GP: 2%. 

First They Restructure Committees And Then...Comes The Poison Pill To Provoke A Fall Election.

Carney's Liberals are happier than a pig in shit. They have no doubt that Pierre will be around as CPC leader in the fall, and that fills them with glee, knowing that when they engineer the sudden need for an election, the opposition parties will be unable to stop it.

This Prime Minister doesn't want a bare majority -- he wants one in Mulroney territory, and polls show that the Liberals can get it this fall without breaking a sweat. So...the manufactured election will do two things: give Carney a huge majority and, in addition, rid the Conservatives of our leader. No one in this party will want Pierre to stick around after that, having lost by that point two elections in a row. You know what they say about happy but limited silver linings! 

 

Fréchette : Le parcours de Campbell est-il instructif ?

La dernière fois qu’une femme a pris la tête du gouvernement fédéral, c’était en 1993, lorsque Kim Campbell est devenue Première ministre. Au moment de son accession au pouvoir, le Parti progressiste-conservateur recueillait environ 12 % des intentions de vote. L’ère Mulroney avait causé de graves dommages. 

Après avoir été élue à la tête du parti, Campbell a rapidement gagné 7 points, avec un taux de popularité supérieur à 40 %. De plus, elle a laissé Jean Chrétien loin derrière elle, avec un taux d’approbation de 51 %. Elle devançait ainsi largement Chrétien, qui n’enregistrait que 31 % dans les sondages. 

Malgré sa popularité, Campbell n’a finalement pas réussi à traduire son soutien personnel en gains pour son gouvernement. Les libéraux ont pris la tête au cours de l’été, dépassant le PPC avec 40 %, soit une avance de 4 points.

À l'automne et pendant la campagne électorale, cet écart s'est creusé, le PLC formant un gouvernement majoritaire avec 42 % des voix, contre 16 % pour le PPC. Ce dernier, qui détenait auparavant un gouvernement majoritaire de 169 sièges, s'est retrouvé réduit à 2 sièges après les élections. En bref, Jean Charest et Elsie Wayne.

La leçon à en tirer est la suivante : même avec une forte popularité personnelle, rien ne garantit que ce soutien individuel sera à l'avantage de ton parti. Fréchette pourrait devoir faire face à ce genre de scénario, s'il venait à se produire lors des prochaines élections.

Armed Attack at the Washington DC Hilton.

Frankly, I didn't think that Trump had it in him: he behaved with class and moderation when speaking to the press once back at the White House. Three times. Simply incredible. Trump must have been born under a lucky star.

White House Correspondents' Dinner: Did the Gunman have a Plastic Gun?

Wow.

Carney's Canada-U.S. Economic Relations Advisory Committee.

This is pure gold for Carney. It reeks of bipartisanship, much to PP's dismay. Among its members are Charest, O'Toole and Raitt, formerly associated with our party, in one case nominally. 

And there's more: the unintentional but obvious subtext goes in two exquisite directions. It gives the middle finger to Harper and Poilièvre in spades and, even more deliciously, is an unanticipated but apparent vote of non-confidence in Pierre's leadership. So, what else is new?!

Léger : PQ 31%, PLQ 28%, CAQ 17%, PCQ 14% et QS 8%.

Le message suivant, adressé à Charles Milliard, n’a aucun lien avec le sondage Léger mentionné en titre. Bref, Charles, tu me mets vraiment en joli tabarnak ! Tout d’abord, tu dois comprendre deux choses : tu es le chef et c’est à tes députés de suivre la ligne du parti et les directives de ton cabinet. Voilà le premier point. Ce n’est pas ton rôle d’être en consultation constante avec ton caucus ni de céder à ses demandes sur les grands enjeux qui préoccupent le Québec et la population majoritaire. L’autre question concerne le niveau d’engagement actif non seulement dans la défense de la langue française, mais aussi dans son renforcement par le biais de nouvelles politiques linguistiques jugées essentielles par la grande majorité des Québécois. En d’autres termes, promouvoir le français sans en assurer le progrès et son expansion à ce niveau est inacceptable pour la plupart des électeurs francophones, qui sont les concitoyens des anglophones et des allophones. Le niveau d’engagement du PLQ doit, à tout le moins, égaler celui de la CAQ pour être crédible en tant qu’option politique sérieuse. Et j’irais même plus loin : pour remporter les prochaines élections, nous, au Parti libéral, devrons surpasser la CAQ sur la question du français, de sa protection et de son épanouissement. C’est ce qui sera en jeu lors de la prochaine campagne électorale.

Permettez-moi également de te rappeler que ce n’est pas le rôle d’un caucus parlementaire de dicter la ligne politique du parti ou la position du chef sur une question qui fait la une de l’actualité ou qui se révèle prioritaire pour le Québec à un moment donné. Si l’un de nos députés n’est pas en mesure de se rallier à la ligne politique du parti et de son chef, eh bien, il appartiendra à toi de trouver un nouveau candidat dans cette circonscription. Prends ta place, sans t'affirmer avec la timidité d’un nouveau-né. Comme on dit en anglais : this is big picture stuff, c’est une question d’ensemble, et si le chef et ses députés ne parviennent pas à rassurer le public sur leur priorité absolue qui est le français et les enjeux qui y sont liés, nous n’aurons aucune chance de former le prochain gouvernement. Les Québécois recherchent un champion. Jusqu’à présent, la population ne te considère pas comme le choix naturel. Câlice, le temps presse. Agis avant qu’il ne soit bien trop tard pour le parti. Le mois d’octobre approche à grands pas.

POILIÈVRE OUT!: Nanos Numbers State The Obvious.

Unless you've been unconscious over the last year, none of this should come as a surprise to you. The latest polls reveal one thing: this polling trend, where the CPC is down, is not recoverable for the party. Pierre is nothing more than a milestone around our necks, and as long as he stays as leader, the lower our polling numbers will go.

Nanos has the Liberals first with 46 percent, a whopping fourteen-point lead over the Conservatives. FOURTEEN points! The NDP number is rising in the wake of their leadership race and now stands at 12 percent, with the BQ polling 5 percent and the GP one point behind. 

It doesn't take a genius to draw your own conclusion. Here's mine: the LPC is holding steady while the New Democrats rise and the CPC stagnates in the low thirties. Couple that with the latest rumour coming out of Ottawa that a polling firm predicts the Conservatives could lose as many as fifty seats if an election were held today. 

So, I remind you again that it's either his ass or most of yours. Pick a lane now and come out publicly against the leader if you want this party to win the next election. Pierre is deliberately hanging on and doesn't give a shit what any of you think. Act accordingly. Dump him now.

Carney: What A Loser.

He won't even get off his ass to reply in QP and admit that he was wrong. How many times will it take before he honours us with an answer? This guy is accountable to no one in his own mind. And of course, the countless dolts will lap it all up and find a million reasons to make excuses for his behaviour. What a fucking joke but sadly, the joke is on all of us.

Sondage Léger : Le PQ en tête.

PQ : 31%

PLQ : 28%        

CAQ : 17%

PCQ : 14%

QS : 8%

Sondage Léger : Meilleur premier ministre - Québec.

PSPP :    23 %

CM :       17%

CF :        16%

ED :        11%

RG :        4%

Ne sait pas :    30%        

POILIÈVRE OUT!: We've Made A Beachhead!

Angus Reid made my day: we are now at thirty percent of past CPC voters who want Pierre out. When it comes to the general public, sixty percent view him unfavourably while forty-five percent blame him for pushing people away [out] of his party. And those are the people who vote. Man, this is great. 

Time is Pierre's most powerful enemy. It will continue to move the numbers against his leadership. We will get him out. It's only a matter of a few months. Each floor-crosser was a vote of non-confidence in the leader. Let's wait and see if there will be any more.

58% of past CPC voters stand by Poilievre’s long-term leadership, but increasing numbers say he should go - Angus Reid Institute

POILIÈVRE OUT!: Now You Know Why Only A Handful Of CPC MPs Defended Pierre.

Most of the caucus is angry and frustrated. What party in its right mind would keep a leader who couldn't even win his own seat, a seat he held for TWENTY years? The writing is already on the wall. This will play out over the next three to four months, and in the end, Pierre will be gone. It will most resemble the playbook used against Trudeau: one MP, then a trickle, followed by a half-dozen and finally one-third to one-half of caucus. Once we hit that mark, no one will be able to save Pierre's leadership. He'll be done as dinner. Hopefully, by then, he'll have put his ego in check and have the decency and humility to just go. But I won't be holding my breath waiting for him to leave. So, keep pushing and with each passing week, push harder!

POILIÈVRE OUT!: Nanos Breaks Down The Real Issue Pertaining To Pierre's Leadership.

© Nanos Research.

Preferred PM

52%▼2Carney25%▲2Poilievre14%Don't know4%▲1Lewis3%Blanchet2%May

Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-04-10

PLQ : Sondage Pallas.

Ah, on voit ici se dessiner le début d'une tendance où le PLQ est en tête, mais cette fois avec trois points d’avance sur le PQ. Ce dernier n’obtient que 29 % des intentions de vote. Le PCQ et la CAQ sont au coude à coude à 14 %, tandis que QS est à la traîne avec 11 %.

Avant tout, il est dans la nature même des libéraux de prendre le pouvoir, quel qu’en soit le coût ou l’impact préalable sur leur coalition. Traduction : ce n’est qu’une question de temps avant que Milliard ne se retourne contre les communautés anglophones et culturelles. Peu importe si les anglos sont déjà en révolte au sein du parti, la réplique dans la langue de Shakespeare sera « so what ». 

S'il doit se contorsionner comme un bretzel pour remporter les prochaines élections, je peux vous assurer que Milliard n'y verra que du positif. Après tout, les membres minoritaires de la coalition du PLQ sont déjà pris pour acquis et, en substance, tenus en otage. Ils n'ont nulle part où aller. En bref, ils feront partie de ceux qui subiront des dommages collatéraux à la suite de la prochaine campagne électorale.

POILIÈVRE OUT!: CPC Supporters Will Start Lying To Pollsters.

Act 3

This will be the first pressure tactic used by dissident Conservatives to put pressure on Pierre to go: they will begin deliberately lying to pollsters, telling them that they intend to vote Liberal in the next election to further inflate Liberal gains in the polls. Once CPC numbers reach a negative tipping point, dissidents will have all the ammunition they need to demand that the Reform Act be dusted off.

 

POILIÈVRE OUT!: Pierre Blows The "Very Badly Educated" in Economics Schtick.

Act 2

I can picture Katy rolling her eyes: he just doesn't get it. Pierre should know by now that people are always on the lookout for a reason to dismiss both the leader and his argument, and he played right into that Liberal narrative. First off, in Comm 101, you acknowledge the Prime Minister's degrees from Harvard and Oxford. Then you explain how he's a Keynesian, and only then do you put your main arguments forward while emphasizing at the same time what Austrian economic theory professes and why it is correct in its analysis of the digitization of money and the relationship to increased inflation via what is commonly but erroneously termed "money printing." Finally, you make the case that there's a direct causal relationship between Keynesianism and beyond core inflation historical statistics. 

I imagine there's no hope that Pierrre will ever get this right...