Let's start with the polls: they're either mostly consistently accurate or totally off the mark. One side will say that they're telegraphing at least a Liberal government, while the other will claim they're a reflection of the Harris polls, almost all wrong. Some argue that long lines during advanced polling favoured the Liberals, while a counter-claim points out that the crowds were really there in droves in search of fundamental change.
What I'm pondering is how the Conservatives apparently lost almost a thirty-point lead. At first, I was inclined to think that tons of Liberals had parked their vote with the CPC while Trudeau remained LPC leader. But we're talking thirty points here. Upon reflection, it seems unlikely that most of those people were Liberals. As a result, that would suggest that Conservative numbers are being underpolled. If I'm right, we could see a result on election night that will be surprising. Could it be a shocker? I hope so.
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