Trump: Carney Is Learning His Lesson The Hard Way.

Better turn to Freeland. Fast.

Trump's Framework Free Trade Agreements Mean Nothing.

The ultimate con jobs. There are no free trade deals on paper. The UK, Vietnam, Japan and now EU deals aren't worth two-shits. They're all useless until the formal texts appear. Don't hold your breath waiting.

Eliminar la ciudadanía por nacimiento es racismo.

Vamos al grano. Trump quiere acabar con la ciudadanía por nacimiento porque Estados Unidos está en camino de convertirse en un país con mayoría no blanca en algún momento de las próximas dos décadas. Por eso Trump está presionando para que se apruebe. Es puro y simple racismo. Y punto.

La orden ejecutiva de Trump va en contra de la interpretación legal tradicional de la 14.ª Enmienda. Hasta ahora, dos jueces de tribunales de distrito han dictaminado que la orden de Trump es inconstitucional, y un tribunal de apelaciones de circuito de Estados Unidos ha hecho lo mismo. Esto sigue a una decisión del Tribunal Supremo que limita la aplicabilidad de las decisiones o mandamientos judiciales de los tribunales de distrito destinados a aplicarse en todo el país. 

La orden de Trump afecta a los hijos de inmigrantes ilegales o trabajadores temporales que nacieron en Estados Unidos. En última instancia, e inevitablemente, algunas de estas decisiones llegarán a la Suprema Corte para su resolución definitiva. Con una mayoría conservadora percibida de 6-3, será interesante ver qué decide la corte.

Removing Birthright Citizenship Is Racism.

Let's get down to brass tacks. Trump wants to end birthright citizenship because the United States is well on its way to becoming majority non-white sometime during the next two decades. That's why Trump is pushing for this. It's out and out racism. Period.

Trump's Executive Order goes against the traditional legal interpretation of the 14th Amendment. So far, two District court justices have ruled Trump's order unconstitutional, and a U.S. Circuit appeals court has done the same. This comes in the wake of a Supreme Court decision limiting the applicability of district court decisions or injunctions intended to be applied nationally. 

Trump's order affects children of illegals or temporary workers who were born in the United States. Ultimately and inevitably, some of these decisions will come before the Supreme Court for final adjudication. With a perceived 6-3 conservative majority, it will be interesting to see what the court decides. 

 

הרעב בעזה: ביבי סוף סוף נכנע.

נתניהו חש בלחץ והבין כי חוסר המעש שלו גורם לבעלי בריתו הנאמנים לפנות נגדו, ולכן נכנע. על כל אחד מאיתנו להפריד בין דעתנו על ממשלתו לבין תמיכתנו ארוכת השנים בישראל.

איש זה הגביל את הסיוע הנכנס לעזה לקבלנים וסיים את מאמצי הסיוע של האו"ם. כתוצאה מכך, מצבם של התושבים החמיר משמעותית, ואזרחים מתו מתת-תזונה. צה"ל יכול לטעון ככל שירצה שאין רעב בעזה, אבל זה שטויות. יש רעב. האם זה רעב המוני זו שאלה של פרטים, אבל זה לא העניין. אחריותה של ישראל, ותמיד הייתה, היא להבטיח שאזרחים יטופלו כראוי ויאכילו אותם באזורי הפליטים. נתניהו נכשל בכך, ויש הטוענים שהוא עשה זאת בכוונה. הם טוענים שהמשאלה הגדולה ביותר שלו היא לרוקן את עזה מאזרחים על ידי אילוץ אותם לעבור למדינות ערב השכנות. שכנותיה של ישראל לא יסכימו לכך, ולכן לביבי לא נותרה ברירה אלא לאפשר לשיירות האו"ם לחדש את אספקת הסיוע לעזה. בנוסף, צה"ל השליך מזון לעזה מהאוויר, ובכך הודה בעקיפין כי הרעב באזור הוא עובדה. נתניהו יודע כעת שהמבצע בעזה הוא עניין רחוק מלהיות שולי. ככל שצה"ל יישאר בעזה זמן רב יותר, כך המצב יהפוך לבלתי נסבל יותר הן עבור האזרחים והן עבור צה"ל.

جوع غزة: بيبي يتراجع أخيرًا.

شعر نتنياهو بالضغط وعلم أن تقاعسه عن اتخاذ أي إجراء كان يؤدي إلى انقلاب حلفائه الأوفياء ضده، لذا تراجع. علينا جميعًا أن نفصل بين رأينا في حكومته ودعمنا الطويل الأمد لإسرائيل.

لقد قيد هذا الرجل المساعدات التي تدخل غزة على المقاولين، وقلص جهود الإغاثة التي تبذلها الأمم المتحدة. ونتيجة لذلك، ازدادت معاناة الناس سوءًا، حيث مات مدنيون بسبب سوء التغذية على الأقل. يمكن للجيش الإسرائيلي أن يدعي ما يشاء بأن لا مجاعة في غزة، لكن هذا هراء. هناك مجاعة. الشيطان يكمن في التفاصيل فيما إذا كانت تشكل مجاعة جماعية، لكن هذا ليس المهم. إنها مسؤولية إسرائيل، ولطالما كانت كذلك، أن تضمن رعاية المدنيين وتغذيتهم بشكل مناسب في مناطق اللاجئين. فشل نتنياهو في القيام بذلك، ويزعم البعض أنه فعل ذلك عمداً. ويؤكدون أن أمنيته الأكبر هي إخلاء غزة من المدنيين عن طريق إجبارهم على الانتقال إلى الدول العربية المجاورة. لن تقبل دول الجوار بإسرائيل ذلك، لذا لم يكن أمام بيبي خيار سوى السماح لقوافل الأمم المتحدة باستئناف عمليات التسليم في غزة. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، قامت قوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية بإسقاط مواد غذائية جواً في غزة، وهو ما يعد اعترافاً ضمنياً بحدوث مجاعة على الأرض. يكتشف نتنياهو بهدوء أن العمليات في غزة ليست سهلة على الإطلاق. فكلما طالت مدة بقاء قوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية في غزة، زادت صعوبة الأمور على المدنيين وقوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية على حد سواء.

Gaza Starvation: Bibi Finally Blinks.

Netanyahu was feeling the heat and knew that his inaction was turning staunch allies against him, so he blinked. Each of us needs to separate our opinion of his government from our longstanding support for Israel.

This guy had restricted aid entering Gaza to contractors, having curtailed UN relief efforts. As a result, the people's hardship became much worse, with civilians dying due to at least malnutrition. The IDF can claim all it wants that there's no starvation in Gaza, but that's bullshit. There is. The devil is in the details as to whether it constitutes mass starvation, but that's beside the point. It's Israel's responsibility and always has been to ensure that civilians were properly cared for and fed in refugee areas. Netanyahu failed to do that, with some claiming he did so deliberately. They maintain that his fondest wish is to empty Gaza of civilians by forcing them to relocate to neighbouring Arab countries. Israel's neighbours will have none of that, so Bibi had no choice but to allow UN convoys to resume deliveries in Gaza. In addition, the IDF has air-dropped food in Gaza, so that is a tacit admission that starvation was occurring on the ground. Netanyahu is quietly discovering that operations in Gaza are already far from a piece of cake. The longer the IDF stays in Gaza, the more intractable things will become for both civilians and the IDF alike. 

Epstein.

If Trump pardons Maxwell, he will be finished politically. It's that simple.

He should also be praying that his remaining three and a half years pass as slowly as possible...

CPC: When You Continually Grouse About Something It Means That You Feel Threatened By It.

And so it goes when it comes to the Battle River-Crowfoot by-election, which will take place next month. The leader is repeatedly complaining about the long ballot as undemocratic and is writing to the government to propose a bill to outlaw it. Ha, ha, ha. This guy is totally intimidated by it and probably thinks that the other candidates could siphon off so many votes that his win will look like a ridiculous and underachieving outcome. 

We all know how things go in Alberta CPC circles: wins come in north of seventy percent, with some MPs getting over eighty percent of the vote. That won't happen with this leader. Even in AB, people are sick of his face and the fact that he's nothing more than a tired career politician. Add to that a personality that leaves people indifferent, if not hostile, to the leader. The only warm feelings this guy generates are in the shower.

So, watch that number and see if it comes in even below Joe Clark territory. I'm predicting a win with thirty-five percent of the vote, as a lot of the protest vote scatters across the spectrum. Nothing below seventy percent will be good for his continued leadership. This is a weak leader who gets intimidated easily and then whines about it. He's nothing like Harper, and it shows. 

Stay tuned because fun times are ahead. Will he still be party leader after the byelection? I think so. But what about after the review? It will depend on his number and where Carney sits in the polls. If the Liberals break out between now and then, our leader will be gone shortly after the review number is announced. Carney must pray every night for the leader to stay in place. Can't say that I blame him. LOL.

Gaza: The Palestinian State Off Ramp Will Happen But Not Peace In Gaza.

Macron and other proponents have it ass-backwards. They argue that recognizing a Palestinian state in September at the UN General Assembly will lead to a ceasefire and the return of Israeli and other hostages. Wrong. Trump agrees with this except for the Palestinian state part, but everyone is full of shit. 

There won't and can't be a permanent ceasefire in Gaza because that would mean returning all hostages to Israel, and the Hamas terrorists can't lose their life preserver. They need to keep some hostages forever, or until they die, otherwise Netanyahu goes full-bore against Hamas to kill every single Hamas fighter and then run the organization into the ground. Hamas knows this only too well, so a genuine, comprehensive ceasefire will never happen. Bibi can kill every Hamas member, but you can't kill an idea, however loathsome it is. Hamas will eventually reconstitute and regroup under new leadership and with scores of new young fighters. So, so much for that, Netanyahu.

My objection to a Palestinian state is one of timing. What kind of message does this send to the families of twelve hundred dead Israelis and other Jews? It's simply monstrous to go ahead with statehood now. However, any intellectually honest person knows that one day a Palestinian state will become inevitable. But, its territory has to be based solely on the West Bank. 

So, like it or not, and definitely, Netanyahu is raging, the domino theory will make it happen. It's kind of ironic that the same thing resulted in Western governments recognizing Jerusalem as Israel's capital, after Trump got the ball rolling. 

France will go first, followed by the United Kingdom, Australia and Canada. It's nuts in the current geopolitical context, but hey, what can I say?

Free Trade: Trump's Bullshit Is Going Full Tilt.

Now, Trump is playing bad cop himself, saying there probably won't be a trade deal with Canada. English translation: he expects Carney to cave 100%. Carney won't do that, so in the end, it will be no deal, which in reality is the last thing that Trump really wants. Good going, moron. Par for the course, Trump.

Carney Ain't All Bad.

He's sort of like Harper, a guy who listened only rarely to what I proposed. But I did get three out of Harper: automobile bailouts, then ministers of state and changes to the national war memorial. Carney, so far, only one: the Council of the Federation. I've been advocating for this for ages, arguing that it should be at least one annual meeting with the Prime Minister. Genius Trudeau, of course, or should I say Telford, knew better than I did. Right.

Politicians Who Did Not Block Our Individual Free Speech Rights.

Fortunately, for Canadians, the partial list is long:

Clark

Chrétien

Martin

Harper

Trudeau

Scheer

O'Toole

Carney

2025: Your Natural Resources Stock Portfolio.

I'm twenty-five percent beta and the rest alpha. But as Rick would say, don't confuse a bull market with brains and a self-induced delusional stock-picking genius. My TFSA is now at +126%, having enjoyed at least on paper two previous gains of +500%, in 2018 and 2020. Guess who did not sell both times. LOL.

Meanwhile, the RRSP is the clear laggard: still at -12%, having previously risen to +47% in both 2018 and 2020. The Cash Account is currently at a modest +7%, while it gained +20% in 2016, +29% the next year, +82% in 2021.

So, the moral of this story is to start out with the best of the best producers and royalty/streaming companies to build your initial nest egg. Then go with people who are serial money makers over multiple decades and countries. Next, move down the quality trail and buy the highest quality intermediates, developers and explorers that you can find. If you do the work, you can't help but be well rewarded. As an example, I sat on Shamaran Petroleum, a Lundin vehicle, for five years before it finally started to move. I'm up in two accounts +294% and +142% respectively. Still holding every single share.

Trump: Doing Everything He Can To Send Bolsonaro To Jail.

The American moron is back, cancelling visas for Brazilian Supreme Court members and demanding that Bolsonaro's trial be halted. What an idiot. As Lula pointed out, the judicial system is independent of the government. He stated that the Executive would not interfere in Bolsonaro's trial.

Meanwhile, federal police raided Bolsonaro's home and party offices, claiming he was obstructing justice and planning to flee the country. Bolsonaro vehemently denies this, arguing that the trial is nothing more than a sham and an attempt to permanently bar him from holding political office. 

Ironically, Trump's continued intervention in Brazilian politics and its legal system is hurting Bolsonaro more than helping him. It has not gone unnoticed that the American president is fighting more vigorously for Bolsonaro than the former president himself.

It is no surprise that, given this reality, the federal police have concluded that Bolsonaro poses a flight risk, likely to the United States, where he would receive, at the very least, refuge, if not asylum. That is why Bolsonaro now wears an electronic ankle cuff.

If Trump had any sense, he would leave Bolsonaro's defence to his lawyers. He is only harming Bolsonaro's case with his constant interference in Brazilian judicial affairs. Bolsonaro needs to tell Trump to stay out of it. If only that were possible. With an ally like Trump, who needs sworn enemies...

Trump: Fazendo tudo o que pode para mandar Bolsonaro para a prisão.

O idiota americano está de volta, cancelando vistos para membros do Supremo Tribunal Federal e exigindo que o julgamento de Bolsonaro seja encerrado. Que idiota. Como Lula apontou, o sistema judicial é independente do governo. Ele afirmou que o Executivo não interferiria no julgamento de Bolsonaro.

Enquanto isso, a polícia federal invadiu a casa e os escritórios do partido de Bolsonaro, alegando que ele estava obstruindo a justiça e planejando fugir do país. Bolsonaro nega veementemente, argumentando que o julgamento não passa de uma farsa e uma tentativa de impedi-lo permanentemente de exercer cargos políticos.

Ironicamente, a intervenção contínua de Trump na política brasileira e em seu sistema jurídico está prejudicando Bolsonaro mais do que ajudando-o. Não passou despercebido que o presidente americano está lutando mais vigorosamente por Bolsonaro do que o próprio ex-presidente.

Não é surpresa que, diante dessa realidade, a polícia federal tenha concluído que Bolsonaro representa um risco de fuga, provavelmente para os Estados Unidos, onde receberia, no mínimo, refúgio, se não asilo. É por isso que Bolsonaro agora usa uma tornozeleira eletrônica.

Se Trump tivesse bom senso, deixaria a defesa de Bolsonaro a cargo de seus advogados. Ele só está prejudicando o caso de Bolsonaro com sua constante interferência nos assuntos judiciais brasileiros. Bolsonaro precisa dizer a Trump para ficar fora disso. Se ao menos isso fosse possível. Com um aliado como Trump, quem precisa de inimigos jurados...

It's An Honour Being Able To Write For You.

Thanks so much to my readers. I hope to keep things interesting going forward. LOL.

Is Poilièvre In Joe Clark Territory?

These are grand times for dissidents. Haven't had this much fun since we tried to dump Harper in 2005. Those were good days!

Last time, we took down O'Toole with help from none other than SaintByrneTM, and now we're going to work hard to exile Byrne, whose company remains on the CPC payroll, and to give the leader the heave-ho. The leader is laughing at us by keeping her around. No surprise there. After all, he always has the right answers.

It warms my heart to hear about the fighting in the OLO: a majority of his advisers, such as they are, favour proceeding as scheduled with the leadership review vote next January, but a significant minority are adamantly against that, fearing that the leader is in Clark territory, namely sixty-seven percent. The latter regard that type of result as insufficient for the leader to carry on and argue that the vote should be put off to the fall of 2026, thereby giving them time to shore up support in the interim. 

Even to the untrained eye, that suggests his support is soft and shrinking. Just like Canadians and, to some extent, CPC supporters, many of his aides sense that there's a growing sentiment among people that they're tired of his face and want to move on to someone else who's not a career politician. 

So, in the final analysis, the leader can take his poison as scheduled or likely ingest a far greater dose at a later date. Those are his only choices. 

As for the byelection, you won't see him get anywhere near eighty-two percent. Not a chance in hell of that happening. Expect voter turnout to be underwhelming. His share of the vote should come in around thirty-five percent of those cast. He's running in Alberta because his inner circle didn't want to take the risk of running in Ontario. They concluded that a loss there would finish him off. Watch the result in Battle River - Crowfoot. It could indeed spell the beginning of the end. 

Do We Really Prefer To Lose Than Vote PC?

Are we really that stupid? Would we really prefer a Smith as our leader rather than a Ford, a MacKay or a Mulroney?

The problem with this party is that post-Harper, our penchant has been for losers: Scheer, O'Toole and now this ridiculous clown who is hanging on to the leadership for dear life as if his leadership could provide anything significant in the future. Unpacking diplomatic language, this guy didn't and won't win even if his life depended on it. Voters and Canadians are sick of his face. So, he can byelection his way back into the Commons but it will be all for naught. His high water mark was in the last election, not the next one. Liberals are praying that he stays. Conservatives need to ask him to leave: the byelection results won't be bad. They'll be a disaster. Just wait and see. It's all rapidly downhill going forward if this guy stays as our leader. At least the Liberals are having a good laugh.

CPC: Our Leader.

I had sworn to myself, and to fellow party members, that I would not take the fight to the leader, this time. But the ongoing campaign to prevent me from expressing my opinion changed all that. They asked for it, repeatedly, and now they will get it with relish.

I will gladly front for those who demand and expect a change in party leader. Those are Conservatives who are exclusively concerned with winning, not cementing in place an inadequate leader who is far from well-suited to the task at hand.

This group of Conservatives is not a group of losers. Like the Liberals, we believe that winning is the ONLY thing that matters politically. And so we shall endeavour to effect top-to-bottom change in the leadership. Either we succeed, or the CPC is already condemned to successive defeat in future elections. Winning is all about the man or woman who leads the party. Clearly, our leader is not up to the job. A plurality of voters have already spoken unequivocally, especially in his own riding. He needs to move on, or if necessary, help to move on. I will do what I can with that in mind.

Texas Flash Floods Are The Beginning Of The End For Trump.

In four letters: FEMA. Trump is already done and dusted.

CPC: Caucus, Senators, Members and Supporters Largely Don't Get It.

Centre-right, especially with a progressive bent, often wins elections. The CPC was never founded as centre-right. It was always in no-man's land somewhere vaguely between centre-right and Bernier's far-right. When people soured on Martin, Harper was given a chance and then won two more elections. However, as soon as Harper finally got a majority, he blew it by moving further right than at least a plurality of voters were willing to accept. 

The leader understands none of this, and it shows. All that CBC and anti-woke garbage are not serious political issues. They're right-wing-wet-dream-useless-distractions. People heard that come out of his mouth and often concluded that he's some kind of ideological litmus-test nutcase. It didn't sound as if it reflected common Canadian values. You know, inclusion,  acceptance, not exclusion or disdain. 

So, that's why the leader lost and likely will continue losing. But your average Conservative MP, Senator, supporter and voter are fine with it. Too bad that. In short, we're stuck with him. 

Brasil: MoronTrumpTM mais uma vez escolhe um lado.

O fascista americano interferiu na política brasileira e criticou a decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal de ordenar que o ex-presidente Bolsonaro e outros fossem julgados por uma suposta tentativa de golpe para permanecer no poder em 2022. A próxima eleição no Brasil está marcada para 2026, e Bolsonaro está constitucionalmente impedido de concorrer novamente até 2030. Uma segunda decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal levou à proibição de sua candidatura em 2026.

Trump impôs tarifas de 50%, e o presidente Lula indicou que o Brasil imporá suas próprias tarifas na mesma proporção. O Brasil é um dos poucos países onde os Estados Unidos têm superávit comercial, então a medida de Trump é amplamente interpretada como um tiro no próprio pé.

Alguns argumentam que as tarifas de Trump tinham como objetivo fortalecer a posição política de Bolsonaro, enquanto outros argumentam que o apoio ativo de Trump só fará com que a popularidade de Bolsonaro diminua ainda mais. De acordo com relatos, pelo menos metade dos brasileiros tem uma opinião negativa do ex-presidente. Diante desse fato, não será surpresa se o candidato presidencial de direita no próximo ano for, no fim das contas, alguém que não seja Bolsonaro. Apesar da impopularidade de Lula, se ele jogar a carta do nacionalismo, isso poderá reviver sua sorte política e lhe dar uma vantagem nas eleições do próximo ano. Observe o tamanho das multidões. No momento, minha aposta é na esquerda.

Musk Hard At Work.

Job One: The America Party.

Job Two: A Constitutional amendment to modify Article Two, Section 1, clause 5.

Texas Flash Flooding Disaster: Trump Hard At Work As Usual Creating Misery For Everyone.

The TrumpMoronsTM don't get it: you can't cut essential services just so your billionaire friends can get the biggest tax cuts in American history while the deficit balloons to the highest level ever. It was Trump who cut NOAA's budget and decimated future FEMA funding, largely transferring that responsibility to the states. And it's those same cowards who are running away from responsibility for this tragedy, so much so that their minions dash out of the room at press conferences when the media try to pin the tail on the responsible donkeys. Typically MAGA. Nutcases have come up with conspiracy theories to try and somehow blame third parties who don't serve in The Trump White House. Think MTG and other assorted idiots. 

Meanwhile, the President with no soul still has much more work to do. Now he's cutting Medicaid, which largely will affect rural America, which more often than not votes both Republican and MAGA. Will MAGA supporters roll over, like they do in Congress, or will they come out fighting politically? Don't bet the farm on it. 

Moore Is Wrong, Axworthy Is Right.

None of us is in the room, but that is entirely irrelevant given Trump's abnormal psychological profile. Trump, in the room or otherwise, is out to ROLL US and every other trade partner across the globe. The sociopath wants the United States to win while all other international trade partners lose big. End of story.

Trump = The Ultimate Moron...

Yeah, right. He's going to take a look at deporting Musk, you know, an American citizen. Brain dead oaf with three and a half more years to royally screw everything up.