Tuesday, 22 July 2025

Politicians Who Did Not Block Our Individual Free Speech Rights.

Fortunately, for Canadians, the partial list is long:

Clark

Chrétien

Martin

Harper

Trudeau

Scheer

O'Toole

Carney

Saturday, 19 July 2025

2025: Your Natural Resources Stock Portfolio.

I'm twenty-five percent beta and the rest alpha. But as Rick would say, don't confuse a bull market with brains and a self-induced delusional stock-picking genius. My TFSA is now at +126%, having enjoyed at least on paper two previous gains of +500%, in 2018 and 2020. Guess who did not sell both times. LOL.

Meanwhile, the RRSP is the clear laggard: still at -12%, having previously risen to +47% in both 2018 and 2020. The Cash Account is currently at a modest +7%, while it gained +20% in 2016, +29% the next year, +82% in 2021.

So, the moral of this story is to start out with the best of the best producers and royalty/streaming companies to build your initial nest egg. Then go with people who are serial money makers over multiple decades and countries. Next, move down the quality trail and buy the highest quality intermediates, developers and explorers that you can find. If you do the work, you can't help but be well rewarded. As an example, I sat on Shamaran Petroleum, a Lundin vehicle, for five years before it finally started to move. I'm up in two accounts +294% and +142% respectively. Still holding every single share.

Trump: Doing Everything He Can To Send Bolsonaro To Jail.

The American moron is back, cancelling visas for Brazilian Supreme Court members and demanding that Bolsonaro's trial be halted. What an idiot. As Lula pointed out, the judicial system is independent of the government. He stated that the Executive would not interfere in Bolsonaro's trial.

Meanwhile, federal police raided Bolsonaro's home and party offices, claiming he was obstructing justice and planning to flee the country. Bolsonaro vehemently denies this, arguing that the trial is nothing more than a sham and an attempt to permanently bar him from holding political office. 

Ironically, Trump's continued intervention in Brazilian politics and its legal system is hurting Bolsonaro more than helping him. It has not gone unnoticed that the American president is fighting more vigorously for Bolsonaro than the former president himself.

It is no surprise that, given this reality, the federal police have concluded that Bolsonaro poses a flight risk, likely to the United States, where he would receive, at the very least, refuge, if not asylum. That is why Bolsonaro now wears an electronic ankle cuff.

If Trump had any sense, he would leave Bolsonaro's defence to his lawyers. He is only harming Bolsonaro's case with his constant interference in Brazilian judicial affairs. Bolsonaro needs to tell Trump to stay out of it. If only that were possible. With an ally like Trump, who needs sworn enemies...

Trump: Fazendo tudo o que pode para mandar Bolsonaro para a prisão.

O idiota americano está de volta, cancelando vistos para membros do Supremo Tribunal Federal e exigindo que o julgamento de Bolsonaro seja encerrado. Que idiota. Como Lula apontou, o sistema judicial é independente do governo. Ele afirmou que o Executivo não interferiria no julgamento de Bolsonaro.

Enquanto isso, a polícia federal invadiu a casa e os escritórios do partido de Bolsonaro, alegando que ele estava obstruindo a justiça e planejando fugir do país. Bolsonaro nega veementemente, argumentando que o julgamento não passa de uma farsa e uma tentativa de impedi-lo permanentemente de exercer cargos políticos.

Ironicamente, a intervenção contínua de Trump na política brasileira e em seu sistema jurídico está prejudicando Bolsonaro mais do que ajudando-o. Não passou despercebido que o presidente americano está lutando mais vigorosamente por Bolsonaro do que o próprio ex-presidente.

Não é surpresa que, diante dessa realidade, a polícia federal tenha concluído que Bolsonaro representa um risco de fuga, provavelmente para os Estados Unidos, onde receberia, no mínimo, refúgio, se não asilo. É por isso que Bolsonaro agora usa uma tornozeleira eletrônica.

Se Trump tivesse bom senso, deixaria a defesa de Bolsonaro a cargo de seus advogados. Ele só está prejudicando o caso de Bolsonaro com sua constante interferência nos assuntos judiciais brasileiros. Bolsonaro precisa dizer a Trump para ficar fora disso. Se ao menos isso fosse possível. Com um aliado como Trump, quem precisa de inimigos jurados...



It's An Honour Being Able To Write For You.

Thanks so much to my readers. I hope to keep things interesting going forward. LOL.

Is Poilièvre In Joe Clark Territory?

These are grand times for dissidents. Haven't had this much fun since we tried to dump Harper in 2005. Those were good days!

Last time, we took down O'Toole with help from none other than SaintByrneTM, and now we're going to work hard to exile Byrne, whose company remains on the CPC payroll, and to give the leader the heave-ho. The leader is laughing at us by keeping her around. No surprise there. After all, he always has the right answers.

It warms my heart to hear about the fighting in the OLO: a majority of his advisers, such as they are, favour proceeding as scheduled with the leadership review vote next January, but a significant minority are adamantly against that, fearing that the leader is in Clark territory, namely sixty-seven percent. The latter regard that type of result as insufficient for the leader to carry on and argue that the vote should be put off to the fall of 2026, thereby giving them time to shore up support in the interim. 

Even to the untrained eye, that suggests his support is soft and shrinking. Just like Canadians and, to some extent, CPC supporters, many of his aides sense that there's a growing sentiment among people that they're tired of his face and want to move on to someone else who's not a career politician. 

So, in the final analysis, the leader can take his poison as scheduled or likely ingest a far greater dose at a later date. Those are his only choices. 

As for the byelection, you won't see him get anywhere near eighty-two percent. Not a chance in hell of that happening. Expect voter turnout to be underwhelming. His share of the vote should come in around thirty-five percent of those cast. He's running in Alberta because his inner circle didn't want to take the risk of running in Ontario. They concluded that a loss there would finish him off. Watch the result in Battle River - Crowfoot. It could indeed spell the beginning of the end. 

Wednesday, 16 July 2025

Do We Really Prefer To Lose Than Vote PC?

Are we really that stupid? Would we really prefer a Smith as our leader rather than a Ford, a MacKay or a Mulroney?

The problem with this party is that post-Harper, our penchant has been for losers: Scheer, O'Toole and now this ridiculous clown who is hanging on to the leadership for dear life as if his leadership could provide anything significant in the future. Unpacking diplomatic language, this guy didn't and won't win even if his life depended on it. Voters and Canadians are sick of his face. So, he can byelection his way back into the Commons but it will be all for naught. His high water mark was in the last election, not the next one. Liberals are praying that he stays. Conservatives need to ask him to leave: the byelection results won't be bad. They'll be a disaster. Just wait and see. It's all rapidly downhill going forward if this guy stays as our leader. At least the Liberals are having a good laugh.

Sunday, 13 July 2025

CPC: Our Leader.

I had sworn to myself, and to fellow party members, that I would not take the fight to the leader, this time. But the ongoing campaign to prevent me from expressing my opinion changed all that. They asked for it, repeatedly, and now they will get it with relish.

I will gladly front for those who demand and expect a change in party leader. Those are Conservatives who are exclusively concerned with winning, not cementing in place an inadequate leader who is far from well-suited to the task at hand.

This group of Conservatives is not a group of losers. Like the Liberals, we believe that winning is the ONLY thing that matters politically. And so we shall endeavour to effect top-to-bottom change in the leadership. Either we succeed, or the CPC is already condemned to successive defeat in future elections. Winning is all about the man or woman who leads the party. Clearly, our leader is not up to the job. A plurality of voters have already spoken unequivocally, especially in his own riding. He needs to move on, or if necessary, help to move on. I will do what I can with that in mind.

Saturday, 12 July 2025

Texas Flash Floods Are The Beginning Of The End For Trump.

In four letters: FEMA. Trump is already done and dusted.

CPC: Caucus, Senators, Members and Supporters Largely Don't Get It.

Centre-right, especially with a progressive bent, often wins elections. The CPC was never founded as centre-right. It was always in no-man's land somewhere vaguely between centre-right and Bernier's far-right. When people soured on Martin, Harper was given a chance and then won two more elections. However, as soon as Harper finally got a majority, he blew it by moving further right than at least a plurality of voters were willing to accept. 

The leader understands none of this, and it shows. All that CBC and anti-woke garbage are not serious political issues. They're right-wing-wet-dream-useless-distractions. People heard that come out of his mouth and often concluded that he's some kind of ideological litmus-test nutcase. It didn't sound as if it reflected common Canadian values. You know, inclusionacceptance, not exclusion or disdain. 

So, that's why the leader lost and likely will continue losing. But your average Conservative MP, Senator, supporter and voter are fine with it. Too bad that. In short, we're stuck with him. 

Thursday, 10 July 2025

Brasil: MoronTrumpTM mais uma vez escolhe um lado.

O fascista americano interferiu na política brasileira e criticou a decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal de ordenar que o ex-presidente Bolsonaro e outros fossem julgados por uma suposta tentativa de golpe para permanecer no poder em 2022. A próxima eleição no Brasil está marcada para 2026, e Bolsonaro está constitucionalmente impedido de concorrer novamente até 2030. Uma segunda decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal levou à proibição de sua candidatura em 2026.

Trump impôs tarifas de 50%, e o presidente Lula indicou que o Brasil imporá suas próprias tarifas na mesma proporção. O Brasil é um dos poucos países onde os Estados Unidos têm superávit comercial, então a medida de Trump é amplamente interpretada como um tiro no próprio pé.

Alguns argumentam que as tarifas de Trump tinham como objetivo fortalecer a posição política de Bolsonaro, enquanto outros argumentam que o apoio ativo de Trump só fará com que a popularidade de Bolsonaro diminua ainda mais. De acordo com relatos, pelo menos metade dos brasileiros tem uma opinião negativa do ex-presidente. Diante desse fato, não será surpresa se o candidato presidencial de direita no próximo ano for, no fim das contas, alguém que não seja Bolsonaro. Apesar da impopularidade de Lula, se ele jogar a carta do nacionalismo, isso poderá reviver sua sorte política e lhe dar uma vantagem nas eleições do próximo ano. Observe o tamanho das multidões. No momento, minha aposta é na esquerda.



Sunday, 6 July 2025

Musk Hard At Work.

Job One: The America Party.

Job Two: A Constitutional amendment to modify Article Two, Section 1, clause 5.

Texas Flash Flooding Disaster: Trump Hard At Work As Usual Creating Misery For Everyone.

The TrumpMoronsTM don't get it: you can't cut essential services just so your billionaire friends can get the biggest tax cuts in American history while the deficit balloons to the highest level ever. It was Trump who cut NOAA's budget and decimated future FEMA funding, largely transferring that responsibility to the states. And it's those same cowards who are running away from responsibility for this tragedy, so much so that their minions dash out of the room at press conferences when the media try to pin the tail on the responsible donkeys. Typically MAGA. Nutcases have come up with conspiracy theories to try and somehow blame third parties who don't serve in The Trump White House. Think MTG and other assorted idiots. 

Meanwhile, the President with no soul still has much more work to do. Now he's cutting Medicaid, which largely will affect rural America, which more often than not votes both Republican and MAGA. Will MAGA supporters roll over, like they do in Congress, or will they come out fighting politically? Don't bet the farm on it. 

Thursday, 3 July 2025

Moore Is Wrong, Axworthy Is Right.

None of us is in the room, but that is entirely irrelevant given Trump's abnormal psychological profile. Trump, in the room or otherwise, is out to ROLL US and every other trade partner across the globe. The sociopath wants the United States to win while all other international trade partners lose big. End of story.

Tuesday, 1 July 2025

Trump = The Ultimate Moron...

Yeah, right. He's going to take a look at deporting Musk, you know, an American citizen. Brain dead oaf with three and a half more years to royally screw everything up.