UK Election: Solid Labour Win Ahead But Likely Not Their Night.

It's already painfully obvious, the July 4 election will bring a multitude of fireworks and a likely political earthquake: polls consistently show Starmer and Labour winning, but that's not really what the election is about. The big shake up will come from Farage and Reform UK, who likely will take more seats in Parliament than polls are predicting. That will finish off Sunak and the Conservatives, who may even end up with fewer seats than Reform UK. Possible, but not yet distinctly so. 

Current polling averages show that Labour isn't polling at 50 percent or higher. So it will be a big win. But Starmer's problem is a distinct perception, in some circles, that Labour stands for anything and everything. Look at the crossover MPs. In short, anything other than what Sunak and the Conservatives support. Imagine if Starmer becomes PM with Farage as Opposition Leader. That would be quite a night for the right wing. Let's just say that the EU elections are perhaps a strong indicator of what's to come in the UK.

Some even say that Sunak will lose his constituency. I think he will. Once you become characterized as the Mr. Bean of politics, you're pretty much done. Sunak makes Truss look good. How I yearn for the Cameron or even May days...