Gaza: Can You Say Regional War?

With the recent drone attack on American forces in Jordan that resulted in three service members being killed, and many others wounded, it's my contention that the Biden Administration is rapidly running out of patience with Iran, and especially her proxies.

Slowly but surely, these attacks are painting Biden into a corner where he'll ultimately have no choice but to hit back hard against Iran. Surely, Iran is already cognizant of that? So, the mullahs in Tehran are playing a dangerous game of chicken, which quite likely will be to their own detriment. They need to back off and fast before they get their comeuppance. If they don't, expect this war to rapidly go regional, and who knows where it will go from there. 

The days of retaliatory pin pricks or surgical strikes are quickly coming to an end. If the proxies keep this up, they'll have hell to pay because they are definitely no match against the United States. In the final analysis, it's all up to Iran as to where this war goes. Iran, by its action or inaction, will seal its own fate unless deescalation becomes the order of the day.

New Hampshire Democratic Primary: The Ultimate Scumbags Strike Again.

You know, those people who are under the devil's control and worship the future American dictator. They're the ones that made fake AI Robo calls using Biden's voice urging Democrats not to vote in the primary. Typical demonic, POS behaviour. In other words, in the Lee Atwater league, and we all know what happened to him. God got even, and so he will with this lying, pathetic, total asshole. 

And to no one's surprise, most of MAGA is perfectly OK with that. They enjoy being possessed or controlled by the devil and his American representative. They are quite literally doing to the United States what the Weimar Germans did to their own country: putting America on the path to total ruin and disgrace. 

The forces of evil have the edge, so expect Trump to win in November. Once Mr. Totalitarian gets back in the White House, the demon-controlled mob can go back to threatening politicians, party workers, other Republicans, judges, jurors, witnesses, and anyone who's part of the public who isn't for Trump or hates the guy. Fortunately, God has a white board for each of us, and so many of the MAGA crowd won't enjoy their personal ride at the final reckoning. Ditto for Trump, when GOD finally has had enough. It won't be pretty for him, but it likely will be epic for the United States of America.

Trump Wins New Hampshire.

That sucks. But what about Haley? Is she wasting her time by staying in, or does she see something big coming in on the legal front for The Orange Rage Machine?

It's already a done deal for Trump...except if a new Deep Throat emerges. You know, WH clogged toilets and all that. A second shoe-dropping?

Can you say OJ big-time?

DeSantis And Scott: The Ultimate Hypocrites!

DeSantis is finally out. I'm thrilled as fuck about that. Never liked him from Day One, just like Trump. However, I did like Scott. Now, let me get this straight: you both ran for president because you each thought you were more fit for the job of commander in chief than Trump. Then, when it doesn't go your way, both of you endorse Trump?

The hypocrisy is mind-blowing. Scott is a fool's fool if he thinks he'll get the VEEP slot just because he's started sucking up to The Orange Menace. Here's my bet: there won't be a place for either of them in a future Trump administration, should that come to pass. These two idiots have played only themselves. Suckers! (Can you say Stefanik, but I digress.)

So, if you happen to be both Republican and a decent person (unlike Trump) then I hope to hell that you quickly move to Haley to send a clear and unequivocal message about what's great, honourable, decent and ethical in the United States. America is the finest country in the world because of its individual values and common decency. Trump reflects none of that.

I'm a Canadian progressive, but given the choice between Biden (The Father of Inflation) and Haley, I would vote for her in a New York minute. Biden needs to be held to account for an economy that's crappy, no matter how much they monkey around with the stats.

If you look in the mirror and see a reflection of Trump, then I can only feel very sorry for you. Trump is the living epitome of everything a human being and a Christian should not be. But some of you are OK with that...what does that say about YOU? And at final judgment, what will Jesus say to you? Here's a hint: more than likely, he won't be smiling.

It's All Over After New Hampshire...Really?

Recency bias is alive and well in Republican circles, especially among those who consider themselves to be MAGA Republicans. They have it already decided: because Trump won Iowa, naturally, he's about to win New Hampshire and everywhere else. Maybe, maybe not.

Trump's Pelosi-Haley gaffe is hopefully only the beginning of a campaign season that will truly reveal how unfit Trump is for office as the Chief Executive. But hey, the MAGAs will vote for him anyway. But you see, Haley could win or lose New Hampshire and still remain viable. Not likely but still possible. Remember how Biden lost both Iowa and New Hampshire and won South Carolina? Ditto for Clinton, who lost both but won in Georgia. So...don't count Haley out just yet.

Of late, I've been predicting that Trump will be the nominee and likely win in the general, largely due to the bad economy that Biden tries to pass off as good using phony metrics and statistics. However, the average American is living it, and it isn't a good economy for most of them. Sure, abortion is likely to help Biden with women, even Republican women, but it will be outweighed by far by inflation and the economy, the former having been created by Powell and every central banker in the United States all the way back to 2008. 

So, take a snapshot right now, and it looks like Trump will return as president in January. But like anything else in politics, nothing is ever set in stone.

Stone Proves He's A Well Dressed Fucking Moron.

Trump won't be able to pardon him this time. Stone just made a DA's day. 

Putin: Bring On WWIII.

Don't worry. You can take this to the bank. NATO will kick the living shit out of you and yours allies, just like we did with the last fascist, some guy called Hitler. So, please, pretty please, kindly start WWIII this week. Thank you.

Phoney Palestinians Hordes.

That bunch of assholes who are demonstrating across the globe in favour of Palestine are on the take. They're being paid to demonstrate. Otherwise, most of them would not be there. Here in Canada, some of the dough has come indirectly from the Trudeau government, but most of it is coming from offshore. Can you spell, I-R-A-N?

Looks like the truth hurts because they're doing DoS attacks against websites, blogs and other internet media sources. They're also flooding the comment sections with what we can call unfavourable comments. The usual bunch of cowards, more than likely sporting penises four inches or much less. Poor, pathetic fools. To all of them, I affectionately say FUCK YOU!

New Hampshire: Let's Not Get Ahead Of Ourselves.

It's no surprise to any of you how much I despise Trump. But it's also true that I can't stand DeSantis either. However, it's a bit rich for Haley to now call this a two-person race before the New Hampshire primary. After all, she finished two points behind De Santis in Iowa.

Maybe she wipes the floor with DeSantis in NH. If so, then it really will be a two-person race for the nomination between the Orange POS and Haley. But let's not go there just yet. 

Des Moines Register Poll.

Is this a case of us not being able to see the forest but for the trees? I think so. To me, the numbers are misleading. First off, with Trump at 48%, every MAGA Republican is for Trump. Until they're not. The forest says Trump is under 50%. There's a meaning there and it could be significant. When Trump won the presidency, a lot of his vote was from shy or reluctant supporters.  Let's reverse engineer that: they say they're already rock solid for Trump but are they really? Maybe, maybe not.

Haley comes in at 20%, pushing Mister All 99 counties into third with DeSantis fading at 16%. Pretty much what I was expecting.

Then there's the weather: I still think Trump will take it but will it be over 50%? I don't think so.

Once we get to New Hampshire, can Haley win? I think she gets enough of an Iowa bounce to beat Trump in The Granite State.

Then it's a two-person race into South Carolina. They say they're for Trump there but we'll see.

Conventional wisdom is just that, so take about everything going forward with at least a grain of salt.

Christie Drops Out.

He's gone, before Iowa...

Methinks something is up with Haley smiling and DeSantis crying. As for the Orange Ape Idiot, fuck him.

UPDATED:

I want to write this before the CNN Iowa Debate, which begins in about an hour. Which way will it go? Will Haley go after DeSantis, or will DeSantis take her on from the get-go? DeSantis is ahead of Haley in Iowa, while the reverse is the case in New Hampshire.

I think DeSantis has to act like a drowning man tonight: he needs to jab Haley regularly and as hard as he can get away with. Otherwise, he's likely toast after the Iowa caucus next Monday. 

Here's what I'm wondering: will a polling shift take place in Iowa after tonight's debate? I think so. I feel like the sand is shifting in Haley's favour, even if Christie likely doesn't explicitly endorse her. Could be full of shit (like what I wrote about Pence) but I expect DeSantis to collapse in Iowa between tonight and on Monday. If I'm right, it's now a two-person race for all the marbles between Trump and Haley. Trump is supposed to win and become the nominee. In a two-horse race, incredible as it may seem right now, Trump is not necessarily a lock on the nomination. He likely still wins, but anything can happen in a two-person race. Haley no doubt is counting on exactly that. 

Fuck Off, Far-Right Morons.

As Reagan would say, there you go again: the far-right fools are at it again, trying to pin the tail on the donkey of another group as a whole for the sins of one person or a few. Fascist POS. First, it was immigrants for the so-called sins of economic migrants. Now, they've pounced following the Iowa shooting tragedy, where a young child was killed and others wounded by a gunman who later took his own life. Of course, that shooting needs to be condemned.

Dear Morons, this is how life works: there are approximately less than three million Trans People in the United States, versus 338.8 million other Americans. That's a ratio of less than 2% of the population. For those of you who insist on being idiots, give your head a shake. These far-right assholes want other people to go berserk and go out of their way to hurt Trans individuals. What the imbeciles conveniently and quite deliberately put aside is that 99% of shootings are committed by men, of which a huge preponderance are heterosexual. Does that mean we should be attacking or killing those men? Definitely not.

It blows my mind how so many people have nothing but space between those two ears...they can't think for themselves, much less critically. So, they take their cues from the American Hitler. Yes, sir or madam, that's definitely the direction that POS is headed. He just can't wait.

Ah, a second civil war is coming to the United States thanks to these far-right jerks. It's up to other Republicans to take back their party, but quite naturally, they won't even try until it's already much too late. This civil war will make the last one look like a walk in the park. Fortunately, I won't be there to witness the destruction of the United States and the loss of its remaining superpower status. All thanks to these far-right Yahoos. 

It's coming, and the far-right have only themselves to blame for the future annihilation of their country. Collective self-destruction courtesy of the latest Hitler and his sycophants. 

Fuck Off, Demon Seed.

As Reagan would say: there you go again [demon seed]. I am so sick of listening to that asshole spout lie after lie, day in and day out, potentially all the way to next November. This POS is way beyond ridiculous. It's amazing how people can fall for this bullshit from one of the dimmest bulbs ever to dishonour the field of politics. Way, way, way, beyond pathetic. If that fucker drops dead, you definitely won't see me crying. What a political disgrace. At least he's steadily earning his well-deserved place in Hell.

Come On, Step Up And Pay For My Trip To Jamaica!

Don't be a cheapskate. Pony up, I'm next. You know, at no cost.

And then don't forget to ask me about the quid pro quo. After all, it wouldn't be polite if I didn't return the favour: with some gift, appointment, contract or other largess of government. Like I said, it wouldn't be fair. Naturally, I'll gratefully see what I can do as soon as I get back! I'm just that kind of guy.

Netanyahu's Priorities: First, Second And Third.

The next opportunity to get to the promise land, to quote MLK, is 27 October 2026. That's the only definite in Israeli politics when legislative elections will be held. With that in mind, I would suggest that Netanyahu's plan is one, two, three.

FIRST: Political survival. Nothing comes ahead of this in Netanyahu's mind. Not the Gazan War or even Israeli and other foreign hostages. Bibi is all about staying in power as PM, and nothing he does is based on anything more significant than that. Notice how Gallant and Gantz were no-shows at Saturday's press conference. Netanyahu wanted them there, but they have bigger fish to fry and Bibi knows it. Each of them would like to replace him as prime minister. Tensions are rising over the war and hostages and with the Supreme Court 8-7 ruling that part of his judicial reform plan is unconstitutional, it's one more large thorn in Bibi's side. Nevertheless, Bibi is all about Bibi. That's how he survives. Polling, on the other hand, has not been kind, with up to 80% of Israelis wanting him to take personal responsibility for the war and resign. Significantly, only 64% want early Knesset elections, and Netanyahu is counting on that to stay in power. 

SECOND: War in Gaza. Major differences exist about tactics, the intensity of the fighting, Palestinian deaths, ceasefires, humanitarian pauses and non-precision munitions. Then there's the matter of who gets to rule Gaza post-Hamas? Netanyahu sees the war going on for "many more months", while Gallant and Gantz have their own ideas on all of the above. 

THIRD: Hostages. This is the wild-card. Granted that it's a net-positive for Israelis and especially families, but it isn't necessarily so for Bibi and his longstanding coalition partners. Potentially getting them all out is counterbalanced by why they were taken hostage in the first place. The law of hostage releases is one of diminishing political returns for him. Hamas and the other terrorist groups are not stupid. They know about the upward gradation scale. It's one thing to trade hostages for juveniles or low-priority prisoners in Israeli jails. It's quite another to release bona fide terrorists or murderers in order to secure the remaining hostages' release. 

The last thing to take into account, of course, is the nature of coalition-building in the multi-party Knesset. In most cases, governing coalitions follow seat changes in legislative elections. Put another way, it's likely going to be exceedingly difficult to oust Netanyahu as prime minister without resorting to early elections first and that is definitely not a given at this stage, if ever. So...Bibi may be able to hang on until fall 2026, unless Likud demands that he resigns, which is unlikely. 

Netanyahu, quite certainly, is a wounded duck. But everything is in the distinction. What he's not is a dead duck, and that is not inconsequential in Israeli politics. Don't count Bibi out just yet.