It's All Over After New Hampshire...Really?

Recency bias is alive and well in Republican circles, especially among those who consider themselves to be MAGA Republicans. They have it already decided: because Trump won Iowa, naturally, he's about to win New Hampshire and everywhere else. Maybe, maybe not.

Trump's Pelosi-Haley gaffe is hopefully only the beginning of a campaign season that will truly reveal how unfit Trump is for office as the Chief Executive. But hey, the MAGAs will vote for him anyway. But you see, Haley could win or lose New Hampshire and still remain viable. Not likely but still possible. Remember how Biden lost both Iowa and New Hampshire and won South Carolina? Ditto for Clinton, who lost both but won in Georgia. So...don't count Haley out just yet.

Of late, I've been predicting that Trump will be the nominee and likely win in the general, largely due to the bad economy that Biden tries to pass off as good using phony metrics and statistics. However, the average American is living it, and it isn't a good economy for most of them. Sure, abortion is likely to help Biden with women, even Republican women, but it will be outweighed by far by inflation and the economy, the former having been created by Powell and every central banker in the United States all the way back to 2008. 

So, take a snapshot right now, and it looks like Trump will return as president in January. But like anything else in politics, nothing is ever set in stone.