Saturday, 21 June 2025

Iran: This Is ONLY About Regime Change.

Netanyahu claims this is about preventing Iran from eventually deploying nuclear missiles, when in fact the overall objective is far broader: regime change in Tehran. Trump shares that goal. No one in the West will look at that with disdain; however, the cost of such action could be catastrophic for both countries, not to mention the region. 

It is way beyond folly to suggest that a nuclear-armed Iran would use its weapons against its neighbours. No country has done so since the end of the Second World War. It's my contention that Iran has already had ample time to develop at least primitive but operational warheads. The question becomes what the regime will do once cornered. There can be no doubt that Israel has far greater military capability than Iran, but war is always an imponderable and unpredictable creature. Think Iraq and Afghanistan.

Add to the fact that Trump is intent upon joining the conflict and providing Israel support by deploying MOP-bunker busters against the nuclear uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow and Natanz. Only the B2 can effectively deploy these munitions. Once the United States takes direct action, Americans at home and abroad will become legitimate soft targets, at least in the eyes of Iran and its proxies. It goes without saying that American military assets around the globe would also come under threat of attack. 

The other aspect worth mentioning is what will happen at The Arab League. Will the organization be able to hold together and take a common position on the Israeli-Iranian war, or will it splinter into factions, and what will be the regional consequences of such action? The organization must do all it can to prevent this war from widening into a regional conflict. At this stage, one wonders if that is even remotely possible. War is a beast that will likely severely bloody both sides before it's over, and it won't end anytime soon. Ukraine is proof enough of that. 

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