The Deep State.

They're running out of patience and don't like serially being fucked over. But he is far too stupid to recognize that. It won't end well just like last time.

Is Burnham About To Commit Political Suicide?

In short, the proposed "death tax" would help fund an NCS.  Higher taxes on inherited estates and combining that tax with the capital gains tax. Double taxation is never the way to go, and how these proposed reforms will affect the middle class will be key to Labour's future electoral prospects. Given the choice, I would head toward corporate tax rates instead. I would raise the main corporate rate for UK-based and incorporated companies. 

Remember that Farage is in the wings, positively salivating. He expects Burnham to make him PM. Please note Nigel was at -28% in 2024. Two months ago he was at -15%. Now, he's back at -27%. Burnham needs to keep those swings top of mind. The Clacton special election is next month, and Farage is likely to win. None of the major parties are contesting that byelection. 

Looks like Nigel and Marine both learned to ply their trade in the EP! Personal capacity, indeed.

Ford Is Feeling His Federal Oats And It Shows. LOL.

Conventional wisdom had it that Ford wasn't interested. I was skeptical of that. Ego tends to call the tune in the end, and despite abysmal French, it looks like Ford is ready to go if the opportunity presents itself. Ford doesn't want to be the only gal or guy fronting for Team Canada. That speaks volumes. As a result, in my book, it isn't any longer a matter of if but more a question of when. That should keep the next CPC leadership race interesting, to say the least. And the elephant in the room will be the same as last time: what will Darth Vader do?

GHB: Why Carney's Redemption Is Unlikely.

At least this keeps PP in a good mood. He has correctly assessed that Carney is now personally vulnerable in a big way and will try to make the most of it. Who can blame him!

People laughed when I quickly pegged Carney as a lightweight who was in over his head. Well, the GHB fiasco is proof enough of that. This has badly hurt Carney and the Liberals. The Prime Minister is coming off as politically impotent, and that means serious trouble down the pike. 

As usual, Ford has correctly set the mood: give 'em what you get and more, but the premiers generally and Danielle Smith specifically don't have the stomach for this fight. No doubt Ford wants to use electricity, oil, gas, minerals, you name it, but Smith will put the kibosh on that for sure. For all practical purposes, Smith has already boxed Carney in. 

So...don't expect anything substantive or seriously consequential from the feds in the next two weeks. We need to fight like hell, but that simply ain't in the cards. Expect Pierre to make the moves, but will it change the political landscape in a major way? Maybe. 

That POS!

I agree with Ford: match them tariff for tariff, dollar for dollar and don't fucking cave this time.

Starmer Is Gone.

Starmer headed a government and still had the decency to go with his self-respect intact. But not PP. He's hanging on to his job for dear life because without that job Pierre is nothing politically. He's the next Justin. Make no mistake. Pierre will eventually be gone as well. Between now and then it will be a daily drip to political oblivion. 

Why This Is A Surprise To No One...

From: CBC.

"After taking in $84.6 million in revenue in 2025, the Conservative Party still finished the year with an annual deficit of more than $14 million according to recently published financial audits. 

The audit filed with Elections Canada says the Conservatives' on-hand reserves helped clear some of that deficit, but its fund still ended 2025 with almost $5 million in net debt. In 2024, the fund had a surplus of $9.4 million."

Abacus.

LPC: 43%

CPC: 37%

NDP: 9%

BQ: 7%

GPC: 3%

Trump Is Still Beating Poilièvre: Favourability Rating.

Trump: 36-47%

PP: 28-38%

Four Polls Have The NDP At 14-15%.

Notice how the Liberals are not dropping in those polls. They remain over forty percent. So...the NDP numbers have to be coming out of somewhere and you guessed it. They're coming out of Conservative support, not Liberal! That means that mostly young people who were previously inclined to support or vote CPC are now moving to the NDP. 

Again, the Liberal vote remains relatively solid. Unless that changes in the wake of the GHB or BC condos, then our hopes of winning the fall election are between slim and nil. Just another "positive" aftereffect of Pierre's leadership. Undoubtedly, a fifth election loss in a row is coming fast.

Gordie Howe International Bridge: Carney Is Backing Away Fast.

You know the Carney Liberals are hurting politically when Carney hot foots it to the media that the recent agreement with the Trump Administration is on revenue sharing after operational costs for the next fifteen years but not on tolls. The PM claims that toll revenue will not be shared with Michigan until the full cost of the bridge and its related infrastructure has been recouped by Canada.

Why do I get a feeling that Trump isn't going to like this. Want to bet that his view of the deal has nothing to do with the version that Carney is pushing? I'm shocked.

One would have thought that our lightweight PM would have known enough to keep his mouth shut until the bridge was actually open with traffic flowing? But, nah, by all means, screw this up even more by letting the cat out of the bag now.

So, don't be surprised when the bridge opening gets delayed again thanks to Carney. You won't see traffic rolling across the bridge on July 27th. Carney just made sure of that...great going.

CPC: No More Money Until Pierre Is Gone.

Every year, I give the maximum to my MP and my other favourite MP. But this year, both get the goose egg until PP is gone. I'm not in caucus, so I can't be the CPC's Wayne Long. So, I'm speaking loudly and clearly with my wallet. I hope you all do the same. 

Nanos Research.

Liberals: 43%

Conservatives: 31%

New Democrats: 15%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 4%

Liaison Strategies.

LPC: 41%

CPC|: 35%

NDP: 14%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 2%

Are You Ever Lucky To Love Politics!

I'm 65 years old and here's my message for young people. I don't care if you're left-wing, centrist, moderate or right-wing. All of you are worthy of respect. If you have principles that you're not prepared to sell out for fame or money, then you belong in politics.

Start by recognizing your God-given talent and then make a difference in Canadians' lives. Keep the faith in your abilities and don't doubt yourself. Move heaven and earth to win a nomination. Meet up with your destiny. The only person who can stop or sabotage you is you!

How many times did Churchill lose? You know where I'm going with this.

I know how good of a political strategist I am. Pretty much top-notch. Predicted Trudeau, predicted Trump, etc. Been doing it since I was fourteen and in truth, only one war room guy and two federal strategists can take me. I won't embarrass them by going with their names but they know who they are.

You see, for example, that the political strategist world is bullshit with most of the TV players second-rate at best. That's the reality we see on the screen and yet they all think they're God's gift to political strategy. Too bad that rapidly dissipates as soon as almost all of them open their mouths. I could name names but the list would be too long. LOL.

But back to brass tacks: politics is much more a sacred calling than an art form so if you feel the burn inside you then just have at it. You will never have any better ally than yourself so go out there and make it happen.

France : Marine, elle encore !

Et voilà : le rebondissement dramatique a eu lieu, et Marine lance sa quatrième campagne présidentielle en tête des sondages et, pour l’instant, sans bracelet électronique. C’est pour elle une victoire symbolique majeure, malgré les condamnations prononcées dans l’affaire des « assistants fantômes » au Parlement européen. Elle a été reconnue coupable d’avoir détourné 2,80 millions d’euros pour rémunérer du personnel du Front national.

Marine a formé un pourvoi devant la Cour de cassation à la suite des décisions défavorables rendues par le tribunal correctionnel de Paris et la cour d’appel de Paris. Elle est présumée innocente tant que son pourvoi est pendant devant la Cour, qui espère rendre un arrêt portant uniquement sur des points de droit avant le premier tour de l’élection présidentielle.

Le premier tour aura lieu le 18 avril et, le cas échéant, le second le 2 mai. Pour Marine, sa campagne prend de plus en plus d’ampleur. Deux sondages d’opinion la placent largement en tête :

De toute évidence, le RN a actuellement le vent en poupe, et l’absence de grande coalition semble indiquer – du moins pour l’instant – que le parti est en passe de remporter l’élection présidentielle. N’oublions pas que le paysage politique mondial a été bouleversé par l’arrivée de Trump. Aujourd’hui, tout est possible, et tout est permis. Dans un tel contexte, cette dynamique ne peut que jouer en faveur de Marine et du RN. 

Il est plutôt ironique que, même si la Cour de cassation lui ordonnait de porter un bracelet électronique par la suite à une éventuelle condamnation, la plupart de ses partisans, ainsi qu’une partie de l’électorat, soient susceptibles de considérer cela comme un signe d’honneur d’un martyr politique. Dans une perspective plus large, Marine semble en bonne voie pour devenir présidente de la République. C’est indéniable, au moins à ce stade.

My Message For Caroline Elliott.

FULL DISCLOSURE: I'm hardly an unbiased political observer or neutral party member. From the get-go, I saw Pierre Poilièvre for who he was in the leadership race and who he remains since becoming leader. He's a petulant, self-entitled lecturer with a chip on his shoulder. That's who he was and who he will always remain. People otherwise known as non-political, neutral or without an agenda listen to this guy and recoil with distaste. Put another way, PP instinctively rubs people the wrong way, and women especially are repulsed by the way he does politics. 

Like you've said, Caroline, successful politics is all about addition, not subtraction. It's about growing the tent and bridging differences, and Pierre will never be part of that common sense reality. For PP, life generally and politics in particular are nothing more than a zero-sum game where the PP ideology wins while everyone else in the party loses. It's the Scheer mindset on steroids. And if you don't beat that drum and meet PP's ideological purity mindset and party litmus test, then you're either dismissed as a faux conservative or just gone. 

So with respect, Caroline, don't waste your breath on Pierre Poilièvre because that's an exercise in futility. It's like repeatedly hitting your head on the wall just for fun! This guy is hopeless.  And then he wonders why, among Canadians generally and with potential voters, his personal favorability or Best PM rating is consistently in the basement at 30+%. 

PP lost the last election, and he most assuredly will lose us the next one. That's what being PP is all about. Nothing more. He can spin his wheels till the cows come home and constantly run his mouth, but this party is going precisely nowhere as long as we continue to have the misfortune of putting up with him as leader. I know it, you know it, and more importantly, no one knows it better than Pierre Poilièvre himself.

Last year, he said publicly that he might lose, and of course, he did. Same thing coming in spades again in late fall.  

Angus Reid Institute: Pick Your Statistics.

Basically, only a third of voters (33%) can stand PP:

As for the top-line numbers:

41% vs 36%

Liberal lead over CPC narrows to five points in vote intention

Nanos Research.

Liberals: 41%

Conservatives: 32%

New Democrats: 15%

Bloc Québécois: 6%

Greens: 4% 

Liaison Strategies.

LPC: 43%

CPC: 34%

NDP: 14%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 2%

Martel Is Gone!

This is Carney's new strategy: hollow out our caucus and leave only the yahoos behind the Conservative benches.

Looks like lightweight Mark knows how to play chess while our hopeless fool is still playing pick up sticks and shooting his mouth off...

Abacus Data.

LPC: 44%

CPC: 36%

NDP: 8%

BQ: 7%

GPC: 2%

Just Got Off Northern Perspective.

My message to them is breathtakingly simple: if you want to call yourself a true democrat, then you always have to respect how the voters voted -not just when they happen to vote for your side.

That means Mulroney, Chrétien, Martin, Harper, Trudeau, Carney and even Trump was legitimately elected by the voters. Unless you can prove otherwise, for example, against Biden or Trump, then their election is absolutely legit. End of story.

Dufour : un microcosme des prochaines élections.

L'ancien ministre et député de la CAQ se présentera dans sa circonscription d'Abitibi-Est sous la bannière du Parti libéral du Québec lors des prochaines élections. Jusqu'à présent, il siégeait en tant que député indépendant, à la suite d'un désaccord avec l'ancien premier ministre Legault concernant le manque d'attention accordée par le gouvernement aux régions. 

Le moins qu’on puisse dire, c’est que Dufour constitue un cas d’étude intéressant : un ancien candidat fédéral du Parti libéral du Canada qui a récemment approché – ou a été approché par – le PLQ, la CAQ, le PQ et le PCQ ! Dans une certaine mesure, il reflète l’indécision ressentie par au moins une partie des Québécois à l’égard de la campagne électorale d’automne. 

Dufour a eu des échanges avec le PLQ, la CAQ et le PCQ.  Mais il reste sans réponse du Parti Québécois. L’arrogance du bureau du chef du PQ, mais aussi une présomption que le parti prendra le pouvoir l’automne prochain. Une stratégie politique plutôt erronée. Un écho semblable à celui d’Ottawa, où se trouvaient les délires du chef du PCC. Un homme qui tenait la victoire de son parti pour acquise alors que Trudeau était encore à la tête du PLC. 

La question cruciale demeure : Dufour sera-t-il élu sous la bannière libérale ? À mon avis, la réponse est oui, mais seulement si une « Vague Milliard » déferle sur la quasi-totalité des régions du Québec. Bref, nous le verrons bien lors de la prochaine campagne électorale, en octobre prochain.

Butler: Why It's A Surprise To No One That Iran Allegedly Was Behind It.

It doesn't take a genius to figure out that the IRI may have been behind the assassination attempt in Butler, PA, in July 2024. Motive? The previous killing of Soleimani in January 2020 and Trump's post-Butler killing of Supreme Leader Khamenei last February. 

It's accurate to say that Trump's personal security perimeter wasn't violated. However, the outer security perimeter wasn't secured, which allowed Crooks to access the roof of an adjacent building. Add to the mix the debunked allegation that the Secret Service sniper team took the extraordinary step of asking for permission to fire when they had Crooks in their sights. Even so, Crooks had already fired eight rounds by the time he was taken out.

In the wake of the assassination attempt, no Secret Service members were fired, but six were temporarily suspended without pay. SSD Cheatle also resigned under bipartisan pressure. Interestingly, Trump closed the ongoing FBI investigation in November 2025, and DHS then prevented its reopening by designating the investigation and materials as classified. 

Those Delusional Conservative YouTubers...

I mean, these people live on their own planet in quite a lot of cases. So many of them sing enthusiastically from the Trump hymnbook as if Trump had an honest or honourable bone in his body when clearly he does not and never has.

Their collective brilliance goes something like this: if you're deferential to Trump, kiss his ass enough and cave on Canadian sovereignty, sure, you can get a deal with that POS. Just fucking bend over and let Trump ram that broomstick home until the dutiful Canadian cries uncle.

Can anyone possibly be more moronic? Trump is only about himself. He doesn't give a shit about the United States. All he cares about is his personal grifting -- what's in it for him and, allegedly, his entire despicable family. 

In Trump's demented mind, the only good deal with Canada is one where Carney, Poilièvre or anyone else caves across the board. That's your typical Trump deal. In what passes for what is left of Trump's mind, he has to win while the other side loses. That's the only type of deal Trump will ever sign. And his word will amount to nothing as he breaks his word and moves the goalpost even after signing a deal as soon as it's in his self-interest. Who the fuck do you think negotiated USMCA, said it was the greatest trade deal ever negotiated to that point and then set out deliberately to destroy it? POS, Trump that is.

Some of these clowns quite literally are willing to enthusiastically lick his ass and balls to get a deal. Any deal. But I've got news for you bozos: that ain't happening and never will as long as any Canadian prime minister has a modicum of self-respect and advocacy for this country. 

Trump wants a bilateral that sees the United States win, while Canada inevitably loses. That's all that's potentially on the table. Nothing else. And even a lightweight like Carney will never shame Canada and disrespect her citizens by signing a garbage deal just to give Trump the upper hand. What a bunch of laughable, sell-out stooges. Even PP isn't that stupid. How fortunate for the rest of us. 

Pierre Poilièvre: The Mouse That Roars.

Poor, PP. You know what they say about life and politics: both are rarely fair, but each is a true reflection of reality. PP must go home to Stornoway every night and take out his picture of Justin Trudeau. Trudeau, having been shunned by his own caucus, got the last laugh on PP. Long gone are the days when PP led with 50% in the Best PM polling. Pierre could feel the PM's chair beckoning; he could almost taste it. In truth, he wasn't at fifty percent because people liked the guy or wanted him as PM. He was flying high solely because most people had grown sick and tired of Trudeau. That's it, in a nutshell. 

PP was no doubt praying every night that Justin would remain as Liberal leader. That was the only way he could get his hands on the prize. And then suddenly, it all dramatically and unexpectedly slipped away when the Liberal caucus told Trudeau the facts of life. 

It's ironic to see Conservative MPs doing less than nothing to improve our party's fortunes in the polls when the clique around Pierre, no doubt with his enthusiastic encouragement, led the charge to give Erin O'Toole the heave-ho. Remember those guys, then known as sixty percent of caucus?

It's beyond pathetic to witness how such a person as PP has been able to emasculate, control and manipulate caucus into putting up with him for one more day, much less weeks and months. Every time PP opens his mouth, the party's electoral prospects sink even further. No one in caucus actually believes that this guy can win an election. Ever. But they're great at going through the motions and spinning their wheels as we await the late fall federal election, which will finally rid us of PP as leader. A true blessing is in the offing. 

Pierre needs to face facts: now that his foil is gone, PP has inherited the mantle as the most unpopular politician. It isn't even close. Doug Ford comes off like an angel next to this guy. All that is left is a mouth that roars and preaches endlessly about the unsung virtues of PP's personal political philosophy. Well, here's a news flash for you, Pierre: Canadians haven't fallen for and won't be buying your BS in the next election, no matter how far lightweight Carney sinks his government's fortunes. Yours is a sad, pathetic and ultimately a journey to political oblivion. And thanks to caucus, the membership and other assorted cowards, the rest of us will get to join you in your quest toward disaster and political irrelevance. Great going, CPC. His bed has been made, and PP will, undoubtedly, get to lie in it as soon as this fall rolls around. 

Nanos: Best PM.

Liberals lead by 13 points – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 26 points on preferred PM. (Nanos)

2026-06-30Written by Nanos Research

Canada’s federal landscape shows limited movement. The Liberals stand at 43.8%, ahead of the Conservatives at 30.4% and the NDP at 12.0%, while the Bloc is at 6.5% and the Greens at 5.2%. Carney continues to have a significant advantage over Poilievre on the preferred PM tracking. Economic concerns remain most cited at 21.2%, followed by cost pressures at 12.4%.

Pierre Poilievre seeks 'urgent' ethics committee probe of B.C. 'condo bailout'

Yeah, no kidding. QuicksandPierreTM is desperate to change the channel to talk about anything and everything other than his failed leadership. 

That's why it's URGENT, alright, for him to push for an ethics committee probe. Can't you just hear him screaming and pleading with his MPs that he can still win! Except, he hasn't won, ever. Nice try, though. 

Nanos Research.

LPC: 44%

CPC: 30%

NDP: 12%

BQ: 7%

GPC: 5%