Hey Democrats: Can You Say Your Next Nominee?

In two words, Jon Ossoff.

Liaison.

Incroyable, mais vrai. More of that PP ballot-box poison:

Those numbers trended in the opposite direction for the Conservative leader [Pierre Poilièvre], who saw his favourability rating fall 2% to 37%, with his disapproval rating increasing three percentage points to 50%.

CPC: The Question On Every Conservative's Mind.

What would he do?

The Honourable Wayne Long

Secretary of State (Canada Revenue Agency and Financial Institutions)

Represents the riding of Saint John—Kennebecasis

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Date modified:

2026-01-09

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Carney: It's A National Trend.

From: Léger

https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:VA6C2:e7b3e6bb-7ec0-4ef4-9e38-7ee98097d42f

PP: More Of The Same...

From: Opinions & Ratings.

Does Mark Carney Have Higher Public Approval Than Pierre Poilievre?

Pierre Poilievre Approval Rating 2026 Polls  

Pierre Poilievre vs Mark Carney Approval Comparison  

Mark Carney currently holds a relatively stable public standing with approval ranging between 50% and 56% according to recent polling aggregates. His disapproval remains contained in the 30% to 40% range, indicating a broadly favorable but not unchallenged public perception. This places him in a net positive position across most demographic and regional breakdowns, with support appearing consistent across both male and female voters.

Pierre Poilievre, by contrast, records approval levels between 33% and 38%, reflecting a more constrained base of positive sentiment. His disapproval ranges from 50% to 60%, indicating that a majority of respondents hold an unfavorable view of him across most surveys. The resulting gap between approval and disapproval underscores a persistent imbalance in overall public reception.

Gender patterns show a clear divergence between the two leaders. Carney performs strongly among women, with approval consistently above the mid-50s and peaking within his overall range, while Poilievre’s favorability among women remains significantly lower and closer to his national average. Among men, Carney maintains a modest but consistent advantage, while Poilievre’s support does not fully close the gap even in his relatively stronger demographic segments.

Regionally, Carney’s support is strongest in British Columbia, where approval approaches the upper end of his range, while Alberta shows comparatively higher disapproval within his overall 30% to 40% band. Poilievre’s regional performance peaks modestly in Western provinces but weakens in Quebec, where his unfavorability is most pronounced.

Age dynamics further differentiate the two. Poilievre’s strongest support appears among voters aged 35 to 49, but his approval weakens notably among younger voters aged 18 to 34 and seniors aged 65 and above, where disapproval reaches the upper end of his national range. Carney, in contrast, maintains more even support across age groups within his 50% to 56% approval band.

Would You Buy A Used Car From PP?

From: the deep dive.ca

Conservative Pundit On Poilievre: “Right Now, Who He Is Will Not Be Prime Minister”

Poilievre’s favourability had fallen to 33% in April 2026, down from 40% in January 2024. Among 2025 Conservative voters, his favourability remained high at 75%, but that was also down from 88% the previous summer.

Conservative pundit on Poilievre: "Right now, who he is will not be Prime Minister"

PP Doesn't Give A Shit About The Party Or YOUR Re-Election.

Liaison:

As for the party leaders themselves, Liaison found that Carney clearly remains voters’ top choice. The new poll found that the prime minister has a +20 rating (57 per cent approval, 37 per cent disapproval), while Poilievre has a –12 rating (37 per cent favourable, 49 per cent unfavourable), and Lewis has a +3 rating (26 per cent favourable, 23 per cent unfavourable).

Léger.

LPC: 48%

CPC: 34%

NDP: 6%

BQ: 6%

GPC: 4%

The Poilievre paradox: Voters agree with everything he says but can't bring themselves to support him.

From: MastermindQuotes.com

The Poilievre paradox: Voters agree with everything he says but can't bring themselves to support him

Why CUSMA Is Already Dead And What Should Come Next.

I thought I would bring you up to date on what's really going on with CUSMA, which will be referred to as USMCA going forward. USMCA was negotiated by the first Trump Administration as a replacement for NAFTA, which, at the time, Trump called the worst trade deal ever negotiated by the United States. That comment should have told us all we needed to know about how Trump handles trade disputes: he mostly complains but also bullies to get his way and moves the goalposts at will, and that's precisely what the Administration is doing now. The formal USMCA renewal date is July 1, 2026, with Trump having three options to choose from: the United States can cancel USMCA on six months' notice; it can be reviewed annually over ten years, or it can be renewed for the next sixteen years. 

Anyone who is even mildly sentient already knows what Trump will do because he has telegraphed it multiple times: he wants a bilateral with Canada similar to one already being negotiated with Mexico, but only on a win-lose basis where Canada caves and gives in on supply management, cultural industries, Chinese EVs and a host of other issues. Trump probably already knows that no self-respecting PM could possibly agree to such terms, so, in essence, there goes the potential bilateral. 

So, what should Canada do next? Given the fact that Dom is a lousy negotiator and his boss lives up to the nickname CluelessCarneyTM, from the bottom of my heart, I'll show them the way forward in this country's best interests: under the WTO's GATT trading principles, Canada should put our industries first when it comes to low-cost imports. All tariffs, with the exception of those on our national security industries, should be dropped unilaterally to 0% to serve as a mechanism to cushion Canadian businesses in this new world where there is no longer a trade agreement with the United States. In crucial areas such as steel, aluminum, lumber, auto parts, pork, and canola, the definitive tariff rate would be negotiated between Ottawa and industry representative lobby groups. In short, the rate should be whatever they can live with while still making a respectable profit. These rates would not affect anti-dumping or countervailing duties already in place unless both industry and the government agreed to modifications. 

Broadly speaking, under MFN rules, these 0% tariffs would apply to all WTO member nations except for countries subject to a specific exemption or in cases where an exemption is proposed by the federal government.

Alberta Referendum: Why The Separatists Will Win!

Let’s start with one of the questions, the one concerning separation:

Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta initiate the legal process provided for in the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should secede from Canada?

I want to make it clear and confirm my support for Smith’s decision to organize this initial referendum. Like her, I believe that Albertans must be heard and that, had the government blocked this initiative, the consequences for national unity would have been both immediate and disastrous. 

Let us now turn to the reasons why I think the separatists will win. They start with 35 percent support for their option. Add to that a vague question, which does not require constitutional negotiations on separation to take place immediately after the referendum, and the final outcome will be chaotic, to say the least. 

 I think the separatists will urge federalist Albertans to send a message to Ottawa by voting ‘Yes’, and if they play their cards right, it won’t be too difficult for them to secure the 15 percent plus one vote they need to get a win. People will be told that it's ‘risk-free’ to vote ‘Yes’ now, and then vote ‘No’ later. This will be a distortion of the well-known refrain that ‘the West wants in’. 

If the ‘Yes’ vote wins, the danger to the Canadian federation will grow rapidly: we know Trump and what he is capable of. I expect his Administration to maintain, at the very least, close ties with the Alberta separatists. Trump has his eye on Alberta’s oil and gas; he might therefore suggest that an independent Alberta could benefit from a fast-track process to achieve statehood, which would pose a problem for the ‘remain’ option. If such a scenario were to unfold, I think Albertans would probably welcome this offer and might, in the end, accept Trump’s offer.

 But let’s get back to the question: if the ‘Yes’ vote wins, it will mean that Smith must resign as UCP leader. Let’s not forget that, on the face of it, she is the head of the federalist camp and its principal advocate in the province. Her party’s members are split into two equal camps on this issue. So… if the ‘No’ vote loses, there's no way Smith can stay on as Premier. 

To sum up: I have a sinking feeling that the ‘Yes’ vote will win. And as a result, this vote will change the course of history in Alberta and in the other Canadian provinces and territories. 

Time To Ratchet Up The Pressure.

You can count on me. Fresh off Rodriguez and now PP is next. God bless the CPC. Time to win again without Pierre keeping us in the ditch.

UK: Starmer Is G-O-N-E!

Now, at least, Labour will have a fighting chance. I prefer the Conservatives but can live with another Labour win if that's what it takes to keep Reform out. No offense, Nigel.

UK: Oh, Christ.

From: The Daily Mail.

An Opinium poll:

He [Burnham] recorded a net acceptability score of +8, ahead of John Healey (-8), Al Carns (-10) and Wes Streeting (-16).

But Mr. Burnham's standing [with the public] has fallen by 12 points since May, representing the largest decline among Sir Keir's possible replacements.

And then there's this: 

When asked who would be the best PM, voters narrowly chose Mrs. Badenoch over Sir Keir by 23 per cent to 22 per cent, while Mr. Farage also maintains a narrow lead over Sir Keir (27 per cent to 26 per cent).

In both cases, around four in ten respondents choose neither option.

But look at voting intention: 

PCC : Réveillez-vous, bande de poltrons !

Je suis désolé de devoir énoncer une évidence, mais le caucus conservateur s’est, dans l’ensemble, montré lâche. Non seulement avons-nous déjà perdu QUATRE élections d’affilée – comme si cela était acceptable pour un politicien du PCC sérieux et réfléchi –, mais même cette réalité ne suffit pas à inciter nos députés à s’opposer à notre chef. 

Je tiens à vous rappeler à tous que la machine du Parti libéral est l’organisation politique la plus efficace du monde occidental. Lorsqu’ils étaient en difficulté dans les sondages à l’automne 2024, ils savaient exactement quoi faire pour conserver le pouvoir : s’inspirant du courage de Long et s’appuyant sur cela étape par étape, l’opposition au chef s’est accélérée et finalement fait boule de neige jusqu’à ce qu’ils parviennent à forcer la main de Trudeau. Trudeau n’avait aucune intention de quitter, tout comme Poilièvre, mais son caucus lui a clairement fait comprendre que s’il ne démissionnait pas, un vote de non-confiance irait de l'avant pour le destituer. C’est pourquoi Trudeau a annoncé à contrecœur, en début de janvier, qu’il démissionnerait de son poste.

Il est tout à fait ridicule qu’un simple membre du parti – insignifiant, inconnu et sans importance – doive servir d’outil aux dissidents. Je n’arrive tout simplement pas à croire qu’aucun député n’ose s’opposer publiquement à Pierre. Votre comportement est bien plus que honteux. Contrairement à vous, les transfuges passent pour des saints. De toute évidence, vous vous fichez complètement de notre parti. Si ce n’était pas le cas, vous lui accorderiez la priorité et feriez tout ce qui est nécessaire pour être dans la course lors des élections surprises de fin d’automne, qui auront lieu juste après le référendum en Alberta et les élections au Québec.

Je terminerai avec une citation de Heseltine :

« La politique, c’est comme le jardinage : il faut être impitoyable. »

Alors, passons à l’action. Débarrassons-nous de PP maintenant.

CPC: Wake Up, You Gutless Cowards!

I'm sorry, I have to state the obvious, but the Conservative caucus has, on the whole, shown itself to be cowardly. Not only have we already lost FOUR elections in a row – as if that was acceptable to any serious and thoughtful CPC politician – but even that is not enough to get our MPs to stand up to the leader. 

I would remind you all that the Liberal Party machine is the most effective political organization in the Western world. When they were struggling in the polls in the fall of 2024, they knew exactly what to do to keep power: drawing inspiration from Long’s courage and building on that step by step, opposition to the leader grew and then snowballed until they forced Trudeau’s hand. Trudeau had no intention of leaving, just like Poilièvre, but caucus made it clear to him that if he did not resign, a vote of no confidence would be held to remove him. That is why Trudeau reluctantly announced, in early January, that he would quit as leader.

It is totally ridiculous that an ordinary party member – insignificant, unknown and of no importance – should have to carry the water for the dump PP crowd. I simply cannot believe that not a single MP dares to publicly take on Pierre. Your behaviour is worse than shameful. Compared to you, the turncoats look like saints. Clearly, you couldn’t care less about this party. If that weren’t the case, you would put it first and do whatever it takes to be in contention for the surprise late-fall election, which will occur right after the referendum in Alberta and the election in Quebec.

I’ll conclude with a quote from Heseltine:

‘Politics is like gardening: you have to be ruthless.’

So, let’s get on with it. Remove PP now.

Starmer expected to resign on Monday and set out orderly exit.

They got Starmer. About time. The UK needs a moderate-centrist government, and they won't get that with Reform UK.

From: The Observer

"One Labour peer, who is close to the prime minister, insisted Starmer would not “walk away” from No 10, creating a vacuum but would “arrange a deliberate slow march in good order, as a matter of duty and dignity”. The friend said: “I think he sees the realities. Stopping ‘chaos’ (as he rightly put it) is now not possible by staying, so that only leaves one option. I think he has come to see it as the dutiful option to serve the country and the party.”

"Another Labour grandee said the prime minister now appeared “resigned” to stepping down. “He’s come up hard against the reality that the support isn’t there,” the source said. “The truth is, everyone knows this is no longer a tenable proposition. There’s a sadness about it all, of course, but sometimes there’s just an inevitability in politics and as Boris Johnson said, ‘When the herd moves it moves’.” [emphasis added].

A cabinet minister said Starmer was “calmly going through things” after a series of highly personal conversations with his closest allies over recent days. “He just wants to do what’s right for the country and, having spoken to the people he wants, he is now spending quality time with his most important adviser – Vic,” the minister said.

Oh Look! PP Is Still CPC Party Leader.

What a bunch of cowardly fools we have in caucus. What a laugh I'll get when we blow our fifth election in a row in late fall. We deserve everything we get in this party. Carney must thank his lucky stars. I'll bet even he didn't expect us to be that stupid... 

Burnham Wins Makerfield!

Starmer should go by Monday. If he doesn't, expect a considerable number of cabinet ministers to resign. Looks like a done deal.

Nanos Research.

LPC: 43%

CPC: 31%

NDP: 12%

BQ: 7%

GPC: 6%