Are The Latest Iowa Polls The Beginning Of The End For Trump's Candidacy?

To me, things are starting to look like a Republican iceberg, with most of what's next to come seemingly below the water line. You could also potentially call it the first break in the Trump dam. If you really want to know where it's at when it comes to caucuses and primaries, the thing to do is track local polls closely to see if the centre holds or if the sand is shifting.

The Iowa polls have been all over the place -- with Trump leading others with percentages as high as 67% (against Pence) and as low as 42% (three times, against DeSantis) -- but the latest poll from The Trafalgar Group has Trump leading DeSantis 42-16%, that's a twenty-six point lead. But the real story is the remaining 42%. They aren't yet moving as a block toward anyone else, but they don't want Trump either. Looks and smells like an iceberg to me.

Mind you, the national numbers aren't reflecting the change: Trump is ahead of his rivals by forty-six points in the latest CBS News/YouGov poll, which puts him at 62%.

As for the politicians, Christie is attacking Trump at every opportunity, telling reporters that Trump is a coward and scared of him. That's apparently why Trump will skip the debate stage next Wednesday. Meanwhile, Cassidy, who voted to impeach Trump in the second Impeachment trial, is calling on Trump to leave the race. Cassidy says Trump can't beat Biden, according to polling. He also doubts that if Trump was convicted, that the latter could then go on and win a presidential race. 

And if all of this isn't enough, the icing on the cake is the supposed automatic disqualification from running for president as per the 14th Amendment. Only a fool wouldn't believe that January 6th wasn't an insurrection intent on keeping Trump in office, but there's potentially some wiggle room for Trump, whether he was an actual participant. Did he really engage in the insurrection? Well, he did call for people to go down to The Capitol and told them to fight like hell for their country. He never explicitly called for violence but was planning to go there himself until The Secret Service decided otherwise. So, in my mind, it isn't a lead pipe cinch linking Trump to the engagement process, but it isn't a totally unreasonable conclusion to draw either. Time and process will tell.

It's for sure that with a lot of legal balls in the air that that, in and of itself, doesn’t exactly strengthen Trump's grip on the nomination, so his re-nomination is not a certainty. Is it still probable? Sure it is, at least for now, but polls will ultimately tell the tale. Trump has to fear a massive coalescing around another candidate and IF that happens, then Trump likely will be done as dinner, much to the surprise of his most rabid and loyal supporters.

Keep your eye on the prize and watch for unexpected developments as the race unfolds. Sometimes, a debate performance actually changes the dynamics in a race while other times, a candidate has a good to great debate but then still loses. In short, anything, quite literally, is possible down the road. It remains to be seen if Trump is somehow once again destined to be the Republican standard-bearer against Biden. Don't take anything for granted. That's what the Iowa polling is telling us, at the very least. 

   

 

 

Trump: This Made My Day.

The Constitution bars Trump from holding public office ever again (msn.com)

DeSantis' Only Milestone.

Making Trump look good! What a riot. I pegged this guy early on as a Class1Asshole, and it looks like I wasn't off the mark. DeSantis has all the charisma of a shrivelled up leaf. I mean, can you think of any other Republican politician who can make Trump actually look good in comparison? Like it almost says in the bible: the self-exalted will be humbled, and DeSantis is getting plenty of that. Serves him right for sending immigrants to sanctuary cities without dishing out a cent to help them on the way, or when they get there. In short, a loser.

So...for once and only once, I'm siding with Trump. What belly laughs he must be having. And the plane thing in Iowa was perfect. Too precious. Once in a while, Trump can actually come up with something that doesn't suggest he's a blithering idiot. Once in a while.

I'll make it easy for DeSantis: stop wasting everyone's time by continuing your joke of a candidacy. For God's sake, suspend your campaign before you come off even more stupid than you already look. Is that even possible?  LOL.

DeSantis, the gift that keeps on giving to Trump, not to mention the Biden campaign. 

Twitter Postings: Trudeau-Grégoire.

Good God. I don't even want to read this stuff, it's that bad. Endless speculation about who allegedly slept with whom, and stories galore about both of them. I mean, everything you can think of, conjure up, has literally been thrown into the mix. It's already a fucking tsunami...

I've never been known as a Trudeau fan, per se. Basically, I tolerated him as leader during my Liberal Party membership days. In short, what I wrote was for the team, so that we could increase our chances of winning, period.

But Jesus, this is too much. In the words of Joseph Welch:

Telford: Tilting At Windmills.

You know Telford, there's quite literally nothing that she wouldn't do to save the sorry ass of the most incompetent and phoney prime minister this country has ever had. She has less than nothing to work with, but that doesn't stop her: making up things about CPC policies and what her so-called crystal ball sees if Pierre forms the next government.

Just call her Tilting At Windmills Telford. Sums it up pretty nicely. Whatever cred she had, in the beginning, is long gone. Everyone knows that. But that won't stop Telford. She is already way beyond desperate to save this imbecile, not to mention her own job. There's no litmus test for her, and it shows. Whatever HimselfTM does automatically is always perfectly dandy for her. After all, you know, the only thing that authentically concentrates the mind is the job in DC. Madam must lick her lips and her mouth must water at the prospect. So...in the end, the ever-dutiful servant will do whatever it takes to get there. Remember how the old man Trudeau got his last patronage licks in just before the hapless Turner took the wheel? And we all know how that story turned out. 

Sanity, fiscal responsibility and good ethical government are on the way. No wonder Telford is desperate to propagate her foolish stories and outright fictional scenarios. Let's just say that she and her boss are made for each other, politically speaking. It's way, way, beyond a perfect match. Too bad for them that most Canadians see past their bullshit. But hey, by all means, keep trying.

 

The Big Tough Guy Is Scared Shitless In Private.

Too funny. I'm surprised that Trump hasn't already repeatedly shit his pants. Yeah right, "I'm" going to be coming after you. Right. Not this coward. All this idiot does is serially manipulate his followers and disciples, hoping like hell that a minority of them will do dirt work for him. 

Every candidate has deranged and psychotic supporters, but anyone with a brain does their utmost to keep these loons and crazies under control. Not Donald J. Trump. Not him. Egging them on is definitely not the way to go. 

He loves the conspiracy theories, the bullshit that Biden is not president, all of it. And he cares not, to use a Kennedyism, what serious consequences might flow from his behaviour. 

These crazy fuckers are great at intimidation, making death threats, and mailing strange things to politicians, strategists and other party operatives. One day, some nut bar will go too far and Trump will have to live with the consequences. 

The Big Man is well on his way to locking up the Republican nomination. But only the most delusional TrumpANon actually believes that an election win realistically is in the cards. So, by all means, let Trump get it and then watch that fucker more than likely go down in flames in the general, as he so richly deserves. 

Marriage: Don't Let It Be Dangerous.

A lot of people have poor judgment. They either don't see the serial red flags, or they prefer l'aveuglement volontaire. What can I say?

Anger, when not controlled can be dangerous for oneself and those around them. 

That's why it has no place in a marriage. Canadians know that would be dangerous.

An unsound marriage is not who Canadians are. Canadians put love and respect above all else, so not to ever go there. Good on them. That's always instinctively the right thing to do.