CPC: Not Crossing But Doing Damage.

The OLO is really earning their pay these days. What can I say? Jeneroux apparently met with Carney but, in the end, didn't fully trust the Liberals. Imagine that. Not that paragon of virtue?

All of this confirms that Pierre remains in control. But some are visibly uncomfortable in caucus. What else is new? So, the delicate internal party dance continues all the way to the leadership review vote in Calgary next January. It won't affect perceptions internally in caucus, but it will create doubt about voting Conservative next time. No question that Pierre will make it to the next election. What happens then, likely next spring, is anyone's guess.

And the other fun thing: Carney seems to have no interest in poaching NDP MPs.

d'Entremont Is The First But Also The Last.

Sure, about a dozen CPC MPs are uncomfortable with the leader's style and some of the party's positions. But take it from me, no one else will cross the floor from Conservative Party ranks. This is a one-and-done. Poor Carney, that will make him flaccid. 

d'Entremont.

A resignation without honour. Opportunistic, but also a sad reflection of our party's relationship with caucus. He'll fit right in with the Carney Liberals. And I don't mean that as a compliment.

Élections au Québec en 2026.

En résumé, après avoir consulté les sondages, on peut affirmer sans risque que tous les partis politiques se réjouissent que les élections n'aient lieu qu'à l'automne prochain. Le PQ serait en perte de vitesse au profit de QS. Quant au PLQ, il n'a pas enregistré d'augmentation significative de son soutien. Les libéraux semblent être dans une impasse avec l'électorat. Enfin, le parti sortant continue de perdre du terrain, le PCQ occupant désormais la troisième place dans les sondages. Il n'est pas déraisonnable de conclure que tant que le premier ministre restera en fonction, la CAQ n'aura aucune chance de revenir au pouvoir. C'est une question d'ego individuel, si vous voulez.

Aucun des partis ne semble capable de trouver la formule magique qui lui permettra de se démarquer dans les sondages. Je connais la réponse. Les élections se gagnent avec un programme positif et rassembleur, et non avec des campagnes fondées sur la peur ou l'isolationnisme. Il faut tenir ses promesses économiques en montrant que si l'on vote pour un parti en particulier, on sera mieux loti individuellement et collectivement que si l'on vote pour un autre parti. Et voilà : les Québécois veulent un pouvoir d'achat plus élevé et des impôts moins élevés. Essentiellement, comme le disait Parizeau. Le reste est secondaire. Le sentiment qui prévaut dans la province est celui du changement. Ce qui manque pour l'instant, c'est la personne qui en sera le messager. Le PLQ fait le tour des régions. Les autres partis devraient en faire autant. On recherche quelqu'un qui mérite la confiance de l'électorat. Pour l'instant, les citoyens du Québec sont encore en délibération. Le bon choix sera connu au plus tard l'été prochain. 

Abacus: Ontario - Liberals And Conservatives TIED.

I was always skeptical about the CPC making significant inroads in Ontario, especially with Pierre as leader. In short, at least according to this poll, he has. Both the Liberals and Conservatives are tied at forty-four percent. As for leading, the CPC is ahead across the board in the West and is competitive in Atlantic Canada. Even in Quebec, they are only two points behind the BQ, which is good. The LPC leads in both Atlantic Canada and Quebec. 

The Conservatives win all voting demographics except two: only 60+ years old and female voters prefer the Liberals. 

As for the national numbers: CPC: 42%, LPC: 40%, NDP: 8%, BQ: 6%, GP: 3% and PPC: 1%.

One wonders about the methodology of some of the other pollsters who aren't capturing this trend. Ontario and Atlantic Canada are the likely places to keep pushing. 

But all of the above may be irrelevant if the NDP choose to prop up Carney. If they do, that could mean four more years of Liberal government. 

Davies: Abstentions Allowed.

Well, there you go. Three NDP MPs will abstain or not show up, and the CarneyCircusTM will survive. Didn't think the NDP was this stupid. Now, they've guaranteed that the Liberals stay in power for another four years. 

HouseOfCardsCarneyTM...

Carney's pathetic. Now, he's apologized to Trump for the ad. What a wet blanket. This guy has absolutely no clue how to stick up for Canada's interests. As soon as the weather gets stormy, Carney is an automatic cave. What a useless prime minister. 

Look, Carney, let me clue you in: you're supposed to fight tooth and nail for Canadian interests. You're supposed to give only when it's reciprocal -- which it never is with Trump. You have to fight like hell just to get an OK deal with the Americans. That's reality, Mark. Thank God that Ford has the guts to take Trump on. Someone has got to work in Canada's interests, given that Carney can't successfully negotiate his way to a White House bathroom...

NINE MONTHS LATER, and Carney still has nothing to show for the negotiations. All Carney can bring back is the big goose egg. Man, oh man, now that's way beyond hopeless. Hope we get to an election because this guy needs to be replaced yesterday. Put someone in there who'll actually fight for Canada instead of being Trump's ever-compliant flunky. Carney stinks as prime minister.