Abacus: Ontario - Liberals And Conservatives TIED.

I was always skeptical about the CPC making significant inroads in Ontario, especially with Pierre as leader. In short, at least according to this poll, he has. Both the Liberals and Conservatives are tied at forty-four percent. As for leading, the CPC is ahead across the board in the West and is competitive in Atlantic Canada. Even in Quebec, they are only two points behind the BQ, which is good. The LPC leads in both Atlantic Canada and Quebec. 

The Conservatives win all voting demographics except two: only 60+ years old and female voters prefer the Liberals. 

As for the national numbers: CPC: 42%, LPC: 40%, NDP: 8%, BQ: 6%, GP: 3% and PPC: 1%.

One wonders about the methodology of some of the other pollsters who aren't capturing this trend. Ontario and Atlantic Canada are the likely places to keep pushing. 

But all of the above may be irrelevant if the NDP choose to prop up Carney. If they do, that could mean four more years of Liberal government.