Saturday, 30 March 2024

Carbon Tax Common Denominator: Hypocrisy All Around.

The carbon tax isn't really a problem in Canada. Rather, it's the self-awareness of governments and politicians that's way beyond hypocritical. Let's start with the Trudeau Liberals: talk about chutzpah, they've exempted home heating oil purchases in Atlantic Canada, while raising the tax by twenty-three percent on April 1st.

As for the Conservatives, it's party policy to scrap the carbon tax without illuminating what would potentially replace it. Put another way, it's question mark time. To be fair, Poilièvre has said that he'd approve clean energy and emissions-reducing projects and streamline regulation-red tape. So, that's better than nothing. But is it enough? The jury's still out on that one. Voters will decide.

Now here's one that's really rich: Danielle Smith fervently opposes the carbon tax -- not just the April 1 increase -- and is likely to challenge it in the courts. But wait for it. Take all of that in while noting that she's OK with raising the provincial fuel tax! Cognitive dissonance at its finest. Talk about backbone time for your average Albertan: will they drink the double-standard (Kool-Aid®), or will they turn on their government when the provincial hike goes ahead? Don't hold your breath.

Meanwhile, Canadians have largely soured on the tax, or at least the April 1 increase, according to two recent polls from Léger and Angus Reid Forum. In the Léger poll, sixty-nine percent of those polled were against raising the tax, while the ARF poll found that fifty-four percent backed the Saskatchewan government's decision to no longer collect the tax on Ottawa's behalf.

For my part, I favour the carbon tax as a temporary national measure. I would prefer that we move to a provincial-and-territorial-wide cap-and-trade system; like they have in Quebec and BC. However, to raise the tax during such difficult economic times is sheer lunacy. People are already hard-pressed enough. More are likely living pay cheque to pay cheque than ever before. And to have exempted Atlantic Canada from the tax, just to get desperately needed votes? Words fail me, other than obscenities. 




Sunday, 24 March 2024

Will Trump Drop Dead Before November?

Mr. (Big Mac®) isn't in the best of health. Imagine the pressure on Trump as he struggles to come up with 464 million dollars in the New York Trump Organization case. Meanwhile, he says he's got 500 million in cash. Either way, Trump has to personally pay up by next Monday's deadline.

And then there's the E. Jean Carroll case, where Trump must pay her 92 million. In that case, Trump secured a bond. The former president must be positively seething. Never good for a 77-year-old man.

Meanwhile, there are a bunch of retiring Representatives in the House and Senate. Some of them are against Trump: Senator Romney is leaving and doesn't support Trump. Others, like Murkowski, Collins and Young, agree but are sticking it out in DC. 

So, the pressure's on Trump. If I was Trump, I'd be seeing my doctor at least twice a year. Otherwise...

In short, don't be surprised if Trump drops dead. The odds? One in three and heading for one in two. 

Them's the breaks, I suppose.
 

Sunday, 17 March 2024

Americans Play Right Into Putin's Hands.

Putin can't wait for November 5th. It will be a day when the United States rips itself apart and becomes even more polarized than it already is -- in an ideal world, neither Biden nor Trump would have been selected as a party nominee because of the way each is literally hated by the other's partisans and supporters. This has become a blood feud with no room for compromise or accommodation. In short, down the path the United States will go to a likely civil war, no matter who wins.

Like I said a million times before, the day the average, every day, American decided to put cult and party above country is the day that America was destroyed as an effective force for good over evil. Trump and, yes, even Biden are far too polarizing to be nominees. Neither should be running again in 2024.

Meanwhile, guess who's sitting in Moscow waiting for the most divisive results in American electoral history. Picture it: Americans are bitterly divided and violent skirmishes start to break out across the United States. Whoever wins the election, and right now it looks like Trump, will have to deal with this where potentially millions of innocent Americans will end up being victims of violence from one side's supporters or the other. 

So...hello! With America distracted, the road will be open for Putin to invade NATO in Europe if he so chooses. The United States will be unable to stop him due to the violence and chaos at home. This is the nirvana scenario for Putin: he's watching the average American practically tearing his or her shirt or blouse off in favour of their side. He just can't wait for the election. It'll be a great day for Putin. 

As a result, WWIII will come a lot faster than otherwise would have been the case. But without American help, unlike the last two times, Europe will be doomed. Democracy is a cause that can only survive and prosper when the United States takes the lead. If my name is Putin, I'm probably already broadly smiling...


Saturday, 16 March 2024

Macron, The Lincoln of Europe.

No star shines brighter than Macron. He is the man for the job, the champion of democracy and the undisputed political leader in Europe and the West. 

As the Americans say: Macron has met the moment. For him, the war in Ukraine is already European, a question of collective security on the continent. Again, American-style, we can fight them now, or fight them later, but most certainly, we will inevitably fight them. 

Macron knows instinctively that Putin is a man who will stop at nothing on European soil. Chechnya, Georgia and now Ukraine. That's why he supports the deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine. He sees Putin's true intentions. 

As Chamberlain said: force must be met with force. Force remains the only counterweight to force. I would even go so far as to say that, given the political, diplomatic and military positions adopted by the Élysée Palace, Putin cannot hope to win this war. The occupation of Ukraine becomes almost impossible in this context. 

Putin now feels cornered. That's why he is threatening nuclear retaliation if NATO sends troops to Ukraine. It is largely thanks to Macron that there is now public talk of Ukraine's inevitable admission not only to the European Union, but also NATO. In other words, the die has already been cast. 

No one can claim that Macron is a coward. This is not the case in some other European capitals. This man will occupy a special place in history. When the disaster of fascism was almost upon us, Macron was there to defend democracy. Long live Macron!

Macron : le Lincoln de l'Europe.

Aucune étoile ne brille plus fort que Macron. Il est l'homme de la situation, le champion de la démocratie et le leader politique incontesté en Europe et en Occident.

Comme le disent les Américains : Macron a rencontré le moment. Pour lui, la guerre en Ukraine est déjà européenne, une question de sécurité collective sur le continent. Encore une fois, à l'américaine, nous pouvons les combattre maintenant, ou les combattre plus tard, mais très certainement, nous les combattrons inévitablement. 

Macron sait d'instinct que Poutine est un homme qui ne recule devant rien sur le sol européen. Tchétchénie, Géorgie et présentement Ukraine. C'est pourquoi il soutient le déploiement des troupes de l'OTAN en Ukraine. Il voit venir les véritables intentions de Poutine. 

Comme le disait Chamberlain : à la force doit répondre la force. La force reste le seul contrepoids à la force. Je dirais même que, compte tenu des positions politiques, diplomatiques et militaires adoptées par l'Élysée, Poutine ne peut espérer gagner cette guerre. L'occupation de l'Ukraine devient presque impossible dans ce contexte. 

Poutine se sent désormais acculé. C'est pourquoi il menace d'une riposte nucléaire si l'OTAN envoie des troupes en Ukraine. C'est en grande partie grâce à Macron que l'on parle actuellement publiquement de l'admission inévitable de l'Ukraine non seulement à l'Union européenne, mais aussi à l'OTAN. En d'autres termes, les dés sont déjà jetés. 

Personne ne peut prétendre que Macron est un lâche. Ce n'est pas le cas dans plusieurs d'autres capitales européennes. Cet homme occupera une place particulière dans l'histoire. Lorsque le désastre du fascisme était quasiment à nos portes, Macron était là pour défendre la démocratie. Longue vie à Macron !

Friday, 15 March 2024

יש צורך בבחירות חדשות בישראל.

שומר רואה את עצמו כאפוטרופוס של ישראל ורואה בעמדה זו רק שני לנאמנותו העיקרית לארצות-הברית. לכן הוא רוצה לראות בבחירות, כפי שהוא רואה בנתניהו מכשול לשלום עם הפלסטינים.

ביבי אינו ראוי לכהן כראש-ממשלה - לא אחרי טבח 7-אוקטובר הנורא. נתניהו היה צריך להתפטר מיד.

אבל הפתעה, הפתעה, נתניהו הלא-פופולרי עדיין שם, מנסה להשפיע. החוצפה המוחלטת של האיש.

אתה מבין, נתניהו עובד רק בשביל עצמו, ותו לא. שיקולים ישראליים הם במקרה הטוב משניים. נתניהו עוסק רק בשני דברים: אחיזת ברזל בשלטון, בלי קשר לפופולריות או אי-פופולריות. הדבר החשוב היחיד בשבילו הוא להישאר מחוץ לכלא.

אז נתניהו דוחף את המתכת בעזה בלחימה במחבלי חמאס כאמצעי להשגת מטרה, ושומר את התחת שלו בכיסא ראש-הממשלה.

ואז יש את עניין בני הערובה. הוא באמת רוצה עסקה? הוא מדבר משחק טוב, אבל מה שחשוב הוא תוצאות. מה יקרה מבחינה פוליטית אם האנשים האומללים האלה יחזרו הביתה בהמוניהם? שאל את השאלה ואתה עונה עליה.

נכון, אף ראש-ממשלה לא יכול להרשות למנהיגות העליונה של חמאס לנצח, אבל אחרת, האם עסקה עדיין אפשרית? לא תחת הנהגתו של ביבי. בני-הערובה, או לפחות אלה שעדיין בחיים, ימשיכו להירקב בעזה כל עוד נתניהו משרת בירושלים.

אבל בחזרה לשומר: מה שהשומר אמר בציבור דרש הרבה אומץ. ובשביל ההנהגה הרפובליקנית, החל מקונל, לנזוף בו הוא צבוע.

הבעיה של שומר היא שכרגע אין די תמיכה בכנסת כדי להביס את הממשלה. כאן גנז וגלנט נכנסים לתמונה. הם צריכים לעזוב את ממשלת האחדות הלאומית אתמול כדי לתת תנופה זו. בלי זה נשאר נתניהו בתפקידו, נקודה.

ממשלה זו חייבת לשאת באחריות, והיא לעולם לא תתרחש כל עוד נתניהו יישאר ראש-ממשלה. אחד חושד שאף אחד לא יודע את זה יותר טוב מהאפוטרופוס.

Schumer: New Elections Needed In Israel.

Schumer considers himself a guardian of Israel and views that role as only second to his primary allegiance to the United States. That's why he's called for new elections, as he sees Netanyahu as an obstacle to peace with the Palestinians.

Of course, Schumer is on target: Bibi doesn't deserve to serve as Prime Minister-- not after the horrific bungle of October 7th -- where true accountability demanded that Netanyahu resign immediately.

But surprise, surprise, the wildly unpopular Netanyahu is still there, trying to hold sway. The unmitigated gall of the man.

You see, Bibi is all about Bibi, nothing more. The considerations of the Israeli people are at best secondary. Netanyahu is all about two things: holding an iron grip on power, come what may, and regardless of popularity or lack thereof. The only other important thing: staying out of jail.

So, Netanyahu pushes to the metal in Gaza against Hamas terrorists as a means to an end, namely to keep his ass in the prime minister's chair.

And then there's the matter of hostages. Does Bibi really want a deal? He talks a good game, but what counts is results. What would happen politically if those unfortunate people returned home en masse? To ask the question is to answer it. 

Sure, no Prime Minister can preside over an out for Hamas' top leadership, but short of that, is a potential deal still possible? I submit, not under Bibi's leadership. The hostages, or at least those who are still alive, will continue to rot in Gaza as long as Netanyahu presides in Jerusalem. 

But back to Schumer: what Schumer said publicly took incredible guts. And for the Republican leadership, beginning with McConnell, to rebuke him is the ultimate in hypocrisy, but hey, that is after all a Trump Republican thing...line up behind the devil or else.

Schumer's problem is that at present there's not enough support in the Knesset to unscramble the eggs. That's where Gantz and Gallant come in. They need to leave the national unity government yesterday to give this thing Big Mo. Without that, Netanyahu stays in office, period.

There needs to be true accountability for Bibi and his government, and that can never happen as long as Netanyahu remains as prime minister. One suspects no one knows that better than Schumer.