Trump: The Old Bastard Isn't Dead Yet.

Lucky us.

PLQ: Rodriguez a besoin d'un siège.

De : Qc125.com

	Cote						Meneur
Léger 2025-08-17, n=977	A+	17	26	9	35	10	PQ +9

Pablo doit se présenter cet automne. L'un de nos députés doit démissionner.

Too Bad I Was Never Disbarred...

I would also have liked to receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom, but I don't measure up.

Full Accountability For Trump Is Coming.

So far, no one has been able to hold Trump truly accountable, but it's coming. God is about to send him straight to Hell, where he belongs.

Trump And Tariffs.

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has struck down Trump's authority to impose tariffs but left them in place pending an appeal to the CIT or the SCOTUS. The 7-4 majority ruled that the Trump Administration's actions under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were unconstitutional. 

The court stated that power rested with Congress and that it alone possesses legislative authority to approve tariffs. However, Trump can lawfully impose tariffs under several other pieces of legislation already passed by Congress, and the latter could also ratify Trump's tariffs during the current session. Proposed legislation in the House and Senate will likely pass.

In short, the Trump Administration will prevail in the end.

Ideal Field For Next CPC Leader.

Ford

MacKay

Mulroney

Kenney

Moore

Deltell

Chong

Rempel Garner

Pounding Him Every Single Day Until He's G-O-N-E.

That's it. He so deserves it. Hope the PCs are thrilled.

Nanos.

Top Line Numbers:

Liberals: 44%

Conservatives: 35%

New Democrats: 11%

Even More Proof That Pierre Is A Political Disaster.

Yes, I AM full of myself and proud of it, given that I’m right again. The cult of personality is the most undefined factor in voter preference, far outpacing feelings about Trump.

From Nanos:

Preferred PM: Carney 53%, Poilièvre 27%. Only a TWENTY-SIX-point lead. Sounds familiar? Oh yes, we remember that thirty-point lead that Pierre blew.

Top Issue in Canadian politics: TRUMP: 22%.

https://nanos.co/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Political-Package-2025-08-22-FOR-RELEASE.pdf

The National Post: Hamm - PP Is So Back.

This reads like a hard-right Conservative wet dream. Here are a couple of gems to consider:

"Free speech, immigration, and gender ideology: Poilievre is going there in a way he hasn’t previously."

And then there's this: 

"The Abacus Data poll was also, of course, conducted before Poilievre 2.0 emerged. His lead will no doubt widen by the day. For it’s not just a change in strategy we are seeing from Poilievre — it’s a change to the exact strategy that his base had longed for after Trudeau’s resignation in January."  

Yeah, Poilièvre 2.0 Alright. Doing everything he possibly can to shrink our support to the true believer base, the ones that guarantee that we'll lose the next election if we listen to THEM. Clueless morons.

Let's see, who else concentrates on promoting free speech to only those who agree with them, demonizes immigrants and encourages hate speech against the transgender community? Oh yes, some fool named Trump. Hope he dies really soon, that hateful bastard-asshole. And the CPC and its leader are supposed to become more like him? With so-called thinking like that, we won't just lose the next election, we'll lose it spectacularly.

Tent shrinking: a perennial specialty of the CPC. Looks like there's no hope for most of these people. Carney must be in heaven.

Why Is Ford The Only One With Guts?

Yes, siree, Bob. There's only one politician with actual genuine guts in this country and his name is Ford. He has consistently maintained a hard line against the dying POS in DC. And I'll tell you another one: as soon as Carney's sucking off of Trump fails spectacularly, as it inevitably will, it will be Ford who will come to the rescue and save this federal dipshit by once again threatening, and if necessary actually cutting off hydro to the U.S. Spineless Legault should also be doing the same but he won't...

I'm sick of these three classes of political whores who are nothing more than economic traitors to this country: let's start with the first-class one named Smith, who has been eagerly willing to theoretically lick Trump's ass from Day One for nothing in return; draw your own conclusions. Then comes second-class Carney who's devoid of any real principles and who theoretically would sell out his own mother to get a deal with that fucker but won't get one. You know, to Hell with the planet on carbon, folding in the face of American tech giants on digital services, you get the consistent pattern. Put another way, willing to auction off Canada's vital interests just to get a deal that is not actually a deal, just like all of Trump's other so-called deals. He'll do exactly the same as soon as he provokes the next election. And finally, third-class Poilièvre who has no actual guts per se but who criticizes the other clown for pulling his principles when this guy has never had a list of actual counter-tariffs in the first place. A tough guy who's all hat and no cattle in Smith parlance but she loves him anyway...to this day we have no idea whatsoever what actual counter-tariffs this jerk would bring to bear against asshole Trump and that's deliberate on his part. A total useless phoney who the good people of Alberta have sadly inflicted upon the federal scene once again. In short, the ultimate loser at the federal level.

Ford better put his preferred personal preference aside and think about this country and how it's totally devoid of leadership. We're going to hell in a hand basket thanks to these three fools. He has no choice but to shut up about the prime ministerial dolt but he needs to get it in his head that that guy must go in the next election before he sells out the little that is left of Canadian sovereignty.

This country needs to count on someone who will always have our back and that person's name is definitely not Smith, Carney nor Poilièvre. When the election comes, you won't see me voting CPC or Liberal if these weaklings are still in place. Like I said, Ford has a lot of serious thinking to do and he better do that thinking fast in the name of this country, before Carney ends up selling us out for nothing of substance in return. Carney, Mr. Window Dressing.

Abacus Has The CPC Ahead.

From The National Post:

Interestingly, the CPC is at 41% while the LPC is two points back.

"Carney edges Poilievre (+18 vs. -2) in net favourability — a metric calculated by subtracting the percentage of people who have an unfavourable opinion from the percentage of people who have a favourable opinion — but Abacus CEO David Coletto said, “the Conservative coalition remains firm."

In short, the Conservatives are maintaining their level of support, but the tent is not growing. That's why this poll is not as significant as one might expect. As long as Pierre is unable to turn around his personal unfavourables, we don't have a chance in hell of winning the next election, no matter what the topline numbers say. My contention has always been that our leader can't and won't turn around his personal unfavourability rating.

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives Edge Ahead as Cost of Living Dominates and Trump Fades - Abacus Data

עזה: הפכה למספרים בלבד על הרעב.

 נתניהו מבין היטב שישראל סופגת מכה קשה בזירה הבינלאומית כאשר היא טוענת שאין רעב בעזה. כולם יודעים שזו שטות. השאלה היחידה היא האם הרעב הוא כללי או מוגבל. אין רעב בקרב מחבלי חמאס, בעוד שדיווחי התקשורת מראים בבירור את סבלם של האזרחים הסובלים מתת-תזונה. ואז מגיע משחק ההאשמות: ישראל, חמאס ואפילו האו"ם נושאים בחלק מהאחריות להידרדרות המצב בעזה.

נתניהו עדיין חי באשליה שהוא יכול לסיים את המלחמה הזאת בכיבוש העיר עזה. הוא גם מאמין שהוא יכול לחסל את לוחמי חמאס, וגם זה לא יקרה. המסכנים, בני הערובה שנותרו.

נתניהו הוא תלמיד גרוע בהיסטוריה: ישראל נכשלה בעבר בעזה ובלבנון. צפו לעוד מאותו הדבר. זה כמו הקיפאון והקיפאון במלחמת החפירות במלחמת העולם הראשונה. שני צדדים מפסידים, אין מנצחים. אף אחד מהצדדים לא באמת רוצה שלום ודו-קיום, ולכן זה לא מפתיע אף אחד.

غزة: تحولت إلى مجرد أرقام عن المجاعة.

نتنياهو يدرك جيداً أن إسرائيل تتعرض لضربة قوية على الصعيد الدولي عندما تدعي أنه لا توجد مجاعة في غزة. الجميع يعلم أن هذا هراء. السؤال الوحيد المطروح هو ما إذا كانت المجاعة عامة أم محدودة. لا توجد مجاعة بين إرهابيي حماس، في حين تظهر التقارير الإعلامية بوضوح معاناة المدنيين الذين يعانون من الهزال. ثم تأتي لعبة إلقاء اللوم: إسرائيل وحماس وحتى الأمم المتحدة تتحمل بعض المسؤولية عن تدهور الأوضاع في غزة.

لا يزال نتنياهو يعيش في وهم أنه يمكنه إنهاء هذه الحرب باحتلال مدينة غزة. كما يعتقد أنه يمكنه القضاء على مقاتلي حماس، وهذا لن يحدث أيضًا. أيها الرهائن الباقون المساكين.

نتنياهو طالب سيئ في التاريخ: لقد فشلت إسرائيل من قبل في غزة ولبنان. توقع المزيد من نفس الشيء. إنه مثل الجمود والجمود في حرب الخنادق في الحرب العالمية الأولى. خاسران، لا فائز. لا يريد أي من الطرفين السلام والتعايش حقًا، لذا لا يفاجئ هذا أحدًا.

Gaza: Reduced to Quantifying Famine.

Netanyahu knows only too well that Israel is taking a massive hit internationally when it claims that there's no famine in Gaza. Everyone knows that's bullshit. The only open question is whether it's generalized or isolated. There's no famine among Hamas terrorists, while media reports clearly show the suffering of civilians who are emaciated. And then comes the blame game: Israel, Hamas and even the UN bear some responsibility for the deteriorating conditions in Gaza.

Netanyahu remains deluded in his belief that he can end this war by occupying Gaza City. He also thinks he can stamp out Hamas fighters and that ain't happening either. Poor remaining hostages.

Netanyahu is a poor student of history: Israel has failed before both in Gaza and Lebanon. Expect much more of the same. It's like the stalemate and inertia of trench warfare in WWI. Two losers, no winner. Neither side really wants peace and coexistence, so none of this comes as a surprise to anyone. 

Trump's Health Is Rapidly Failing.

He has a lot to worry about related to his past personal conduct, and it's taking a devastating toll on him. It has already impacted his ability to walk, and his cognitive health has also been adversely affected. As a result, I will be surprised if Trump is still with us on January 1, 2026.

CUSMA: Poilièvre Is An Empty Suit On Counter-Tariffs.

Pierre is still as pathetic as he's always been. This guy is clueless when it comes to providing economic and trade strategic leadership on counter-tariffs. Almost five months since the election, and Poilièvre's only proposal is that you remove your tariffs, and we'll remove ours. That ain't leadership. He pushes using  “sustainable countermeasures” if the situation escalates into a trade war. Pathetic. And worse than that, he speaks of sustainable countermeasures without defining the sectors that would be affected by those reprisal tariffs. In short, he hasn't done his homework and is relying on sound bites that are simplistic and ineffective. Keep it up, Pierre. I love it when you demonstrate for all to see that you're not up to the job.  

Léger : Le PQ toujours en tête.

Rodriguez devra faire la preuve à l'automne qu'il est capable de gagner. Sinon, l'élan du Parti libéral du Québec suivra le même chemin que celui du Parti conservateur du Canada.

Powerpoint Template

God Doesn't Want This Guy As Our Next Prime Minister.

The Lord has a delicious sense of humour. Watching our support fade while Liberal numbers hold steady is delightful. And what must be especially galling for our poor excuse for a leader is that while our momentum rapidly deflates, most of those losses are going into the NDP column. Champagne and other social democrats are having a field day. Singh must be giddy with glee. 

When Trump Welcomes Carney's Moves On Counter Tariffs...

You KNOW that Canada is about to get rolled.

Guess Who Hates My Guts More Than Pierre Does?

Wait for it. He's called Carney.

He doesn't want Conservatives to give Poilièvre the heave-ho. He knows he would likely lose the next election if our leader was called something other than PP.

Angus Reid Institute Nails It.

 

The Leader Gets 80.4%.

The bigger they are, the harder they fall. 80.4% is big. 59% of the population turned out to vote, so the leader passes both tests. So, it's a good day for him.

However, he still faces two problems: there's no way our generic number will catch and surpass the Liberals, and secondly, his preferred prime minister metric has already sealed the deal for Carney — the leader is only twenty points behind and not closing in.

As a result, in the spring election, we will lose again, and Carney will get his majority. But it won't be all bad. Maybe if we get lucky, both Smith and our genius will elect domicile with the Orange Dipshit. I can dream, can't I?

The CPC Will Get A Glimpse Into Its Future Political Viability On Monday Night.

As usual, the commentariat and media will get it wrong. They'll be concentrating on whether the leader can reach or top eighty-three percent. But that's not what really counts. Sure to look reassuring, the leader has to come in somewhere above sixty-nine percent to remain politically viable. 

But the real deal will be about the voter participation rate: if voters really have high confidence in the leader, they should turn out to vote in much higher percentages than the usual byelection fifty percent. The turnout will speak volumes about the leader and the party's electoral future. The leader has to hit this one out of the ballpark; otherwise, he's already in serious trouble.

I expect an underwhelming and ego-busting turnout with far more protest votes than previously anticipated. So the number could come out unexpectedly bad. I'm hoping for thirty-five percent support. From my brain, heart and soul to God's ears. LOL. 

Air Canada: Carney Badly Fumbles The Ball On Flight Attendants' Strike.

Carney just lost the status of honest broker in negotiations between Air Canada and CUPE, the bargaining unit for flight attendants. Note that binding arbitration was the company's position, and so by siding with it, the federal government has demonstrated clear bias related to these contract negotiations.

Hajdu has ordered an end to the strike and for flight attendants to return to work. She has directed the CIRB to intervene to reach an agreement, and failing that, impose binding arbitration on the parties.  It's astonishing that, at the minister's press conference, no announcement was made about modifying the Canada Labour Code or providing the CIRB with terms of reference regarding this dispute. The Liberals blew it badly. Only Air Canada management is against all of its workers earning a living wage so that some of them can stop sleeping in their cars. What about cutting management's salaries across the board and using that money to fund better wages for flight attendants and others who are at the bottom of the pay scale? I can't believe Carney is this tone-deaf...

Meanwhile, the Conservatives previously introduced Bill C-409 to ban this practice, and the NDP pledged to reintroduce their former Bill in the next session of Parliament.

PLQ : Voyons donc !

Il est évident que le chef manque d'expérience en matière de stratégie politique. Je vais donc me permettre de répondre à sa place : il est clair que nos efforts dans cette circonscription ont été insuffisants et que nous n'avons pas présenté de raison claire et suffisante pour voter pour notre parti. Il y avait un sérieux manque d'organisation et de politiques spécifiquement adaptées aux problèmes et aux besoins particuliers de la région. Notre candidate était une personnalité locale, mais cela n'a pas suffi pour remporter la course.

Pablo nous dit : Nous avons dépassé la CAQ, nous sommes passés de la cinquième à la troisième place et nous avons presque triplé notre vote...  Et moi, je réponds : et alors ?

Terminer troisième dans une circonscription presque exclusivement francophone n'est pas un véritable exploit. Notre résultat n'est pas crédible au vu des défis qui nous attendent lors des prochaines élections. 

Avec un résultat aussi médiocre, Rodriguez devrait sérieusement repenser sa stratégie consistant à ne se présenter qu'aux prochaines élections générales. Nous avons besoin d'une victoire, et compte tenu des résultats dans d'Arthabaska, nous avons besoin de cette réussite le plus tôt possible.

L'élection partielle dans d'Arthabaska.

Pitoyable. Même pas un résultat respectable, troisième place… 9,25 %.

Nous avons quelques organisateurs nationaux à remercier.

It's Not Nice To Try And Serially Curtail My Freedom of Speech Right Now Is It...

LOL. I'm only getting warmed up. I'm a lot better at this than I've demonstrated so far. I'll pound you politically until you're gone. Count on it.

Abacus Poll: Our Leader Is Going Nowhere.

They can call Carney an empty suit, but he's the one with a net +19 approval rating. Our leader enjoys a +1 rating, and that number won't be improving ever. Sums things up pretty nicely, I'd say.

Abacus Data Poll: Canadian political opinions stable as trade talks continue - Abacus Data

עזה: הכחשת הרעב של נתניהו.

נתניהו הוא אמן תקשורת מיומן. הופעתו האחרונה במסיבת עיתונאים הייתה מבריקה. למרבה הצער, כפי שאתם יודעים, ביבי הוא שקרן מיומן. נתניהו דבק בהגדרה שאין בה שום הבדל מעשי: הוא קורא לזה "מחסור", בעוד שרובנו קוראים לזה "רעב ומוות", לא עבור ההמונים אלא עבור מספר רב של פלסטינים. בינתיים, אחרים ממשיכים לסבול מתת-תזונה בעזה.

ביבי מאשים את האו"ם בכך שהוא אינו מאפשר למשאית לעבור ברפיח ובנקודות כניסה אחרות. האו"ם טוען שזה בגלל שיקולי ביטחון. באשר למזון שכן נכנס, נתניהו אומר שרוב המזון נגנב על ידי לוחמי חמאס. החלק הזה אולי נכון. נראה לי שלוחמי חמאס ניזונים היטב. אך נתניהו, באופן מוזר, אינו נוגע בשתי נקודות: איך כוחות ההגנה הישראליים ירו על משאיות מזון לא מורשות, והתוצאה הסופית של 11 ימים שבהם ישראל סירבה לאפשר משלוחי מזון לעזה. 

אין לי זכות לטעון שישראל הרעיבה בכוונה את תושבי עזה. אך מדיניותה ככוח כובש הובילה לכך במקרים רבים. לכן, ישראל אחראית בעקיפין לחלק ממקרי הרעב. ביבי הציג את המקרים שנבחרו בקפידה במסיבת העיתונאים שלו, והפריך אותם. אבל אלה לא היו המקרים היחידים בעזה, והוא לא הצליח להפריך אותם. ישנה בעיה נוספת שלא ניתן להתעלם ממנה: כאשר חמאס גונב מזון, אזרחים סובלים מרעב. כתוצאה מכך, האחריות לרעב יכולה להיות מיוחסת בבירור הן לישראל והן לחמאס.

לבסוף, ישנה טענתו המגוחכת של נתניהו כי צה"ל יכול לנצח במלחמה זו. זה לעולם לא יקרה. זה לא קרה בווייטנאם, בעיראק או באפגניסטן. יותר משנתיים חלפו, וישראל לא קרובה יותר לניצחון במלחמה מאשר הייתה ביום הראשון לכניסת צה"ל לעזה. זה שטויות, וביבי יודע זאת היטב. אך זה הרבה יותר טוב מהאפשרות לפלוש לתא כלא.

غزة: حرمان نتنياهو.

نتنياهو بارع للغاية في التواصل. كان أداءه الأخير في مؤتمر صحفي بارعًا للغاية. للأسف، هو بيبي، كما تعلمون، كاذب بارع. يتشبث نتنياهو بتعريف لا يحدث فرقًا عمليًا: يسميه حرمانًا، بينما يسميه معظمنا مجاعة وموتًا، ليس للجماهير بل لعدد كبير من الفلسطينيين. في غضون ذلك، يواصل آخرون المعاناة من سوء التغذية في غزة.

بيبي يلوم الأمم المتحدة على عدم السماح للشاحنات بالعبور في رفح ونقاط الدخول الأخرى. الأمم المتحدة تقول إن ذلك كان بسبب مخاوف أمنية. أما بالنسبة للغذاء الذي يدخل، يقول نتنياهو إن إرهابيي حماس يسرقون معظمه. قد يكون هذا الجزء صحيحًا. يبدو لي أن ما يسمى بمقاتلي حماس يتغذون جيدًا. لكن نتنياهو، بشكل غريب، لا يتطرق إلى نقطتين: كيف أطلقت قوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية النار على شاحنات الغذاء غير المصرح بها، والنتيجة النهائية لأحد عشر يومًا رفضت فيها إسرائيل السماح بدخول شحنات الغذاء إلى غزة. 

ليس من حقي بالتأكيد أن أدعي أن إسرائيل تعمدت تجويع سكان غزة. لكن سياساتها كقوة احتلال أدت إلى ذلك في كثير من الحالات. لذلك، فإن إسرائيل مسؤولة بشكل غير مباشر عن بعض حالات المجاعة. قدم بيبي ملفاته المختارة بعناية في مؤتمره الصحفي، والتي دحضها. لكن تلك لم تكن الحالات الوحيدة في غزة، والتي يبدو أنه غير قادر على نفيها. هناك مشكلة أخرى لا يمكن تجاهلها وهي أن حماس عندما تسرق الطعام، يجوع المدنيون. ونتيجة لذلك، يمكن بوضوح إلقاء مسؤولية المجاعة على كل من إسرائيل وحماس.

أخيرًا، هناك ادعاء نتنياهو السخيف بأن جيش الدفاع الإسرائيلي يمكنه الفوز في هذه الحرب. هذا لن يحدث أبدًا. لم يحدث ذلك في فيتنام أو العراق أو أفغانستان. لقد مر أكثر من عامين، وإسرائيل لم تقترب من الفوز في الحرب أكثر مما كانت عليه في اليوم الأول لدخول جيش الدفاع الإسرائيلي غزة. هذا هراء، وبيبي يعرف ذلك جيدًا. لكنه أفضل بكثير من احتمال غزو زنزانة سجن.

Gaza: Netanyahu's Deprivation.

Netanyahu is extraordinarily effective as a communicator. His latest performance at a press conference was nothing short of masterful. Too bad, he's Bibi, you know, an accomplished liar. Netanyahu clings to a definition with no practical difference: he calls it deprivation while most of us call it starvation and death, not of the masses but for a significant number of Palestinians. Meanwhile, others remain malnourished in Gaza.

Bibi blames the UN for not allowing the trucks to cross at Rafah and other ports of entry. The UN states that it was due to security concerns. As for the food that does get in, Netanyahu says Hamas terrorists steal almost all of it. That part is probably true. The Hamas so-called fighters look well-fed to me. But Netanyahu does not deal strangely enough with two points: how unauthorized food trucks were allegedly fired up by the IDF, and the end result of eleven days when Israel refused to allow food deliveries into Gaza. 

It's certainly not my contention that Israel deliberately set out to starve Gazans. However, their policies as the occupier did lead to that end in many cases. So, Israel is indirectly responsible for some starvation. Bibi had his cherry-picked files at his press conference, which he refuted. However, those were not the only cases in Gaza, which he seemingly can't repudiate. The other elephant in the room is this: when Hamas steals the food, civilians starve. As a result, starvation can clearly be laid at the doorstep of both Israel and Hamas.

Finally, there's Netanyahu's ridiculous assertion that the IDF can win this war. It will never happen. That didn't occur in Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan. It's been almost two years, and Israel is no closer to winning the war than it was on the first day the IDF entered Gaza. It's bullshit and Bibi knows it only too well. Mind you, it's far better than possibly invading a jail cell.

What CPC Members Must Do If The Leader Wins The Leadership Review.

Our leader has a very poor self-image and, down to his bones, lacks confidence that he's actually up to the big job. It shows. He even publicly predicted that we might lose the election before the vote was counted, and he was dead on. People can't stand him and are turned off when he's on television. That's why his personal approval as potential prime minister has fallen so far that it now occupies a sacred position south of hell. Canadians and committed voters want nothing to do with him. Everyone knows it, even Conservative members and supporters, but they're so obedient, preparing once again to bend over to receive the leader's broomstick next January in Calgary. Put succinctly, at the convention we will put the finishing touches on our future loss to Carney: we will ratify our leader's continued leadership and then go down in flames in the spring when the PM pulls the electoral plug in search of a majority. 

For those of us who have seen through the leader's false confidence veneer, there will be but two choices: either go inactive and silent or leave the party and form our own. I'm leaning toward option two. I want to win -- nothing else matters, and I already know that I can't and WON'T with this leader. The 2025 election was the party's and the leader's high-water mark. It's all downhill from here, and party members can sense it's coming. 

Given that caucus will be the first to bend over to receive the leader's benediction, we can't count on them to remove him. They'll likely keep him in place with a "new" orientation and a phoney "look how much I've changed" mantra. Baloney. He's who he is, and no one will buy that. Besides, Byrne's half-in-half-out approach proves nothing has changed under his leadership.

To wrestle power from the Liberals in a three-election scenario will require a split on the right, with the CPC going one way and a Progressive party going another. Hopefully, forty-five percent of the membership will join us. That will leave the CPC as a self-indulgent, myopic, overly right-wing rump that goes to bed every night as content as can be, despite serial election losses. The CPC western apparatus cares not for election wins. All it's about is controlling the party and imposing unrealistic right-wing American-focused ideology. Those people are almost all of the Trump worshippers in this party. Post breakup, you can continue to have your serial orgasms based on garbage politics that will never get you elected as a national government again. As for the rest of us, we'll do what it takes to win. Our job will be to get the Liberals out, and we'll do it. It won't be a question of if, but only a matter of when. Just watch us, as that man used to say.

Natural Resource Stocks: The Rotation Into American Silver Large To Mid Cap Stocks Has Begun.

In short, Coeur moved on August 2nd and Hecla on the 7th. I own both.

Would You Buy A Used Car From The CPC Leader?

Don't make me cry, bozo. This is a guy who, after twenty years, managed to lose his own riding to a practically unknown Liberal candidate. The people who know him best turfed him. In other words, they didn't want to see our leader as prime minister, and so they kicked his sorry ass to the curb. Meanwhile, the political novice right next door managed to win his riding. Speaks volumes about what Canadians really think of him.

Again, this is a guy whose personal polling number has done nothing but sink like a rock since election day. No one gives a shit what this guy has to say, much less what he would do if we had the misfortune of having him as prime minister. If the CPC leader had wheels, he would be a car. 

Again, it took extraordinary skill to turn your own people against you in a riding you've held since Jesus was but a thought in holy circles. No one wants to have anything to do with this guy going forward, but nonetheless, the good people of Alberta are intent on foisting him upon the rest of us. So be it. 

For fellow Conservatives, I remind you that keeping this guy as leader means an almost certain loss in the next election. But it's not like we aren't already used to that in spades, after all, having had the likes of Scheer, O'Toole and this guy as leader. So, go ahead and fall in line behind this political afterthought next January. Then we'll all get what we so richly deserve, another five years in opposition. That's the great part of being a Conservative, no matter the leader, I always get the best and last laugh when we explode politically after every single election since 2015. Much more of the same straight ahead.

CUSMA: Ford Isn't Tough Enough!

If Ford reads this, he might get a bit of a chuckle. My position is crystal clear: dollar-for-dollar tariffs won't do the job. Ford is correct when he says that what Trump only respects (and fears) is strength. DFD just won't cut the mustard. What we have to do in the short to medium term is to make both American and Canadian companies suffer. That means putting comprehensive tariffs on all CUSMA-compliant imports manufactured in the United States. That's the only way to get the business lobby to go berserk and threaten Trump unless that asshole drops all North American tariffs. Put another way, Canadian businesses must be prohibited from importing anything from the United States as long as tariffs remain on the agenda, and by extension, reprisal tariffs must also serve to prevent ninety-nine percent of American sales to Canadian companies. Period. Both countries need to be hit as hard as possible to permanently deep-six Trump's tariffs.

Here's an "example" of Trump's thinking: his final position is that he wants one yard from Canada. Then, if Canada unilaterally removes or reduces some of its retaliatory tariffs, suddenly the new goalpost is set at three yards. And surprise, surprise, when we reach an accelerated or even a scheduled renegotiation of CUSMA in 2026, then Trump's goalpost will be at ten yards. It's blackmail and extortion from start to finish. That's the only way Trump operates, and Carney better not show a single moment of weakness, otherwise we're totally screwed tradewise for the next four years.

A Leader Who Has Guts And One Who Doesn't.

Carney is attending Pride in Vancouver. Poilièvre is scared to do so. Doesn't have the guts to do that. Speaks volumes, both about him and some of our party membership.

Pedant In Retreat Finally Shows His True Colours.

Those of a pathetic, whining loser. Why don't you show your face again on Kinsella so we can deal with you as we see fit? Are you too scared to take us on? LOL. Maybe, just maybe, you're no match for the rest of us and you know it! But by all means stay put so you can drag all of the rest of us down with you. God knows, we're already used to it. 

Those CPC Deluded YouTubers.

Not all of them, but most are simply losers or whackos. Just watch some of their videos. Their latest nonsense is supposedly about how Carney and the Liberals are losing public support when, in fact, they've gained support since the election. 

On election day, the CPC came in two and a half percent behind the Liberals in polling support. Today, with the obvious exception of one rogue pollster, the Liberals are TEN percent ahead of the Conservatives. It would be hilarious if it weren't so sad and pathetic. They are parroting the leader's bullshit and will elect him again without question or comment in the upcoming byelection. Not bright enough, or rather delusional enough to dismiss the leader's popularity numbers, which are even more abysmal than those of the party. In short, acting like losers and loving it. Ah, five more years in opposition is what's on our agenda. As incredible as it may be, yes, we are that stupid...we're getting what we so richly deserve with this ideologue-demagogue as our leader. But they wouldn't and won't dump this turd even if Jesus asked them.

Maxwell: A No-Win Situation For Trump.

Regardless of what Trump does about Maxwell, or doesn't do, it will be a no-win situation for him. If he pardons her, he will have half the country and much of his base howling in protest. What will they think of him and his previous conduct then? If he doesn't pardon her, then she will go for the gusto and do everything possible to try and take him down. Potentially, it could get a lot worse politically for Trump as Maxwell likely has hidden so-called bombs in the possession of third parties. Trump now calls it the Epstein hoax. We're about to find out if he got that right. It certainly looks like a lose-lose situation to me.

CUSMA: How To Win Against Trump.

In short, take an economic theory, that of tariffs, that has absolutely zero credibility under sound economics and leverage it as the initiator. In other words, stop being a reactive Canada and go on the offence for a prescriptive period. 

Canada should impose at least 25% tariffs on all CUSMA-compliant goods manufactured in the States. Breach the damned agreement just like Trump does. Sure, Canadian companies will be hurt, but American exporters will be hurt even more. Short-term pain for long-term gain, to quote Crosbie. Hit the United States hard right where they live in the pocketbook. That'll get the asshole's attention, but good. And the American business lobby will come down on Trump like a ton of bricks. Fuck that POS.

Why Canada Is Thoroughly and Truly Screwed: Making The Case For Freeland.

The Trump Administration derives its trade authority from the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, passed by Congress during the Kennedy Administration. It purports to promote the general welfare, foreign policy, and security of the United States through international trade agreements. Under Section 232, the Executive can bypass Congress and impose tariffs on imports under the three conditions outlined in the Act. Essentially, tariffs can be imposed by the President based on national security considerations. 

This Act is part of the delegation of powers by Congress to the President. Under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution, Congress is attributed the power to impose duties and regulate foreign commerce. Under the Congressional Trade Authority Act of 2025, two House Democrats have introduced a Bill to restrict presidential authority over trade. By doing so, this is an implicit recognition that presidential powers, however limited in scope, are lawful. These members hope to retroactively restore trade authority to Congress. As a result, congressional approval would be required for any Executive actions taken regarding trade and national security considerations. In addition, jurisdiction would be transferred from the Commerce and Defence Departments solely to the latter. 

Meanwhile, the courts have already begun to weigh in on the Trump Administration's broad use of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Last May, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that the President had exceeded his constitutional authority and ordered that the tariffs be vacated. On appeal, the Federal Circuit Court allowed the Trump Administration to continue collecting tariffs while the case is before the Federal Circuit Court of Appeals. Oral arguments are already underway before an eleven-member bench. That decision, once it comes down, is expected to be appealed to the Supreme Court of the United States.

Finally, one cannot help but be amused that the Trump Administration has not taken the elementary precaution of having its trade Executive orders backstopped by introducing Congressional legislation to ratify them following implementation. But then again, we are talking about the TRUMP Administration.

It's my contention that Freeland is the only person who can crack that nut as it relates to American tariffs imposed on Canadian steel, aluminum, lumber and forest products, automobiles and parts, energy, potash and some copper goods. In addition, blanket tariffs are now in effect on all non-CUSMA-compliant imports. Carney would do well to bear that in mind going forward.

Trump: Carney Is Learning His Lesson The Hard Way.

Better turn to Freeland. Fast.

Trump's Framework Free Trade Agreements Mean Nothing.

The ultimate con jobs. There are no free trade deals on paper. The UK, Vietnam, Japan and now EU deals aren't worth two-shits. They're all useless until the formal texts appear. Don't hold your breath waiting.

Eliminar la ciudadanía por nacimiento es racismo.

Vamos al grano. Trump quiere acabar con la ciudadanía por nacimiento porque Estados Unidos está en camino de convertirse en un país con mayoría no blanca en algún momento de las próximas dos décadas. Por eso Trump está presionando para que se apruebe. Es puro y simple racismo. Y punto.

La orden ejecutiva de Trump va en contra de la interpretación legal tradicional de la 14.ª Enmienda. Hasta ahora, dos jueces de tribunales de distrito han dictaminado que la orden de Trump es inconstitucional, y un tribunal de apelaciones de circuito de Estados Unidos ha hecho lo mismo. Esto sigue a una decisión del Tribunal Supremo que limita la aplicabilidad de las decisiones o mandamientos judiciales de los tribunales de distrito destinados a aplicarse en todo el país. 

La orden de Trump afecta a los hijos de inmigrantes ilegales o trabajadores temporales que nacieron en Estados Unidos. En última instancia, e inevitablemente, algunas de estas decisiones llegarán a la Suprema Corte para su resolución definitiva. Con una mayoría conservadora percibida de 6-3, será interesante ver qué decide la corte.

Removing Birthright Citizenship Is Racism.

Let's get down to brass tacks. Trump wants to end birthright citizenship because the United States is well on its way to becoming majority non-white sometime during the next two decades. That's why Trump is pushing for this. It's out and out racism. Period.

Trump's Executive Order goes against the traditional legal interpretation of the 14th Amendment. So far, two District court justices have ruled Trump's order unconstitutional, and a U.S. Circuit appeals court has done the same. This comes in the wake of a Supreme Court decision limiting the applicability of district court decisions or injunctions intended to be applied nationally. 

Trump's order affects children of illegals or temporary workers who were born in the United States. Ultimately and inevitably, some of these decisions will come before the Supreme Court for final adjudication. With a perceived 6-3 conservative majority, it will be interesting to see what the court decides. 

 

הרעב בעזה: ביבי סוף סוף נכנע.

נתניהו חש בלחץ והבין כי חוסר המעש שלו גורם לבעלי בריתו הנאמנים לפנות נגדו, ולכן נכנע. על כל אחד מאיתנו להפריד בין דעתנו על ממשלתו לבין תמיכתנו ארוכת השנים בישראל.

איש זה הגביל את הסיוע הנכנס לעזה לקבלנים וסיים את מאמצי הסיוע של האו"ם. כתוצאה מכך, מצבם של התושבים החמיר משמעותית, ואזרחים מתו מתת-תזונה. צה"ל יכול לטעון ככל שירצה שאין רעב בעזה, אבל זה שטויות. יש רעב. האם זה רעב המוני זו שאלה של פרטים, אבל זה לא העניין. אחריותה של ישראל, ותמיד הייתה, היא להבטיח שאזרחים יטופלו כראוי ויאכילו אותם באזורי הפליטים. נתניהו נכשל בכך, ויש הטוענים שהוא עשה זאת בכוונה. הם טוענים שהמשאלה הגדולה ביותר שלו היא לרוקן את עזה מאזרחים על ידי אילוץ אותם לעבור למדינות ערב השכנות. שכנותיה של ישראל לא יסכימו לכך, ולכן לביבי לא נותרה ברירה אלא לאפשר לשיירות האו"ם לחדש את אספקת הסיוע לעזה. בנוסף, צה"ל השליך מזון לעזה מהאוויר, ובכך הודה בעקיפין כי הרעב באזור הוא עובדה. נתניהו יודע כעת שהמבצע בעזה הוא עניין רחוק מלהיות שולי. ככל שצה"ל יישאר בעזה זמן רב יותר, כך המצב יהפוך לבלתי נסבל יותר הן עבור האזרחים והן עבור צה"ל.

جوع غزة: بيبي يتراجع أخيرًا.

شعر نتنياهو بالضغط وعلم أن تقاعسه عن اتخاذ أي إجراء كان يؤدي إلى انقلاب حلفائه الأوفياء ضده، لذا تراجع. علينا جميعًا أن نفصل بين رأينا في حكومته ودعمنا الطويل الأمد لإسرائيل.

لقد قيد هذا الرجل المساعدات التي تدخل غزة على المقاولين، وقلص جهود الإغاثة التي تبذلها الأمم المتحدة. ونتيجة لذلك، ازدادت معاناة الناس سوءًا، حيث مات مدنيون بسبب سوء التغذية على الأقل. يمكن للجيش الإسرائيلي أن يدعي ما يشاء بأن لا مجاعة في غزة، لكن هذا هراء. هناك مجاعة. الشيطان يكمن في التفاصيل فيما إذا كانت تشكل مجاعة جماعية، لكن هذا ليس المهم. إنها مسؤولية إسرائيل، ولطالما كانت كذلك، أن تضمن رعاية المدنيين وتغذيتهم بشكل مناسب في مناطق اللاجئين. فشل نتنياهو في القيام بذلك، ويزعم البعض أنه فعل ذلك عمداً. ويؤكدون أن أمنيته الأكبر هي إخلاء غزة من المدنيين عن طريق إجبارهم على الانتقال إلى الدول العربية المجاورة. لن تقبل دول الجوار بإسرائيل ذلك، لذا لم يكن أمام بيبي خيار سوى السماح لقوافل الأمم المتحدة باستئناف عمليات التسليم في غزة. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، قامت قوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية بإسقاط مواد غذائية جواً في غزة، وهو ما يعد اعترافاً ضمنياً بحدوث مجاعة على الأرض. يكتشف نتنياهو بهدوء أن العمليات في غزة ليست سهلة على الإطلاق. فكلما طالت مدة بقاء قوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية في غزة، زادت صعوبة الأمور على المدنيين وقوات الدفاع الإسرائيلية على حد سواء.

Gaza Starvation: Bibi Finally Blinks.

Netanyahu was feeling the heat and knew that his inaction was turning staunch allies against him, so he blinked. Each of us needs to separate our opinion of his government from our longstanding support for Israel.

This guy had restricted aid entering Gaza to contractors, having curtailed UN relief efforts. As a result, the people's hardship became much worse, with civilians dying due to at least malnutrition. The IDF can claim all it wants that there's no starvation in Gaza, but that's bullshit. There is. The devil is in the details as to whether it constitutes mass starvation, but that's beside the point. It's Israel's responsibility and always has been to ensure that civilians were properly cared for and fed in refugee areas. Netanyahu failed to do that, with some claiming he did so deliberately. They maintain that his fondest wish is to empty Gaza of civilians by forcing them to relocate to neighbouring Arab countries. Israel's neighbours will have none of that, so Bibi had no choice but to allow UN convoys to resume deliveries in Gaza. In addition, the IDF has air-dropped food in Gaza, so that is a tacit admission that starvation was occurring on the ground. Netanyahu is quietly discovering that operations in Gaza are already far from a piece of cake. The longer the IDF stays in Gaza, the more intractable things will become for both civilians and the IDF alike. 

Epstein.

If Trump pardons Maxwell, he will be finished politically. It's that simple.

He should also be praying that his remaining three and a half years pass as slowly as possible...

CPC: When You Continually Grouse About Something It Means That You Feel Threatened By It.

And so it goes when it comes to the Battle River-Crowfoot by-election, which will take place next month. The leader is repeatedly complaining about the long ballot as undemocratic and is writing to the government to propose a bill to outlaw it. Ha, ha, ha. This guy is totally intimidated by it and probably thinks that the other candidates could siphon off so many votes that his win will look like a ridiculous and underachieving outcome. 

We all know how things go in Alberta CPC circles: wins come in north of seventy percent, with some MPs getting over eighty percent of the vote. That won't happen with this leader. Even in AB, people are sick of his face and the fact that he's nothing more than a tired career politician. Add to that a personality that leaves people indifferent, if not hostile, to the leader. The only warm feelings this guy generates are in the shower.

So, watch that number and see if it comes in even below Joe Clark territory. I'm predicting a win with thirty-five percent of the vote, as a lot of the protest vote scatters across the spectrum. Nothing below seventy percent will be good for his continued leadership. This is a weak leader who gets intimidated easily and then whines about it. He's nothing like Harper, and it shows. 

Stay tuned because fun times are ahead. Will he still be party leader after the byelection? I think so. But what about after the review? It will depend on his number and where Carney sits in the polls. If the Liberals break out between now and then, our leader will be gone shortly after the review number is announced. Carney must pray every night for the leader to stay in place. Can't say that I blame him. LOL.

Gaza: The Palestinian State Off Ramp Will Happen But Not Peace In Gaza.

Macron and other proponents have it ass-backwards. They argue that recognizing a Palestinian state in September at the UN General Assembly will lead to a ceasefire and the return of Israeli and other hostages. Wrong. Trump agrees with this except for the Palestinian state part, but everyone is full of shit. 

There won't and can't be a permanent ceasefire in Gaza because that would mean returning all hostages to Israel, and the Hamas terrorists can't lose their life preserver. They need to keep some hostages forever, or until they die, otherwise Netanyahu goes full-bore against Hamas to kill every single Hamas fighter and then run the organization into the ground. Hamas knows this only too well, so a genuine, comprehensive ceasefire will never happen. Bibi can kill every Hamas member, but you can't kill an idea, however loathsome it is. Hamas will eventually reconstitute and regroup under new leadership and with scores of new young fighters. So, so much for that, Netanyahu.

My objection to a Palestinian state is one of timing. What kind of message does this send to the families of twelve hundred dead Israelis and other Jews? It's simply monstrous to go ahead with statehood now. However, any intellectually honest person knows that one day a Palestinian state will become inevitable. But, its territory has to be based solely on the West Bank. 

So, like it or not, and definitely, Netanyahu is raging, the domino theory will make it happen. It's kind of ironic that the same thing resulted in Western governments recognizing Jerusalem as Israel's capital, after Trump got the ball rolling. 

France will go first, followed by the United Kingdom, Australia and Canada. It's nuts in the current geopolitical context, but hey, what can I say?

Free Trade: Trump's Bullshit Is Going Full Tilt.

Now, Trump is playing bad cop himself, saying there probably won't be a trade deal with Canada. English translation: he expects Carney to cave 100%. Carney won't do that, so in the end, it will be no deal, which in reality is the last thing that Trump really wants. Good going, moron. Par for the course, Trump.

Carney Ain't All Bad.

He's sort of like Harper, a guy who listened only rarely to what I proposed. But I did get three out of Harper: automobile bailouts, then ministers of state and changes to the national war memorial. Carney, so far, only one: the Council of the Federation. I've been advocating for this for ages, arguing that it should be at least one annual meeting with the Prime Minister. Genius Trudeau, of course, or should I say Telford, knew better than I did. Right.

Politicians Who Did Not Block Our Individual Free Speech Rights.

Fortunately, for Canadians, the partial list is long:

Clark

Chrétien

Martin

Harper

Trudeau

Scheer

O'Toole

Carney

2025: Your Natural Resources Stock Portfolio.

I'm twenty-five percent beta and the rest alpha. But as Rick would say, don't confuse a bull market with brains and a self-induced delusional stock-picking genius. My TFSA is now at +126%, having enjoyed at least on paper two previous gains of +500%, in 2018 and 2020. Guess who did not sell both times. LOL.

Meanwhile, the RRSP is the clear laggard: still at -12%, having previously risen to +47% in both 2018 and 2020. The Cash Account is currently at a modest +7%, while it gained +20% in 2016, +29% the next year, +82% in 2021.

So, the moral of this story is to start out with the best of the best producers and royalty/streaming companies to build your initial nest egg. Then go with people who are serial money makers over multiple decades and countries. Next, move down the quality trail and buy the highest quality intermediates, developers and explorers that you can find. If you do the work, you can't help but be well rewarded. As an example, I sat on Shamaran Petroleum, a Lundin vehicle, for five years before it finally started to move. I'm up in two accounts +294% and +142% respectively. Still holding every single share.

Trump: Doing Everything He Can To Send Bolsonaro To Jail.

The American moron is back, cancelling visas for Brazilian Supreme Court members and demanding that Bolsonaro's trial be halted. What an idiot. As Lula pointed out, the judicial system is independent of the government. He stated that the Executive would not interfere in Bolsonaro's trial.

Meanwhile, federal police raided Bolsonaro's home and party offices, claiming he was obstructing justice and planning to flee the country. Bolsonaro vehemently denies this, arguing that the trial is nothing more than a sham and an attempt to permanently bar him from holding political office. 

Ironically, Trump's continued intervention in Brazilian politics and its legal system is hurting Bolsonaro more than helping him. It has not gone unnoticed that the American president is fighting more vigorously for Bolsonaro than the former president himself.

It is no surprise that, given this reality, the federal police have concluded that Bolsonaro poses a flight risk, likely to the United States, where he would receive, at the very least, refuge, if not asylum. That is why Bolsonaro now wears an electronic ankle cuff.

If Trump had any sense, he would leave Bolsonaro's defence to his lawyers. He is only harming Bolsonaro's case with his constant interference in Brazilian judicial affairs. Bolsonaro needs to tell Trump to stay out of it. If only that were possible. With an ally like Trump, who needs sworn enemies...

Trump: Fazendo tudo o que pode para mandar Bolsonaro para a prisão.

O idiota americano está de volta, cancelando vistos para membros do Supremo Tribunal Federal e exigindo que o julgamento de Bolsonaro seja encerrado. Que idiota. Como Lula apontou, o sistema judicial é independente do governo. Ele afirmou que o Executivo não interferiria no julgamento de Bolsonaro.

Enquanto isso, a polícia federal invadiu a casa e os escritórios do partido de Bolsonaro, alegando que ele estava obstruindo a justiça e planejando fugir do país. Bolsonaro nega veementemente, argumentando que o julgamento não passa de uma farsa e uma tentativa de impedi-lo permanentemente de exercer cargos políticos.

Ironicamente, a intervenção contínua de Trump na política brasileira e em seu sistema jurídico está prejudicando Bolsonaro mais do que ajudando-o. Não passou despercebido que o presidente americano está lutando mais vigorosamente por Bolsonaro do que o próprio ex-presidente.

Não é surpresa que, diante dessa realidade, a polícia federal tenha concluído que Bolsonaro representa um risco de fuga, provavelmente para os Estados Unidos, onde receberia, no mínimo, refúgio, se não asilo. É por isso que Bolsonaro agora usa uma tornozeleira eletrônica.

Se Trump tivesse bom senso, deixaria a defesa de Bolsonaro a cargo de seus advogados. Ele só está prejudicando o caso de Bolsonaro com sua constante interferência nos assuntos judiciais brasileiros. Bolsonaro precisa dizer a Trump para ficar fora disso. Se ao menos isso fosse possível. Com um aliado como Trump, quem precisa de inimigos jurados...

It's An Honour Being Able To Write For You.

Thanks so much to my readers. I hope to keep things interesting going forward. LOL.

Is Poilièvre In Joe Clark Territory?

These are grand times for dissidents. Haven't had this much fun since we tried to dump Harper in 2005. Those were good days!

Last time, we took down O'Toole with help from none other than SaintByrneTM, and now we're going to work hard to exile Byrne, whose company remains on the CPC payroll, and to give the leader the heave-ho. The leader is laughing at us by keeping her around. No surprise there. After all, he always has the right answers.

It warms my heart to hear about the fighting in the OLO: a majority of his advisers, such as they are, favour proceeding as scheduled with the leadership review vote next January, but a significant minority are adamantly against that, fearing that the leader is in Clark territory, namely sixty-seven percent. The latter regard that type of result as insufficient for the leader to carry on and argue that the vote should be put off to the fall of 2026, thereby giving them time to shore up support in the interim. 

Even to the untrained eye, that suggests his support is soft and shrinking. Just like Canadians and, to some extent, CPC supporters, many of his aides sense that there's a growing sentiment among people that they're tired of his face and want to move on to someone else who's not a career politician. 

So, in the final analysis, the leader can take his poison as scheduled or likely ingest a far greater dose at a later date. Those are his only choices. 

As for the byelection, you won't see him get anywhere near eighty-two percent. Not a chance in hell of that happening. Expect voter turnout to be underwhelming. His share of the vote should come in around thirty-five percent of those cast. He's running in Alberta because his inner circle didn't want to take the risk of running in Ontario. They concluded that a loss there would finish him off. Watch the result in Battle River - Crowfoot. It could indeed spell the beginning of the end. 

Do We Really Prefer To Lose Than Vote PC?

Are we really that stupid? Would we really prefer a Smith as our leader rather than a Ford, a MacKay or a Mulroney?

The problem with this party is that post-Harper, our penchant has been for losers: Scheer, O'Toole and now this ridiculous clown who is hanging on to the leadership for dear life as if his leadership could provide anything significant in the future. Unpacking diplomatic language, this guy didn't and won't win even if his life depended on it. Voters and Canadians are sick of his face. So, he can byelection his way back into the Commons but it will be all for naught. His high water mark was in the last election, not the next one. Liberals are praying that he stays. Conservatives need to ask him to leave: the byelection results won't be bad. They'll be a disaster. Just wait and see. It's all rapidly downhill going forward if this guy stays as our leader. At least the Liberals are having a good laugh.

CPC: Our Leader.

I had sworn to myself, and to fellow party members, that I would not take the fight to the leader, this time. But the ongoing campaign to prevent me from expressing my opinion changed all that. They asked for it, repeatedly, and now they will get it with relish.

I will gladly front for those who demand and expect a change in party leader. Those are Conservatives who are exclusively concerned with winning, not cementing in place an inadequate leader who is far from well-suited to the task at hand.

This group of Conservatives is not a group of losers. Like the Liberals, we believe that winning is the ONLY thing that matters politically. And so we shall endeavour to effect top-to-bottom change in the leadership. Either we succeed, or the CPC is already condemned to successive defeat in future elections. Winning is all about the man or woman who leads the party. Clearly, our leader is not up to the job. A plurality of voters have already spoken unequivocally, especially in his own riding. He needs to move on, or if necessary, help to move on. I will do what I can with that in mind.

Texas Flash Floods Are The Beginning Of The End For Trump.

In four letters: FEMA. Trump is already done and dusted.

CPC: Caucus, Senators, Members and Supporters Largely Don't Get It.

Centre-right, especially with a progressive bent, often wins elections. The CPC was never founded as centre-right. It was always in no-man's land somewhere vaguely between centre-right and Bernier's far-right. When people soured on Martin, Harper was given a chance and then won two more elections. However, as soon as Harper finally got a majority, he blew it by moving further right than at least a plurality of voters were willing to accept. 

The leader understands none of this, and it shows. All that CBC and anti-woke garbage are not serious political issues. They're right-wing-wet-dream-useless-distractions. People heard that come out of his mouth and often concluded that he's some kind of ideological litmus-test nutcase. It didn't sound as if it reflected common Canadian values. You know, inclusion,  acceptance, not exclusion or disdain. 

So, that's why the leader lost and likely will continue losing. But your average Conservative MP, Senator, supporter and voter are fine with it. Too bad that. In short, we're stuck with him. 

Brasil: MoronTrumpTM mais uma vez escolhe um lado.

O fascista americano interferiu na política brasileira e criticou a decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal de ordenar que o ex-presidente Bolsonaro e outros fossem julgados por uma suposta tentativa de golpe para permanecer no poder em 2022. A próxima eleição no Brasil está marcada para 2026, e Bolsonaro está constitucionalmente impedido de concorrer novamente até 2030. Uma segunda decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal levou à proibição de sua candidatura em 2026.

Trump impôs tarifas de 50%, e o presidente Lula indicou que o Brasil imporá suas próprias tarifas na mesma proporção. O Brasil é um dos poucos países onde os Estados Unidos têm superávit comercial, então a medida de Trump é amplamente interpretada como um tiro no próprio pé.

Alguns argumentam que as tarifas de Trump tinham como objetivo fortalecer a posição política de Bolsonaro, enquanto outros argumentam que o apoio ativo de Trump só fará com que a popularidade de Bolsonaro diminua ainda mais. De acordo com relatos, pelo menos metade dos brasileiros tem uma opinião negativa do ex-presidente. Diante desse fato, não será surpresa se o candidato presidencial de direita no próximo ano for, no fim das contas, alguém que não seja Bolsonaro. Apesar da impopularidade de Lula, se ele jogar a carta do nacionalismo, isso poderá reviver sua sorte política e lhe dar uma vantagem nas eleições do próximo ano. Observe o tamanho das multidões. No momento, minha aposta é na esquerda.

Musk Hard At Work.

Job One: The America Party.

Job Two: A Constitutional amendment to modify Article Two, Section 1, clause 5.

Texas Flash Flooding Disaster: Trump Hard At Work As Usual Creating Misery For Everyone.

The TrumpMoronsTM don't get it: you can't cut essential services just so your billionaire friends can get the biggest tax cuts in American history while the deficit balloons to the highest level ever. It was Trump who cut NOAA's budget and decimated future FEMA funding, largely transferring that responsibility to the states. And it's those same cowards who are running away from responsibility for this tragedy, so much so that their minions dash out of the room at press conferences when the media try to pin the tail on the responsible donkeys. Typically MAGA. Nutcases have come up with conspiracy theories to try and somehow blame third parties who don't serve in The Trump White House. Think MTG and other assorted idiots. 

Meanwhile, the President with no soul still has much more work to do. Now he's cutting Medicaid, which largely will affect rural America, which more often than not votes both Republican and MAGA. Will MAGA supporters roll over, like they do in Congress, or will they come out fighting politically? Don't bet the farm on it. 

Moore Is Wrong, Axworthy Is Right.

None of us is in the room, but that is entirely irrelevant given Trump's abnormal psychological profile. Trump, in the room or otherwise, is out to ROLL US and every other trade partner across the globe. The sociopath wants the United States to win while all other international trade partners lose big. End of story.

Trump = The Ultimate Moron...

Yeah, right. He's going to take a look at deporting Musk, you know, an American citizen. Brain dead oaf with three and a half more years to royally screw everything up.

Carney: What A Fucking Wimp!

This guy is clueless in general and particularly about asshole Trump: they're laughing their asses off in DC, especially at the White House where the blonde dimwit said that Carney had C-A-V-E-D...

Scraping the Digital Services Tax is irresponsible and sets an absolute precedent where the United States will demand that we scrap supply management next, or no trade deal. And what will the prime ministerial dolt do then? This guy is a total joke. 

Meanwhile, Pierre suggests that the Americans drop all softwood duties -- not happening in a million years, that or anything else. So expect to get rolled in those so-called trade talks. That's what's coming, as sure as I'm breathing. What a bunch of clueless fools in Ottawa...

The TrumpTwitTM Sinks Ever Lower.

The Bertrand affair is but the latest in the outrageous and sad manifestations of a man on the point of going mad. Trump has proven himself to be beyond measure in his level of indecency and crass political maneuvering. Trump would have the press come to him on bended knee, never questioning his always self-serving interpretation of the facts. The bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities is a case in point. 

Trump, with his total destruction preoccupation, will give no quarter to any journalistic organization that does not immediately fall into line behind his assessment of the situation. It is good journalism to debate the merits of any story. In the end, the facts will clearly and inevitably lead where they must. In subsequent days, it became evident that Trump's view of the end results was much closer to the truth than earlier speculations that Iran's facilities were only partially damaged and could become operational once again in relatively short order. The IAEA spoke of considerable, even enormous, damage. That would seem to settle the point. However, it does not in any way justify Trump's demented obsession with CNN in general and Bertrand in particular. CNN does well to forcefully advocate in favour of its journalists. Any professional and credible journalistic entity would do no less. Trump or no Trump.

Rodriguez : Ses 52 % valent presque le double.

Pablo est désormais solidement établi à la tête du Parti libéral du Québec, et son élection n'a suscité pratiquement aucune controverse ni désaccord. Cela n'a rien de surprenant, étant donné qu'il s'agit du PLQ, mais Rodriguez dispose également d'un atout majeur : sa personnalité naturellement calme et respectueuse, même envers ses adversaires et ses détracteurs. Pablo normalement ne fait pas de vagues négatives en politique. Au contraire : l'électeur moyen a soit une attitude positive envers Rodriguez, soit, au pire, une impression neutre qui pourrait être influencée lors des prochaines élections. C'est un avantage considérable par rapport à Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, le chef du PQ. Ce dernier, qui semble se prendre pour Jésus, a une personnalité plutôt haute en couleur : il se dispute avec ses alliés à Ottawa et même avec Blanchet, car selon PSPP, il a toujours raison. Vu d'en haut et sur terre, Pablo a une personnalité beaucoup plus flexible et passive. Selon le dicton, Rodriguez n'a apparemment pas de véritables ennemis en politique. Comme le disent les anglophones, Pablo a une vibe cool. À suivre.

Même au sein du parti, les autres candidats à la direction ont tacitement soutenu la candidature de Rodriguez ! Ils auraient pu adopter une stratégie selon laquelle Milliard et Blackburn se seraient choisis mutuellement en deuxième position sur leurs bulletins de vote, mais les stratèges des deux camps n'ont apparemment même pas envisagé cette possibilité. En fait, la résistance à la candidature de Pablo était plutôt tiède. 

La grande force de Rodriguez réside dans son pouvoir de persuasion naturel. Cela pourrait être très profitable pour le parti lors des prochaines élections. Divers sondages vont déjà dans ce sens. Pallas confirme que l'avance du Parti québécois n'est que de cinq points. Si les élections avaient lieu aujourd'hui, le PLQ obtiendrait 26 % des voix et le PQ 31 %. Quant au dernier sondage Léger, l'écart n'est que de deux points, avec 28 % pour le PLQ et 30 % pour le PQ. Il n'est donc pas déraisonnable de conclure que Pablo pourrait continuer à gagner du terrain dans les sondages. De plus, les libéraux auront l'objectif de prendre l'avance dans les sondages. 

D'ici le jour du scrutin, Rodriguez sera un homme de terrain. Ce qui était autrefois impossible ne l'est soudainement plus. Nous verrons le jour d'élections. 

Spark: 38% Of Conservative Voters Now Give Carney High Marks.

No kidding...I wonder who has been saying that since election night. Oh, right.

Pierre might as well save all of us time and wasted effort at the convention. He should resign now, but he won't—not in a million years. So, the CPC will go off the cliff in the next election, with Carney getting a majority. As Warren would say, "You're welcome!"

Iran Has Nothing To Lose Now Thanks To Trump.

The Iranian response against both the United States and Israel won't be pretty. The American attacks on the nuclear uranium enrichment sites were foolish in the extreme. The Iranians have been itching to get back at Trump since Soleimani's assassination. There's no way that this will be One And Done. No chance in hell of that. We all know what's coming next. They better be on their toes.

Iran has the most sophisticated terrorist network across the globe. No one else even comes close. And they will put that to work with relish. As usual, innocent civilians will be the first ones to pay the ultimate price. Ditto for military personnel, especially those based across the Middle East. Unlike the United States, Iran always takes action when a perceived big red line has been crossed. The chances of de-escalation and peace are at zero. Only Trump is stupid and naive enough to believe otherwise.

Trump Invites Terrorism To The Homeland.

And it's coming in spades and soon. 

Natural Resources Progress Report.

Abrasilver: +142%;

Alamos: +41%;

Anfield: +58%;

B2: +21%;

Bannerman: +931%;

BTU: +35%;

Cerro de Pasco: +240%;

Coeur: +20%;

Discovery: +49%;

Empress: +40%;

EMX: +25%;

Forsys: +6%;

Greenheart: +250%;

Hudbay: +93%;

Integra: +85%;

Lavras: +560%;

Lumina: +64%;

Mako: +47%;

Maple: +14%;

Maritime: +123%;

Metalla: +7%;

Nexgen: +40%;

Orezone: +55%;

Osisko Metals: +56%;

Paladin: +54%;

Pan American: +225%;

Plata Latina: +31%;

Radisson: +98%;

Rio2: +41%;

Sandstorm: +56%;

Santacruz: +261%;

Shamaran: +209%;

Silverstorm: +4%;

Source Rock: +18%;

Sprott Physical Uranium: +105%;

Stillwater: +47%;

Stinger: +106%;

Thor: +214%;

Tourmaline: +13%;

Triple Flag: +85%;

Troilus: +35%;

Uranium Energy: +62%;

Vox: +65%.

Xi Jinping: Health Crisis And Planned Retirement?

Is it really coming in September? Was Xi Jinping just a figurehead?

Why The Conservatives Are Damned If They Do And Damned If They Don't.

Let's start with context: Ignatieff supported Harper in 2009 for about a year. The Liberals later withdrew supply and confidence and defeated the government. The end result: Harper's re-election. This is where we are now: the Conservatives backed the Liberals' major projects bill, sending it to the Senate. When Parliament comes back in the fall, what will happen then? Will Poilièvre support government bills on a piecemeal basis or more generally? Either way, the lack of opposition implies consent at least in most voters' minds. Put another way, Conservative acquiescence suggests that the government is doing a good job across the board, whether the party actually believes that or not. It's a little like death by a thousand cuts. 

The alternative is to find a dance partner and defeat the government at the Conservatives' pleasure. This is the ultimate high-risk strategy. It would trigger an election, one that would likely return the Liberals with a majority. Talk about two unpalatable alternatives for a government in waiting. 

In my mind, we've got to get to spring before this thing blows up. At that point, the Conservatives withdraw supply and confidence or wait for better polling numbers in the fall. But either way, an election will come next year. It's like rolling the dice and coming up snake eyes. Picking our poison will be the order of the day. 

Iran: This Is ONLY About Regime Change.

Netanyahu claims this is about preventing Iran from eventually deploying nuclear missiles, when in fact the overall objective is far broader: regime change in Tehran. Trump shares that goal. No one in the West will look at that with disdain; however, the cost of such action could be catastrophic for both countries, not to mention the region. 

It is way beyond folly to suggest that a nuclear-armed Iran would use its weapons against its neighbours. No country has done so since the end of the Second World War. It's my contention that Iran has already had ample time to develop at least primitive but operational warheads. The question becomes what the regime will do once cornered. There can be no doubt that Israel has far greater military capability than Iran, but war is always an imponderable and unpredictable creature. Think Iraq and Afghanistan.

Add to the fact that Trump is intent upon joining the conflict and providing Israel support by deploying MOP-bunker busters against the nuclear uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow and Natanz. Only the B2 can effectively deploy these munitions. Once the United States takes direct action, Americans at home and abroad will become legitimate soft targets, at least in the eyes of Iran and its proxies. It goes without saying that American military assets around the globe would also come under threat of attack. 

The other aspect worth mentioning is what will happen at The Arab League. Will the organization be able to hold together and take a common position on the Israeli-Iranian war, or will it splinter into factions, and what will be the regional consequences of such action? The organization must do all it can to prevent this war from widening into a regional conflict. At this stage, one wonders if that is even remotely possible. War is a beast that will likely severely bloody both sides before it's over, and it won't end anytime soon. Ukraine is proof enough of that.