Tuesday, 1 April 2025
The CPC Fifth Column.
Monday, 31 March 2025
Pierre Won't Pivot...
Sunday, 30 March 2025
Why Are Ford And The Ontario PCs Not Helping Pierre In This Campaign?
For Antonio: In Percentage.
Here's How The CPC Wins.
I Told Pierre To Pledge To Double The Anti-Trump Tariffs.
Is Abacus On To Something?
Saturday, 29 March 2025
CPC: How Long Will It Take To Ditch Byrne? The Clock Is Ticking.
Thursday, 27 March 2025
ClunkyTM Leads In Most Polls Since March 15th.
Monday, 24 March 2025
Angus Reid Is A Disaster For The CPC.
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
CR: I'm 1000% With Schumer.
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
This Prime Minister Is In Over His Head.
Sunday, 16 March 2025
Anand: We're Building A Domestic Resilient Economy.
We're building a domestic resilient economy. Yeah right. They were supposed to start in 2015 but only got around to it ten years later...typical Liberal crap.
Rosie Gets It Wrong Again: On The Carbon Tax.
Hillman Is Living In An Alternative Universe.
Polls Still All Over The Place: It's What Kinsella Said That Matters.
CANADA: It Will Be A Coconut Cream Pie Election!
Saturday, 15 March 2025
Will Carney Pull The Plug Tomorrow: Sunday, March 16th?
Nope. He leaves for Europe on Sunday and comes back on Tuesday so my bet is next weekend, not to look too deliberately opportunistic.
The Next Election: In One Sentence.
Carney Renounces His UK and Irish Passports While Poilièvre Goes With The Harris Strategy.
Friday, 14 March 2025
"Captain Canada" Caves And Gets Nothing In Return.
Carney Is A Lousy Political Strategist.
Sunday, 9 March 2025
37.75% Of Liberals Chose The Leader.
Liberal Leadership Vote: What A Disaster.
Only 151,000 Liberals have managed to vote as opposed to almost 400,000 party members who were eligible to vote. Not good. The Liberals have really screwed this up.
There I Said It.
Will The Liberals Take Off In The Polls Once Carney Has Been Crowned?
Saturday, 8 March 2025
Federal Election: The Ballot Question WON'T Be About Trump.
Simply put, it won't be about Trump or who is better equipped to deal with a deranged lunatic. Conventional wisdom says it will be about Trump, and as per usual, they will be wrong.
The ballot question won't be about who you like. Quite frankly, neither Carney nor Poilièvre are held in any higher esteem than Trudeau is. You can take that one all the way to the bank. No one really likes either one of them. So, the voters will decide who forms the next government based on the lesser of two evils principle: some polls say Carney will win, but most suggest Poilièvre will beat the Liberals.
One of those two polling trends is wrong. Stay tuned!
Is The NATO-European Security Trade-Off Dead?
Smith Endorses Poilièvre.
Thursday, 6 March 2025
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
Are The Polls To Be Trusted: They're All Over The Place.
Sunday, 2 March 2025
If Trump Wants War With Russia All He Has To Do Is Leave NATO.
USMCA-CUSMA: Make No Mistake About What Trump's Grand Plan Really Is.
Fentanyl: Rosie Drops The Ball Again.
Ipsos: YIKES!
Saturday, 1 March 2025
That Little Weak Man Wants An Apology From Zelenskyy.
Ukraine: Wants Security Guarantees But Already Has Them Thanks To Starmer.
CPC Anti-Carney Ad Misses The Mark.
Thursday, 27 February 2025
The Ford Balloon Partially Deflates.
Monday, 24 February 2025
French Debate: The Liberals Are Still The Greatest Liars In Politics.
Sunday, 23 February 2025
Trump's War On DEI Hiring.
Canada: What Is Happening In The Polls?
Saturday, 22 February 2025
Who Is This Person Who Is Trying To Suppress Free Speech On WarrenKinsella.com?
Trump: How Sweet It Is For The Opposition After Only One Month.
"But by far Trump’s greatest vulnerability is over his management of an economy where renewed signs of inflation are evident, and where his policies, once implemented, could make conditions worse. Already, his job-approval ratings on managing the economy are slipping a bit, as a February 19 Reuters-Ipsos poll indicated:
[T]he share of Americans who think the economy is on the wrong track rose to 53% in the latest poll from 43% in the January 24–26 poll. Public approval of Trump’s economic stewardship fell to 39% from 43% in the prior poll …
Trump’s rating for the economy is well below the 53% he had in Reuters/Ipsos polling conducted in February 2017, the first full month of his first term as U.S. president.
And a mid-February Gallup survey found 54 percent of Americans disapproving Trump’s handling of the economy and 53 percent disapproving his handling of foreign trade. More ominous for Trump if the sentiment persists is that negative feelings about current economic conditions are as prominent as they were when they helped lift Trump to the presidency. The WaPo-Ipsos poll noted above found that 73 percent of Americans consider the economy “not so good” or “poor,” with that percentage rising to 76 percent with respect to gasoline and energy prices and 92 percent with respect to food prices."
Thank you, President Buchanan!
Ukraine's Critical Minerals: How It Will Screw Russia.
You NEVER, EVER, Fuck With The Deep State.
Friday, 21 February 2025
Nanos & Léger.
Nanos now has the CPC lead at seven points, while Léger has it at eight points. Will that hold going forward?
Nsauga Ontario Local News Unscientific Poll.
If Carney is leader:
47.6% (11851) = vote Liberal;
45.5% (11319) = vote Conservative;
4.3% (1064) = vote NDP;
2.7% (665) = vote Green.
Wednesday, 19 February 2025
KingLoserTM Betrays Ukraine.
Marc Bélanger has bad memories of Pablo Rodriguez in the Liberal Party of Canada.
According to Bélanger, Pablo is only a half-hearted Quebec nationalist. Recognizing the Quebec nation was not one of Rodriguez's priorities in Ottawa. You're going to make me lose face because I told the people in the [LPC] caucus not to worry that I had you under control.
Yes, we all know that Rodriguez is a great controller. We've seen plenty of evidence of that in politics and elsewhere.
Moreover, Bélanger doesn't understand how a federally elected official from Quebec can accept Mary Simon's appointment as Governor General. In fact, Pablo seemingly had no problem with Trudeau's decision. Bélanger says this position disqualifies him from running for the QLP leadership.
Pablo is a Quebec nationalist who doesn't like to make waves. He is one of those who have natural reservations when it comes to Quebec nationalism.
Marc Bélanger garde un mauvais souvenir de Pablo Rodriguez au sein du Parti libéral du Canada.
Selon Bélanger, Pablo n'est qu'un nationaliste québécois en demi-teinte : la reconnaissance de la nation québécoise ne faisait pas partie des priorités de Rodriguez à Ottawa. Tu vas me faire perdre la face, parce que j'ai dit aux gens du caucus [du PLC] de ne pas s'inquiéter, que je te maîtrisais.
Oui, nous savons tous que Rodriguez est un grand contrôleur. Nous en avons eu de nombreuses preuves en politique et ailleurs.
De plus, Bélanger ne comprend pas comment un élu fédéral québécois peut accepter la nomination de Mary Simon au poste de gouverneur général. Pourtant, Pablo semble n'avoir eu aucun problème avec la décision de Trudeau. Selon Bélanger, cette position le disqualifie pour se présenter à la direction du PLQ.
Pablo est un nationaliste québécois qui n'aime pas faire de vagues. Il est de ceux qui ont une réserve naturelle envers le nationalisme québécois.
Sunday, 16 February 2025
National Security: Trump Proves He's A Reckless Imbecile.
Tariffs And Retaliatory Tariffs.
Saturday, 15 February 2025
For Those Of You Who Are Wondering Why Today?...
Take A Stand! Buy Harper's Flags of Canada.
Stephen Harper: The raucous birth of our great flag
I have also been in love with flags since I was little. Good on Harper.
CPC: CANADA FIRST Rally.
You Know The CPC Is In Trouble...
Friday, 14 February 2025
Thursday, 13 February 2025
Thank You To My Readers.
Poilièvre's Arctic Policy.
Tuesday, 11 February 2025
Pablo: QLP leadership: a referendum would ‘please’ Trump.
Pablo maintains that a referendum in the Parti Québécois' first term would please the idiot in the White House. According to Rodriguez, such a referendum would create insecurity, instability and division within Quebec society. The pan-Canadian approach to relations with the United States would be no more.
I don't think that these divisions would make Trump happy. In English Canada, we've seen our fellow citizens strengthen the ties that bind them. But in Quebec, for the most part, the solidarity that exists is clearly of a Quebec character.
Anglophones here and elsewhere will, for the most part, unite to save Canada from the threat posed by the Trump Administration. In Quebec, it's a different story: faced with Trump's blackmail and intimidating rhetoric, many Quebecers recognize the next logical step, and that's what the Parti Québécois is counting on.
Unfortunately, Trump is here for another four years. Our society is evolving, maturing and strengthening its collective spirit. Logic leads us to reflect on our political structures, both in Quebec and elsewhere. We shall see whether the PQ forms the next government and if that will be to its advantage, but in the meantime, Quebec society is growing and flourishing. This trend is not advantageous to Quebec federalists or the government in Ottawa. Trump is unwittingly encouraging Quebec nationalism by his actions and words. It remains to be seen whether the PQ will finally be able to realize its dream and build the society envisioned by Lévesque, Parizeau, Bouchard and many others.
Pablo : Course du PLQ : un référendum ferait « plaisir » à Trump.
Pablo nous dit qu'un référendum dans le premier mandat du Parti québécois ferait plaisir à l'idiot de la Maison Blanche. Selon Rodriguez, un tel référendum créerait de l'insécurité, de l'instabilité et de la division au sein de la population québécoise. L'approche pancanadienne des relations avec les États-Unis serait rompue.
Personnellement, je ne suis pas sûr que les divisions de la société québécoise feraient le bonheur de Trump. Au Canada anglais, nous avons vu nos concitoyens renforcer les liens qui les unissent. Mais au Québec, pour l'essentiel, la solidarité qui se manifeste est clairement de nature strictement québécoise.
Les anglophones d'ici et d'ailleurs vont, pour la plupart, s'unir pour sauver le Canada de la menace que représente l'administration Trump. Au Québec, c'est une autre histoire : face au chantage et aux propos intimidants de Trump, beaucoup de Québécois voient la suite logique, et c'est sur cela que compte le Parti québécois.
Malheureusement, Trump est là pour quatre autres années. Notre société évolue, gagne en maturité et renforce son esprit collectif. La logique nous amène à réfléchir sur nos structures politiques, tant au Québec qu'ailleurs. Nous verrons si le PQ forme le prochain gouvernement et si cela sera à son avantage, mais en attendant, la société québécoise grandit et s'épanouit. Cette tendance n'est pas à l'avantage des fédéralistes québécois ni au gouvernement d'Ottawa. Trump encourage involontairement le nationalisme québécois par ses gestes et commentaires. Il reste à voir si le PQ pourra enfin réaliser le rêve et construire la société de Lévesque, Parizeau, Bouchard et bien d'autres.
Sunday, 9 February 2025
Yup. Your Average American Is A Moron!
CPC: From Protest Vessel To Party Losing Ground.
Trump: Always Looking For Someone New To Hate.
Saturday, 8 February 2025
Trump: The President Of A Lemon-Aid Stand Well On Its Way To Abject Failure.
And I Thought The Trudeau Liberals Were The Ultimate In Political Stupidity...
Blocking Ron. The New Political Game, Round Two.
Carney: We Need To Start Knocking Him Down Now.
Ford: Will Lose Big. Will It Be A PC Minority Or Will The Liberals Win?
What Kind Of Idiot Accepts Hockey Tickets From Companies That Your Government Does Business With?
Carney: The Liberal Elitist's Elitist Speaks On Chinese Attack On Freeland.
Sunday, 2 February 2025
Smith: The Mar-a-Lago Trump Gaslighter.
Léger and EKOS Polls.
Elon And The Far-Right.
Rosie Sure Was Tough On Freeland.
Some Morons In Oil & Gas Think It's About Negotiating With Trump...
Trump: Disciple of Jacksonian "Democracy".
Doubtless it will be painful to leave the graves of their fathers; but what do they more than our ancestors did or than our children are now doing? To better their condition in an unknown land our forefathers left all that was dear in earthly objects. Our children by thousands yearly leave the land of their birth to seek new homes in distant regions. Does humanity weep at these painful separations from everything, animate and inanimate, with which the young heart has become entwined? Far from it. It is rather a source of joy that our country affords scope where our young population may range unconstrained in body or in mind, developing the power and faculties of man in their highest perfection.
These remove hundreds and almost thousands of miles at their own expense, purchase the lands they occupy, and support themselves at their new homes from the moment of their arrival. Can it be cruel in this government when, by events which it cannot control, the Indian is made discontented in his ancient home to purchase his lands, to give him a new and extensive territory, to pay the expense of his removal, and support him a year in his new abode? How many thousands of our own people would gladly embrace the opportunity of removing to the West on such conditions! If the offers made to the Indians were extended to them, they would be hailed with gratitude and joy."
For Trump, it's all about Manifest Destiny, where political coercion, pressure and blackmail can be used to force the dissolution of a sovereign neighbour. It's also about American entitlement to Canadian lands with the benefit largely going to the acquirer.
That's what the Trump Tariffs are really about. Make no mistake about it. It's about Trump's clear desire to acquire Canada by hook or by crook. Trump wants Canadians on bended knee, paying him homage. In Trump's mind, or at least what's left of it, it's a singular privilege bestowed on Canadians -- such a glorious invitation that no right-minded Canadian could refuse, at least from the American perspective.
So, think what you will as rational human beings about resolving this dispute but there are no chances of doing so while Trump is in office. Trump will not bend, backtrack, compromise or see reason. Some view an early or eventual renegotiation of CUSMA-USMCA as a possible out. In fact, sadly they're dreaming. If Trump does not get his way, he will simply do away with CUSMA within the next two years without replacement. That's the Trump Master Plan, so Canada and Mexico better be prepared for it. In Trump's mind, he can obviously win now or later -- but either way, the economic ruin of Canada is well on its way. As long as Trump remains in office, he will be an existential threat to Canadian sovereignty.
Pierre For Now Goes Further Than Trudeau.
Dear Trump Dumbass.
Canadian Retaliatory Tariffs - Round One.
Saturday, 1 February 2025
Trump Tariffs: From The Beginning Why Were The PM and Premiers Hopeful?
Retaliatory Tariffs: Break That Bastard!
MoronTrumpTM About To Spike Inflation With His Tariffs.
Thursday, 30 January 2025
Is Jackass Trump Going To Be Putting Tariffs On Canadian Oil And Gas?
Wednesday, 29 January 2025
The youth wing: Pablo starts to use his head.
Pablo wants to increase the Youth Commission's budget: He wants to give them [TRANSLATION] "a permanent presence in the party, either by hiring full-time or part-time staff, depending on the executive's needs."
He also plans on meeting with the executive once a month when he is leader.
Although the executive is neutral, youth wing members support various candidates. At present, Milliard's campaign is clearly in the lead, while Rodriguez is in second place. To win the race, a campaign must win at least a majority of the youth vote.
L'aile jeunesse : Pablo commence à se servir de sa tête.
Sunday, 26 January 2025
Pierre Is Rightfully Ignoring The Sanctimonious Know-It-All Conservative YouTubers.
Trump Impeachment 2025: It's Coming Before December.
The Fun Part Is Watching Trump Supporters Go Berserk Over Trump At The WEF.
Columbia And Mexico Say Fuck You Trump!
Rosie: Where's Your Reporting That Butts And Telford Are Not Working On Behalf Of Carney?
Saturday, 25 January 2025
Carney: You'll See His Policy By The End Of The Week.
Lantsman At Carney's Beaches-East York Event.
The "Feminist" Party Doesn't Want A Female Leader.
Most Of Trudeau's Cabinet Is Lining Up Behind Carney.
Will Canada Get Its Act Together?
Friday, 24 January 2025
Who In Their Right Mind Calls A Winter Election?
Thursday, 23 January 2025
MAGA: Such Losers With No Class.
The Trump sycophants booed every Democratic president as they arrived at Dipshit's inauguration. You didn't see anything like that when Biden was inaugurated. It's impossible to overestimate how much these morons, bootlickers and ass-kissers are no-class losers. At least they are a perfect reflection of their president. You know what they say, birds of a feather...
Bill 21 Heads To The Supreme Court.
Wednesday, 22 January 2025
Freeland Will Scrap Trudeau's Capital-Gains Tax Increase.
Poor Ford: Is He The Next Theresa May?
You Mean Vivek And Elon Are No Longer Best Buds? Well, I never!
Tuesday, 21 January 2025
Warren Kinsella: Emperor Of Skies.
Monday, 20 January 2025
It Won't Take Long For Trump To Go Too Far For The American People.
Trump Tariffs: It's Your Move, Pierre.
The Anti-Christ Has Really Dropped His Guard: It's There For All To See.
Sunday, 19 January 2025
Документальний фільм CBC News Network про Путіна.
Документальный фильм CBC News Network о Путине.
CBC News Network Documentary On Putin.
Why Carney Likely Can't Beat Poilièvre.
Trump Will Stall The TikTok Ban.
Freeland's Disaster Is An Opening For Gould.
Freeland Is The New Heseltine.
"I knew that, 'He [or she] who wields the knife never wears the crown.' "
Freeland's Launch: It Started Off Great And Then Canadians Interrupted More Than Once.
Hamas Is Far From Dead.
Saturday, 18 January 2025
The Asshole's Inauguration.
CBC: The Heat Has Finally Paid Off.
QLP: Young People Will Have The Final Say.
Young Liberals will have the last word. The candidate who wins the majority of those votes will probably become the next leader of the Quebec Liberal Party. For now, Milliard has a clear lead over Rodriguez.
People are saying that Milliard represents the regions while Pablo is a product of La Métropole. There are a lot of young Montreal Liberals. We'll see whether this concentration will be effective at the ballot box. On the other hand, you need support in the regions to form a government. Whoever forges the strongest ties with young people will become the party leader. That's clearer now than it's ever been.
PLQ : Les jeunes auront le mot de la fin.
Les jeunes libéraux auront le dernier mot. Le candidat qui remportera la majorité de ces votes deviendra probablement le prochain chef du Parti libéral du Québec. Pour l'instant, il semble que Milliard ait une nette avance sur Rodriguez.
Les gens disent que Milliard est un gars des régions et que Pablo est une créature de La Métropole. Il y a beaucoup de jeunes libéraux montréalais. Nous verrons si cette concentration sera efficace dans les urnes. D'un autre côté, il faut un soutien dans les régions pour arriver au pouvoir. Celui qui tissera les liens les plus forts avec les jeunes deviendra le chef du parti. C'est plus clair maintenant que jamais.
Gould Gets The Best Of Both Worlds.
Trump: I Won't Be Watching It.
Friday, 17 January 2025
Last normal Friday thoughts.
Thursday, 16 January 2025
Pablo est dans une position inconfortable.
Pablo is in an uncomfortable position.
I agree that when you're a minister, you must always maintain ministerial solidarity. That's clear. But his critics also have something to say: they're talking about child care, dental insurance, pharmacare, immigration and federal government intervention in areas of provincial jurisdiction. This situation puts Rodriguez in an awkward position. How can he legitimately criticize the positions of his former government? We have to go even further: to be consistent, Pablo must defend these previous positions in the race. There is no other choice. This will certainly tarnish his professional credentials as a Quebec nationalist. These are not glorious days. And as if that wasn't bad enough, he has the misfortune to have the firm support of a former minister who gave his word to a candidate and then changed his mind! Let's hope that those who support Rodriguez's candidacy don't do the same...
Carney Gets In And His French Comes Off Like A Thud.
Pierre: That Guy You See Coming Up Fast In The Rear View Mirror Is Called Ford.
Pierre Takes No Position And Feels Little Pain For The Time Being.
Wednesday, 15 January 2025
Pedant: Ready To Fight With Telford?
Tuesday, 14 January 2025
Gould? Talk About An Unconventional Candidacy.
QLP: Rodriguez should be disqualified as a leadership candidate.
Following the launch of Rodriguez's candidacy, I expressed the opinion that Pablo had a serious lack of judgement that disqualified him as a candidate.
And now, according to Warren Kinsella's website, THE WAR ROOM, we have learned this:
"Former federal Heritage Minister Pablo Rodriguez, who is running for the leadership of the Quebec Liberal Party, is facing questions about his decision to hold a meeting with an Ottawa lobbyist and friend about one of her clients that received funding from his department."
NDP ethics critic Matthew Green said Rodriguez should not have attended the meeting with Lisa Kirbie, founder and managing director of consultancy Blackbird Strategies, when he was heritage minister, as it created the appearance of a conflict of interest.
The November 2022 meeting on behalf of Ms Kirbie's client, the Kluane First Nation, was declared on Ms Kirbie's lobbying register.... But Mr Green said Mr Rodriguez should have erred on the side of caution and recused himself from the meeting with Ms Kirbie. Ministers should refrain from taking part in official meetings with friends, he said, as they could find themselves in an ethical conflict of interest.
PLQ : Rodriguez devrait être disqualifié en tant que candidat à la direction du parti.
If LeBlanc Is Not Drafted, Liberals Can Forget It In Quebec.
If the Liberals don't draft LeBlanc or another francophone, they can forget holding their own in Quebec. No Liberal leadership run can be considered serious and credible without a candidate from Quebec or New Brunswick.
Monday, 13 January 2025
Bachand takes on Rodriguez.
Wow. Bachand supports Milliard. Let's just say that his comments about Pablo were not very elegant: [TRANSLATION] "Maybe Quebecers need something other than career politicians. They need experienced people - and Charles is experienced - but they also need young people."
And then there was this: [TRANSLATION] The Quebec Liberal Party in the regions does not exist, it barely exists, it is very weak. Quebecers in the regions are preparing to vote massively for the Bloc or the Conservative Party. Would the Quebec Liberal Party select as leader someone who was the right-hand man of the Government of Canada for 10 years? I don't get it. Pablo Rodriguez is a good man, but this is not the time for him to lead the Quebec Liberal Party.
In my opinion, these comments will harm his candidate's campaign. They say they won't use negative politics and then they do it. It's a lack of class, to say the least. As a result, Bachand's support will hurt Rodriguez less than expected.
It remains to be seen whether other former Charest ministers will follow Bachand's lead.
Bachand affronte Rodriguez.
Wow. Bachand appuie Milliard. Disons que ses commentaires sur Pablo n'étaient pas très élégants: « Les Québécois ont besoin peut-être d'autre chose que des politiciens dont c'est la carrière. Ils ont besoin de gens expérimentés - et Charles l'est avec son expérience - mais jeunes aussi. »
Et puis, il y a eu ceci : Le Parti libéral du Québec en région n'existe pas, il existe très peu, il est très faible. Les Québécois des régions se préparent à voter massivement pour le Bloc ou le Parti conservateur. Est-ce que le Parti libéral du Québec nommerait comme chef quelqu'un qui a été le bras droit du gouvernement du Canada pendant 10 ans ? Je ne comprends pas. Pablo Rodriguez est un homme bon, mais ce n'est pas le bon moment pour le Parti libéral du Québec.
À mon avis, ces propos vont nuire à la campagne de son candidat. On dit qu'on ne veut pas faire de la politique négative et on en fait. C'est un manque de classe, c'est le moins qu'on puisse dire. Par conséquent, le soutien de Bachand nuira moins que prévu à Rodriguez.
Reste à voir si d'autres anciens ministres de Charest suivront l'exemple de Bachand.
POS Doesn't Give A Shit If It's Trudeau And Doesn't Even Know Who Poilièvre Is So Tariffs Are A Certainty.
Sunday, 12 January 2025
Once The Liberals Have A New Leader It Becomes A 60-40% Election.
Federal Liberal Leadership: They Need A Francophone Candidate. Otherwise...
CPC: Pierre Needs To Be Careful What He Wishes For.
They Make Me Wish I Wasn't A Canadian.
Saturday, 11 January 2025
Joe Is Out To Lunch.
“I think I would have beaten Trump, I could have beaten Trump.”
Well Joe, No. Stop being in LaLa Land. If the relatively new broom couldn't beat Trump, Biden sure couldn't have.
Dom Is Out...But Will There Be A Draft Dominic Movement?
The Liberal Ads Continue. Will The New PM Quickly Call An Election?
Beauchemin: Rodriguez's Small Gift.
Next Monday, Rodriguez will officially announce that Beauchemin has withdrawn from the race and is now supporting Rodriguez. It's a small gift for Pablo, given that some of Beauchemin's organizers categorically refuse to also back Rodriguez.
Pablo is clearly ahead in the race, but he is far from being the candidate of fifty-one percent of the Liberal caucus. The same goes for party members. Rodriguez still has a lot of work to do to win over the undecided. The question is whether another star candidate is coming and if so, Rodriguez will still have a lot of work to do to convince the undecided. If the answer is no, Rodriguez has a good chance of becoming the next leader. On the other hand, if a star candidate emerges, we could see a campaign led by someone other than Pablo. Therein lies the danger for Rodriguez's campaign. We'll see in the coming months. My conclusion is simple: unless another major candidate emerges, Pablo will be the next leader.
We must recognize that the leadership of the Liberal Party is not very prestigious these days. The election campaign will be a three-way battle, not a two-way one. That's not exactly ideal for a party and a leader who want to form the next Quebec government. There's a long way to go. It's always possible, but I don't think it's very likely. And there you have it.
Beauchemin : Un petit cadeau pour Rodriguez.
Lundi prochain, Rodriguez annoncera officiellement que Beauchemin se retire de la course et rejoint Rodriguez. C'est un petit cadeau pour Pablo, étant donné que certains organisateurs de Beauchemin refusent catégoriquement de se rallier à Rodriguez.
Pablo est nettement en avance dans la course, mais il est loin d'être le candidat de cinquante et un pour cent du caucus libéral. Il en va de même pour les membres du parti. Rodriguez a encore beaucoup de travail à accomplir pour rallier les indécis. La question est de savoir s'il existe un autre candidat vedette à venir, et si c'est le cas, Rodriguez a encore beaucoup à faire pour convaincre les indécis. Si la réponse est non, Rodriguez a de bonnes chances de devenir le prochain chef. En revanche, si un candidat vedette apparaît, nous pourrions assister à une campagne menée par quelqu'un d'autre que Pablo. C'est là que réside le danger pour la campagne de Rodriguez. Nous le verrons dans les mois à venir. Ma conclusion est très simple : sans l'émergence d'un autre candidat d'envergure au Québec, Pablo sera le prochain chef.
Il faut se rappeler que la direction du Parti libéral n'est pas très prestigieuse par les temps qui courent. La campagne électorale sera une bataille à trois et non à deux. Ce n'est pas exactement l'idéal pour un parti et un chef qui souhaitent former le prochain gouvernement au Québec. En effet, le chemin à parcourir est très long. C'est toujours possible, mais je ne crois pas que ce soit très probable. Et voilà.