Got To Love It: Now Quebec Caucus Wants Trudeau To Go.

Drip, drip, drip! Trudeau must really enjoy being humiliated. Go already -- preferably in the second week of January.

Trump Supports Johnson.

Not happening! The Democrats won't save Johnson's ass in January. That's too bad. Supremo defeat number two coming for Trump. Got to Luv it.

Angus Will Put The Country First?

Yeah, he and Singh. Apparently, the agenda of the country won't come first until March after Jagmeet qualifies -- and even then, they collectively hate Pierre so fucking much that they'll never vote with us on a non-confidence motion. That's the sad pathetic reality.  

Elections: For Dink.

Two things: a sitting government and prime minister are not bound by the fixed election law since it's a statute. So, a PM can go early anytime he or she feels like it. Or, a PM can go a full five years as the Old Man Trudeau did in 1979. And as you mentioned, if the NWC is invoked, a PM could even go beyond a five-year term. 

Christy Who?

In short, how many premiers have become prime minister? Exactly. The only one with a realistic chance is Ford but he necessarily has to wait either a long or short while. LOL. Nothing is ever carved in stone. Never, ever, take a perceived victory for granted. That's how you really win. 

Trump Sides With Elon.

Big mistake! Ha, ha, ha. This is like a gift from heaven. MAGA will rip itself apart. Musk won't have to bother purging them. 

Trudeau: Now The Atlantic Caucus Wants Him Out.

So much for 2025 being a Happy New Year for Trudeau...they said he wouldn't resign during the holidays. They end on January 3, 2025.

Warren: When Your Time Comes...

Warren,

It warmed my heart to see the level of love and respect you have for your parents. It shows that they were the best of parents. Now comes the ask -- one of my uncles on the MacKenzie side left the West Island (Kirkland) because he couldn't stomach the PQ and ended up living in Brockville, Ingleside and finally Cornwall. But when the end approached, he asked me if he could be buried in the MacKenzie plot at Saint Patrick's Cemetery here in Quebec City. And so he and his wife were. So, when your time comes, will you be buried in the family plot in Montreal? First roots are often far more important than we think they are.

Bannon and Loomer v. Musk and Ramaswamy.

This is great fun. Watching them go at each other. Trump, who barely remembers his own name is stuck in the middle and does not know which way to turn. Which agenda is the true Trump agenda? No one knows. As for Trump, we'll find out as soon as someone tells Trump what his agenda is! Read TikTok and so much else. Political orgasm time.

Trump: The First De Jure President.

The de facto reality is that the tail gets to wag the dog. Prepositioning is staked out and the de jure president must dutifully follow. That's how the agenda is bulldozed and how it ultimately rolls out. In theory, it's quite brilliant but Senate and House Republicans seem to have other ideas, or at least a plurality do. So, the strategy has a major flaw. Anyone who thinks this is a one-off is kidding themselves. 

And the other thing is about the possible separation of daylight between the two main components. Right now, there's none of it but can that last? Actions have consequences that can become political liabilities. No one wants in reality to be a lame duck from the get-go but the road less travelled is the only way to go to mitigate or reduce potential political damages. How do you contain this or reduce its influence? Like I said, in essence, Trump ends up as a de jure president. But for how long and at what cost? Privately, he must be fuming. 

The Prime Objective: Repeal Of Article Two, Section 1, Clause 5.

THAT'S the big picture. That's what this is really all about. The Prime Objective is there for all to see.

Trudeau's BC Ski Trip Definitely Goes Down Hill.

It looks like quite a few in Rossland don't care for Trudeau. No kidding. Anyway, I wouldn't be inclined to tell off Trudeau even though I basically can't stand the guy anymore. But people will do their thing. Again, I wouldn't want to give him his jollies knowing that he has that kind of a negative effect on some people. If someone did that to me, at least in my case, I would dig in my heels just to give that person the finger, so to speak. So again, it's not my cup of tea. 

Trump = Moron. The Matterhorn Is Not In Canada.

With Trump, well, par for the (golf) course...last time I checked, it was in Switzerland and Italy. Maybe Trump thinks someone moved it to Canada. What a dunce, dimwit, doofus, dummkopf.

CPC Non-Confidence Motion End Of January: Oh, Well...

It won't pass because Jagmeet prefers to wait until he gets his full pension. That means mid to end of February. So, that's that. And then will the Liberals prorogue before February? You bet they will. 

Joly And LeBlanc Head To Mar-a-Lago.

Now that was a waste of time. Whatever the Trump bozos said has to be taken with the largest grain of salt ever seen on Planet Earth. Their assurances, or lack thereof, mean nothing now and will mean less than nothing in the end. JackassTrumpTM  can't be controlled or corrected. He's psychotically fixated on 25% tariffs on Canada and 25% tariffs it will be. 

This time, they didn't leave Joly at the kiddy table back in Ottawa. Not that it helped any. 

Lesson Learned For 2025: Don't Trust The Polls Ever Again.

From now on, take it for granted that no matter what a poll says or how reputable the pollster is, don't take that poll to the bank -- not ever. 

American polls by and large had Harris as the winner. She lost. Canadian polls for eons have the CPC as the next winner. With a trend that is sustained for such an extended period of time, the direction is likely correct but not necessarily the magnitude. So, expect a CPC government but don't count on how big or how small. Only God knows.

Trudeau: It Feels Like 2020 All Over Again.

Trudeau prorogued last time in 2020. I expect him to shortly join Harper in proroguing Parliament a second time. That will give him some breathing room but little else. Meanwhile, the Quebec caucus needs to get on the record just like BC and Ontario caucus members did. Trudeau, try as he may, is basically already done. Everyone knows it. Even him. But he just can't help himself. He will screw around until the very last minute. Liberals dissidents thought all they had to do was push when in fact they'll have to shove with all their might to get him out. Trudeau is determined to make it as difficult as possible for his former team before he goes. So far, he's been doing a great job of it. 

The Liberal Party and Trudeau Are Desperately Fundraising On Social Media.

I've seen the Trudeau-voiced ads on YouTube several times. It's interesting to say the very least that Trudeau is still fronting for the party. When he gets back from skiing in BC, Trudeau's situation will continue to rock and roll until prorogation, which is more than likely next.

Trump Can't Help Himself Even On Christmas.

One thing never changes with Trump: even on Christmas, he remains that absolute POS asshole that we know so well. Just go read the moron's posts on TruthSocial. Can't believe they elected such a loser again as president...

Caucus Wants Freeland.

That can mean only one thing: it will be Carney because the movers and shakers along will the big donors want Carney. The establishment won't stomach Freeland.

Charest: The only person who can tackle the three-tiered mission.

For the past few weeks, I've been wondering who is the right person to meet and succeed in the three challenges facing Quebec: to lead the fight and stand up to Trump, to act as an experienced defender of Quebec on the national and international stage and, finally, to act as the person who can rebuild the QLP and put the party on the road to recovery and renaissance as an alternative that Quebecers can take seriously to defend their economic, cultural, linguistic and other interests?

After careful consideration, I have come to a conclusion: only Jean Charest can protect Quebec's interests in the face of the threat posed by Trump. What's more, Charest is also the only one who can defend and promote Quebec's interests as opposed to federal government intervention. Finally, only Charest can raise the QLP from the ashes and give hope of a possible return to government. No one other than Charest can turn the tide within the party and provide confidence to those who want Quebec to remain within the Canadian federation.

You're going to tell me that Charest's time is up, that he's a man of the past, but I'm telling you that Charest is also the person of the future who can lead Quebec towards prosperity and an economy that will be the envy of the other Canadian provinces. Charest has already done that. Can we really deny the fact that Quebec was the strongest and most economically stable province when Charest was at the head of our government?

Charest has now retired from political life, but that doesn't change the fact that no one else is in a position to tackle the three major challenges facing Quebec. There is only one person in Quebec who is in a position to overcome the winds and tides facing Quebec and his name is Charest.  I can dream of his return. The question is whether Quebec society is also ready to return to a more prosperous and economically stronger Quebec than it is today. In my opinion, only Charest can accomplish that mission.  

Charest : La seule personne qui peux affronter la mission tripartite.

Depuis quelques semaines, je me demande qui est la bonne personne pour relever et réussir les trois défis auxquels le Québec est confronté : mener le combat et tenir tête à Trump, agir comme un défenseur expérimenté du Québec sur la scène nationale et internationale et, enfin, agir comme la personne qui peut rebâtir le PLQ et mettre le parti sur la voie du redressement et de la renaissance en tant qu'alternative que les Québécois peuvent prendre au sérieux pour défendre leurs intérêts économiques, culturels, linguistiques et autres ?

Après mûre réflexion, j'en suis arrivé à une conclusion : seul Jean Charest peut protéger les intérêts du Québec face à la menace que représente Trump. De plus, Charest est aussi le seul à pouvoir défendre et promouvoir les intérêts du Québec face à l'intervention du gouvernement fédéral. Enfin, seul Charest peut faire renaître le PLQ de ses cendres et donner l'espoir d'un possible retour au gouvernement. Personne d'autre que Charest ne peut renverser la vapeur au sein du parti et donner confiance à ceux qui veulent que le Québec demeure au sein de la fédération canadienne.

Vous allez me dire que le temps de Charest est révolu, que c'est un homme du passé, mais je vous dis que Charest est aussi la personne de l'avenir qui peut mener le Québec vers la prospérité et une économie qui fera l'envie des autres provinces canadiennes. Charest l'a déjà fait. Peut-on vraiment nier le fait que le Québec était la province la plus forte et la plus stable économiquement lorsque Charest était à la tête de notre gouvernement ?

Charest s'est maintenant retiré de la vie politique, mais cela ne change rien au fait que personne d'autre n'est en mesure de relever les trois grands défis auxquels le Québec est confronté. Il n'y a qu'une seule personne au Québec qui est en mesure de surmonter les vents et les marées auxquels le Québec est confronté et son nom est Charest.  Je peux rêver de son retour. La question est de savoir si la société québécoise est également prête à revenir à un Québec plus prospère et plus fort économiquement qu'il ne l'est aujourd'hui. À mon avis, seul Charest peut accomplir cette mission.  

From CBC News: Most Liberals in caucus want Trudeau to go: MP.

So says Arya.

KinsellaCast 341.

Warren,

-Yup, I've come around to your point of view. After the BC and Ontario caucuses turned against him, Trudeau is now done as dinner. What is the Quebec caucus waiting for...? But will he go with a little dignity or kicking and screaming?

-Everyone and his dog says the Liberals are dead for at least a decade. Maybe, maybe not. Look what happened with Harris -- so a comeback with a new leader is part of the balance of probabilities.

-Carney would never go over to the CPC.

-The fix is in for Carney. He's the only one who's sufficiently detached. Clark is also sufficiently detached but how many Liberal leaders have been a woman? Exactly. Sorry, Warren. The others, forget it. LeBlanc would be good as an interim.

-He cancelled the Year End interviews. That says it all.

-The NDP got religion only after Jagmeet got closer to his pension: which he gets in late February. Singh might lose his seat next time. Singh has shown himself to be a tool.

-Normally, a shuffle was necessary, especially if prorogation is still in the cards. 

-Agree with Warren: Pierre will have more to do with a possible Liberal revival than Liberals will. That's why Poilièvre has to play his cards just right when he forms government. He can't allow himself to become Harper in 2015. Otherwise, oh well.

-Nope, Jean allowed Harper to prorogue twice and so Simon would allow Trudeau to prorogue. 

  

The Globe and Mail: Trudeau Won't Resign Over The Holidays.

Drip, drip, drip. 

.משטרת ישראל מקבלת תלונות נגד שרה נתניהו בגין חבלה בעדים.

מהג'רוזלם פוסט: "עשרות אנשים הגישו תלונות משטרתיות ביום ראשון בבוקר נגד שרה נתניהו, אשתו של ראש הממשלה בנימין נתניהו, בטענה לשיבוש עדים במשפט הפלילי של בעלה, שנחשף בתוכנית הטלוויזיה עובדה ביום חמישי.

הראיות כוללות שיחות טקסט בין שרה נתניהו לבין 

חני בליבאיס, עוזרת קרובה ותיקה לראש הממשלה ורעייתו שהסתכסכו איתם זמן קצר לפני מותה מסרטן במרץ 2023"  

Israeli Police receive complaints against Sara Netanyahu for witness tampering.

From The Jerusalem Post:

"Dozens of people filed police complaints on Sunday morning against Sara Netanyahu, wife of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, over alleged witness tampering in her husband’s criminal trial, which were revealed on the Uvda television show on Thursday.

The show revealed text conversations between Sara Netanyahu and Hani Bliveis, a longtime close aide to the prime minister and his wife who fell out with them shortly before her death from cancer in March 2023."

PLC : C'est aussi simple que cela. Trudeau doit démissionner.

La majorité du caucus du PLC veut que Trudeau démissionne. Si Trudeau reste à la tête du parti, les libéraux pourraient bien devenir le troisième, voire le quatrième parti à la Chambre des communes. Le PLC sous Trudeau est en train de devenir la version canadienne des démocrates libéraux britanniques. Incroyable mais vrai. Certains pensent même que le leadership de Trudeau pourrait devenir une crise existentielle pour le parti.

En effet, la crise tourne autour d'une question : les intérêts des libéraux doivent-ils primer sur ceux d'un chef ? Il est clair que la réponse est un oui sans équivoque. Il appartient à Trudeau de partir le plus rapidement que possible.  

LPC: It's as simple as this. Trudeau must resign.

The majority of the LPC caucus wants Trudeau to resign. If Trudeau stays on as leader, the Liberals could well become the third or even fourth party in the House of Commons. The LPC under Trudeau is becoming Canada's version of the UK's Liberal Democrats. Incredible but true. Some even believe that Trudeau's leadership could become an existential crisis for the party.

Indeed, the crisis revolves around one question: should the Liberals' interests take precedence over those of a leader? Clearly, the answer is an unequivocal yes. It's up to Trudeau to leave as quickly as possible.  

Canada's Trudeau reshuffles his Cabinet as resignation calls mount and discontent rises.

From ABC News:

“[Trudeau] told us he had a difficult choice to make and that is the choice that he is facing at this time,” said Rachel Bendayan, the official languages minister.

Lawmaker Rob Oliphant became the latest member of Parliament from Trudeau's Liberal party to call for him to step aside. Oliphant said there should be a “robust, open leadership contest.”

“Our leader has become a key obstacle preventing many progressive voters who have supported our work from doing so again in the next election,” he said in a letter released Friday.

 

‘Vast majority’ of Liberal caucus wants Trudeau to resign, MP says.

From Global News:

"For the vast majority of people I'm talking to you, they recognize that," [Housefather] said. "They know that we're at a precipice. This is the last time that our leader can change, and I think that they would like that to happen."

He added the "significant majority of MPs I'm speaking to" believe Trudeau "has no path to remain" as Liberal leader.

They Turned On Trump And He's Not Even Inaugerated Yet.

Can you say, President Lame Duck? If past is prologue...

Pierre Wants Simon To Recall House For Non-Confidence Vote.

Will it happen? Not a chance. Of course, Trudeau could still visit Simon and prorogue.

Two Cabinet Ministers On The LPC Ontario Caucus Call And They Didn't Defend Him!

Names, please and will they be forced out?

Bet Trudeau Will Resign On Sunday.

Wonder what the Quebec caucus is thinking. Probably a lot like the Ontario one.

Ontario Liberal MPs want Justin Trudeau to step down: sources.

From CBC:

51+  of 75 Ontario MPs want Trudeau to leave.

It's over.

Heartfelt Advice For Telford.

When the Liberal government inevitably goes down in the next election, think seriously about founding a company that'll manage lemonade stands!

Trudeau: WARREN Was Right, I Was Wrong!

Trudeau was going to resign and Miller talked him out of it. So, Warren's instincts are dead on and as the pressure to go mounts, it's almost inevitable that Trudeau will finally cave and go.

Trump Had To Win So MAGA Can Be Quickly Destroyed.

That's it in a nutshell. Most House Republicans defied Trump and did not raise (or abolish) the debt ceiling as he expected them to do. Add to the mix the ElonChaosTM which is not about to end anytime soon. It's a united front between Musk and Trump with the former leading and the latter following. Guess who gets all the publicity under such an arrangement? And all those president Musk jokes will soon have Trump livid. In short, Trump's patience is probably already wearing thin: sooner rather than later he'll give Musk the heave-ho and then watch Elon turn spectacularly on him too. 

All of this is almost too good to be true, but fortunately it is. Just wait until Trump takes office in January. Today's chaos is but a preview of coming attractions. It's going to be epic, especially for House Democrats. You know, those Trump Tax Cuts for millionaires, billionaires and TheTrillionaireTM won't likely come to pass if the debt ceiling isn't at least raised by Congress. Couldn't happen to a nicer bunch. Go out and get tons of popcorn.

Singh Says The NDP Will Bring Forward A Non-Confidence Motion In January.

Jagmeet apparently has had enough. Or so he says. The NDP says it will bring forward a non-confidence motion in January: "The Liberals don’t deserve another chance," Singh wrote. "No matter who is leading the Liberal party, this government’s time is up. We will put forward a clear motion of non-confidence in the next sitting of the House of Commons."

Meanwhile, Pierre says it's BS and that Singh and the New Democrats will chicken out in the end as they have done previously three times before. Poilièvre could be right but my gut tells me that Jagmeet is going for the gusto this time -- he sees the Liberals imploding before our eyes and as a result, he hopes to turn tons of Liberal seats his way in the next election. Put another way, he sees the NDP with official opposition status after the next election so why not?

Stay tuned! The NDP are getting out of the Liberals way and hoping to watch the Liberals burn down back to third place. Maybe they will even if Trudeau leaves, which IMHO, he won't. Trudeau will go down fighting whenever the next election comes. But put the odds of prorogation at ninety-nine percent, because it's coming fast. 

Canadian PM Trudeau has full support of cabinet, new finance minister says.

From Reuters.

Can you say two-faced? Well, I have news for Trudeau: that's certainly not what a handful of ministers already told the dissident MPs. But by all means, Liberals, go with that! LOL.

Will Warren Write About It?

My, oh my. You know who is now fronting for Freeland and wants Trudeau to leave quickly. LOL.

Will Warren be able to resist the temptation to pounce?

Trudeau: Told You!

From: The Canadian Press and CP24

[...]"Another Liberal source with ties to Trudeau's inner circle but not in government said the prime minister's team is trying to sort out a path forward for him, and characterized that as 'definitely operating in a manner to assert' having him continue on as leader."

No kidding...cabinet shuffle and then immediate prorogation.

Ford Just Did A Great Job On CNN.

I don't know about you but I look forward to Ford switching to the national stage.

Trudeau Will Reflect As He Has Before And Then Go Nowhere.

Trudeau is so full of shit. If he seriously considered resigning as prime minister, he sure as hell wouldn't be shuffling cabinet tomorrow. Unless many more ministers turn on him and resign, nothing and I mean nothing is going to happen. And I don't see that in the cards. Do you? The big phoney is sticking around.

Bannon Says Trump Can Have A Third Term As Long As The Three Terms Are Not Consecutive.

Bannon doesn't believe in the 22nd Amendment. Just par for the course and shows you exactly what's coming under the second Trump Administration. Start worrying now. 

Trump Wants Trudeau To Spend 2% On Defence.

Won't help much when WWIII comes. After all, everyone knows that one of the first things China will do is invade Canada. They will take Canada in a New York minute. And then we'll see what the United States does about it with China right on top of them. Won't be fun, won't be pretty.

Freeland Has Screwed Herself.

Ha, ha, ha. They told Freeland to fight back. Resigning isn't fighting back, at least not in my book. Resigning is a capitulation to Trudeau. Period.

Too many people have no idea who this Prime Minister really is: there's no way in hell that he's about to resign. Trusty Telford is gaming it with him. They will do a cabinet shuffle and old reliable LeBlanc has agreed to take Finance. (Carney is a lot smarter politically than I thought. But I digress.) And then Trudeau will prorogue.

As for the Liberal idiots who advised Freeland, did none of them think about whether she could run in the next election as a Liberal candidate? Apparently not. Guess who will have to sign her nomination papers so she can once again be the Liberal candidate in University Rosedale. And he won't.

The National Post: SCOOP: Freeland to reverse promised $250 ‘working Canadians’ cheques in mini-budget Monday

Freeland seemingly gets her way but makes the boss and Telford look stupid, which is certainly not a new look for those two. It's a small win for Rodriguez as well. 

Either way, if there is a cabinet shuffle, Freeland is more than likely out at Finance. It could be Carney or if he has the good sense to stay away from RadioactiveJustinTM, it will be some other foolish and disposable Liberal minister.

KinsellaCast 340.

Warren,

-Ford says he could stop electricity exports, but those are long-term contracts. One imagines that courts would not look too kindly on such action if electricity was cut off from American states. So, sure, he can do it in a New York minute, but how would that hold up in the courts?

-Freeland knows where some of the bodies are buried. Trudeau is too stupid to realize that. He may come to regret the way Freeland has been treated. 

-No one believes the numbers coming from the Hamas Health Ministry. But they quite deliberately went with them anyway. Right, CBC?

-For Turkey, it's all about the Kurds and filling the void now that Iran has been practically emasculated. Turkey sees itself as the new leading power of influence in the Middle East.

-As for NATO, Trump's instincts are isolationist. But realpolitik will keep the United States in NATO because if Putin crosses those borders, America is in, even if it formally leaves NATO. Only the Americans can stop the Russians. No one else. 

-Reagan (and Thatcher) were not with Mulroney on South Africa. Thatcher's son had considerable business interests there. Bush on Iraq was an absolute fabrication and a bald-faced lie. 

-Expect wildcat strikes in some cities at Canada Post. It will be messy and could turn ugly.

-Who knew that the American election was necessarily all about Trudeau and his government...

-Agree with Warren. Carney must be insane to want to have anything to do with the HMCS Justin Trudeau Titanic.

Warren Says Ford Is Captain Canada.

Well, not really. Ford is quite obviously by leaps and bounds the most authentic politician in Canada. With Ford, what you see is definitely what you get. Ford has the guts to take Trump on which very few if any other premiers are prepared to do. So, Ford gets a gold star for that. He stands up to Trump while others cower or pretend to be Trump's friend and ally.

But, photo-ops and mano-mano rhetoric are what they are. It isn't substantive or even productive. Let's get real here. Ford and everyone else can do zip if Trump brings in any form of tariff against Canada. Ford isn't prime minister and his playground isn't called Ottawa. So again, great showboating but entirely meaningless in the overall scheme of things. 

However, in a progressive conservative turned conservative universe, Ford didn't hurt himself generally by blasting Trump. He certainly isn't Captain Canada now but he may have plans to become Captain Canada later. If he's a man with a federal plan, he did himself more good than bad with what he said about Trump. But sorry Warren, Captain Canada he ain't.

Trump Is Going To Lower The Cost Of Groceries...Yeah, Right.

Every special interest in DC is by far at least Republican and likely MAGA. They, along with everyone else are sucking up to Trump to either protect or expand their unique special interest. It's that total perversion of democracy known as crony capitalism and it will see new heights under the second Trump Administration.

There is but one certainty in American politics: to gauge the sheer gullibility level of the American people knows no bounds. Trump is a captive of special interests not to mention the millionaire, billionaire and trillionaire class. Hi Elon!

So, it's beyond laughable to think that Trump will actually spend one minute on measures that supposedly will reduce the cost of groceries. Not happening, ever. This one is a real chestnut. The only one better is that old classic from Trump: MEXICO is going to pay for the wall! How did that one turn out for you? A monumental joke, pretty much like Trump himself.

QLP: Pablo's incredibly great challenge.

Pablo is caught in a dilemma: he has the momentum in the QLP leadership race, but the tide is clearly not always incoming. According to several Léger polls, a plurality of QLP supporters are looking for another leader with the race officially beginning next month.

Rodriguez has the support of just 28% of Liberal voters, compared with 49% who are searching for another candidate.  Looking at all voters, Pablo has the support of twenty-five percent while fifty-six percent of voters want an undetermined candidate to lead the party.

That's why Rodriguez talks about future endorsements; he knows full well that L'Équipe Pablo's momentum is certainly not growing. It's more like a plateau with the solid backing of only a third of the party. Not exactly impressive, and definitely not spectacular.

And there's more. If there were a general election in Quebec today, the PQ would get thirty-three percent of the vote, while the QLP with Pablo as leader would pick up only twenty-six percent. That's still much better than the CAQ, which is far behind with fifteen percent.

It definitely was a major error in political strategy to enter this race without first having the solid support of at least fifty percent of Liberal voters. In short, Rodriguez must resign himself to this disappointing political reality, which no doubt will be very difficult to swallow.

PLQ : L'incroyable grand défi de Pablo.

Pablo est pris dans un dilemme : il a le momentum dans la course à la chefferie du PLQ, mais la marée est clairement partagée. Selon plusieurs sondages Léger, une pluralité de sympathisants du PLQ cherchent un autre chef, alors que la course débutera officiellement le mois prochain.

Rodriguez n'a l'appui que de 28 % des électeurs libéraux, comparativement à 49 % qui cherchent un autre candidat.  Si l'on considère l'ensemble des électeurs, Pablo obtient un chiffre de vingt-cinq pour cent et cinquante-six pour cent des électeurs souhaitent qu'un candidat non spécifié prenne la tête du parti.

C'est pourquoi Rodriguez parle de soutien futur, car il sait très bien que la dynamique de Team Pablo n'est certainement pas en train de croître. Il s'agit plutôt d'un plateau avec le soutien solide d'un tiers du parti. Pas vraiment impressionnant, et encore moins spectaculaire.

Et ce n'est pas tout. S'il y avait une élection générale au Québec aujourd'hui, le PQ obtiendrait trente-trois pour cent des voix, alors que le PLQ avec Pablo comme chef aurait vingt-six pour cent. C'est toujours beaucoup mieux que la CAQ, qui est loin derrière avec quinze pour cent.

C'était certainement une erreur majeure de stratégie politique que de se lancer dans cette course sans avoir au préalable l'appui solide d'au moins cinquante pour cent des électeurs libéraux. Bref, Rodriguez devra se résigner à cette réalité politique décevante, qui sera sans doute très difficile à avaler. 

Trump Tariffs: Let the POS Cut His Own Throat.

I don't want to call Trump a moron. That would overestimate his intelligence. So, just let the old bastard bring in tariffs across the board against Canada and other countries. This idiot will prompt a massive inflationary spiral which will hurt MAGA and pretty much everyone else. And you know what that means: an incredible swing toward the Democrats in the midterms but don't try to explain that to president-elect DumbDumbTM. 

However, the loss of USMCA (CUSMA) wouldn't be a disaster, just like when NAFTA went extinct. Remember that domestic congressional legislation on trade, tariffs, countervailing, anti-dumping, and assorted other items is supreme. It has a primacy in American law and allows Congress to bypass or overrule USMCA or WTO dispute settlement panel decisions. In short, it is what it is, and it's already gaming the system against America's trade partners. 

Pablo: Two New Endorsements.

Pablo has just received the support of two MNAs, Caron and Setlakwe. These new endorsements are coming slowly but surely. Rodriguez reminds us that there will be more. Obviously.

 

Pablo: Deux nouveaux appuis.

Pablo vient de recevoir le soutien de deux députées, Caron et Setlakwe. Ce sont des nouveaux appuis qui viennent tranquillement mais sûrement. Rodriguez nous rappelle qu'il en aura d'autres. Évidemment.

KinsellaCast 339.

Warren,

-One would suppose it's in the strategic interest of the incoming Syrian coalition not to have an enemy mentality vis-à-vis Israel. Normalisation of relations with Israel is not only in the Saudi interest but also in Syria's.

-Neither Warren nor John are right or wrong. The lesson of "President" Harris was instructive. Poilièvre likely will win big but never say never. Again, Kamala taught us that. Trudeau can still win again, at least theoretically, but it would take both a miracle and an unprecedented earthquake in politics. 

-Netanyahu has started bombing chemical weapon facilities, ammunition dumps and other installations. Incredibly, that guy can do no wrong in advancing his own political career as prime minister. He even moved into the buffer zone. Masterful political strategy. Watch his polls start to improve dramatically.

-I wish we could police the internet adequately for minors rather than taking away their rights but practically speaking, I wonder if that can be done effectively and consistently.

-Trump WANTS universal global tariffs and that's what we'll get, with Trudeau, Poilièvre or anyone else as our leader. Like always, Trudeau has no plan. Probably the only thing he has in common with Trump...

- 

House: Can You Say 217-215?

Thanks to Trump, three newly elected members are about to be gone, two to fill Trump Administration posts. So dipshit Johnson is in for a lot of fun -- technically, the Republicans won't be in the majority but neither will the Democrats unless they pick up some votes or someone drops dead or resigns. 

Revenge is sweet and often comes in small doses. Trump is about to find that out in the House. What an idiot...sooner or later, expect Jeffries to outmanoeuver Johnson. It's coming, probably when Johnson and MAGA least expect it. 

Notre-Dame: No Smiles From Trump.

Trump gave away the game at Notre-Dame. The president-elect looked like he'd rather be anywhere than with Macron and more particularly, Zelenskyy. Trump can feel the boom coming down, one that will not allow him as president to abandon Ukraine. Macron basically shoved Zelenskyy down Trump's throat. It was a masterful piece of statecraft from a guy already on the ropes.

So, ending the Ukraine war on Day One is now toast. Ukraine is the only thing between Putin's Russia and attacks on NATO territory. Everyone knows that, even Trump. If Ukraine or Georgia falls, the Baltics and Poland will be next. Thanks to Medvedev and Lavrov, the game plan is crystal clear. It's either hold the line in Ukraine or directly deal with Russian forces on NATO front lines. Trump isn't happy about it but the Ukraine decision is no longer his to make. Realpolitik has dawned on Trump, whether he's prepared to admit it. Ukraine cannot and will not fall.   

Warren: Caption contest.

OK, there's Warren. But who the hell are those other two guys?

Pablo Rodriguez entrusts former minister Martin Coiteux with a task force on the economy.

Finally, Pablo is on the right track. To my knowledge, the other candidates don't have a task force.

Pablo Rodriguez confie à l'ancien ministre Martin Coiteux un groupe de travail sur l'économie.

Enfin, Pablo est sur la bonne voie. À ma connaissance, les autres candidats n'ont pas de groupe de travail.

Jagmeet Is Such A Twerp.

Singh won't support the next Conservative non-confidence motion when it comes up for a vote next Monday. A shock to...no one...

It seems that Pierre wants nevertheless to have serial non-confidence motions on every future opposition day. My response: why bother?

Shouldn't we instead be attacking the Trudeau Liberals at every possible opportunity rather than resorting to this waste of time? Get Jagmeet and the NDP on the record on Monday and then move on.

Thanks, Joe. NOW, Trump Will Get All His Nominees Confirmed...

Well, I oppose at least four of Trump's nominees. But now, after Biden pardoned Hunter, no Republican senators will lift a finger to block any of his nominees.

Thanks, Joe.

Biden Pardons Hunter.

Shameful. Once again, Biden breaks his word. I didn't agree when Kuschner was pardoned by Trump nor did I agree with some of Clinton's pardons so at least I'm being consistent. 

I always expected this. It was my view that Hunter was manipulating everyone and this proves me right.

KinsellaCast 338.

Warren,

-Poilièvre has surrendered to his better angels, with the help of his wife. He is now a mainstream Conservative and that's why the party is consistently ahead in the polls. Pierre is now the logical alternative and likely future prime minister. He did the necessary work to evolve as a person and soon will reap those political rewards. 

-I would love to see Mraz as a future Global Affairs minister. I can dream, can't I?

-Demon seeds are never a goner. Were Putin to drop dead, the ever-hawkish Medvedev is the likely choice as successor. He's no longer the man he was when dealing with Obama. In other words, he ain't faking it. 

-Trudeau without a plan? It's not like he ever has done that before...

-Trump is like every other president -- bent on fucking us. They've been unjustifiably screwing us for decades. We won in every NAFTA and other panel on softwood and they still screwed us continually with protectionist congressional legislation. 

-My RSV paid vaccine is in two weeks. A week later it will be my free COVID-19 booster and flu shot.

   

Trump II: The Ultimate Coming Of Political Chastisements.

And so it will inevitably come for Trump and his fawning minions. Trump I's low point was displayed for all to see on January 6th when forces bent upon preventing a duly elected president from taking office stormed Capitol Hill in an attempt to keep Trump illegally in power. Trump I slowly realized the folly of the insurrection and its hopeless nature and only then bent into the wind of the American people's will.

But the last election did two things: it democratically elected for another term a man who would do anything going forward to remain in office, potentially past his constitutionally-mandated term and that campaign served as a prequel for what is to come in the way of political retribution against his actual and perceived political opponents. Secondly, reprisal and retribution will be the mark of Trump II as the American people are about to discover.

Think back to the first assassination attempt: it was in that fleeting moment that we saw the mask fall from Trump's face. His true nature was suddenly and unexpectedly on display for all to see. Getting even showed in the fury of his eyes and foreshadowed what is about to come in a second Trump term. Shades of the Inquisition and Star Chamber will follow as Trump attempts to silence and politically neutralize his opponents. What the American people are about to witness and endure will be the final nail in the coffin of their collective and common democracy. Trump the Dictator is about to be born. It will be American against American and that can only give encouragement and succour to the enemies of democracy both within and without. Over the next four years, Americans likely will endure successive trials and tribulations that the body politic has never seen before. 

Americans will know no check on Trump's power. The legislative and judicial branches of government have already been effectively cowered by Trump and MAGA. Going forward, it's all and anything goes for Trump.

Trump will make Nixon look like a political amateur when it comes to usurping American democracy and pushing forward his dictatorial agenda. After a long, damaging fight against democracy, a political realignment will come and Republicans who so willingly carried out the Trump agenda will face the electoral wrath of the people. Trump will have pushed the United States close to a second civil war and thinking people will eventually come to recognize what a political folly it was to put this man in power again. In the end, Trump and MAGA will destroy the Republican party for eternity. Trump will inevitably consign Republicans to Whig party status. 

Trump II will have tested the loyalty of Americans and disrupted the firm bonds that keep the nation together. When Trump leaves office will come a political reckoning the likes the country has not seen before. Trump II will end with more of a whimper than a bang. Trump claims to want to make America Great Again. Ironically, his second term in office will do more to test the integrity and common purpose of the United States than any president who has served before him. Be careful what you ask or vote for. In the end, that can potentially be the undoing of all that has come to symbolize the greatness, freedom and democracy of the United States. Trump II will be an unprecedented close call for democracy. But God willing, the nation will ultimately prevail, having become stronger and better after having painfully and dramatically learned its Trump lessons only too well. 

What Democrats Need To Win: Another Bill Clinton Or Tony Blair.

Let's start with an uncomfortable fact: 13.2 million registered Democrats didn't vote. That's the only reason why Trump won. Remember that DictactorOneTM only won the popular vote by a measly 1.6 percent. So, ask yourselves why Harris lost? Part of it was sexism and misogyny but that's not the real reason. Harris lost because she couldn't shed her true progressive values. No matter how hard she tried, Harris couldn't come off as genuinely centrist and moderate. THAT'S why people stayed home in droves and primarily why she lost. 

The far-left à la Newsom or AOC would love to take over the party and so far they're well on their way. But that's a losing game, even in 2026 and probably in 2028. Non-voting Democrats want a centrist-moderate leader. That's what it takes to get them off their ass. The Democratic Party needs to seriously realign itself toward the center or it can forget the White House for years to come. Clinton did it with New Democrats and Blair with New Labour. Now it's the party's turn again. 

Trump Nominates Patel for FBI.

How fitting! A right-wing whacko was just elected president and now he nominates another right-wing whacko for FBI director. Schumer and the Democrats must regret that sixty votes in favour are long gone. So, one frustrated loser nominates another. End of story. Can Patel get fifty-one votes? He sure can, unless Senate Republicans still have a few principles left. Probably not. To say Patel is unqualified is the understatement of the decade. But he's an asshole, just like the president-elect, so here this nomination comes...

Desperate Trudeau Rushes To Mar-a-Lago.

Trump has the other leaders right where he wants them. It's fun to see Trudeau between a rock and a hard place. We already know what Trump really thinks about Trudeau and vice-versa so don't expect any exemption or deal until Canada basically caves. Miracles don't happen on TrumpStreetTM. So, Canada will likely be left with a tariff across the board. It probably won't end up being 25% but it won't be 0% either. Oh, and what a lovely photo: Trudeau, LeBlanc, the incredible Telford, etc. I guess Joly was in the can. Imagine, heading to the States without your Global Affairs minister. Speaks volumes...not exactly a Christmas present. If Trudeau did that to me, I would resign in a Mar-a-Lago minute. Liberals knifing liberals!

Singh Will Prop Up Trudeau Forever.

It's so ridiculous trying to get into Singh's head to figure out why the NDP keeps propping up the government. In short, it's not about his pension or the fact that the NDP has no money. What it's really and only about is the fact that Jagmeet hates Pierre's guts. Translation: the NDP would go so far as to make a pact with the devil to keep the Conservatives out of office. And so Singh will continue to keep Trudeau in power until the end of time, or when the election finally rolls around. 

Rodriguez opposes the GST holiday and the $250 cheque.

And that's all. Pablo distances himself from the Trudeau government over the GST holiday and the two hundred and fifty dollar cheques. He says: [TRANSLATION] "These two measures are not structural. There is no long-term vision. They are likely to have a minimal impact on a certain number of people at an extremely high cost of 6.3 billion dollars. Just as I was against the Legault government sending out cheques, I am against what the federal government is doing today."

In short, it's too much money over a very short period of time. He points out that seniors (and students) are not eligible for this tax holiday. In fact, the NDP is asking that the money also go to pensioners and students.

But what is the majority position within the QLP, and is it consistent with the position of Quebecers in general? The provincial Liberals at a minimum want to limit federal spending, but perhaps Quebecers want something else? Many Quebecers agree with the NDP's position. So we'll have to keep a close eye on that. We'll see if Pablo made the right decision. Rodriguez needs to win the support of the QLP, without losing any ground with the general public.   

Rodriguez dénonce le congé de TPS et le chèque de 250 $.

Et c'est tout. Pablo prend ses distances avec le gouvernement Trudeau au sujet du congé de la TPS et des chèques de deux cent cinquante dollars. Il déclare : « Ces deux mesures ne sont pas structurelles. Il n'y a pas de vision à long terme. Elles risquent d'avoir un impact minime sur un certain nombre de personnes pour un coût extrêmement élevé de 6,3 milliards de dollars. Tout comme j'étais contre l'envoi de chèques par le gouvernement Legault, je suis contre ce que fait le gouvernement fédéral aujourd'hui.»

Bref, c'est trop d'argent sur une très courte période. Il souligne que les aînés (et les étudiants) ne sont pas admissibles à ce congé fiscal. En fait, le NPD demande que l'argent aille aussi aux retraités et aux étudiants.

Mais quelle est la position majoritaire au sein du PLQ, et est-elle cohérente avec la position des Québécois en général ? Les libéraux provinciaux veulent au moins limiter les dépenses fédérales, mais peut-être les Québécois veulent-ils autre chose ? De nombreux Québécois sont d'accord avec la position du NPD. Il faudra donc surveiller cela de près. Nous verrons si Pablo a pris la bonne décision. Rodriguez doit gagner l'appui du PLQ, sans perdre de plumes auprès du grand public.   

Can The CPC Win Mount Royal?

Of course, the answer is Yes or No. 

If Pierre can find a star candidate from the business world who has almost 100% credibility yup, the CPC can win the riding without any problem. But if the Conservatives choose some backroom nobody with basically a zero track record in his or her professional life, then Housefather will win once again, assuming Housefather isn't sitting as an independent.

KinsellaCast 337.

Warren,

-The aggrieved should never lower themselves to become like those who have discriminated against them. So, I wouldn't spit in his face. I would mobilize nationally and make damned sure that this government is not returned to power in the next election.

-Trudeau isn't leaving because of his God complex. This mini-tax break is an example of this foolishness.

-Poilièvre struck just the right tone in his letter. But his main accomplishment in government will be not over the long run becoming partly the same as what he currently denounces in the current prime minister. Incumbency and long tenure often lead to a regrettable moral compass change. Hopefully, Pierre won't succumb to that over the medium to long term while in office.

Warren Kinsella: My latest: Trudeau is beyond redemption.

Outstanding writing. Warren is at his best when he writes about heartfelt issues, those that deal with humanity itself. Even in basic arithmetic, one plus one inevitably leads to two. Causation is at the very heart of all conflict and its inevitable consequences.

Take October 7th of last year: there is and can be but one cause of such inhumane brutality that the participants move heaven and earth to deny. Even Hamas terrorists know that their murderous origins are not good for their cause - they went out of their way to plan and execute countless operations in Israel that killed both military personnel but primarily civilians, most of whom were already sympathetic to the Palestinian cause. In fact, many kibbutz were sending money into Palestine and doing collectively what they could to help individual Palestinians and their humanity and kindness was rewarded with murder, rape, torture and other assorted atrocities. Many Israelis were at least sympathetic to the cause of the Two-State Solution but unsurprisingly, not anymore. 

Put another way, but for the Hamas terrorist attacks, the Israeli incursions into Gaza and Lebanon would not be happening now and likely would never have happened. Some Palestinians gave way to their most base instincts and a desire to perpetrate evil and so it was done.

It's incredible to believe that these terrorists had no idea how Netanyahu and the IDF would respond. It's almost mind-boggling. No country in the world is better at collective self-defence than Israel. Evidence of that is clear in Gaza and Lebanon. What Hamas and Hezbollah have brought onto themselves is their own destruction. Israel will never stop until both organizations become a shadow of their former selves, the military equivalent of The Islamic State and ISIS.

With their indictments, the ICC has shown itself not to be impartial, much less judicially blind to influence. Netanyahu and Gallant make easy targets, with no mention of the primary roles played by either the Hamas or Hezbollah leadership. Where are those indictments? In short, nowhere to be found. Genuine war crimes and crimes against humanity come in all shades and almost inevitably, they are foreign to the legitimate cause of collective self-defense. 

When this war ends, a war for survival, on one side and another waged to eradicate Israel, it will not all be lily-white. That's how wars go. But in the end, Israel will come out of this war more united and stronger as a country, while thinking Palestinians will be looking for a new way to coexist and eventually lead to a path from where their own legitimate state can ultimately emerge. Terrorists are transitory. So are governments. But races aren't - something that both Israelis and Palestinians already know only too well. 

ICC: Trudeau Would Arrest Netanyahu And Gallant.

Just glad my name isn't Housefather. What will he do now?

No Honeymoon Coming For TrumpCrazyTownTM.

MAGA is sure feeling its oats and crowing for a gang that won the popular vote by less than two percent. Typical MAGA illusion. The cabinet nominations are moving at a relatively smooth pace but things are far from perfect in TrumpLandTM.

Trump's inner circle is already in turmoil with fights breaking out in meetings with yelling and name-calling galore as per The Washington Post. Some people have been kicked out of meetings. One faction is led by Don Jr., another by Wiles and a third by McMahon. 

Loving it! Can you say buyer's remorse in spades? So much for adults being in the room. Just wait until Trump gets into office again. This is but the tip of the iceberg. Plenty more fun and follies coming down the road. That gang is sowing what they so richly deserve. Send me to political heaven. I can't get any happier than this. So, expect two things: absolutely no honeymoon for the Trump Administration and Wiles lasting even less than three months. Trump had four chiefs of staff last time. They're already well on their way to breaking that record. Couldn't be more pleased.

Blackburn will not be a candidate. What a strange time for PSPP and Rodriguez.

The announcement of Blackburn's withdrawal from the QLP leadership race came as a bombshell. Previously, his candidacy had been seen as a wave already in motion. This brings us to a fork in the road for the Liberals: they can rally behind Pablo, or they can go in search of a new candidate with experience as a minister in a Charest or Couillard government. If there are no volunteers, the leadership door will seem wide open for Rodriguez. Are there enough candidates and members who want nothing to do with Pablo? I doubt it. Rodriguez is now the candidate we expect to become leader by default. We'll see about the others, but an anti-Pablo wall doesn't appear to be in the cards.

For Pablo, the question remains whether there will be new candidates. If the answer is No, he'll be on his way to winning the leadership, but we can't talk about a real race, given the party's political reality on the ground. Essentially, the QLP is not a party of the regions or the Capitale-Nationale. Rodriguez will have a lot of work to do to broaden the party's base outside the Montreal region. However, a recent Léger poll shows the Liberals, under his leadership, in the lead with 28%, and the PQ in second place with 26%. Of course, the distribution of support for the Parti Québécois is certainly more encompassing. 

On the PQ side, PSPP says he is not worried about a Rodriguez-led QLP. He says the Liberals are looking for [TRANSLATION] ‘personality and relevance’. On the other hand, one wonders why PSPP is talking publicly about Rodriguez if he has no concerns? The PQ is worried that Pablo could potentially broaden the QLP's support base among francophones in the coming months.

In short, support for the PQ and PSPP is dominant but fragile. A Rodriguez-led QLP could change that during the course of the campaign. Essentially, a QLP with Pablo as leader doesn't look like good news for the Parti Québécois' electoral plans. That's why PSPP is subtly running a fear campaign against Rodriguez.

Blackburn ne sera pas candidat. Quelle drôle d'époque pour PSPP et Rodriguez.

L'annonce du retrait de Blackburn de la course à la chefferie du PLQ a fait l'effet d'une bombe. Auparavant, sa candidature était perçue comme une vague déjà en marche. Les libéraux sont donc à la croisée des chemins : ils peuvent se rallier à Pablo ou se mettre à la recherche d'un nouveau candidat ayant l'expérience d'un poste de ministre dans un gouvernement Charest ou Couillard. S'il n'y a pas de volontaires, la porte de la chefferie semblera grande ouverte à Rodriguez. Y a-t-il suffisamment de candidats et de membres qui ne veulent rien savoir de Pablo ? J'en doute. Rodriguez est maintenant le candidat que l'on s'attend à voir devenir chef par défaut. Nous verrons pour les autres, mais un mur anti-Pablo ne semble pas être dans les cartes.

Pour Pablo, la question reste à savoir s'il y aura de nouveaux candidats. Si la réponse est non, il sera en route vers la chefferie, mais on ne peut pas parler de course, compte tenu de la réalité politique du parti sur le terrain. Essentiellement, le PLQ n'est pas un parti des régions ou de la Capitale-Nationale. Rodriguez aura beaucoup de travail à faire pour élargir la base du parti à l'extérieur de la région de Montréal. Cependant, un récent sondage Léger place les libéraux, sous son leadership, en tête avec 28 %, et le PQ en deuxième place avec 26 %. Bien sûr, la répartition des appuis au Parti québécois est certainement plus étendue. 

Du côté péquiste, PSPP dit ne pas s'inquiéter d'un PLQ dirigé par Rodriguez. Pour lui, les libéraux recherchent « la personnalité et la pertinence ». D'un autre côté, on peut se demander pourquoi PSPP parle publiquement de Rodriguez s'il n'a aucune crainte. Le PQ s'inquiète du fait que Pablo pourrait potentiellement élargir la base de soutien du PLQ parmi les francophones dans les mois à venir.

En bref, le soutien du PQ et de PSPP est dominant mais fragile. Un PLQ dirigé par Rodriguez pourrait changer la donne au cours de la campagne. Essentiellement, un PLQ avec Pablo comme chef ne semble pas être une bonne nouvelle pour les plans électoraux du Parti Québécois. C'est pourquoi PSPP mène subtilement une campagne de peur contre Rodriguez. 

Gaetz.

One down, three to go.

House Republicans Have No Honor Or Respect On Trans Issues.

Bathrooms. The new lightning rod for House Republicans. One of their colleagues is a trans-women and Republicans don't want her using female gender restrooms. They point out that each member has a private bathroom and can use various unisex restrooms on Capitol Hill.

Representative-elect McBride says she'll respect House rules. But what exactly are House Republicans afraid of? They say parents want their children to feel safe in restrooms. They also say that women want to feel safe in bathrooms of their sex. The idiot MTG even says that she would physically fight to keep a trans-woman out of a female bathroom.

Of course, all of this is bullshit. What the House Republicans are really peddling is the unspoken sub-text that they think but dare not say: an overall presumption that all trans people are sex fiends and mentally deranged and therefore prone to attack other people, which is not the case. It's beyond laughable how out and out ignorant they are. Really, is it really the daily plan of a trans Representative to come off the House floor and then assault bathroom goers at all or regularly? Total bullshit but that's ignorance for you. Trans people have character just like non-trans people, they also have morals and are known to be decent people but No, House Republicans go out of their way not to see that. 

Here's my question for male House Republicans: if you insist that McBride or others use the male bathroom, what are you going to do when she walks in? Are you going to watch her use the facilities, or will you at least have enough respect to leave that bathroom while a trans person who was born male uses the facility? It's about honor and respect for the individual, a concept that few House Republicans know anything about. 

The OLO Muzzles MPs.

No kidding! LOL. It's back to the Harper days. 

Kind of depends who the MPs are and what they're planning to say. If it's reasonable, I don't see why Pierre would object. But if it's out there in wackoland, I also would want to muzzle them, if I was leader.

Boissonnault Leaves Cabinet.

Boissonnault has resigned. He says he has done nothing wrong and will concentrate on clearing his name. 

He made the right decision to leave cabinet. Other Trudeau cabinet ministers should have followed his example in the past but didn't. These things never look good optics-wise. It reinforces the narrative that the Trudeau government has to go. 

Trump Thinks He Can Control Ukraine.

Remember how Trump famously said that he could end the Ukranian war in twenty-four hours? Absolute nonsense but that's classic Trump. He goes on and on about his so-called great relationship with Putin and suggests he could easily bring Zelenskyy to heel. Right.

I've got news for him. Ukrainians will fight for every inch of their soil whether Trump enthusiastically backs them or not. The big knock on Putin is if he was capable of winning the war, he would have done so by now. Two and a half years later and the Russians are no closer to a military victory. In fact, it's more or less a stalemate on the ground. Russia has shown itself to be a second-rate military power that does not have the demonstrable leadership required to win militarily. In fact, the upper levels of the officer corps have shown themselves to be grossly incompetent while the ranks are being decimated on the battlefield at an ever-alarming rate. In short, Putin's desperation forced him to accept North Korean troops, some of whom immediately defected upon arrival in theatre. 

Putin's so-called best efforts have only resulted in a military stalemate reminiscent of the trench warfare in WWI. Putin may think that with Trump's return he can provide for that. He may expect Trump to turn a blind eye to further military escalation in Ukraine or potential invasion of NATO territory. No one sees Putin winning under a WWIII scenario but there is plenty of consternation and trepidation in countries such as Poland, Romania and the Baltics. Putin is viewed, at best, as potentially irrational and no one can predict what might happen going forward. 

Meanwhile, Biden has approved ATACMS use against Russian targets in the country. Will Trump actually have the resolve to reverse this decision or the recent arrival of F16s in Ukraine? Time will tell but one thing is certain: should Russia attack NATO, Trump will have no choice but to come to Europe's rescue. In short, you can fight Russians by default on European soil or later on American territory, if it comes to that. Sadly, the fate of the free world rests more with Putin than with Trump. 

KinsellaCast 336.

Warren,

- Parrish and Trudeau must have the same IQ score.

-Mraz says they're sock puppets. But does it make any difference if qualified or unqualified candidates rule the roost because in the final analysis, the moron Trump gets to decide anything that is substantive and even God can't get this asshole to do the right thing on most issues.

-I come at Ukraine differently: if American aid is so crucial and inadequate to this point, why hasn't Putin managed to take Ukraine in two and a half years? That speaks volumes about Russia's actual military capacity and level of professional soldiering. FFS, they need North Koreans to advance their military aims in Ukraine and even that is not a given. So, I remain cautiously optimistic even if Trump tries to end that war to Russia's advantage. 

-Look into Musk's eyes and then you'll be all-knowing about who Musk is.

-Trump: Frum summed it up nicely.

-At least Warren can draw comfort from the fact that his puppy has far more active brain cells than the President-elect of the United States.

-And then there's that unanswered question: are Joey and Roxy jealous?

-The Nutcase Fest that is sometimes TO city council.

-I wish Santa would convince Trudeau to go away with him in his sleigh. 

-Canada Post: only 22%? I guess inflation is higher than we've been led to believe... 

Blackburn: Can He Win?

Following the Liberal convention in Lévis, two waves emerged on the ground: the first revealing that Rodriguez was ahead in the leadership race. But there was also a second: that of followers of the reputed temple of a mysterious ghostly figure that was ever present at the convention. In a word: Blackburn.

Blackburn seems intent on returning to the political scene after his cancer treatments, and his network already appears to be active. And his organization is probably the most impressive of all the leadership candidates. Behind the scenes, there is talk of a possible, but seemingly certain candidacy. It appears that several former ministers and MNAs are ready to join his team. They are waiting for him to formally announce his candidacy. That's it.

The advent of a Blackburn candidacy would be the worst-case scenario for Rodriguez, among others. Coincidentally, the other declared candidates are hammering Pablo on the issue of public finances and his lack of objections. They also criticize his links in Ottawa, given that Rodriguez still sits as an MP. In some party circles, it's hard to understand why Pablo did not immediately sever his ties with Trudeau as soon as his candidacy was announced.

And the contrast between Rodriguez and Blackburn, who heads the CPQ, is striking. The Liberals' message seems to be focused on the economy and public finances, which is not necessarily to Rodriguez's advantage.

Indeed, there is a certain expectation among members that a candidate will emerge who will not necessarily be very spontaneous. The Liberals always have a game plan, even under an interim leader. It's a bit like the arrival of Bourassa in the 70s. Blackburn's future candidacy is not a foregone conclusion, but it seems almost certain.

In short, we're expecting an earthquake in the QLP and it's called Blackburn. It won't be good news for Pablo in particular. To sum up, I'll leave the last word to Abdelfadel:

[TRANSLATION] "He [Blackburn] eventually left the PLQ, but the PLQ never left him, and neither did the people he met there."

Blackburn : peut-il gagner ?

À la suite du congrès des membres libéraux à Lévis, il y a eu deux vagues sur le terrain : la première montrant que Rodriguez était en avance dans la course à la chefferie. Mais il y en avait aussi une deuxième : celle des adeptes du temple réputé d'une mystérieuse figure fantomatique omniprésente au congrès. En un mot : Blackburn.

Ce dernier semble vouloir revenir sur la scène politique après ses traitements contre le cancer et son réseau semble déjà actif. Et son organisation est peut-être la plus impressionnante de tous les candidats au leadership. En coulisses, on parle d'une candidature possible, mais plutôt certaine. Il semble que plusieurs anciens ministres et députés soient prêts à rejoindre son équipe. Ils attendent qu'il annonce sa candidature. Tout simplement.

L'avènement d'une candidature Blackburn serait le pire des scénarios pour Rodriguez, entre autres. Comme par hasard, les autres candidats déclarés martèlent Pablo sur la question des finances publiques et son manque d'objections. Ils critiquent également ses liens avec Ottawa, alors que Rodriguez siège toujours comme député. Dans certains cercles du parti, on ne comprend pas pourquoi Pablo n'a pas immédiatement rompu ses liens avec Trudeau dès l'annonce de sa candidature.

Le contraste entre Rodriguez et Blackburn, qui dirige le CPQ, est frappant. Le message des libéraux semble être axé sur l'économie et les finances publiques, ce qui n'est pas nécessairement à l'avantage de Rodriguez.

En effet, les membres s'attendent à voir émerger un candidat qui ne sera pas nécessairement très spontané. Les libéraux ont toujours un plan de match, même sous un chef intérimaire. C'est un peu comme l'arrivée de Bourassa dans les années 70. La future candidature de Blackburn n'est pas gagnée d'avance, mais elle semble presque certaine.

Bref, on s'attend à un tremblement de terre au PLQ et il s'appelle Blackburn. Ce ne sera pas une bonne nouvelle pour Pablo en particulier. En résumé, je laisse le mot de la fin à Abdelfadel :

"Il [Blackburn] a fini par quitter le PLQ, mais le PLQ ne l'a jamais quitté, pas plus que les gens qu'il y a rencontrés".

Next Federal Election: Warren Is On Target!

Warren views a Trump return to the presidency as transformative for our political matrix and I've come to agree with him. Simply put, the more Trump goes batshit crazy and morphs into an authoritarian ideologue, the more Trudeau will enjoy serial political orgasms. 

As Kinsella predicted, our next election will be all about the deranged American president and his authoritarian imposition on American democracy. He's not even in office yet and most of his cabinet nominees are either unqualified or unworthy. The more Trump goes off the right-wing deep end, the more that helps the Liberals in their quest to weaken and reverse the Conservative two-year lead in the polls.

That puts Pierre in a difficult place: to maintain and perhaps increase the CPC polling lead, he has to stick to centre-right issues and not embrace anything that Trump has proposed or is doing. If Poilièvre embraces one inch of Trump's policy, it will be the beginning of the end for the CPC. As of now, Warren thinks Liberals can make gains but not reverse the Conservative lead. I'm not so sure. Trudeau is a big zero as prime minister and Liberal leader but he's both progressive and centrist -- an exact reflection of a plurality of Canadian DNA. So, expect him to lie and distort CPC positions with relish in the coming campaign. The more Trump goes whacko, the better the chances are for some kind of a Liberal comeback. This isn't 2016 or the 2016 Trump. This dipshit is far worse now than he ever was before. 

In essence, if Pierre has nothing to do with Trump's policies, the CPC should be able to maintain its lead all the way to the next election. But if Poilièvre comes off as sympathetic to Trump, or his despicable agenda, then Trudeau will be right there to take maximum advantage of it. 

That's why Trudeau is staying. He expects an American DemonSeedTM agenda coming down the pike and in his mind, that will be enough to reverse the current polling trend and return Trudeau and his party to power in the next election. 

Trump And His High Quality Cabinet Scumbags.

No wonder dipshit wants and will later order recess appointments. Trump knows he can't get most of these kooks or scumbags fifty Senate votes. I think enough of the Republicans actually have the balls to defy this nutcase of a future president. I'm OK with Rubio but little else. 

So, at least one and probably more will be voted down in committee, or later on the Senate floor. POS is likely to drop dead long before his four-year term ends. Trump separation anxiety may not be fatal after all. Watch Collins and others.

I royally blew this election prediction but here's a new one: Wiles will be so disgusted with the Trump White House that she'll likely be gone within three to six months after taking the job as Chief of Staff. TrumpCrazyTownTM is well on its way! 

Retailers Gouge Consumers?

Well, Yes and NO. If we're talking groceries, the answer is largely No. The profit margins in food are infinitesimally small so they tend not to jack up prices. Instead, they rely on their suppliers, who more often than not use ShrinkInflationTM to increase their profit. I've seen it with food, snacks, soap bars, etc.

POS: With Each Passing Day This Asshole Gets Worse.

This moron makes James Buchanan look like the most competent president. What an utter disgrace to the office that he is about to hold once again.

KinsellaCast 335.

Warren,

-Yup, the glass ceiling is intact but probably for less longer than we think. After people go through TrumpHellTM, buyer's remorse will quickly set in.

-I don't know about Shapiro. Maybe he would have carried Pennsylvania and maybe not. What were Biden's numbers in the Commonwealth before he bowed out? Not very good I suspect but I won't be looking it up. 

-No question it was a mistake for Biden to serve or run for more than one term. Biden basically broke his word before turning the screws forced him out. But Yes, it likely was too late.

-Agreed on Israel. Democrats failed that morality test because they couldn't stomach the idea of reinforcing Netanyahu, even indirectly. Big mistake.

-Isolationalism is nothing new. It reared its ugly head during WWI and WWII. Polling reflected that. But for Pearl Harbor, (Remember German night at Madison Square Garden in the late 30s? It was a NAZI rally.) Hitler would have won. On tariffs: when you explain tariffs, people are against them, mostly. When you don't people are for them. The Democrats didn't properly address tariffs. Sure, they will spur inflation but nothing like money creation which is coming. Remember Trump's cheques during the pandemic? That was and the next round of cheques will be massively inflationary.

-Border: the Dems broke it and then did not fix it...

-Yup, conservatives are on the march but how much of that is based on conservatism and how much on anti-incumbency? Now, there's the rub.

-Whites, as usual felt ignored. So, it was fatal but what about what AP said? 13.2 million Democrats did not bother to vote! If that's accurate, how does that break down in the Rust Belt?

-Great speech by a guy with one hell of a lot of guts.

-We can debate whether Pierre is hard-right. I don't think he is. Bernier is hard-right.

-As far as I know, no one up here saw a Trump win coming. I certainly didn't. But your gut DID even if your brain did not. So...your gut is still damned good and your guiding star.

Trump: Now POS Doesn't Want Confirmation Hearings For His Cabinet Nominees.

Yeah, right, Trump doesn't mean it, He's just kidding. He says he wants recess appointments for everyone. And now his next plan is to force the hand of Republicans to vote for Scott for future Senate Majority Leader. Yup, well on his way to being a dictator on Day One. 

Trump Will Attack Iran.

So much for Trump's bullshit about him keeping the United States out of war, there's credible evidence that Iran was in the planning stages to try and assassinate Trump. Trump won't let that one pass.

And then he'll indirectly cause WWIII when he lets Putin take Ukraine and Xi move against Taiwan. He'll take the United States out of NATO and when Europe is about to be totally overrun by Russia, only then will political pressure be strong enough to force Trump's hand to come to Europe's rescue. For the third time, America will go into a war at the last minute. Tons of American service people will die because Trump didn't do what was required to prevent WWIII in the first place. That's because the incoming commander-in-chief is a moron.  

Trump Has Already Started Fucking His Own: Haley And Pompeo.

No kidding. I'm amazed that Pompeo is out, given that he often acted like an asshole just like his then-boss! Haley, for her part, is a naive fool. She should have seen this coming -- it's a perfect reflection of Trump's character and lack of civility and morality. So, the rest of us are having a good laugh. Trump hasn't changed. He's still that same POS that all his blind, deaf and dumb dullards enthusiastically voted for. Now, Trump can move on and fuck you next. And because, unlike you, we're not losers, we immediately accept that this bastard won the election.

Rodriguez's current lack of judgement.

According to those who support Rodriguez's candidacy, he would be the next Lesage, Bouchard or Charest! Far from it. What a monumental farce. The only thing Pablo has in common with these great men is that he worked for the federal government for a living. Nothing more. They had a clear vision for Quebec. Rodriguez, not so much, or worse, not yet.

Rodriguez, a child of Argentina during the persecution of the extreme right, found refuge in Canada with his family. This open-mindedness surely saved his life and that of his loved ones. But even today, Rodriguez shows a serious lack of judgement and compassion towards those who, like him, want to start a new life in Quebec.

Pablo tells us: [TRANSLATION] I'm not denying my past. You can't build the future by denying your past, but I am my own person. In this context, he talks about his career in Ottawa, but he doesn't sing the same tune about immigrants who want to come to Canada for a better life: [TRANSLATION]‘If you lower [in Quebec] the thresholds to 50,000, but bring in ten times as many temporary workers, you won't be able to solve the problem and you'll have, as is the case now, challenges for society’.

Rodriguez ignores the fact that the QLP's only pool is that of immigrants and anglophones. They are the remnants of the support the party once had from the French-speaking community. Despite this, several former ministers from the Bourassa and Couillard cabinets have supported Pablo's candidacy. They include names like Fortin, Coiteux, Poëti, Elkas and Khelfa, among others.

It's a political gain compared to the level of support for the other candidates, but it's far from an avalanche. Where are Charest's ministers? Far from convinced that Pablo is the right man for the job, as some of his supporters claim. Forty signatures and eighty in solidarity do not make four hundred.

It's clear that the vast majority of MNAs and members are still waiting. There is a certain thirst for other candidates. Rodriguez will have to deal with this in the coming weeks and months. There is still much, much work to be done. 

Le manque de jugement actuel de Rodriguez.

Selon les partisans de la candidature de Rodriguez, il serait le prochain Lesage, Bouchard ou Charest ! C'est loin d'être le cas. Quelle farce monumentale ! La seule chose que Pablo a en commun avec ces grands hommes, c'est qu'il a travaillé pour le gouvernement fédéral pour gagner sa vie. Rien de plus. Ils avaient une vision claire pour le Québec. Rodriguez, pas tellement, ou pire, pas encore.

Enfant de l'Argentine pendant la persécution de l'extrême droite, Rodriguez a trouvé refuge au Canada avec sa famille. Cette ouverture d'esprit lui a sûrement sauvé la vie et celle de ses proches. Mais aujourd'hui encore, Rodriguez fait preuve d'un grave manque de jugement et de compassion à l'égard de ceux qui, comme lui, veulent commencer une nouvelle vie au Québec.

Pablo nous dit : Je ne renie pas mon passé. On ne peut pas construire l'avenir en niant son passé, mais je suis une personne à part entière. Dans ce contexte, il parle de sa carrière à Ottawa, mais il ne chante pas la même chanson à propos des immigrants qui veulent venir au Canada pour une vie meilleure : « Si vous abaissez [au Québec] les seuils à 50 000, mais que vous faites venir dix fois plus de travailleurs temporaires, vous ne pourrez pas résoudre le problème et vous aurez, comme c'est le cas aujourd'hui, des défis pour la société ».

Rodriguez ignore que le seul réservoir du PLQ est celui des immigrants et des anglophones. Il s'agit des restes du soutien que le parti avait autrefois de la communauté francophone. Malgré cela, plusieurs anciens ministres des cabinets Bourassa et Couillard ont appuyé la candidature de Pablo. Il s'agit notamment de Fortin, Coiteux, Poëti, Elkas et Khelfa.

C'est un gain politique par rapport au niveau d'appui aux autres candidats, mais c'est loin d'être une avalanche. Où sont les ministres de Charest ? Loin d'être convaincus que Pablo est l'homme de la situation, comme le prétendent certains de ses partisans. Quarante signatures et quatre-vingts en solidarité ne font pas quatre cents.

Il est clair que la grande majorité des députés et des membres attendent toujours. Il y a une certaine soif d'autres candidats. Rodriguez devra y faire face dans les semaines et les mois à venir. Il y a encore beaucoup, beaucoup de travail à faire.

PQ: There is dissent and "dissent".

There seems to be a double standard in the Parti Québécois. What should we conclude from Boulay's expulsion from the PQ's Political Committee? At the PQ, it seems that party representatives don't really have the right to speak out and criticize, especially when it comes to the leader's comments. It should be noted that the leader sits ex officio on the Political Committee.

St-Pierre Plamondon deplores what he calls the Islamisation of schools and the religious character of certain schools in the public network. He sees this as an obstacle to secular education. Boulay, for his part, says that these issues must be discussed with respect for cultural communities and with a certain amount of reserve.

For the PQ, the expulsion is based on breaches of ethics and communication, as well as a duty of loyalty and confidentiality to the party. Well, well. This all seems to be a layer of camouflage to ensure that the leader is not criticized internally on public networks and in the media. Is St-Pierre Plamondon such a weak leader?

And the final word goes to Harel, who reminds us that in the past, dissent has never led to the threat or expulsion of an internal party member from his post.

In short, the party must avoid an internal rift that would benefit no one except Legault and the CAQ.

PQ : Il y a dissidence et "dissidence".

Il semble y avoir deux poids, deux mesures au Parti québécois. Que faut-il conclure de l'expulsion de Boulay de la Commission politique du PQ ? Au PQ, il semble que les représentants du parti n'aient pas vraiment le droit de s'exprimer et de critiquer, surtout lorsqu'il s'agit des propos du chef. Il est à noter que le chef siège d'office à la Commission politique.

St-Pierre Plamondon déplore ce qu'il appelle l'islamisation des écoles et le caractère religieux de certaines écoles du réseau public. Il y voit un obstacle à l'éducation laïque. Boulay, pour sa part, affirme que ces questions doivent être discutées dans le respect des communautés culturelles et avec une certaine réserve.

Pour le PQ, l'expulsion est basée sur des manquements à l'éthique et à la communication, ainsi qu'à un devoir de loyauté et de confidentialité envers le parti. Bon, bon. Tout cela semble être une couche de camouflage pour s'assurer que le chef ne soit pas critiqué à l'interne sur les réseaux et médias publics. St-Pierre Plamondon est-il un chef si faible ?

Et le mot de la fin revient à Harel, qui nous rappelle que dans le passé, la dissidence n'a jamais conduit à la menace ou à l'expulsion d'un membre interne du parti de son poste.

Bref, le parti doit éviter un déchirement interne qui ne profiterait à personne, sauf à Legault et à la CAQ.

Qatar Tells Hamas To Take A Hike.

Apparently, Biden convinced Qatar to pull out as a mediator in the ceasefire-hostage negotiations given that Hamas is stalling negotiations as it regroups. And the Qataries have told Hamas to close their office in the capital. Hamas denies that it will be closing its office there. For now, it's he said, he said.

There Goes Garland's SCOTUS Nomination.

Poor Garland, about to be twice-denied. Once by McConnell and now by Biden. You see, the plan apparently is that Justice Sotomayor will resign due to ill health. And wait for it -- guess who will be proposed by Biden? Someone whose last name is Harris. Peachy.

It's nice on paper but the lame-duck Senate, controlled by Democrats, probably can't get this done before January. And then there's the Trump certainty: Republicans will move heaven and earth to derail or fatally disrupt such a nomination.

I think it's a grand plan but one that is almost doomed to failure. 

Fucking Morons: Trump Is Good For The Stock Market? Nope.

First off, there's absolutely no intelligence on Wall Street as has been amply demonstrated over time. 2008, with the banking and insurance crisis, proved that beyond a shadow of a doubt.

And now the morons are all cheering Trump's election by buying in a feeding frenzy stocks that are already way overvalued when measured against individual company fundamentals. So inevitably, new nominal all-time highs are ahead before the all but certain crash and economic recession.

The idiots can't see past their faces -- Trump, otherwise known as President-elect KingLoserTM can't properly manage a lemonade stand, much less the economy. Last time, he got lucky as quality candidates were prepared to serve in his Administration. Not this time. Most of those who get jobs will be totally unqualified ideologues, boot-lickers, ass-kissers and assorted other incompetents. In other words, a perfect reflection of the President-elect. 

Watch what Trump does at The Federal Reserve. If he gives Powell the rapid heave-ho, then we're already in trouble from the get-go. Trump will come into office with a conception of N-O-T-H-I-N-G, so his Administration will likely be a political and economic disaster. 

As goes The Fed, so will the country. Debt and deficits are no longer remotely manageable. Even interest on the debt is no longer payable in full. Inevitably, inflation must come roaring back to inflate away on-book and off-book liabilities. Trump's unprofessional policy stances will only egg that on and much sooner than most people think. The TrumpRecessionTM is coming in less than twelve months. Watch the Bond Market tell the tale of what's rapidly heading down the pike. Why does buyer's remorse immediately come to mind?

Test One: Is Trump An Authoritarian?

The next leader of the Senate Republicans will become Majority Leader in January. McConnell is retiring and the outcome will be determined by secret ballot.

Thune, Scott and Cornyn are running for the position and some have urged Trump not to put his thumb on the scale, even though plenty of MAGA is openly campaigning for Scott. 

If Trump intervenes, Scott is a shoo-in. Trump's natural inclination is to meddle but will his incoming officials be able to keep that in check?

I think Trump can't help himself, so I expect him to endorse Scott like he did last time.

The Associated Press Says...

In short, as of now, one and a half million Republicans did not vote compared to thirteen million + Democrats. 

The final figures will take a while but hey, quite obviously, this was not good for Harris. No wonder Trump won the popular vote.

Bernie, Nancy, Enough Already!

This isn't helpful. Biden was at forty percent. Who the hell cares when he finally went or if they rallied around Harris. It is what it is and it was what it was. It wasn't about the economy, inflation or even abortion directly. It was about how people felt indirectly because of so many factors. So many people felt less well off, even if they were better off than four years ago. It was a psychology election and that killed Harris. 

A circular firing squad is never helpful. Both Sanders and Pelosi should know better. Sour grapes does not become them. We could have run Jesus and we would have still lost. End of story.

Pelosi got the Medal of Freedom from Biden. And this is how she says thanks????

What Warren Said.

Up until now, I was inclined to disregard Warren's thoughts on Trump and the Liberals. Not anymore. If people can vote enthusiastically for a total POS as their president then Canadians can very easily do the same and support Trudeau up here. The 20-22 point lead is now meaningless, thanks to Trump. Pierre no longer has it in the bag. If it can happen there, it can easily also happen here. Trudeau is sticking around for sure now and the odds of him winning are now at least 50-50. God help us in both countries.

They Prefer A Scumbag Over A Woman.

There's no hope for that country. Be careful what you wish and vote for. They're about to find out and they will very soon come to regret their choice. But then it will be too late. Civil war coming thanks to Trump.

Don't Bother Hanging On.

As of now, Trump is leading in the six remaining battleground states. It's over.

At least I got something right: Kamala had the wrong Klosure. She needed to distinguish herself far more from Biden and she didn't.

Harris: It Feels Like It's Already Over.

What a horrible result. Looks like Harris has blown it...

I LUV My Candidate.

After all, Harris was my pick in 2020. Sorry, Joe.

Meet Tommy Ramone Kinsella!

Warren,

Are you sure??? He doesn't look Irish.

I'm With Gord Tulk With What He Said At The UCP.

Yup, Smith is cruising for a bruising. Don't underestimate Nenshi.

The UCP echo chamber is a big mistake but that's their problem.

UPDATE: I cut Smith some slack at first. But not anymore, since she went bonkers. 

To Quote Chrétien: Too Many Nervous Nellies!

Man, oh man, just keep the faith. All this handwringing and woe is me about whether Kamala will win. It's ridiculous. We've ALREADY got this. It's a done deal. The only question is how big the win will be and as I said many times, Harris will win big! You can take that one to the bank.

KinsellaCast 334.

Warren,

-Our job is to fight Trump to the very last second. We will, and then we'll win big.

-Harris lifts people up and makes them feel good about themselves and their country. Trump, to no one's surprise, does the exact opposite. Can't wait for that Harris landslide.

-On Ukraine, Trump will want to do Putin's bidding but domestic and international pressure will prevent him, if he wins, from being a natural Putin stooge.

-Canadians wants change and Poilièvre is it. Watch the dissident Liberal MPs and what they do in a non-confidence vote. 

-Brian is wrong. Harris supports Israel. No question about it. The Muslims in Michigan don't see her as anti-Israel. 

-Hello! Trudeau is already against importing Chinese EVs. You know, something called a 100% tariff...

-Trump simulates a blow job. Someone else in Canada gives the Liberals a political blowjob at every possible opportunity. What a ridiculous dipshit with zero credibility. 

-Poor Warren. Ever the optimist on Trudeau leaving.

-Agree with Karl on what Poilièvre knows about his caucus and foreign interference.

Guess Trudeau Is Glad Dosanjh Isn't A Liberal MP Anymore.

From: The National Post.

Dosanjh has delivered a broadside about Trudeau's alleged wink and a nod regarding Sikh extremism and Khalistan:

[...] "Ujjal pauses and suddenly his lawyerly delivery of arguments becomes impassioned: “Trudeau, sociologically and politically, is an idiot,” Ujjal declares, “and you can actually quote me, I really don’t care. Because he’s an imbecile in terms of understanding how you build nations, how you build countries.” Trudeau’s vision of Canada — “a post-national state without a mainstream culture” — deeply offends Ujjal. “If we don’t have a mainstream, then we’re not really a people. We have a mainstream,” he insists. “We may not sing the same songs. You may not do the same dances. Our mainstream is in our values, how we treat each other, how we behave politically, how we behave on the street, how we vote, what we take into account when we vote.”

Election 2024: What Would Happen Before A Roberts Court?

Were the election a nailbiter, what would happen before a Roberts court? The court which has a conservative majority would have to tread carefully were we to find ourselves once again in a Bush v. Gore situation.

I'm not one who bemoans the coming of a conservative majority or a liberal one. Appointments in the final analysis are always political and so a given administration is entitled to put its stamp on the court, whether I happen to personally prefer it or not. That's the system we've got in the United States.

Roosevelt toyed and then tried packing the court but the Senate blocked it. So that idea isn't onside but there is some worry about how the Roberts court would handle legal challenges which eventually made their way to the high court.

My criticism of Roberts is one of degree. In my view, he may have gone beyond the previous goalposts for a chief justice enumerated by Burger and even Rehnquist. A chief justice's job is one of quiet dignified argument and persuasion. There is some evidence that in Dobbs that Roberts crossed a line and went beyond that. There are allegations of bullying and perhaps of partial advocacy unworthy of a chief justice. In my view, whether those allegations are founded or not, damage has indeed been done to Roberts' reputation. How would a Roberts court handle a contentious election? One can only speculate but my bet is that Roberts would return to the traditional role of the chief as a consensus builder. With quite literally the fate of the Republic at stake, to do otherwise would be irresponsible, counterproductive and politically dangerous.

All of this to say that I expect a decisive political end result so this post is more of a theoretical academic exercise than anything else. However, it is worth pondering. 

Honest Abe And Afghanistan: Typically Trump.

If you've really been paying attention, you didn't miss this Trump classic: Afghanistan, just another innumerable example of Trump's lies and deception. 

Trump went on and on about the terrible way Biden handled the withdrawal from Afghanistan but the thing is, as terrible as that withdrawal was, it was done under obligation and pressure. Why? Because the withdrawal agreement was a done deal when Biden came into office and his Administration felt obliged to proceed with it.

It was total chaos. Allies and friends were left behind, which was both unfortunate and dangerous. Why did it happen? In short, because Trump and Pompeo negotiated the withdrawal during their Administration but you would know none of that if you fell for Trump's outright lies and gaslighting. Like I wrote, typical Trump...

Will It Be A Democratic Blowout?

In two words: Ted Cruz. Watch his Senate seat. If Cruz goes down, then the Senate likely stays Democratic. Then we come to Harris' political coattails: right now, they're looking pretty good down ballot. If Harris has the momentum I think she does then the House will more than likely go Democratic. That will be the end of divided government but not necessarily of gridlock. 

What's so incredibly funny about this election is that Trump has no filter this time and all of America gets to see in living colour what a POS Trump truly is. He's proud to be an asshole. But the joke is on him: people are sick of this shitface and know the backlash is on the way. Trump is doing such an outstanding job that he's absolutely destroying Republican chances down ballot. Thanks to Trump, this election will probably not only be a repudiation of Trump but also of Senate and House Republicans. Americans have had enough and want to rid themselves of Trump and his acolytes. It took forever but the joke is finally on them. The Democratic tsunami is coming.

Will I Get It Right This Time? You Be The Judge.

2015: Wrote that Trudeau would win.

2016: Wrote that Trump would win.

2020: Wrote that Biden would win. (An easy call.)

2024: Wrote that Harris will win in a landslide.

November 2024: The Poll No Pollster Dares To Take.

In short, American voter, do you hate Trump's fucking guts?

Answer: Absolutely by at least fifty-five percent of voters. End of story.

Will Biden Calling Trump And MAGA Losers And Garbage Hurt Harris?

Of course, it will. To put it mildly, it was not helpful for Harris. Biden's approval rating is at 40% so the downside will be limited. It's already baked into the cake that most Americans have soured on Biden. That's why he's not the nominee. 

Biden won't get any gold star for being intellectually honest. Far from it. This was the last thing Harris needed to dent her momentum, which mostly is unseen but definitely in her sails. So, Joe will cause some damage in support but it will be more on the margins. If this election was really neck and neck, it could cost Harris the presidency but in reality, Harris has the Big Mo, whether MAGA and others want to believe it or not. 

Again, politely put, it was not helpful but par for the course where Joe is concerned. Biden has put his foot in his mouth more times than I can count in his career. Joe is Joe, we'll just have to live with whatever damage he caused with those comments.