Why Exactly Are We Negotiating With Carney To AVOID A Spring Election???

That's not what came out of Calgary...apparently, we're supposed to win any election, at any time. It's supposed to be almost a sure thing. 

Maybe, just maybe, this has something to do with it:

Mainstreet: Liberals +15;

Research: Liberals +13;

Liaison: Liberals +7;

Nanos: Liberals +4.

Is The Mainstreet Poll The Beginning of A New Trend Or A Rogue Poll?

Carney loves it, Poilièvre, not so much. However, it's not enough to go to an election.

Carney Liberals dominate in new Mainstreet Research poll

Élections au Québec en 2026 : tout est possible.

En bref, le Québec reste à la croisée des chemins, ce qui n'est pas nouveau pour les électeurs. Les sondages nous montrent les progrès réalisés par les différents partis politiques et nous donnent des indications solides sur celui qui est susceptible de former le prochain gouvernement.

Cependant, les partis doivent composer avec un effet psychologique qui remonte aux années 1960, le cœur d'une nation battant dans une direction et la tête tendant à pencher dans une autre. À tout le moins, la majorité des Québécois ne sont ni farouchement pour ni contre le Canada. Dans ce contexte, le Québec continue de prendre son envol sur les plans politique, culturel et social. La transformation et l'évolution de la mentalité et de l'esprit de nos concitoyens battent leur plein.

Les sondages indiquent que le PQ est le parti qui formera probablement le prochain gouvernement. Mais les Québécois restent incertains quant à leur projet de souveraineté. À ce stade, le soutien à PSPP et à son parti politique est théorique et conditionnel. Quant à la CAQ, après une véritable course à la direction, le parti pourrait potentiellement éviter de sombrer dans l'enfer.  Le nouveau chef devra convaincre l'électorat de tracer de nouvelles voies. Fréchette semble incarner la perception de renouveau et de renaissance. Drainville, pour sa part, rompt clairement avec le passé et l'histoire des gouvernements de la CAQ. Dans le cas du PLQ, il semble que Milliard sera élu chef. C'est un homme d'action avec un cœur politique véritablement nationaliste. Le parti pourrait également bien se débrouiller et nous surprendre. Il en va de même pour le PCQ. Duhaime commence à gagner du terrain, notamment dans la région de la Capitale-Nationale. Ce parti remportera probablement au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections. Malheureusement, pour QS, les choses sont plutôt stagnantes. Ils devront relever le défi de conserver leurs sièges à l'Assemblée nationale.

En attendant, le cœur et l'esprit des électeurs seront mis à l'épreuve comme par le passé : le chant des sirènes du destin sera-t-il entendu et compris ?  PSPP compte bien là-dessus. L'évolution naturelle et constante du Québec nous dira où ira notre société dans les mois et les années à venir. Pour l'instant, la tergiversation mentale et émotionnelle habituelle reste à l'ordre du jour.

Is It Really About Starmer?

Conventional wisdom would suggest it's all about Mandelson and his purported links to Epstein. People decry the vetting process and Starmer's acceptance of Mandelson's assurances. But is that what this is really about, or is this a simple case of bait-and-switch? It's no secret to any sentient Briton that Labour is drowning in the polls, with Reform UK seemingly headed for victory in the next election. Might I suggest that the Canadian experience could prove instructive: our Conservative Party enjoyed a thirty-point lead in the polls for the better part of two years and then failed to seal the deal in last spring's federal election.

It is not unreasonable to point out that Labour undoubtedly took some note of how things went in Canada. If that is indeed the case, all the manoeuvrings coupled with increasing calls for Starmer to resign might be based on political considerations, namely, saving Labour's ass in the next election. Some may believe that a change of leader could revive Labour's sagging fortunes. Those with that view might also argue that Farage can be well tolerated in small doses, but not if he becomes prime minister. 

So, if I'm on track, this move against Starmer is primarily about keeping power and one-fourth based on Mandelson. Others will say that the best Labour could do is hold off the inevitable with a change of leader: the cases of Thatcher-Major and Blair-Brown being most instructive. In any event, Starmer would do well to go, putting country and party ahead of his personal ambitions. The name of the game going forward must be to stop Farage, bearing in mind that a change of leader, even under Jesus Christ, would not necessarily do the trick. In the end, it may be Farage after all, no matter what Labour does. 

中国：犹豫不决者...

在某些情况下，犹豫不决者注定失败。党内元老和中央军委两位副主席曾以为习近平会遵循既定规范，尊重共产党的正统意识形态和内部机制。然而他却另辟蹊径。他们完全被习近平压制，但这不过是又一次“赢了战斗却可能输掉整个战争”的例证。习近平正日复一日地体会着这个道理。他原计划至少执政至明年，但如今这个目标似乎越来越难以实现。

真正的权力掌握在尚未公开行动的军队手中。他们通过沉默和精心策划的不作为来抵抗习近平。有传言称军队也在保护党内元老——这些元老对下一步行动仍意见分歧。

在这场猫鼠游戏中，双方都在打自己的牌：元老们必须团结起来，否则将面临再次被碾压的风险；习近平则必须巩固已被严重侵蚀的权力。一方靠行动取胜，另一方靠等待制胜。但军队仍是这场权力斗争的决定性力量。若习近平对武装部队采取行动，警察和国家安全机构将难以匹敌统一指挥的军队。习近平需要更多时间和运气。他深知若军警在中国本土爆发战争，自己恐难取胜——甚至可能丧命。

从军方视角看，习近平要么通过与元老及武装力量妥协体面下台，要么在彻底耻辱中消失。

最终，武装力量将决定北京下届政权的存亡。习近平可能已过度扩张势力，除核心圈外政治盟友寥寥——这很可能成为其最终覆灭的根源。

China: The Hesitant...

Under certain circumstances, the hesitant are doomed to failure. Party elders and two vice-chairmen of the Central Military Commission had assumed Xi Jinping would adhere to established norms, respecting the Communist Party's orthodox ideology and internal mechanisms. Yet he charted a different course. They were entirely subdued by Xi Jinping, but this merely serves as yet another illustration of ‘winning the battle but potentially losing the war’. Xi Jinping is learning this lesson day by day. He had planned to remain in power until at least next year, but that goal now appears increasingly elusive.

Real power lies with the army, which has yet to act openly. They resist Xi through silence and carefully orchestrated inaction. Rumours suggest the military is also protecting the party elders—who remain divided over their next move.

In this cat-and-mouse game, both sides are playing their cards: the elders must unite or risk being crushed again; Xi must consolidate his severely eroded authority. One side wins through action, the other through waiting. Yet the army remains the decisive force in this power struggle. Should Xi move against the armed forces, police and state security agencies would struggle to match a unified military command. Xi needs more time and luck. He knows full well that should war break out between army and police forces on Chinese soil, victory would be elusive—and his life could be at stake.

From the military's perspective, Xi faces either a dignified exit through compromise with the elders and armed forces or a complete and utterly disgraceful disappearance.

Ultimately, the army will determine the survival of Beijing's next regime. Xi may have overplayed his hand, leaving him with few political allies beyond his inner circle—a circumstance that could well prove the root cause of his eventual downfall.

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我为何认为张友夏和刘振立依然在世。

在我看来，张友夏和刘振立至今仍能活着，原因有二：习近平深知，若处决他们，自己终将面临同样的命运。他清醒地意识到，自己永远无法重新掌控军队。最后，倘若他们真被处决，反习派早就会泄露消息，从而使军队陷入动荡不安的状态，煽动官兵倒戈反习。

Why I Think Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli Are Still Alive.

Two reasons: Xi Jinping realizes that if it's their necks, it ultimately will be his as well. He knows that he'll never regain full control over the PLA. And finally, if they were dead, the anti-Xi factions would have leaked it by now to turn PLA commanders and soldiers against Xi.

Lorsque vous êtes à la tête d'un parti politique...

Être à la tête d'un parti politique implique nécessairement d'assumer la responsabilité de votre conduite et de celle de vos associés politiques et personnels. Vous devez prendre la responsabilité politique des erreurs et des actions discutables des autres, c'est-à-dire des députés, des employés du parti, des membres et des sympathisants. Prétendre que vous n'êtes pas au courant ou que vous ne surveillez pas de près les événements pendant que vous êtes chef, c'est courir à la catastrophe par défaut. Et c'est pourquoi la situation a évolué comme elle l'a fait ces derniers mois.

From The National Post:

Tasha Kheiriddin: Poilievre better figure out how to talk about Trump or it's over for him

Tasha Kheiriddin: Poilievre better figure out how to talk about Trump or it's over for him

Kheiriddin got it 1000% right. Pierre is already done as dinner, given that he won't follow her wise advice. Too bad that. Not.

PLQ et l'UPAC.

Le moins qu'on puisse dire, c'est qu'au sein du PLQ, on trouve plusieurs personnes, moins connues aujourd'hui, qui vivent sur leur propre planète, dans un monde d'illusions et de tromperies. Les récentes révélations et commentaires de plusieurs sources illustrent très bien ce point.

Je ne vis pas dans un monde imaginaire : je peux vous dire dès maintenant que l'UPAC recommandera au DPCP de porter des accusations dans cette affaire, et je peux vous assurer que ces accusations ne seront pas portées contre une personne dont les initiales sont MR.

Nous verrons si le DPCP prendra des mesures, mais si des accusations sont mises de l'avant, il n'est pas déraisonnable de croire que quelqu'un ira probablement en prison à la suite de ce scandale. 

Ford On Separatists.

Well, Ford will be Ford. People say that comments from politicians on national unity are unwelcome in Alberta and even more so in Quebec. No kidding.

These jurisdictions want the rest of Canada to butt out but that's wishful thinking. Sure, the comments are at best counterproductive but hey, this still is a democracy where people have the right to speak and be heard. Politicians are only kidding themselves if they think that their remarks are going to be helpful. They won't. 

It's sort of like the delusional conclusion that especially federal Liberals believe: that the wonderful Clarity Act is a country-saver when it isn't any such thing. If separatists win a referendum, the choice then becomes fight a civil war in that province or let her leave. Guess which option is the only realistic one in 2026. Exactly.

So, think about serious political reform in this country or be prepared to let Canada go.

Maybe it'll happen and maybe it won't but there are no political guarantees going forward. That's called reality. Keep that in mind.

 

Pierre Gets To Stay As Leader.

Imagine that. We live in our own little world of illusion in this party. Our membership is among the most naive and headstrong. This is very much a my way or the highway party. Sort of explains why we always end up with the consolation prize instead of the brass ring.

Pierre very much speaks to the true believers and unbending doctrinaire types that dominate the membership. You know them, those ever strutting peacocks who are always right and who don't generally give an inch when it comes to political argument. 

That attitude is nothing short of a huge turnoff for at least a plurality of Canadians. Then the leader and company wonder why we can never get past the finish line successfully. Well, maybe just maybe, look in the mirror.

We all know what the unprincipled Liberals are like, willing to sell Mom and Dad just to hold on to their grasp of power. Expect more of the same as soon as the snow melts when Carney will go for and get a Mulroney-style majority. It's coming given the polls and the leader's delusions about finally becoming prime minister. May has a better chance than Pierre has but the leader remains ever delusional about his impending political prospects. When it happens, I'll have two words to say to him: told you. That will be immediately followed up with the obvious, please resign.

Pierre's Convention Speech.

To begin, Pierre largely stayed away from the cultural wars red meat, and that was smart. I thought it was an excellent speech, but not a barnburner. I was surprised at how little I disagreed with it. The Castle Act is a non-starter for me: remember that young woman who drove up the wrong driveway and then was shot dead when she rang the bell...all it takes is one MORON, and one moron is too many for me.

But on the rest, I was OK with it. Pierre is much more loose now and sure of himself, and it shows. He smiles more, jokes more and is at his best when he talks about families, his and yours. 

He made a few oblique references about Americans and Trump, but that didn't go far enough. He forgets that we lost the election because Pierre deliberately ceded the issue to Carney and allowed the Liberals and others to paint Conservatives anyway they liked. They were mostly disingenuous and dishonest, a Liberal specialty, and it worked out great for them.

Like Kenney and DeLorey said, Pierre cannot leave this issue to the Liberals. He has to take on Trump directly, as hard as possible, and who cares what the grassroots think? Again, either Pierre paints his own picture of Trump, or he lets his political enemies do it for him. And if it goes the same way as last time, then we'll likely lose the next election, which Carney is undoubtedly planning for next spring.

This isn't rocket science: take on Trump with a vengeance, and we've got a decent chance to win. Fail to do so, and we're almost guaranteed to lose again and lose big.

习近平已越界。

张友霞和刘振立因贪腐指控被捕，毫无疑问是习近平亲自操盘。这些指控充其量可笑，逮捕行动本身更毫无可信度可言。这场清洗纯粹源于习近平对权力的痴迷。

这不仅凸显了习近平的残酷无情，更暴露了他鲁莽的性格和对个人权力的贪得无厌。习近平试图强化围绕其领导的个人崇拜，但这次他走得太远了。他错误地认为军队会继续安于现状，不会挑战他的行动。虽然习近平长期掌控公安系统和警察部队已是公开的秘密，但军队绝非他可以随意操纵的工具。他很可能为此付出沉重代价——尤其若传言属实，那些将军们已被处决。

本质上，习近平被视为霸凌者，而张建国则被视为体制内的温和改革派。这位将军并未鼓吹对台开战，更在致国民的公开信中提出惊人主张：中共应恪守承诺，引领中国走向民主与政治多元化。这种以人民利益为先的愿景堪称非凡。他更直言不讳地指出中国永远无法战胜美国。

习近平的威权行径预示着中共未来的危机。他的失误是否会加速党的覆灭？无论是党内元老还是军方，此前都曾低估习近平，若反政变计划正在酝酿，他们绝不会重蹈覆辙。仅此一点就足以让习近平彻夜难眠。这场战争远未结束。谨记九头蛇的传说。

Xi Jinping has overstepped the mark.

There can be no doubt that the arrests of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli on corruption charges were orchestrated by Xi Jinping himself. Such allegations are laughable at best, and the arrests themselves lack any semblance of credibility. This purge stems purely from Xi's obsession with power.

This not only highlights Xi's ruthlessness but also exposes his reckless character and insatiable appetite for personal power. Xi Jinping seeks to intensify the cult of personality surrounding his leadership, but this time, he has overstepped. He mistakenly assumed the military would remain complacent and not challenge his actions. While Xi's longstanding control over the public security apparatus and police forces is an open secret, the military is by no means a tool he can manipulate at will. He may well pay a heavy price to learn this lesson – particularly if rumours are true that those generals have been executed.

In essence, Xi is seen as a bully, whereas Zhang is regarded as a moderate reformist within the system. This general did not advocate war against Taiwan. Moreover, his open letter to the people contained startling assertions: the CCP should honour its commitments and steer China towards democracy and political pluralism. This vision, prioritizing the people's interests, is remarkable. He also stated bluntly that China could never defeat the United States.

Xi Jinping's authoritarian conduct portends ill for the CCP's future. Might his own missteps precipitate the party's demise? Having previously underestimated Xi, both party elders and the military would not repeat such errors should counter-coup plans be afoot. This alone should keep Xi awake at night. This war is far from over. Beware the legend of the nine-headed serpent.

CPC Convention: Let's See If I'm Any Good!

Leadership review vote result: 97% in Pierre's favour.

PSPP : toujours un gros problème pour le PQ.

C'est un homme qui se prend beaucoup trop au sérieux. On ne le voit pas souvent sourire. Mais quand il s'agit de nous faire la leçon sur la politique, PSPP demeure toujours preneur. De plus, il n'a pas beaucoup d'humour. C'est un homme doctrinaire et plutôt inflexible. Le chef du Bloc peut en témoigner. Il considère le BQ comme un partenaire mineur dans la course à la souveraineté du Québec.

Tout cela pour dire que le pire ennemi du PQ et le plus grand obstacle à son projet pour la société québécoise est son propre chef. Il doit maîtriser l'art de la persuasion, non seulement dans la campagne électorale à venir, mais surtout lors du prochain référendum.

Jusqu'à présent, PSPP est loin d'avoir atteint cet objectif. Cela pose un problème non seulement pour le PQ, mais aussi pour le mouvement souverainiste. Il doit mûrir en tant que chef politique et homme d'État. Malheureusement pour le PQ, PSPP a clairement beaucoup de travail à faire avant l'automne prochain. 

Trump: Get Ready For 100% Tariffs Across The Board.

As usual, LeBlanc got it wrong. Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs isn't based on Canada negotiating a free trade agreement with China. It's predicated on the current sectoral agreement. In English, POS is threatening us with increased tariffs if we don't scrap the deal with China.

Plain and simple, it's bullying and blackmail. Trump, as stupid as he always is, has no clue that such economic threats against Canada and China don't exactly diminish the possibility of war with China. The Chinese will take only so much pain. If Trump doesn't relent in some measure, it could eventually lead to war. 

Carney can't back down now without coming off as Trump's lapdog. So, Canada will have to absorb the devastating economic hit and return to across-the-board countervailing tariffs. Prepare for a lot of Canadian bankruptcies because they're coming fast as sure as the dimwit in DC is called Trump. 

You Can Lead Carney To Davos And Yes He Will Most Assuredly Drink!

Did you read the press coverage practically falling all over themselves in praise of Carney's speech? What a wonderful triumph, they said fawningly and a breach in the dam of superpower hegemony! Bullshit.

Middle powers like Canada can whine and complain and band together in the fight against Trump, but in the end, that won't likely produce meaningful results.

That performance came off more like an academic exercise than a speech destined for the people. It was overly intellectual and filled with meaningless platitudes, not to mention pious positioning and strutting. 

Beyond anything else, it reinforced the perception that Carney is already locked down solid in the camp of the world's elite political thinkers and their transnational economic agenda. Carney knows only too well who he's really working for: multinational corporations and their wish list. 

The creature from Goldman Sachs and Brookfield has still got religion. No surprise there, unless you've been asleep since he became prime minister. Carney is there to serve their interests before our own. Any sentient being can see it, even though so many will quite deliberately look the other way, given that this government aligns with their agenda, that of the privileged few. Millionaires are full-square in his corner.

Makes you wonder how this will translate in the next election: inflation and unemployment continue to creep up while food and gas prices also rise. Not a recipe for on-the-ground happy campers. Young people in this city need at least an annual income of 100K to buy their first home. Not happening, not ever, for so many people. So, inevitably, there's still a lot of runway ahead for the CPC. Pierre will come out of the convention with a solid mandate from the party. He's already sounding all the right notes in Parliament. From this point, at least for the foreseeable future, confrontation won't be the order of the day. Much will depend on how the government proceeds, but so far, opposition parties will want the government to succeed at least economically, to offer beleaguered Canadians some desperate relief. That means if my name is Poilièvre, things are looking up. 

In my book, Carney should have stayed the hell away from Davos, especially with this economy. He didn't, and that may come back and bite him in the ass, perhaps far sooner than most people think. To be continued.

CAQ : Bataille entre Fréchette et Drainville.

Aucun autre candidat ne devrait se présenter. Pour l'instant, Fréchette semble avoir l'avantage sur Drainville quant au soutien de ses collègues au conseil des ministres. On peut se demander si l'opinion des hommes québécois a changé depuis la dernière fois qu'une femme a occupé le poste de premier ministre pendant dix-huit mois. J'en doute fortement. Nous connaissons nos hommes... qui vivent dans la seule juridiction d'Amérique du Nord qui, depuis les années 1980, ne traite pas les couples mariés et les conjoints de fait de manière égale devant la loi. Cela en dit long sur l'homme moyen et son possible désir de changer de « modèle » dans ses relations interpersonnelles. Oui, oui, peut-être l'égalité entre les hommes et les femmes, mais aucun parti politique n'est prêt à remédier enfin à cette situation déplorable. Où sont les femmes ministres et députées ? Quelle honte nationale. Mais je m'égare.

Revenons à la course : c'est une chose d'avoir une longueur d'avance au niveau de l'appui des membres de l'Assemblée nationale, mais ce sont les membres en règle du parti qui choisiront le chef. Drainville mettra l'accent sur le nationalisme, la protection de la langue française et la suite logique du projet de loi 94. Fréchette se concentrera davantage sur les questions économiques, mettant l'accent sur les mesures visant à rendre le Québec plus compétitif et plus prospère. Nous verrons où les membres se positionnent. 

Pour nous, libéraux, notre talon d'Achille est notre piètre niveau de nationalisme, que nous projetons devant la population québécoise. Nous ne regagnerons pas le cœur des Québécois francophones uniquement sur les questions économiques. La population ne semble pas vouloir un référendum sur la souveraineté, mais elle n'est pas non plus prête à élire un parti qui n'a pas à cœur les intérêts nationaux, politiques et sociaux de notre société, sans parler des revendications traditionnelles pour plus de pouvoirs, au moins dans nos domaines de compétence, de la part du gouvernement fédéral. Par exemple, l'immigration devrait relever exclusivement de la compétence du Québec. Avec le déclin constant de la population francophone au Canada, il est impératif que notre parti exige non seulement le transfert des pouvoirs en matière d'immigration au gouvernement du Québec, mais qu'il le concrétise également si nous prenons le pouvoir.

En bref, sans mettre l'accent sur la ferveur nationaliste, il sera très difficile pour le PLQ de gagner le soutien des électeurs francophones. La candidature de Fréchette nous donne une lueur d'espoir, mais celle de Drainville certainement pas. Finalement, nous verrons comment les événements se dérouleront.

The Quality Silver Stocks Are Shooting For The Moon.

My bet: silver will hit $300 by the end of the year.

Now, you have to decide whether you're an investor, trader, or speculator, because each category requires a different strategy. I only trade occasionally to take profits. 

As Rick Rule will tell you, the beta trade is the way to go if you're building a silver stock and silver byproduct portfolio and are looking for exposure among the largest and most liquid silver companies. Alpha is more fun, but without beta, a portfolio can be blown away pretty quickly.

Here's my beta watchlist:

It includes the largest and some intermediate stocks.

Agnico Eagle

Avino

Aya

Coeur

Compania Mina Buenaventura

Endeavour

First Majestic

Fortuna

Franco-Nevada

Fresnillo

Glencore

Hecla

Industrias Penoles

Newmont

Pan American

Santa Cruz

Southern Copper

Wheaton Precious

Did You Notice The Mistake On The Trump Board Of Peace Banner?

It should read Board of Nazis. I guess Miller wasn't responsible for that sign.

CAQ : Allez Christine ! Un cadeau pour le PLQ.

Fréchette n'est pas perçue comme suffisamment nationaliste, malgré son passé au PQ. Bref, une bonne nouvelle pour le PLQ.

Nous attendons sa candidature, mais si je m'appelais Milliard, je serais aux anges si elle se présentait à la direction. 

Quelle belle occasion pour nous, les libéraux.

Poor Carney: If Looks Could Kill...

Just look at Anand's face. It has all the marks of someone deliberately overstepping their boundaries. You won't need more than one guess to figure out who else I'm talking about. LOL. Plus ça change.

It's exactly what my late mother said.

Federal Court of Appeal Upholds Decision In The Trucker Convoy Case.

Let's get my bias out of the way up front: I loathe what they did and never supported them. Period.

However, now two levels of federal courts have rendered decisions in the case, and both ruled that Ottawa's invocation of the Emergencies Act was unreasonable and violated Charter rights. The demonstrations did not meet the strict criterion of the definition of a national emergency. Thank you, Trudeau and Telford...

That means that other laws should have been invoked instead to deal with these demonstrations. Will Carney seek leave to appeal to the Supreme Court of Canada? No. He already has enough problems and needs this one like a bullet in the head. 

Put succinctly, this is at least a moral victory for the truckers. I may not like it, but respecting the law and court decisions is mandatory and constitutes foundational bedrock in our legal system.

Geneviève Guilbault quitte la politique.

Il y a plusieurs années, j'ai salué Geneviève devant son bureau de circonscription. Depuis, j'ai suivi sa carrière de loin. C'est une politicienne qui possède de nombreuses qualités et dont le dynamisme témoigne de ses vastes connaissances. Cependant, elle manque parfois de diplomatie et, surtout, de patience. Elle doit travailler sur elle-même si elle envisage de revenir en politique. Sa personnalité n'est pas facile à changer, mais avec des efforts sincères, elle a tout le talent nécessaire pour devenir une future cheffe de son parti politique. Elle est responsable d'un certain nombre d'échecs en tant que membre du conseil des ministres. Elle doit en assumer l'entière responsabilité avant un éventuel retour.

On nous dit qu'elle s'est fait beaucoup d'ennemis en politique, et c'est très bien ainsi ! On ne peut pas faire avancer les dossiers prioritaires pour le Québec sans laisser des étincelles et, oui, se faire des ennemis au sein de son parti et ailleurs.

Je suis et je reste libéral, mais si Guilbault revient un jour en politique avec une nouvelle maturité, elle aura mon vote lors d'une élection générale. C'est une leader de haut calibre, compatissante, qui doit nécessairement assumer la responsabilité de ses erreurs politiques commises en cours de route.

Grønland: EU og andre må komme i gang med suverænitetsproblematikken.

Den vigtigste prioritet må være at stoppe ManiacalMoronTM. Det betyder, at Danmark må fremskynde processen, der vil føre til suverænitet. De må sætte Grønlands kollektive interesser før deres egne. Og så skal EU sammen med ikke-medlemmer som Storbritannien, Norge, Tyrkiet, Island, Albanien, Montenegro, Nordmakedonien, Canada og andre formelt støtte Grønlands bestræbelser.

Denne mobber skal stoppes politisk. Alle nationer skal gøre alt, hvad der er nødvendigt, i solidaritet med grønlænderne. 

Greenland: The EU and others must get going on the sovereignty issue.

The number one priority must be to stop ManiacalMoronTM. This means that Denmark must fast-track the process that will lead to sovereignty. They must put Greenland's collective interests before their own. And then the EU, together with non-members such as the United Kingdom, Norway, Turkey, Iceland, Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Canada and others, must formally support Greenland's efforts.

This bully must be stopped politically. All nations must do whatever is required in solidarity with  Greenlanders. 

Why Pierre Should Be Worried.

Since Christmas and the holidays, the Liberals have consistently led in the polls, although not by a lot. Between one and three percent. People will look at the top-line numbers and think that the horse race between the LPC and CPC is the story. If you draw your conclusions from that, you're missing the most significant piece of the puzzle, namely, the champagne social democrats. Smack in the middle of a leadership campaign, the NDP is coming back to life and has returned to double digits. Again, this can be misleading: conventional wisdom would have you believe that the New Democrats are taking votes away from the Liberals, but that would be incorrect. Ironically, it's the Conservatives who're bleeding some of their populist wing to the NDP. Put another way, Pierre's gargantuan effort to turn three generations of young people into CPC supporters bore more fruit than expected. However, now some of that cohort are returning to the New Democrats. 

And the billion-dollar question is why? Ironically, this is one issue that can't be blamed on the leader. He quite literally almost singlehandedly created the populist faction in our party. I'll be watching the numbers, especially Abacus and Angus Reid, to get an idea of what CPC supporters and the base are thinking.  Pierre knows that as soon as Justin was taken out of the mix, at least a plurality of voters chose to ditch him at the altar. The question now becomes, will the same thing happen again with some populist conservatives once the NDP gets a new leader? Maybe, maybe not. But it should be keeping Poilièvre up at night. Pierre is not known for being a master with a backup plan. My advice is to think even more out of the box now, before he's likely to be humiliated again in this country's stark and unforgiving political arena. He needs to remember that the only place where you can get more than two solid chances is at the Sacrament of Penance.

Politique québécoise : aujourd'hui est un jour plus important pour le PLQ que pour la CAQ.

Legault vient de démissionner de son poste de chef. Mais le cœur de l'histoire ne concerne pas la CAQ. En tant que libéraux, nous ne devons pas nous faire d'illusions : aujourd'hui, nos chances de former le prochain gouvernement ont considérablement diminué. Lorsque la CAQ aura un nouveau chef, celui-ci sera perçu par les francophones comme beaucoup plus autonomiste et nationaliste que le PLQ. C'est la réalité politique. La grande majorité des Québécois juge notre parti comme insuffisamment nationaliste. Point final. Dans ce contexte, la lutte politique pendant les élections risque d'être une bataille acharnée pour déterminer qui formera l'opposition officielle. C'est la question politique la plus prévisible à l'heure actuelle.

Pour ceux d'entre nous qui font partie du PLQ, cette nouvelle monumentale nous impose une obligation incontournable : nous devons tous nous rallier à la campagne de Charles, car nous avons le devoir de créer un élan politique et de tenter de renverser la vapeur après la démission de Legault.

N'oublions pas que Milliard a une tendance plutôt nationaliste en tant qu'individu. Certains pensent même qu'il sympathise avec les forces souverainistes. Je n'irais pas aussi loin.

En bref, dans le meilleur des cas, nous avons le devoir de faire tout notre possible pour former le prochain gouvernement. Mais si cela devient presque impossible, notre objectif minimum doit être de former l'opposition officielle. Nous ne pouvons pas nous permettre de terminer troisièmes aux élections. 

Nous devons avoir confiance en Charles pour surmonter le défi politique, qui est devenu plus difficile aujourd'hui qu'il ne l'était auparavant.

POS Will Never Push Powell Out.

DOJ can initiate as many phony investigations as it wants, but none of them will lead to Powell's premature retirement as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Put another way, Trump can go fuck himself. Powell will leave in May when his term ends, and he will remain on the board of governors for at least a year.

The moron wants nothing but interest rate cuts, but that won't happen either, given that the Fed has already started printing to save the money center banks from their current insolvency. 2008 all over again. In fact, the digitization of money creation is already well underway, and it's having its usual predictable and inevitable effect: both inflation and unemployment are ticking up as we approach the next recession, which will be upon Americans no later than in the coming twelve months. 

They will never spook Powell into quitting, nor will they ever get any convictions against him. I hope all of the above gives POS a stroke. No one on planet Earth deserves it more. I would be so happy if he turned into a légume, finally getting his just deserts.

ICE : J'accuse... !

Je n'en peux plus. Cela m'a réveillé d'un sommeil déjà agité. Cet officier, qui a tué une Américaine, doit être jugé pour meurtre au deuxième degré. Point final. Et tous ceux qui ont menti, falsifié des images et commis une entrave à la justice dans cette affaire, comme dans tant d'autres, doivent être inculpés et emprisonnés pendant au moins dix ans.

Vous voyez, ce sociopathe psychopathe ne connaît aucune limite, et jusqu'à présent, il n'a été tenu responsable ni par le système judiciaire ni par le peuple. Trump a franchi la ligne rouge il y a longtemps, et rien n'a été fait pour remédier à la situation. Trump n'est rien d'autre qu'un fasciste enthousiaste, et il doit enfin être tenu responsable de ses crimes.

Cela signifie qu'il doit être destitué pour la troisième fois devant la Chambre des représentants et condamné lors d'un procès au Sénat. Au diable les précédents juridiques, bande de lâches et de connards. Une fois destitué, il devrait faire l'objet de poursuites pénales et civiles, tandis que ses acolytes, ses flagorneurs et ses partisans, trop désireux de devenir les nazis du XXIe siècle, devraient être politiquement stigmatisés et voir leur carrière dans la fonction publique prendre fin dès que cette administration misérable et méprisable sera enfin chassée du pouvoir. 

Ce président dérangé doit être écarté de la vie politique, et cela aurait dû se produire hier. Il n'est pas meilleur, et en fait infiniment pire, que les mollahs de Téhéran qu'il prétend mépriser. Le moment est venu non seulement d'exprimer notre mécontentement, mais aussi un dégoût collectif. Le peuple américain doit enfin se soulever d'une seule voix et mettre fin à cette parodie grotesque. Pas de justice, pas de paix ! Pas de responsabilité, pas de légitimité ! Par la grâce de Dieu, ÇA SUFFIT.

ICE: J'accuse...!

I can't take it anymore. It woke me up from an already restless sleep. That officer, who killed an American woman, must be tried for second-degree murder. Period. And all those who lied, falsified images and obstructed justice in this case, as in so many others, must be charged with obstruction and imprisoned for at least ten years.

You see, this psychopathic sociopath knows no bounds, and so far, he has not been held accountable by either the judicial system or the people. Trump crossed the line a long time ago, and nothing was done to remedy the situation. Trump is nothing more than an enthusiastic fascist, and he must now be held responsible for his crimes.

This means he must be impeached for the third time in the House of Representatives and convicted in a Senate trial. To hell with legal precedents, you bunch of cowards and arseholes. Once impeached, he should face criminal and civil prosecution, while his acolytes, sycophants and supporters, too eager to become 21st-century Nazis, should be politically stigmatized and see their careers in public service ended as soon as this miserable and despicable administration is finally driven from power. 

This deranged president must be removed from political life, and that should have happened yesterday. He is no better, and in fact infinitely worse, than the mullahs in Tehran he claims to despise. The time has come not only to express discontent, but also disgust. The American people must finally rise up with one voice and put an end to this grotesque travesty. No justice, no peace! No accountability, no legitimacy! By the grace of God, ENOUGH ALREADY.

As Ronnie Would Say, There You Go Again [President JackassTM]...

Sorry, but I have absolutely no sympathy for the Venezuelan regime. They lost all legitimacy when they fixed the last election to stay in power. And those idiot Canadian unionists who are coming to their rescue are dolts. If they love Maduro and his ilk so much, why don't they move to Venezuela? Enough said.

Meanwhile, MoronTrumpTM has accomplished nothing by spiriting away Maduro. Rodriguez is acting president and should resign immediately if she knows what's good for her. The Defence minister, the military and the repressive terrorist apparatus aren't about to give up power without a fight. 

Rodriguez has no power or influence on the other leaders. All she is doing is putting her own life at risk if she tries to act as a bridge between Trump and the military in her country. 

So, once again, PresidentIdiotTM has gone in there without a plan for what comes next. Maduro is gone, but his cronies are very much still in power. This puts Trump in between a rock and a hard place, sort of like with Epstein. 

If he wants the oil, he will have to take the country by force, and that necessarily means plenty of dead Americans on the ground and many more once the guerrilla insurgency goes into high gear. This is Trump's Vietnam, and he's about to learn that lesson the hard way. Expect a protracted conflict that will run at least two years. Will the United States ultimately prevail? Probably not. Trump is the new LBJ. He just doesn't know it yet, given that he's an imbecile on his best day.

Como diría Ronnie, ahí vas otra vez [Presidente JackassTM]…

Lo siento, pero no siento ninguna simpatía por el régimen venezolano. Perdieron toda legitimidad cuando manipularon las últimas elecciones para mantenerse en el poder. Y esos sindicalistas canadienses idiotas que apoyan al régimen de Maduro son unos tontos. Si tanto aman a Maduro y a los de su calaña, ¿por qué no se mudan a Venezuela? No hay nada más que decir.

Mientras tanto, MoronTrumpTM no ha conseguido nada al destituir a Maduro. Rodríguez es la presidenta interina y debería dimitir inmediatamente si sabe lo que le conviene. El ministro de Defensa, el ejército y el aparato terrorista represivo no están dispuestos a renunciar al poder sin luchar. 

La señora Rodríguez no tiene poder ni influencia sobre otros líderes. Lo único que está haciendo es poner en peligro su propia vida al intentar actuar como puente entre Trump y el ejército de su país.

Así que, una vez más, el presidente IdiotTM se ha metido en esto sin un plan para lo que vendrá después. Maduro se ha ido, pero sus compinches siguen en el poder. Esto pone a Trump entre la espada y la pared, al igual que con Epstein. 

Si quiere el petróleo, tendrá que tomar el país por la fuerza, y eso implica necesariamente muchos estadounidenses muertos en el terreno y muchos más una vez que la insurgencia guerrillera se ponga en marcha. Este es el Vietnam de Trump, y está a punto de aprender esa lección por las malas. Cabe esperar un conflicto prolongado que durará al menos dos años. ¿Prevalecerán finalmente Estados Unidos? Probablemente no. Trump es el nuevo LBJ. Solo que aún no lo sabe, dado que, en el mejor de los casos, es un idiota.

Venezuela: Poor Pierre, Context And Perspective In International Diplomacy Is Not His Strong Suit.

Let's start with Pierre's statement:

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Pierre Poilievre

@PierrePoilievre

"Congratulations to President Trump on successfully arresting narco-terrorist and socialist dictator Nicolas Maduro, who should live out his days in prison. The legitimate winner of the most recent Venezuelan elections, Edmundo González, should take office along with the courageous hero and voice of the Venezuelan people, María Corina Machado. Down with socialism. Long live freedom."

Pierre has the unfortunate tendency to paint with an overly broad brush and not to put international diplomacy in its proper context: he was doing OK until we got to that last sentence. He should have explained what socialism is in the Venezuelan context and how it differs markedly from the so-called Nordic social democracy model, which is based on market capitalist economies. Put another way, he should have condemned socialism per se, while reiterating our party's continued support for the Nordic model.

This is what you get when you let rank amateurs run the show in terms of foreign affairs and diplomacy in Pierre's OLO. There is a marked need for improvement. He should change the person advising him on international diplomacy matters because that person simply isn't up to snuff.